Franjul18

#QUSDT perfect for opening a Short 🤑🤑🤑

Brief Summary: Jerome Powell announced the third interest rate cut in 2025, bringing it to a range of 3.50%–3.75%, the lowest level in more than three years. He indicated that the decision aims to balance controlling inflation (currently around 3%) and maintaining a strong labor market.

📌 Key points from Jerome Powell's announcement

- Rate cut:
The Federal Reserve reduced rates by 25 basis points, leaving them in the range of 3.50%–3.75%. This is the third consecutive cut following the decisions in September and October.

- Motivation for the cut:
- Year-on-year inflation remains at 3%, still above the target of 2%.
- The labor market showed disruptions in recent reports due to the government shutdown, creating uncertainty.
- Powell emphasized that the Fed's mandate is to ensure maximum employment and price stability.

- Historical context:
- Rates had reached a high of 5.50% in July 2023, the highest level in 22 years.
- Since September 2025, the Fed began a series of cuts:
- September 2025: -0.25%
- October 2025: -0.25%
- December 2025: -0.25%

- Future outlook:
Powell did not confirm whether there will be more cuts in 2026, leaving the possibility open depending on the evolution of inflation and employment.
Additionally, he avoided commenting on whether he will continue at the Fed after his term ends in May 2026, stating that his priority is to hand over the economy in 'very good shape'.

🔑 Implications for the markets
- Cheaper credit: The cut lowers the cost of loans and mortgages, which could stimulate consumption and investment.
- Future uncertainty: Markets are attentive to signals regarding whether the Fed will continue this policy of cuts in 2026.
- Leadership change: Powell's succession generates expectations, as his replacement could adopt a more aggressive stance on cuts.

The fall of $BTC below 90,000 dollars gained momentum this week after a combination of massive liquidations, weakness in ETFs, and an increasingly restrictive macroeconomic environment. The retreat erased recent gains and reignited the debate over whether the bullish momentum has ended or if the market is merely going through a phase of technical adjustment.

Bitcoin fell due to a combination of accelerated liquidations, constant ETF outflows, and global macroeconomic tensions. The weakness of leverage, miner stress, and institutional uncertainty completed a scenario that pushed the price below 90,000 dollars.

Still, on-chain signals show moderate accumulation and a market that could stabilize if institutional flows return and the economic outlook improves.

$BTC : It is important to analyze the liquidation maps of Bitcoin before trading.

– It can be observed how the current price of Bitcoin moves away from the liquidations in LONG positions and is quite close to seeking the liquidations of the SHORT positions that are quite large, with a total volume of 3B between 94k and 103k.

It is still time to enter below 100k, Bitcoin always rises again and this has been demonstrated since its beginnings, fall after fall, it recovers with strength each time reaching new historical highs.

My recommendation: enter now and take profits near 120k.

The current rally of $BTC has brought optimism to the market, but the charts and fundamental data invite caution. The main resistances remain intact and the volume does not confirm a sustainable momentum. Recognized analysts agree that the rise could be a deceptive move before a larger correction.

Until institutional demand improves and Bitcoin surpasses critical levels with market support, the fragility of the rebound will persist. The December crossover will determine whether this rally becomes a true trend change or is marked as a historical trap.

The real price of Bitcoin may not be what we see today on exchanges, according to Danicryptoo7, a trader specialized in supply-demand and macroeconomics. He claims that the current value is a temporary illusion, based on superficial liquidity. His thesis holds that when ETFs, corporations, and large institutions control most of the supply, the quote will cease to respond to daily supply and demand to reflect only the extreme scarcity of the asset.

Today, only a minimal fraction of the supply circulates in open markets. For the analyst, the price will not be determined by trading, but by the opportunity cost of the large holders who are unwilling to sell.

How is a market forming where the real price of Bitcoin does not depend on the exchanges?

The real price of Bitcoin would be affected by a process that Danicryptoo7 calls "Bitcoin Illiquid Standard." The concept describes a moment when Bitcoin stops functioning as a volatile speculative asset and adopts a nature similar to gold stored in vaults: valuable, scarce, and with very little visible circulation.

A chart shared by the analyst shows that, between 2018 and 2024, ETFs and public companies went from custodizing nearly 500,000 BTC to more than 1.5 million, while exchanges stagnated around 2.5 million.

Liquidity, therefore, evaporates quickly. At the same time, the massive influx of institutional capital following the approval of ETFs in 2024 drained even more of the supply available to retail investors.

According to the analyst, this phenomenon creates a market where "ETFs do not sell, companies do not sell, and long-term whales do not sell." Thus, the formation of the price ceases to depend on the daily flow and begins to be based on the reluctance of large holders to part with their BTC.

For a retail investor, buying Bitcoin would mean paying the psychological threshold that convinces subjects with horizons of decades. The price becomes a reflection of the corporate opportunity cost.

$BTC good break with Volume and strength of Volume, it has not been fake, so we place ourselves back in a safe area.

Here comes the LONGest of $BTC

December has always been an important month for Bitcoin and safe-haven assets like gold and silver, especially because Christmas is accompanied by a certain increase in volatility and investment. However, this year is different from any other, so what can we expect?

Amid historical records and shifts in tone from institutions, it is likely that December 2025 will reshuffle the cards for the three main safe-haven assets.

- Gold is very stable.

- Silver is booming.

$BTC Pushing up.

The recovery of $BNB has begun

of course yes

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$BTTC

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Quick analysis

$BTC/ $USDT

#BTC price: $111,219

24H Volume: $64.53B

Total #MarketCap: $2.24T

Dominance: 58.92%

Trend: Bearish, -1.41% in the

last 24H

$PUMP

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$PUMP refers to a manipulation of the cryptocurrency market where a group buys a token to artificially inflate its price, attracting other investors who buy in panic (FOMO), only to then sell all their holdings and cause a price collapse, leaving late buyers with significant losses. These schemes, known as "pump and dump", are often aggressively promoted on social media with promises of large profits.