肥猫

整理一下这些看板的地址，省得总有人看不到

大饼以太AI清算看板：http://43.164.132.145:8090/

美股看板：http://43.155.184.6:8090/

山寨异动雷达：http://43.164.129.127:8765/

冲链上土狗的看板：http://43.128.148.227:8765/

ALPHA代币的看板：http://150.109.233.183:8766/

主动式AI分析：http://43.131.243.151/

这些都不收费。需要注意的是，冲土狗的和 alpha 代币的看板是机器自学习算法，会随着时间慢慢调整算法，实现更好的进场/出场位置；用来参考一些数据还是可以的。因为是免费的，所以我没有充足的费用去租赁 rpc 节点服务器。我使用的是 gmgn + 老鹰混合接口来实现，速度比不上直接使用 rpc 节点，但胜在免费。

那个山寨异动的似乎表现不错，已经稳定地吃了一段时间了。不知道什么时候开得合适，可以参考一下。

不定期升级算法和看板，不会因为是免费的就放着不管。社区在发广场内容的号目前只有@肥猫社区006 和@肥猫社区005 ，也是在不定期更新算法。

如果有可能的话，希望你朋友注册，或者你有新注册的账号时，能绑一下社区的邀请码 FEIMAO2025。直接绑定的话手续费返20%。如果交易很多、做短线，可以联系我开个助力人，然后再注册个新号自己绑定自己，能多出来一点。

如果3个月交易额不足5000，且没有绑定过别人的，可以通过下方链接重新绑定：https://www.bsmkweb.cc/activity/referral/bind-ref

比起只会说的人，我确实有一些成本，也确实不想一直倒贴（但我更不想收费）。假大空的话就不说了，君子论迹不论心。

希望大家能支持一下。如果不能支持的话，不要谩骂也是一种支持，谢谢！

2026-10-3

This straight-up-and-straight-down kind of market is already beyond frustrating. Although the small Non-Farm and the big Non-Farm are par for the course, this time the move is just too big 😂... Last night I spent time building models with the little cat until 2 a.m., and it was a mess until 5 a.m.; I watched it go green until 8 a.m. only to find that when it finally moved, it was already past 5 p.m.... This weekend’s trash market—whether you wake up early or late, it’s pretty much the same....

Hang in there and watch what happens after 10.4. In 2024, it was a pullback from 9.27 to 10.4—let’s see if history is going to rhyme in an incredibly similar way.

If there’s a good side, it’s that the top is rising and the bottom is also rising. But in reality, by sweeping liquidity like this—back and forth—the leftover funds inside the market are getting fewer and fewer. For the market to turn better, it must have enough “dumb money effect,” meaning you can still make some money even with mindless trades, and that’s what attracts more out-of-market capital to come in. For example, in the past with U.S. stocks, “blindly going long” could still make money, so a huge amount of capital got lured over. Now in the crypto market, it’s like a “gu-raising” game: only smart people and old hands can pick up profit from the fire. Newbies who come in end up getting churned like they’re feeding a meat grinder. In a market like that, there is no wealth-creating ability, and there’s no dumb money effect either. It being hard to play is inevitable. As liquidity continues to dry up further, the market will only become more extreme, and the difficulty of making money will only keep rising. In essence, this is “selection”—in the end, what remains are the “gu kings” 😂

The recent 1-hour suppression zone is 848-851. If the candle closes back above, a new rebound can start. Potential support: 840-841.

There’s nothing much to watch tonight. Just keep an eye on tomorrow night’s line.

After pulling back near 855

If it can still maintain the daily close and stay above 855, then a new upward move will begin.

The habit of this NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) market is hard to change—small NFP, small door; big NFP, big door… doors that never end.

2026-10-2

After the daily close above 845, the rally arrived as expected. But tonight it’s the big non-farm (Big NFP). Will the familiar trading “painting” still push price to below 845 again? No one knows. Under normal circumstances, Big NFP data usually won’t be opposite to the smaller NFP data. The FOMC this month is on the 28th, and it’s already near month-end. No matter what the NFP result is, it won’t change this month’s potential rebound demand.

The recent resistance levels above are 86750 and 87300. If there’s a pullback, watch the support around 850 and 845. I also hope it can form a one-hour base around 860, and before Big NFP, move up first and then retrace. That way it won’t dip too deep—but the market won’t necessarily follow what we want. Still, the defense should be prepared.

I didn’t enter last night when it compressed on the left side of the pattern, and it also didn’t enter this morning when it broke out and then retested. At this point, it’s not suitable to enter. It’s better to stay on the sidelines and wait for the potential “needle” spike tonight.

If, after NFP, price can still hold at relatively high levels and stabilize, then on the weekend there may be a brief window for underdog/altcoin catch-up rallies.

AAVE has already taken 3x—unfortunately, it went against the ant’s position. The spot strategy is simply to lay low entries at the low levels, then wait for time to sell. Other than earning less, the holding experience is still quite good, but it seems like no one has this kind of patience.

I’m going out to have fun tomorrow. The last few times I went out, the price would rise a bit—hopefully this time it can rise a little too 😂

Well well, so you two already agreed, huh? You’re hard and I’m soft, you’re soft and I’m hard—back and forth like a proper exchange 😂

Are we preparing to tidy up Iran? 😂

Oh come on, damn it……

Not even letting people have a quiet holiday😂

When I saw the pictures the group friends posted, I simply edited them a bit—this is just so fitting... Angels hustle every day, searching everywhere for a suitable host...

So, what do you think—want to sign a contract and bid farewell to the honest, boring, and monotonous work life?

You should know: losing means you only lose your principal, but winning has no limit 😂😂😂

I’m not watching the chart anymore—I’m off to play games with my kitten···

When will the daily chart close above 845? That’s when it’s time for the bulls to sound the call to counterattack. Until then, you can only wait··· Either press along the line to form a left-side setup, stop-loss below the prior low, or wait until the daily chart closes above it, then enter on the pullback from the right side. At this point, left is worse than right, and opening is worse than not opening.

The National Day long holiday comes once a year. If I don’t stay home and laze around for a few days—or go out for a stroll—I really can’t say I’ve treated myself right···

2026-10-1

Happy National Day to everyone! At this time, you should already be out there getting packed in “a crowd,” right 😂? Traveling means going from the place you’re tired of staying in to another place you’re tired of staying in. Once you go out, don’t keep checking the screen/order book—so you don’t let it affect your mood. Set your take-profit and stop-loss, and the rest is “up to” fate. Anyway, we can’t really control how the market runs 😂···

Looking at the big pie on the daily chart: for the past 4 consecutive days, the bottom has been lifting higher. That’s still a decent “sign.” But we need the daily chart to close above 845—then it will be the starting signal for the bulls to relaunch. On the 4-hour chart, by the latest on the 7th, the direction should become clear. If we indulge in a nice fantasy: yesterday’s small NFP might be a clue; tomorrow’s big NFP could still come in with data that’s bullish. After easing the possibility of an October rate hike, it may push the market upward for a while. After all, there isn’t much time left for the “yellow-haired kid”···

At this point, I feel that going long on the left side (early entry) isn’t as good as waiting for the daily chart to stand above 845 and then entering on the right side. The few hundred points of spread don’t matter as much. And it’s National Day too—work hard for half a year, then treat yourself. Have fun properly; just check the situation around the big NFP tomorrow night··· This National Day, a lot of friends have an even longer break stacked on top of it than the Spring Festival 😂. Going sightseeing and taking trips around the mountains isn’t the same as being stuck at home alone watching the K-line jump up and down—doesn’t that feel way better? 😂···

Just have fun for National Day—don’t look any further…

2024 is a 9/27 pullback, continuing to pull back until October 4. We’ll do like the people who carved a boat: wait for it to stop falling on 10/4…

If we’re studying something whose trend we can’t control, why not research where to go for a trip during the National Day holiday…

When it’s treating bad news as good—if the daily line lows keep getting higher, and the 4H lows are also rising, isn’t that great? … Cheer up…

The optimized knockoff radar is back online. The address is still: http://43.164.129.127:8765/

It has fixed the memory overflow issue and added a few new small features (signal win rate and risk-reward ratio, key-level overlap zone, and changes to the large-order + order book wall). Versions are updated from time to time. If you have ideas or suggestions, feel free to leave a comment—I’ll find time to keep optimizing.

This kind of plot, over the years—I’ve seen countless of them…

I’ve got a familiar script here.

First it’s greed: you make a small profit,嫌现货慢, so you start with low-multiplier contracts. Then you lose. When you lose, you’re desperate to get back to breakeven, so you add leverage higher and higher. Then it starts spiraling: at first you want to make some money, but later it’s all about getting your principal back. You start by selling your house, then moving on to payday loans, maxing out credit cards, and finally borrowing from relatives, friends, and classmates.

By the later stage, there’s really no hope left. But you can’t stop—because if you don’t stop, you can comfort yourself with a “fantasy”: just one directional run, and I can get my principal plus interest back. If you stop, then you have to face a brutal reality. In a small county town, you’d have to go to work like everyone else, and for most of your life it might be impossible to earn back the money you lost.

So, it’s best not to start many things in the first place.

In your youth, you always think you’re fine, that everything is still in time, that you can still afford to lose everything.

But once you finally see it clearly, the big mistake has already been made. If you want to turn back, you can’t.

That said, if it’s someone posting these “starting accounts,” there are way too many stories like this. Bro, just don’t—after a while, you can hang up the referral commissions and set up a VIP membership group instead 😂…

2026-9-30

The National Day holiday is tomorrow, so where is everyone planning to go and play? Friends who are going far probably already hit the road tonight... After all, no one wants to really get stuck on the highway 😂

Tonight is Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). Let’s see whether it will create an unexpected surprise. As for the probability of a rate hike in October, based on the news from last night, it doesn’t seem very high. What’s worth paying attention to is that the probabilities for December and for the rate hikes in February to March next year are much higher. I personally don’t believe that the market can be propped up and pulled higher all the way while hikes are on the table. Right now, it’s still a coin toss—if the “in-the-rough-but-not-really” expectations run their course, then you really need to be careful.

Now whether the rebound reaches 838-839 or instead rebounds toward around 844 doesn’t matter much anymore. It’s better to focus on what happens at the bottom—watching when it can hold steady above 835 is more important than watching where the rebound goes. It looks like there are signs of bottoming around 830. Next, we’ll see whether the bottom can be lifted.

If it drops, at most it might only go to 10.4. After that, it’s just waiting—how long until it launches another push upward? We still have 33 days left, so let’s see how far we can go. For now, my expectation for BTC remains 93x–98x; ETH 3100–3300; BNB around 850; SOL 120–135. The timing and the price targets line up pretty well. Or, if we reach the corresponding time but not the expected price position, I’ll trim some spot holdings—I won’t go all-in betting on the post-“middle selection” market move. There are two major bits of macro news in November: one on Nov 3 (the “middle selection”), and another at the end of November’s “two sessions.” We’ll see then. There’s no need to worry about the price a month from now right now.

Around 8 o’clock, you’ll be able to get a “glimpse of the leopard through the pipe”—see whether it’s a quick spike up and down, or how it goes. After all, the usual pattern for NFP is: the setup draws a door—small NFP draws a small door; big NFP draws a big gate... But if it starts by drawing upward first, don’t chase it recklessly—otherwise you could end up getting stuck at a short-term high and feel awful.

Small shuffling steps won’t get you past the 844-847-851-853 area here. If you increase volume, you also can’t place it below or near the 835 level. If it’s an 83x volume increase, then it will most likely land around 853 exactly—and then it will start to exhaust. To break upward, you need to raise the base to around 840. From around 840, or starting above it, you only then have a chance to punch through 851-853 in one go. At this point, you don’t need to worry about how much it rises—focus instead on whether it’s building a base around 840-839.

2026-9-29

I walked off a “W-bottom” in 1 hour. In 4 hours the price closed above 851, so we should stop the decline and look for the next rebound to start. Even the downside is still a choppy downward drift. Yesterday’s drop was too fast— it won’t keep falling at that speed forever. If it doesn’t reach a certain target by around the National Day holiday, we’ll see the 7-handle😂

The key resistance levels overhead, in order, are 844-847-851-853. The difficulty of climbing through this band with small step-by-step moves is quite high. If price sticks around 844 and there’s volume, then a reversal of the current situation might be possible. Otherwise, it’ll just climb to that area, then pull back, and slowly raise the base.

For his own election chances, that guy in the yellow hair is likely to give Iran some “smoke bombs” or use a “soft approach” in the days leading up to it—drag time, then once after the election he’ll cause trouble. Early this morning he fired off some “talking-point hype,” saying there are some shocking updates, but he hasn’t said anything since. I guess he still hasn’t figured out how to “spin” it😂. Just wait and see. Whether crypto lives or dies probably isn’t in his consideration, but if U.S. stocks are in a “complete mess” state ahead of the election, he’ll definitely be put into a very passive position.

Potential support remains around 836-835. I haven’t paid attention to my ZEC 1500 short; somehow it still managed to get me out of the danger zone😂. I’ll just keep it there—if it can’t blow me up, then I’ll keep holding… Compare with BTC: ETH is still stronger. BTC is still at 84, while ETH has already reached 2714. If BTC once again makes a V-style bounce upward, the probability that ETH will surge through the weekly resistance level around 2820 is still quite high. If you’re holding ETH shorts around 27xx or 2800, keep an eye on the order book. If price breaks above 851 with volume, then even if you don’t close the short, you’ll still need to reduce it. Long-term short positions shouldn’t be something to set up right now.

AAVE has started its main impulse wave. Too bad my position is only 500u😂. I bought together with SOL around 60.x, and didn’t add later. Still, a small profit is better than a loss… I’ll reposition next year.

Just keep waiting it out. After we get through 10.4, there should be a stretch of “comfortable conditions” for the bulls. Anyway, my lots from May to August haven’t moved and haven’t been cut— I’m only timing it, not chasing price. I’ll keep watching.