HeyElwin

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HeyElwin

粤A技术分析专注btc eth. 一周起码3场直播解盘欢迎交流 •8折手续费邀请码：AL333 • 推@AL333crypto • 你我皆是黑马•

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HeyElwin

Trading is only part of life!
Happy Weekend!

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HeyElwin

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HeyElwin

【Liquidity grabbing? Still plenty of opportunities】
BTC
recap it. After a quick surge last Friday, the HR timeframe failed to hold above the previous high at 7.96. Then over the weekend it kept drifting down in a bearish trend.

Now it has come back to the previous area on the left side where buyers were more contested (7.68). So here, reduce position size. The lead position is still fine~

Considering liquidity and key horizontal levels, adding positions or staying flat should wait for a breakdown—then reclaim—around 7.6.

Because below 7.6 is relatively “vacant” (thin liquidity). And the current smaller timeframe trend is also weak. Only when the small neck line at 775 is reclaimed from above will we look for signs of stabilization.

If the market doesn’t keep probing lower to grab liquidity, then the opportunity on the right side above remains the breakout at 7.81. The t1 target is also 7.96.

$BTC #SEC收到灰度莱特币信托转ETF申请

HeyElwin

【Can it be even lower!? Long-side game position】
BTC
4hr upper and lower bounds 8.23/7.6 still haven’t changed.
The current price action is rebounding from the 778 support, but the subsequent highs are getting lower and lower. Combined with the futures data, personally I feel it still needs to move downward to find more support~
7.75/7.68/7.6 can still be used as entry levels for long positions within this 4hr consolidation range.
For the short term, overhead resistance is 7.95—this is a confluence zone where horizontal resistance and the trendline suppression meet. Only if it breaks through here can we see strength and a right-side opportunity. 7.75 can be considered the phase low.
$BTC

#伊朗称已准备升级对美战争

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

Newbies are looking at all sorts of CPI expectation analyses. Load up with a bunch of positions. Then sit in front of the computer, rubbing their fists, counting down to 8:30 to go all in!!
Old-timers quietly tidy up the profit positions—partially take profits and set up defenses. Hang price alerts at key levels. Then do what you need to do...

Respect the objective market action~
#CPI data is coming—will it trigger a September rate hike?

HeyElwin

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

Have a fine dinner—no livestream tonight either~

HeyElwin

Bullish

BTC
Still consolidating in the 4-hour range! So the overall plan hasn’t really changed~
But the lower timeframes are showing a strong momentum. The long positions around the 7.8 area can still be held a bit longer. The key level overhead remains 806.

ETH
This well-structured consolidation range has been going for 19 days already~ But considering that BTC is currently at a relatively low level. If we come back above 2530 again, you can slightly hold off and observe. If you want to short, you can reduce your position size a bit. Or you can take half of the profit from the last time you took this trade and use it to gamble. Set your stop-loss well—there’s a gap above with no clear support~

#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% $BTC $ETH

HeyElwin

BTC
The big-trend reversal won’t be something that happens in just one or two days.
In my personal view, the market is still in a high-range consolidation phase. Range: 7.6–8.25. So the logic remains the same—profit/loss ratio is about trading the range.
4H timeframe: key support at 781; resistance at 812/823
Tonight, US stocks are closed too. At the current price location, there isn’t much profit/loss ratio. Wait patiently—when price approaches 785 or 806, trading long vs. short again will have better cost-effectiveness.

Eth
Still within this big consolidation range. When price gives opportunities at the upper and lower boundaries, you should continue to look for trades.
For the short-term pullback area, watch around 2475.

$BTC $ETH #美伊互袭油轮冲突升级

BTC-0.40%

ETH-2.06%

HeyElwin

Record it. Finally, we’re over 10,000!
Gratitude in my heart!

HeyElwin

BTC-0.40%

ETH-2.06%

HeyElwin

The privacy sector is really strong this time. I chased DASH after riding the ZEC wave that day.
Today, with some free time, I took a look. Even ZEN, with its Christmas tree structure, is pumping.
All I can say is, the market is really FOMOing right now!
$ZEC $DASH #ZEC续刷历史新高

BTC
Current price. When it comes to the big-picture trend, there’s no chasing longs! You’ve got to wait for more than 4-hour chart candles to play out first—wait for the candles to move!

For short-term or intraday: the current small consolidation range is 806–825. If you want to touch the short side here, remember: either 【certainty】 or 【extreme risk-reward】
【Risk-reward】: anything above 82—take it with a light position. Hard stop loss at 832!
【Certainty】: when it breaks down below 806 with volume, use a tight stop loss, then enter on the right side!~

Overall view hasn’t changed, really—I’ve been saying it for a long time. Around 825 is resistance at the weekly level. If price can break above and hold, then you can call for the bull run returning; otherwise, this is a very good setup area for a strong “last drop” kind of game. I personally still think it won’t bounce back to a bull run that quickly!

For a bigger timeframe decline, it needs a period of consolidation for some time—like the range shown in the blue box in Figure 2~ So make sure you clearly understand the time horizon level of your trade!

#美国8月非农数据今日公布 $BTC

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

【BTC 4000+ points, take it!】

Starting from August 26th, whether it was live streaming or strategy sessions, we’ve kept stressing the idea of waiting for the 4-hour level at 7.55/7.67 to pull back and enter. When the opportunity is there, then play the game!

Trade in a way that suits you. Have you caught this move?!
#美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 $BTC

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

Gold feels great now! Arrived at the target position~
Take partial profits significantly—just keep the remaining position/lots!
$XAU
#gold

HeyElwin

GM！
Gold is as expected. If it approaches 4460-4480, we can get t1 done～
$XAUT #美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高

XAU-0.05%

HeyElwin

Meets expectations Again!
You can also count on principal protection. More than 1,000 points in profit—doing a short-term take-profit is absolutely fine.
Just follow your own trading cycle!
As long as 7.81 holds, the next target makes sense—aiming to get close to the 7.9 area~
$BTC

#美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高

HeyElwin

Got on the train as planned~
If it doesn’t drop down to 7.55 here, the add-on spot on the right is at 7.81.
The t1 above is 7.9–7.95. Or, if it matches expectations and keeps going, we’ll continue to defend and look for upside above 8~
Plan the trade—trade according to the plan!~
$BTC #美联储加息概率升至68%

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

GM！
Gold is as expected. If it approaches 4460-4480, we can get t1 done～
$XAUT #美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高

HeyElwin

Keep the defense in place and wait for levels above 4480~
How the news develops—respect the objective market action~
$XAUT

#沙特称伊朗在霍尔木兹袭击其船只

XAUT-0.03%

HeyElwin

Keep the defense in place and wait for levels above 4480~
How the news develops—respect the objective market action~
$XAUT
#沙特称伊朗在霍尔木兹袭击其船只

XAUT-0.03%

HeyElwin

🎙️ 9.2 Trading Plan Waiting for Take Profit~

End

01 h 06 m 18 s

552

Gold has also entered the demand zone. At key positions, place your stop loss properly—if it’s a game, then it’s a game!~
$XAUT

XAUT-0.03%

HeyElwin

8.27 Breakout and pullback recovered? No profit/no loss is not worth getting in
BTC
7.96 broke through. But before reaching the previous high, there was a certain increase in volume and it pulled back. Personally, I don’t recommend chasing here. And the risk/reward ratio isn’t suitable~
For intraday short-term setups, watch the evening for possible pullback entry opportunities around the trendline.
The 4hr entry level hasn’t changed either~

ETH
Same logic. Above 530 to around -2670 is relatively empty/there’s little liquidity. But after breaking 2530, it also quickly pulled back. This currently looks more like liquidity grabbing.
For intraday short-term trades, likewise watch the trendline and the area around 2450 where POC and trendline may resonate.
For the 4hr level, we’re still waiting below at 2360-2380.

Trading is a combination of probability and risk/reward. Very often it doesn’t give us a chance to get in. That’s the norm~ But it doesn’t mean we need to force a trade based on the next 5-minute candle setup~
#比特币64亿美元期权将到期 $BTC $ETH

BTC-0.40%

HeyElwin

Sep will be awesome！！！

HeyElwin

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