Channel suppression can’t stop the bullish momentum! Multi-period resonance looks bullish—gold may be poised to break the top and set new highs
Many friends get nervous when they see the gold price pull back. They feel like the bullish trend might be completely over.
In fact, during an uptrend, you often see quick dips and rapid pullbacks—so-called “shakeout” moves—especially designed to push people out. Taking a look at the daily, weekly, and 4-hour charts, let’s talk about the overall trend right now and the key price levels to watch in the short term.
First, the big-picture situation: On the daily chart, although price is still under pressure from the trend channel, based on the chart signals, this pressure is very likely not to hold back the upward move. The daily indicators forming a pullback then crossing bullish (golden cross) is often a signal that price is preparing to challenge new highs.
Next, the weekly chart: The weekly indicators have maintained a continuous golden cross. As long as the weekly golden-cross condition remains, the broader uptrend won’t weaken instantly.
Overall, the market is still dominated by bulls. While there is pressure above from the daily channel and the weekly mid-band, multiple indicators across different timeframes are crossing bullish at the same time. That makes it highly likely that price will consolidate upward and eventually break through the pressure. Focus on two levels: around 4490, and the daily trend channel’s resistance.
Now let’s discuss how to read today’s short-term setup: After the daily stochastic indicator pulls back and forms a golden cross, it still has the momentum to push toward new highs. The short-term approach should continue to follow the bulls.
On the 4-hour chart, last week’s price briefly smashed below the lower Bollinger Band, but it didn’t fall through. It quickly pulled back, which shows strong buying support below—so the overall picture remains bullish.
The first short-term support to watch is around 4385. The more important defensive level lower down is at 4335.
So for today’s operations, prioritize trading with the trend: look for the 4385 support on the pullback, with the target being a refresh of the prior high.
Here’s a very critical point to share: Multiple timeframes are currently aligned and pointing bullish. The big structure is mainly about going long, with short-selling as secondary. During the upward process, price often goes back and forth, including pullback corrections and brief spikes that pierce support—another kind of shakeout. As long as price does not break into sustained bearish decline and continues shaking downwards in a steady way, the large bullish structure has not been broken.
Some pullbacks look like they’re dropping aggressively, but in reality they’re just shakeouts along the way up. Don’t let short-term violent fluctuations distract your thinking. Follow the main prevailing trend, and you’re less likely to make major mistakes.
Hedging is no longer a universal solution! Fighting in the Middle East drives oil prices up—ironically a negative for gold; a weekly review of gold and projections for the outlook
Hedging is no longer a universal solution! Fighting in the Middle East drives oil prices up—ironically a negative for gold; a weekly review of gold and projections for the outlook Just passed this week, the gold market saw a highly dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears. It surged up and washed down in both directions like a roller coaster, leaving many friends dizzy. Spot gold opened on August 11 at 4346. During the week it climbed to 4450, a two-month high. On Thursday, it fell sharply by 1.3% as profit-taking set in. On Friday, it briefly dipped to 4310, the intra-week low. Just when the bears had the upper hand, U.S. retail data came in unexpectedly weak, and gold staged a textbook V-shaped reversal. It ultimately closed at 4375.80. For the full week it rose by about 0.8%. The weekly chart printed a long lower-shadow bullish candle, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. In the Asian session on Monday, it is currently holding a narrow range of consolidation around 4375.
Weekly golden cross supports the bottom! Gold’s slow bull run is moving upward, and expectations for the “Golden September, Silver October” market are gradually heating up
Recently, gold prices have been creeping higher. Many friends are wondering in their hearts: what if it suddenly drops after going up at high levels? They’re not sure whether to go long on dips or to short recklessly. Today, let’s combine the weekly chart, daily chart, and hourly chart. I’ll put it in plain language and talk with you about the bigger trend, key price levels, and how to view today’s market.
First, look at the bigger picture—the weekly chart. The stochastic indicator golden cross is still in place, and the bullish signals are clear. Based on the timing cycle, the third quarter’s “Golden September, Silver October” phase makes it quite likely that gold will kick off a second wave of上涨 (upward move). The main overhead resistance to watch is 4515–4520. I’ve mentioned this position to everyone repeatedly recently—please remember it well.
Next, the daily chart. Although the current price is hitting the resistance of the trend channel, the indicators are still in a golden-cross state, so it won’t be pushed down directly by this resistance. The more likely scenario is slow consolidation—pushing through the resistance little by little with bullish daily candles. As long as it holds above and breaks through, the market will continue moving higher afterward.
Then, the short term: on the hourly chart, price is moving sideways in a high range. It can’t fall much—more like building energy with a slow rise. In terms of trading, just follow the bigger trend.
The 4-hour chart also shows a slow bull golden cross. Overall, the market is shaking upward, and it’s unlikely to see a sudden, strong sell-off in the near term. The broader bullish structure hasn’t changed. For short-term support, focus on 4420, 4400, and 4370.
Overall, bulls still have the initiative right now. The intraday idea is simple: when it pulls back to support, consider going long and trade in the direction of the trend. Don’t hit short positions all over the place—only consider taking a swing short in the resistance zone of 4515–4520. For other areas, it’s not recommended to bet on a sudden drop casually.
This article reflects the author’s personal views for reference only and is not investment advice. All risk investments are unrelated to the website. When investing in risk assets, be sure to be cautious and careful—safety of principal first! #黄金
Daily and Weekly Synchronised Golden Cross! Gold Bulls Signal Revealed—Focus on Two Major Strong Resistance Levels
At this stage, bullish signals for gold are gradually coming into view, but the suppression from the upper channel must not be overlooked. Many friends are stuck on whether to chase longs directly or set up a short at elevated levels under pressure. Today, combining the daily, weekly, and short-term lower-timeframe charts, I’ll lay out the key turning points, support/resistance levels, and trading ideas in full.
First, look at the bigger timeframe. On the daily chart, the stochastic/random indicators form a golden cross, giving a bullish continuation signal; however, price is currently facing pressure from a trend channel. The first resistance is around 4430. The key short-term watershed lies in the 4435–4445 zone, while support to watch is around 4360.
Switching to the weekly timeframe, the random indicators also form a golden cross and the bullish continuation signal holds. But the weekly midline at 4515 is an important major strong resistance area, which will clearly hinder any upward movement. Only if price holds above the 4435–4445 watershed will there be a chance to push higher and test 4515. Upon reaching the 4515 strong resistance zone, you may consider focusing on a pullback.
Next, on the short-term cycle: the 4-hour trend shows resilience. MACD and the random indicators have entered a dulled (flattened) state, and the bulls are not showing rapid exhaustion. The multiple ‘lift-off’ supports are, in sequence: 4360, 4330, 4300, and 4230—these are the levels to watch as potential areas for support during pullbacks.
On the 1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands move sideways, and the indicators are also dulled. The chart shows clear resilience; for the short term, the nearest support to prioritize is around 4360.
Putting it together: treat the short-term setup with a ‘fade at key levels’ mindset. Pullbacks to 4360, 4330, 4300, and 4230 can be watched for low-long opportunities. Around 4430, you can consider betting on a selloff under resistance. Once there is a valid break above 4435, then follow the trend toward the 4500–4515 area. The 4515 strong resistance level is the key spot for potential short positions at resistance.
My personal views in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. All risks in investment and on this website are unrelated to my personal views. For all investments, be extremely cautious—safety of principal comes first! #黄金
Bullish rebound continues and channel suppression is getting closer! Today’s gold: a two-way long/short plan
Many friends have been asking recently: gold has been rising all the way—when can we short? Will this rally suddenly end? Today I’ll go through the current market from the perspective of the weekly chart, daily chart, and various short-term resonance signals, and clearly lay out the situation, key levels, and how to trade today.
First, the big-picture cycle:
On the weekly chart, the random indicator remains in a golden cross. As I said last week, in the short term it’s difficult for the weekly chart to drop sharply. The key weekly resistance is around 4515—this is an important junction for this round of upswing.
Next, the daily chart:
Price continues to rebound, but the pressure from the prior descending channel is almost being reached. The daily strength/weakness line is around 4445–4450. When price rallies into this zone, it’s suitable to start setting up shorts to test for a pullback. Until then, don’t casually try to pick tops against the trend.
Now the intraday short-term setup:
From the 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour up to the 12-hour timeframe, multiple cycles are synchronously resonating bullish. So for short-term trades, prioritize going with the long side. The core intraday support is the swing conversion zone around 4375–4380. Next, 4400 is also intraday support. If price pulls back to these levels, you can look for long opportunities.
The first upside resistance is right at the 4445–4450 channel boundary. If today’s price reaches here, you can try to short for a pullback. If price firmly holds above 4450, then this short attempt fails—if the market continues to strengthen, the next resistance to watch will be the weekly-level area at 4515.
To sum up simply: Today is not just about longs—both low-buy (long) and high-sell (short) can be considered.
Go long near: 4375–4380 and 4400 support Try short near: 4445–4450 channel resistance, then 4515 weekly resistance If levels break: If price holds above 4450, continue to follow the trend and look for longs; pause the short-term short idea
The market logic looks clear, but trading still needs proper risk control—never bet with heavy position sizing.
My personal views in this article are for reference only and do not constitute advice. Any risk investments are not related to the website or my views. For any risk investment, please be cautious and prudent—safety of principal comes first! #黄金
Stair-step upward move! In the small cycle, the sustained golden cross keeps pushing higher. The momentum of the gold bulls is releasing—don’t rush to short blindly.
Recently, the gold price has been stepping up higher one after another, and many friends are wondering: how long can this rally last? Is it possible to go against the trend and short it? Today I’ll be straightforward and talk about the market structure—what the current trend is, and the key support and resistance levels, all in one go.
First look at the short cycle: the 30-minute and 1-hour charts are climbing step by step. The indicators’ golden cross continues pointing upward, and price keeps making new highs. The first short-term support is around 4265. If the price pulls back to this support area, you can follow the upward rhythm to look for opportunities.
Next, look at the 4-hour timeframe: it has already formed seven consecutive bullish candles, with a chance to extend to nine. The indicators still show a golden cross, so the bullish momentum is still there. 4300 is not the top of this upswing. One reminder here: during a consecutive-bull rally, don’t be too quick to guess the top and short—otherwise it’s easy to get trapped.
When you extend the timeframe, the upper edge of the daily channel and the upper boundary of the weekly range are stronger pressure zones. This is the dividing line for judging whether the bulls can go further. 4450–4550 is the currently estimated resistance range; the exact levels will change with the market. Only if price firmly breaks through this resistance area will there be a chance to look toward around 5000.
Putting it all together, today’s approach should focus on trend-following longs, with caution toward shorts. Pay special attention to three support areas: around 4265, and the 4245–4250 zone. If price pulls back to support, participate in the move in line with the trend.
Don’t rush to enter shorts yet. You can wait for price to test the daily channel’s resistance suppression and the dynamic pressure area at the weekly midline, then look for an opportunity to set up positions. Be patient and wait for signals.
The opinions in this post are personal and for reference only, not investment advice. All risks in investing and this website are unrelated. Trading must be done carefully—first and foremost, protect your principal. #黄金
Market trends aren’t something you can just guess out of nowhere—everything leaves a trail!
We expected this morning’s rally!
昊宸笔记
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Gold prices continue to consolidate at low levels, and there is no clear one-way signal yet! Today is suitable for range-bound (spot/“pin”) trading
Many friends have asked: yesterday, gold moved upward a bit—does that mean a one-way upward trend is about to begin? Don’t rush into it yet. Let’s talk about the market picture right now.
The current low-level consolidation pattern hasn’t been broken. Even though the price edged up yesterday, that bit of rebound alone isn’t enough to confirm that the uptrend will continue. Don’t treat it directly as a one-way rally and chase in. In terms of trading, be extra careful.
Looking at the bigger timeframe, both the 8-hour and 12-hour Bollinger Bands are moving sideways. The market is still stuck in a box range, oscillating back and forth, with no sign of an upside breakout for the moment. The 8-hour resistance is around 4110, and the 12-hour resistance is around 4135. These two levels are the key “pin points” above.
Short-term support has slightly lifted. First, look around 4060. Also, 4070—an important level that the price repeatedly tested over the past few days—is another key support.
Overall: for today, short-term trading is best suited to pin/range trading. The direction between long and short is not clear right now, so don’t bet on a one-way move.
Long positions can look for opportunities near 4070 and 4060; Short positions can reference the resistance/pin point around 4135.
The author’s personal opinion in this post is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Please be cautious with risk investments. Capital is paramount—profits and losses are your own responsibility. #黄金
Gold prices continue to consolidate at low levels, and there is no clear one-way signal yet! Today is suitable for range-bound (spot/“pin”) trading
Many friends have asked: yesterday, gold moved upward a bit—does that mean a one-way upward trend is about to begin? Don’t rush into it yet. Let’s talk about the market picture right now.
The current low-level consolidation pattern hasn’t been broken. Even though the price edged up yesterday, that bit of rebound alone isn’t enough to confirm that the uptrend will continue. Don’t treat it directly as a one-way rally and chase in. In terms of trading, be extra careful.
Looking at the bigger timeframe, both the 8-hour and 12-hour Bollinger Bands are moving sideways. The market is still stuck in a box range, oscillating back and forth, with no sign of an upside breakout for the moment. The 8-hour resistance is around 4110, and the 12-hour resistance is around 4135. These two levels are the key “pin points” above.
Short-term support has slightly lifted. First, look around 4060. Also, 4070—an important level that the price repeatedly tested over the past few days—is another key support.
Overall: for today, short-term trading is best suited to pin/range trading. The direction between long and short is not clear right now, so don’t bet on a one-way move.
Long positions can look for opportunities near 4070 and 4060; Short positions can reference the resistance/pin point around 4135.
The author’s personal opinion in this post is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Please be cautious with risk investments. Capital is paramount—profits and losses are your own responsibility. #黄金
The one-hour indicator has a dead cross and weakens; the long upper wick at the high releases a signal—will the pullback be just an adjustment, or will it turn bearish?
After the market surged and then started to fall, many friends are stuck on this question: is this just a brief pullback, or has the uptrend already ended? Today we’ll speak plainly and break down the current signals step by step using candlesticks, indicators, and trading volume.
First, look at the candlesticks. On the one-hour timeframe, there’s a candle with a long upper wick. The price pushed to around 64,500, and sell pressure suddenly surged—this is a clear signal of a short-term pullback.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s candle was also a bullish candle with an upper wick. Bulls tried to push to higher highs but met resistance and fell back. The good news is that the close still held above the opening price, and buy orders are still providing support below; for now, it hasn’t fully collapsed.
Next, check the indicators. On the one-hour chart, MACD has already formed a dead cross and is heading downward. The green histogram bars are gradually expanding, and short-term bearish momentum has the upper hand.
RSI is slipping down from the high level. Upward momentum is clearly weakening, but it hasn’t reached the oversold zone yet. That suggests the pullback still has room to play out—it hasn’t already bottomed.
The price has broken below the short-term moving average EMA7, and the short-term moving average has turned downward, meaning the short-term trend is weakening. However, the price is still above the longer-term moving averages EMA30 and EMA120. The bigger bullish structure hasn’t been broken. These two moving averages are key support levels to watch next.
Then look at volume. Compared with the previous phase, the trading volume during this pullback is smaller, indicating that the strength of the sell-off is decreasing. Everyone is starting to watch and wait, and there hasn’t been a panic-style selloff with a volume expansion and a sharp drop.
If we extend to the monthly chart, the rise in July came with increased volume, confirming the start of a bullish phase. August has only just begun; overall volume isn’t that large. How volume changes going forward still needs to be continuously observed—whether the trend can keep moving in that direction.
Overall, the current picture suggests this is only a short-term pullback and repair. The longer-term broader trend is still mildly bullish. In the short term, treat the move as a pullback and adjustment. The key is whether support from the longer-term moving averages can be held. Then, use the post-pullback price action to judge whether the pullback is truly over.
For execution, watch the support effectiveness around 63,600. On the upside, resistance is at 64,300 and 64,900.
The author’s personal opinion in this article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. For risk investment, be cautious—principal is supreme; profits and losses are your own. $BTC
Divergence in the size and short-term vs long-term cycle trend! Gold’s short-term range becomes a back-and-forth game; the long-term harbors hidden variables
Many traders have recently been confused. Geo-conflicts keep escalating, yet gold has kept bouncing within a range, making it hard to decide whether the market is ultimately headed long or short. Today, we break down the cycle board and the macro fundamentals separately, clarify the logic behind gold’s current movement, and include intraday reference ideas.
First, look at the overall market structure. Across different cycles, the Bollinger Bands are moving sideways and flat. Gold is in low-level range-bound consolidation. In the short term, it’s suitable to buy on dips and sell on rips while leaning on the box range, and also prepare for a breakdown scenario: once it falls below the 12-hour lower band, the outlook turns weaker and bears are favored; only if it breaks above the 12-hour upper band can there be a chance to open up upside space.
From a fundamentals perspective, gold is under short-term pressure, mainly driven by bearish expectations released by the Fed, which artificially suppresses prices. However, the Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts remain unresolved, and the underlying support from geo risk hedging is still there, making it difficult to see a major, single-direction reversal. Long-term issues such as U.S. Treasury risk and global inflation concerns have not gone away; these are potential long-term bullish factors for gold. They’re like hidden risk landmines in the market—don’t take them lightly.
Signals across different cycle indicators are clearly diverging: daily indicators are dulled, weekly charts show stop-falling signals, and the monthly chart remains in a dead-cross state. This suggests that in the second half of the year, price action will likely become more complex. The pace is likely to first follow a week-level repair and rebound, and then see a monthly adjustment afterward. Starting a new wave of monthly-level upside will still take time, with many variables along the way.
Now focus on today’s intraday setup: The market rhythm has shifted from smaller cycles to the 3-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, and 8-hour levels, which suits range-bound back-and-forth trading. The 3-hour consolidation range is locked at 4022–4102. After yesterday’s price dipped and then found support to rebound, today should be viewed primarily as a consolidation-and-recovery play.
The 6-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour are large-cycle structures. Signal confirmation takes time, so there’s no need to rush to predict direction; just wait for the chart to give a clear signal. Daily stochastic indicators are in a dulled state. 4068–4070 is the intraday strength/weakness line: if price holds above that level, there’s potential to continue the upswing; if it keeps failing to break through, the market may revert to weaker, low-level range-bound behavior. Key support is 3970, and overhead resistance is around 4165.
For the intraday overall approach, consolidation-and-recovery is the main theme. Supports at 4045, 4030, 4020, 4010, and 4005 can be used as reference levels for low-long entries, while the main short-term pressure to watch is around 4105.
Good morning gold, as of now there are already more than 20 charts/indicators. It’s steady and can be entered with confidence; you can also reduce positions and then push up to defend, continuing to look higher!
昊宸笔记
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Gold spot current price 🉑 initiate first tranche now; buy again below 4040 🉑; target around 4130
Yesterday, finally got on the bus with Dan. Currently around 500 points; you can move the defense up to a break-even position. Continue to look higher. (After hitting break-even, you can also continue to enter at the lower levels.)
If you haven't entered yet, you can continue to get in around the 65,800 area on the pullback, but stay protected below 65,400!
昊宸笔记
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Big pancake hangs 65650, target 67400, prevents 65100$BTC
Recently, the market has staged a deep V reversal. On July 17, when the price fell to 62536.4, a large amount of capital moved in to buy the dip, providing strong support that sparked a rebound. Currently, prices are ranging and consolidating in a high-price area. Many people can’t tell whether it’s going to drop or continue rising.
From the candlestick chart, after the 4-hour timeframe pushed up to 65111.1, selling pressure appeared. However, the bulls have not been defeated. The 64000–65000 range has continued to trade sideways, which is typical of a pullback (a “shakeout”) during an uptrend. All indicators show complete bullish signals. The 4-hour MACD stays in a golden cross, and upward momentum is strong. RSI is 58.1—still not in the overbought zone—so there is room to push higher. In the short term, multiple moving averages are pointing upward. The 63800 area is the key support.
Trading volume also reflects capital flows: a surge in volume at the low confirms the bottom, while volume fades at higher levels, suggesting the market is temporarily observing. Overall, the larger uptrend has not changed—this is bullish consolidation under short-term pressure. In terms of execution, prioritize waiting for price to pull back to support before going long. Don’t chase orders at the highs. If the price breaks above the 65111 high, it could start a new round of upward movement. If it breaks through the key support, then you should adjust your plan.
Therefore, on Monday’s early session, the strategy was to set up longs around the 63800 area. More aggressive traders can enter a first position at 64300. The first upside target is to watch for a break above 65100 and the 65500 area; if that happens, follow through and look toward the vicinity of 66200.
Friendly reminder: This article is for personal analysis only and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks—please ensure solid risk control when trading. $BTC
Near-term multiple support and a floor for gold—look at the larger-cycle watershed before making a move
In recent days, gold’s price action has been repeatedly tugged back and forth. After a big gap-down on Monday, it saw a rally on Wednesday. Bull and bear forces are currently roughly balanced, and the market has not yet broken out into a clear one-way trend. Today, using technical charts across multiple timeframes, we’ll sort out short-term and long-term support and resistance levels all at once, so the trading idea is immediately clear.
I. Short-term small-timeframe support is clear—buy dips in two stages
First, look at the 1-hour and 30-minute intraday charts. The market is ranging and consolidating, and the support levels line up closely:
1. On the 30-minute timeframe, short-term support sits at 4030 and 4015.
2. The 1-hour channel remains trending upward; the key support also holds around 4030.
Based on the small-timeframe signals, the short-term approach is to buy in batches: The first entry: if price pulls back to 4030, you can initially set up a long position; If the market probes lower further, around 4015 is the second long-add position—ride the support to capture the range rebound.
II. The key medium- to long-term watershed determines the next upside/downside direction
Enlarge the view to the 12-hour and daily levels. Hidden in the chart are important inflection points—these must be重点 watch:
1. The 12-hour lower-band support is at 3970–3980. This is the critical launch point for this round of price action. Previously on Tuesday, we specifically highlighted that this support should be used to look for repair and rebound. The downside defense watershed is locked at 3945. Only if price effectively breaks below this level will bearish momentum open up fully; otherwise, strong buying support exists below.
2. Daily (K) indicators are unclear: the stochastic is dulled and stuck in the high zone, and MACD is running below the 0 axis—bulls and bears have no clear directional bias. The short-term heavy resistance is concentrated around the 4120–4125 midline; if the rebound reaches there, it will face obvious selling pressure.
III. Overall market assessment
After Monday’s gap-down and Wednesday’s rally, bull and bear forces are currently balanced. There is no clear one-way signal for sustained upside or downside. At this stage, the best approach is to treat it as range-bound movement: trade back and forth using support at the lows and resistance at the highs, and do not chase or kill positions blindly.
Major risk warning
This article is only an individual technical analysis view of the market, for communication and reference only, and does not constitute any investment or trading advice. Precious metals are high-volatility, high-risk investment products; the market may reverse abruptly at any time. This article’s viewpoints are unrelated to any trading profits/losses or any platform. $XAU
Bullish across all timeframes! A rebound resonates between the daily and monthly charts, but the 4-hour RSI is nearing overbought—caution for a short-term pullback
Bullish across all timeframes! A rebound resonates between the daily and monthly charts, but the 4-hour RSI is approaching overbought—remain cautious of a short-term pullback Many traders only look at a single timeframe’s candlestick pattern, which makes it easy to misread the trend and step into a big pullback trap. Today, by combining the three timeframes—4-hour, daily, and monthly—and pairing them with four key indicators—MACD, RSI, moving averages, and trading volume—we fully break down the current market trend and make it clear that opportunities and risks come together. I. Review of the Three-Level Candlestick Pattern: Long-term bulls returning; short-term shows divergence at high levels 1. On the 4-hour timeframe: High-level volume expansion with a long upper shadow; the struggle between bulls and bears intensifies This morning at 4:00, a volume-expanded long bullish candle appeared. The candle body is quite small, but both the upper and lower wicks are very long.
All bullish signals are fully displayed on the board! A one-time breakdown of today’s short-term high/low entry range
Many friends watch the chart but can’t make sense of the multi-timeframe resonance signals. They can’t tell where support and resistance are. Today, based on the full-cycle technical formations, I’ll give you a complete dissection of the current price action—clear levels, and a straightforward logic.
1. Short-term support levels across each cycle—layer by layer defenses are clear at a glance
From the intraday time-share short cycles, supports at different levels create multiple layers of protection:
1. The key 30-minute support is near 4160, forming the first defensive zone on a short-term pullback;
2. The 1-hour support is slightly lifted to 4165, forming a resonant support band together with the 30-minute support;
3. Strong support below at 4145—this is a critical prior top-bottom transition area. Once price revisits this zone, it becomes an important bullish defense floor.
2. Indicators across multiple cycles all strengthen—slow bull uptrend structure is established
Long-term and short-term indicators release bullish signals in sync, with sufficient upward momentum:
1. 4-hour chart: the random indicators stick together at high levels and become dullized; the MACD lines are also dullized. Overall, it remains in a slow-bull rising structure with no obvious topping or reversal signals;
2. 6-hour + 8-hour cycles: random indicators form a resonant golden cross, and bullish power continues to release. The probability of refreshing new intraday highs is extremely high.
Based on the indicator pattern analysis, today’s short-term bias is mainly a choppy slow-bull pullback-to-rise scenario. Pullbacks are opportunities to go long.
3. Two major key resistances above—only a breakout can open up upside space
On the way up, two resistance hurdles are clearly defined, and the pressure points directly correspond to reference levels for shorting at high: First resistance around 4210, and second stronger resistance near 4225.
Price can only effectively hold and break through both 4210 and 4225 to allow this uptrend to extend further. If price runs into resistance and gets pressured at the highs, the market will likely return to the range-bound choppy behavior.
4. Intraday practical range-thinking
Overall, the board’s fluctuation range is narrowing, so the operation approach is clear and distinct: Long reference zone: near 4160—if price pulls back and stabilizes, you can look to enter long; supported by layered cycle supports, the setup is safer.
Short reference zone at highs: if price spikes into the 4210 and 4225 resistance band and stalls, you can look for a pullback in line with the trend.
Technical analysis applies only to the current static chart. The market can experience sudden abnormal moves at any time. Once the price action deviates from the current range, be sure to re-check the chart and re-identify support and resistance. Do not cling to specific levels and stubbornly hold against the move.$XAU
Gold price breaks out at a low level—slow bull rally upward! Dual-cycle resonance favors the bulls: a synchronized golden cross on the 4-hour and daily K lines!
Recently, international gold has shown a clear rebound. Many investors are torn between whether to follow the trend and go long now, or to short on rallies. Today, combining the two key cycles—the 4-hour and the daily—we will fully break down the signals on the current chart and the practical intraday entry points.
I. 4-hour cycle: clear short-term bullish signals, with key support locked at 4145
From the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator has formed and sustained a golden cross moving upward. The bullish signals for the short term are already established.
In terms of price action, gold has completely broken above the prior low-range consolidation box, moving into a slow-bull, consolidation-and-recovery pattern. Short-term bullish momentum is continuing to release.
At present, the key short-term support is locked at 4145. This is the first intraday “buy-the-dip” zone. Pullbacks to this level are a good opportunity to get in.
II. Daily cycle: medium-term bullish resonance, with resistance at 4225
Zooming out to the daily K level, the stochastic indicator has also formed a golden cross upward. The bullish trend for both the intermediate and long term is synchronized, and overall the market leans toward recovery and strength.
The main medium-term pressure sits at 4225—also the only key area in today’s chart that is suitable for considering a short-term pullback play. If gold rises and hits this zone, bullish momentum will noticeably slow down.
III. Intraday complete trading plan
Taking into account the bullish resonance signals from both the smaller and larger timeframes, today’s overall trading bias is mainly: buy on dips and follow the trend higher:
1. Core entry level: go long near 4145;
2. Aggressive entry level: near 4165, you can try entering a small long position;
3. Short-term profit-taking / exit: if price surges to around 4225, bulls should trim cautiously, and you can look for a short-term pullback setup.
Risk Warning
This article is only a personal technical viewpoint sharing of the market, for communication and reference only, and does not constitute any investment trading advice. Precious metals investment is volatile and carries high risk; all trading gains and losses are borne by the investor. Be sure to tightly control position sizing, protect your principal, and participate cautiously in the market. $XAU