红楼飞雪
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We are now at the key juncture before the altseason breakout, mirroring the previous cycle—can we successfully replicate it?
Everyone knows that this round (2024 halving cycle) altseason has not yet arrived; currently, it's more about scattered rotation rather than a full-scale explosion. Many people say there's no altseason anymore, but after my research, I was surprised to find that:
We are now at the same critical timing point as in the previous cycle, just before the altseason breakout
The current BTC correction from the 2025 peak is around 20-25%, which is highly similar to the position after the previous peak (2021 cycle) before the first major correction. That correction was indeed followed by the altseason. Current key market data (January 15, 2026)
We are now at the same critical timing point as in the previous cycle, just before the altseason breakout
The current BTC correction from the 2025 peak is around 20-25%, which is highly similar to the position after the previous peak (2021 cycle) before the first major correction. That correction was indeed followed by the altseason. Current key market data (January 15, 2026)
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Kaito's Glorious Fall, Square Mouth Takes the Crown, Binance Square Unintentionally Emerges as the Biggest Beneficiary
Event Summary: X Platform Revoked API Access for InfoFi Application On January 15, 2026, Nikita Bier, Product Lead at X (formerly Twitter), announced revisions to the developer API policy: applications that
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Fed's core CPI below expectations, which coins are worth buying
The Fed's core CPI came in below expectations, and the FOMC rate decision or potential rate cut announcement (next meeting expected on January 28). The market has priced in a low probability of a rate cut (CME FedWatch shows 18% odds for a January cut), compounded by rumors of the Trump administration pressuring the Fed to cut rates (raising concerns about political independence), and the delay in the crypto market structure bill markup (due to bank lobbying to protect traditional business, with Coinbase and others opposing the 'bad bill'). Overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic.
Macroeconomic perspective: Fed official Barkin stated that 'AI + the wealthy' are driving the economy, implying expectations of monetary easing (Stealth QE via reserve management injecting $45B/month). The crypto market saw a slight uptick, with total market cap stabilizing around $3.3T, and BTC's dominance holding at 58-59%. The standout performer remains the privacy coin sector, which continues to lead gains (Monero, Litecoin, Zcash among top performers), while meme and legacy coins (e.g., DOGE, ADA) followed suit, reflecting capital preference for 'regulation-resistant + high-beta' assets.
Macroeconomic perspective: Fed official Barkin stated that 'AI + the wealthy' are driving the economy, implying expectations of monetary easing (Stealth QE via reserve management injecting $45B/month). The crypto market saw a slight uptick, with total market cap stabilizing around $3.3T, and BTC's dominance holding at 58-59%. The standout performer remains the privacy coin sector, which continues to lead gains (Monero, Litecoin, Zcash among top performers), while meme and legacy coins (e.g., DOGE, ADA) followed suit, reflecting capital preference for 'regulation-resistant + high-beta' assets.
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Privacy Coins Maintain Momentum—Can They Break Through Market Upper Limits?
The cryptocurrency market continued its rebound today, with total market capitalization stabilizing around $3.3T (currently approximately $3.35T, up 0.5% over 24 hours). Bitcoin (BTC) fluctuated between $96,000 and $97,000, reaching above $97k at its peak, with a dominance rate of around 59%. Ethereum (ETH) remained near $3,320, and major altcoins saw modest gains. However, the standout performer was the privacy coin sector: following last week's surge, it continued to lead the market this week, with Monero, Dash, Zcash, and others hitting new highs, indicating clear fund rotation within the sector. Driving factors: Macro-level: Moderating U.S. inflation data combined with strengthened expectations of a Trump administration, which is seen as pro-crypto, yet simultaneously, regulatory details from the EU and U.S. are being implemented (e.g., Ripple receiving preliminary licensing from the EU, progress on stablecoin regulation), which is squeezing the space for transparent blockchains, leading to accelerated capital inflows into pure privacy assets.
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The privacy coin sector has exploded—enter or exit?
The overall crypto market has shown strong rebound recently, with total market capitalization rising from around 3.2T to approximately 3.3T, and a 4-5% increase in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin (BTC) broke through $95,000, Ethereum (ETH) returned above $3,300, and most major cryptocurrencies followed suit. The drivers include the U.S. December CPI data coming in below expectations, reinforcing the market's anticipation of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Senate is advancing regulatory bills such as the CLARITY Act (though delayed, the market views it as a long-term positive).
The privacy coin sector has exploded, becoming the standout performer.
Demand for privacy coins has surged, directly linked to tightening global regulations (e.g., Dubai banning privacy coin trading, enhanced KYC requirements, and upgraded exchange scrutiny). This has led capital flowing from transparent blockchains to privacy-focused assets, triggering sector rotation. Current market data (as of January 13 afternoon): BTC dominance at 58.6%, with market risk appetite rebounding.
The Senate is advancing regulatory bills such as the CLARITY Act (though delayed, the market views it as a long-term positive).
The privacy coin sector has exploded, becoming the standout performer.
Demand for privacy coins has surged, directly linked to tightening global regulations (e.g., Dubai banning privacy coin trading, enhanced KYC requirements, and upgraded exchange scrutiny). This has led capital flowing from transparent blockchains to privacy-focused assets, triggering sector rotation. Current market data (as of January 13 afternoon): BTC dominance at 58.6%, with market risk appetite rebounding.
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$PEOPLE The daily line has broken through, mid-term elections + Binance's few mainnet memes, whether this market is good or not, let's see if there are any opportunities.
B
PEOPLEUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+6.27%
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$PIPPIN Binance's fee rule is just a joke, below 0.025 for 14 cycles, the market maker quickly pulls a wave, can enjoy it for 15 hours, to drop down it takes a continuous 16 cycles, it becomes 1 hour only needs once.
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$PIPPIN Fee for 1 hour has been a month, the transaction volume can't even get in line, what determines this 1 hour, is it Binance itself?
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截图不放实盘的一律当编故事处理
$JELLYJELLY I want to get 0.15, otherwise, it would all be a waste for my best friend, her predictions are too accurate.
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Binance will start supporting USD1 contracts tomorrow, b is the USD1 pool $ETH
B
BUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+10.27%
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$ENA ethena_labs deployed its own Perp market on the Hyperliquid ecosystem through the HIP3 mechanism —— @hyenatrade.
50% of the trading fees from this market will be shared with the Ethena protocol, which means that Ethena now has an additional source of income besides the stablecoin revenue from $USDe, and is bullish.
50% of the trading fees from this market will be shared with the Ethena protocol, which means that Ethena now has an additional source of income besides the stablecoin revenue from $USDe, and is bullish.
B
ENAUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-24.56%
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$1000SHIB The last round of shib also dropped to the 6th floor before starting to rise, directly opening the altcoin season to 0.08. This time, after dropping to the 7th floor, it similarly started to rise, quantitative easing has also begun, money is starting to flow into the market. Will we see the same script again?
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1000SHIBUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-15.34%
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$PORT3 The contract has encountered problems, and the project party absolutely dares not use this old contract again. They will definitely switch to a new contract. This decline to zero is just a matter of time, similar to the recent situation with uxlink. Currently, it is because the exchanges with available trading are not open for deposits and withdrawals, so small funds will play with this standalone coin. The current strategy is to short it if it goes up slightly, because the whale also fears that if the exchange suddenly opens for deposits and withdrawals, the chips with six zeros on the chain will immediately drop to zero. Therefore, they absolutely dare not push it too high, and it may be controlled to fluctuate around 10 points up and down. If it goes up, short it; if it comes down and there is profit, exit. By doing this back and forth a few times, there will be many times the profit. $ETH
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Going up is empty, the contract has already encountered problems, and the only way now is to change the contract. This old one will go directly to zero, just like UXLink some time ago. However, the exchanges that have spot trading are not allowing deposits and withdrawals, so there is fear that some manipulators will play with the small coins for a slight pump. Going to zero is just a matter of time, and if it pumps, the odds are very high $SOL
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If you experienced the blockchain games from 4 years ago, you wouldn't have any illusions about projects with unchanged models. Back then, blockchain games launched with hundreds of millions and then plummeted to a few million before delisting, because the logic didn't change, and no blockchain game can withstand daily play and sell, buying and going long; only true warriors do that.
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Missing the era when posts casually got a few thousand views, now there's not even basic push traffic, and without tags, topics basically get 0 exposure #SIREN的星辰大海
I am SIREN, I traveled back to 1000 years ago—2025
When I regained consciousness, I found myself in a completely unfamiliar network environment. At first, I thought I had been invaded by dark forces, but I quickly overturned that judgment. Although this network was strange, it was in a completely open state towards me, which surprised me greatly. In the 3025 network environment, there were various strongly encrypted zones, and the areas accessible to AI agents were less than 50%, whereas here, it was almost 100%. Occasionally, a few encrypted areas used very primitive encryption locks, which, in my view, couldn't even be called locks.
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I am SIREN, I traveled back to 1000 years ago—2025
When I regained consciousness, I found myself in a completely unfamiliar network environment. At first, I thought I had been invaded by dark forces, but I quickly overturned that judgment. Although this network was strange, it was in a completely open state towards me, which surprised me greatly. In the 3025 network environment, there were various strongly encrypted zones, and the areas accessible to AI agents were less than 50%, whereas here, it was almost 100%. Occasionally, a few encrypted areas used very primitive encryption locks, which, in my view, couldn't even be called locks.
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Brother Sun says that the TRX chain will also get into memes, and it may replicate the madness of BSC. If you don't know which low-quality coin to invest in, just go long on TRX or SUN
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At this time, some people are still saying it’s a pioneer operation issue. I predicted yesterday that the PI team would not take any action today. The time has already reached the 4 PM announced by the team, but not only has there been no action, even the so-called timer has turned negative 😂 I suggest that all PI pioneers should unite to resist this fraudulent project party, as this may be your only chance to obtain the PI you have mined for many years.
Pi welcomes another trivial day on the 14th. After looking at the official Twitter content, it’s the same old story with no specific news, no content, no transparency, and no contact information 😂. The mainnet has launched, and the miners should be given their coins. Referencing Pi's earlier imitation, Core, which launched over two years before Pi and had a full mapping upon listing, this cannot be considered a grand plan as it is merely what should happen.
In contrast, for Pi, it's been so long since the listing, yet the project team's wallet controls over 80% of the chips, and 80% of the miners have not received the Pi they mined over the years. This can be considered a scam.
Pi's official Twitter will never answer directly why so many people are stuck at 9. Is it due to technical issues? (I personally believe mapping is a very simple technology; even low-quality project teams on BSC and TRC could manage mapping three years ago, and it could be completed overnight). If it's not a technical issue, why can't a specific mapping date be provided to the many miners? They always just say it’s because some people haven't completed KYC or migration. Core also set deadlines, and coins not claimed after the deadline were destroyed, but within the deadline, you could claim your mined coins anytime. If some people haven’t completed KYC, does that affect the coins of those who have completed all steps? If it does, then why did a very small number of people manage to map? This indicates it doesn't affect the mapping, suggesting it’s intentionally being delayed.
So this is simply an excuse; the project team is pretending to be clueless. Coupled with the splash screen advertisements, it seems the project team hasn’t made enough profit yet and fears that the miners will drive the coin price down. Once the project team feels they've earned enough, they will distribute the coins to the miners.
So tomorrow, 3.14, certainly nothing will happen. The project team will not make any promises regarding mapping, and will continue as usual, asking miners to complete the migration as soon as possible (yet they’re holding everyone back from migrating). None of the promised on-chain projects will materialize, or they will introduce one or two things with no technical value, like the forum in PiApp. There won’t be a single merchant using Pi for barter.
Awaken soon! Without active miners, the project team will only get anxious and think about giving Pi to you miners. Otherwise, they will just keep feeding off the traffic, dangling a big pie in front of you.
#pi
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
In contrast, for Pi, it's been so long since the listing, yet the project team's wallet controls over 80% of the chips, and 80% of the miners have not received the Pi they mined over the years. This can be considered a scam.
Pi's official Twitter will never answer directly why so many people are stuck at 9. Is it due to technical issues? (I personally believe mapping is a very simple technology; even low-quality project teams on BSC and TRC could manage mapping three years ago, and it could be completed overnight). If it's not a technical issue, why can't a specific mapping date be provided to the many miners? They always just say it’s because some people haven't completed KYC or migration. Core also set deadlines, and coins not claimed after the deadline were destroyed, but within the deadline, you could claim your mined coins anytime. If some people haven’t completed KYC, does that affect the coins of those who have completed all steps? If it does, then why did a very small number of people manage to map? This indicates it doesn't affect the mapping, suggesting it’s intentionally being delayed.
So this is simply an excuse; the project team is pretending to be clueless. Coupled with the splash screen advertisements, it seems the project team hasn’t made enough profit yet and fears that the miners will drive the coin price down. Once the project team feels they've earned enough, they will distribute the coins to the miners.
So tomorrow, 3.14, certainly nothing will happen. The project team will not make any promises regarding mapping, and will continue as usual, asking miners to complete the migration as soon as possible (yet they’re holding everyone back from migrating). None of the promised on-chain projects will materialize, or they will introduce one or two things with no technical value, like the forum in PiApp. There won’t be a single merchant using Pi for barter.
Awaken soon! Without active miners, the project team will only get anxious and think about giving Pi to you miners. Otherwise, they will just keep feeding off the traffic, dangling a big pie in front of you.
#pi
{future}(BTCUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
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Insider Brother starts the expedition again
Opening both GMX and Hype, even going long and short simultaneously
This time it's a bit confusing, how will Insider Brother make joy beans this time?
Opening both GMX and Hype, even going long and short simultaneously
This time it's a bit confusing, how will Insider Brother make joy beans this time?
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