加密小象

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The Encryption Clarity Act, Clarity Act, has been postponed and will be voted on after the U.S. Senate recess in September. The probability of passage this year has dropped sharply to 15%

Polymarket’s valuation just increased again! In the next round of financing, it will raise $1 billion at a $20 billion valuation! With the money Polymarket has raised for this project alone, it would be enough to buy all projects ranking lower than #60 in the crypto space! That’s right—so financially powerful!
To celebrate the new $20 billion valuation, new rewards are here: just click the link below and deposit any amount of funds into your Polymarket account to get a $10 reward! Both new and existing accounts are eligible—existing accounts are actually more likely to pass risk control!
polymarket.com/?via=cryptoxiaoxiang

#黄金突破下行趋势线 directly pulled up 10%. The main reasons are that employment has clearly weakened, inflation has eased, and expectations for rate cuts have warmed up. The situation in the Middle East has not improved either. In addition, with U.S. stocks now at historical highs, many institutions have started using protective strategies.

Trading approach:

If you already hold gold:
You can keep the core position. However, after the price has surged sharply in the short term, it’s more suitable to take profit in batches rather than selling everything at once. As long as the price hasn’t continued to break down and close persistently below around 4,000, the medium-term structure hasn’t been meaningfully damaged.

If you are preparing to buy:
It’s not advisable to put on a full position all at once after a series of strong rallies. A more reasonable plan is to wait for a pullback to around 4,100, 4,050, or even 4,000 and observe in batches. If it instead breaks directly above 4,300, you should still wait for a retest and confirmation after the breakout, to avoid chasing when short-term sentiment is at its peak.

For short-term futures contracts:
Volatility ahead will be high. The most critical variables are U.S. employment data, CPI, the U.S. dollar index, 10-year real yields, and remarks by Federal Reserve officials. It’s currently not suitable to make one-way leveraged bets.

I remain moderately bullish on gold over the next 3 to 6 months, but I’m not blindly expecting gains over the next few days. A more likely path is that prices will first swing violently at high levels, digesting the recent rally, and then decide whether to enter the next round of upward movement based on the direction of U.S. inflation and interest rates.

$XAU

#亚马逊市值首破3万亿美元 The most critical catalyst is AWS’s reacceleration in the latest earnings report. Amazon’s AWS revenue in the second quarter reached about $42.2 billion, up 37% year over year, marking the fastest growth in recent years and almost $2 billion above market expectations. This has led the market to reaffirm that Amazon is not just an e-commerce company, but also a major beneficiary of AI infrastructure and cloud-computing demand.

After the earnings release, Amazon’s stock price quickly rose from about $235.50 to a high of $287.20, gaining more than 20% in just a few trading days, and on August 3, 2026, it crossed a $3 trillion market cap for the first time.
Another important signal is that the company raised its 2026 capital expenditure plan from $200 billion to $220 billion, mainly for AI data centers, chips, cloud computing, and other technology infrastructure. Management said that even with increased investment, AWS still faces capacity shortages and has already seen AI demand extending into 2028.

This means the logic the market is currently trading on is:
Increasing capital expenditure is not wasting cash, but capturing AI cloud-computing demand.
As long as AWS revenue growth continues to exceed expectations, investors are willing to temporarily tolerate massive spending.

What could the stock do next?

My view
Bullish in the medium to long term, but in the short term it is not suitable to chase simply because it has broken above $3 trillion.
This rally is backed by real AWS growth, not just sentiment-driven hype. But the stock has already been rapidly re-rated, and weakening free cash flow, very high capital expenditure, and Bezos’s share sales could all lead to short-term volatility.

A healthier path would be:
First consolidate between $265 and $287, then choose a direction based on the next round of AWS data.
If AWS continues to grow above 30% in the future, Amazon’s $3 trillion valuation could shift from a brief breakout to a new valuation platform. On the other hand, if AWS growth quickly falls back to around 20% while capital expenditure keeps rising, then $3 trillion is more likely to become a short-term top rather than a new starting point.

Today Hansuo finally put up $GRVT — this is also the last good news for Grvt. After the message came out, it only went up 20%, and later it’s going to drop hard for me!

#spacex首个锁定期8月6日到期 $SPCX Today releases its financial report: revenue was $7.8 billion, beating market expectations of $6.8 billion by a good amount, but after-hours it still dropped 10%. The key bad news isn’t over yet—next up is the first batch of share unlocks on August 6... After the 6th, however, there may be a relief rally after negative news is exhausted.

Today #ada涨近10%

There are three main reasons:
1. The market begins trading in advance on expectations for an ADA spot ETF
CME’s ADA futures are set to launch on February 9, 2026. Based on the timeline currently discussed in the market, ADA is expected to reach the key milestone of six months of regulated futures trading history on August 9, which would increase the likelihood of entering the simplified ETF review process. Only a few days remain until this date, and capital is clearly front-running. The ETF itself has not yet been approved, and Grayscale’s Cardano ETF key decision is expected in October.

2. The Cardano technical upgrade narrative heats up again
Cardano completed the Van Rossem hard fork on July 18, upgrading to Protocol Version 11. This reduces smart contract costs, enhances security, and paves the way for the Leios scaling upgrade. Recently, the market has shifted attention back to the next phase of the Dijkstra era, including Plutus V4, nested transactions, micropayments, and lower transaction costs.

3. A technical breakout triggers short covering
ADA has been trading weakly versus the market for a long time and has suffered a deep decline, so both the available liquidity and short positions are relatively concentrated. After today’s break above the short-term moving averages, both the 1-hour and 4-hour structures form higher highs. ADA’s 7-day strength versus BTC has also risen significantly. In this scenario, even a small amount of spot buying pressure can easily trigger stop-losses and short covering, rapidly amplifying the upside move.

My take:
Today’s most important catalyst is the expectation of the ETF eligibility milestone on August 9. The technical upgrade is more of a fundamentals support, and the final leg is amplified by the technical breakout and short covering.

Next, focus on:

- $0.20: The most direct psychological and technical resistance.
- If it holds above $0.20, it may continue to test roughly $0.21 to $0.22
- If it spikes higher and then quickly falls back below $0.185, it suggests the move is more of a pre-event hype
- Around August 9, be careful about the “buy the expectation, sell the fact” dynamic, because reaching the eligibility milestone does not mean the ETF has been approved

Funding a $12M AI robot project
@axisrobotics
Airdrop guide:

AXIS Robotics is not a company that builds robot hardware. It’s more like an infrastructure project that collects and trains data for robot AI—training the “brain” of robots.

What exactly does it do

Right now, training robots has a major bottleneck: a lack of large volumes of diverse, high-quality action data.

For example, to teach a robotic arm to put a cup into a cabinet, you usually need humans to operate a real robotic arm thousands of times. This is costly, slow, and requires specialized hardware.

AXIS’s approach is to let ordinary users do it directly in their browser:
1. Enter the robot simulator
2. Use mouse or keyboard to control a virtual robotic arm
3. Complete tasks like grasping, moving, placing, sorting, etc.
4. Record the operation process as robot training trajectories
5. After filtering, smoothing, and augmenting with simulated environments, use it to train robot models

Users don’t need to buy a robotic arm or a high-performance computer. Officially, they call this route “Simulation First”: generate massive amounts of data in a simulation environment first, then transfer the trained policy to real robots.

What you can do interactively now is to train a robot:

hub.axisrobotics.ai/login?invite_c
ode=klN80WVb
…

After connecting your wallet, you’ll see all kinds of tasks in the Hub. Pick any one to enter—there will be task guidance that tells you to place a certain object in a specific location. Just use your mouse and keyboard to operate the robot and finish the task. It takes dozens of seconds, kind of like playing a game—also pretty fun.

After completing the task, you need to wait a few hours for verification. In the top-right corner, click your avatar—Portfolio - History—to see the verification status. Once it shows completed, signing (“Sign”) counts as done.

Now, completing 10 tasks earns you a badge, which is very likely to be a credential for future airdrops

Is it bottoming out? #比特币挖矿难度较年内高点降14% This is the second-longest mining-difficulty decline in history.
Usually, a decline in mining difficulty means miners have surrendered and shut down their rigs. After the network’s total hashrate decreases, the Bitcoin network will automatically adapt by lowering the mining difficulty.
$BTC

In this downturn trend, whenever $BTC ’s 3-day Stoch RSI (Stochastic Relative Strength Index) enters the overbought zone, another round of sharp pullback always follows. On top of that, even the violent rebound in Korean stocks on Friday that hit a historical record couldn’t lift $BTC —so when the down move starts on Monday... you know.

I just found out that last week’s Predictfun积分 has already been issued. I received 3500 points because the first week was mainly spent debugging the robot, so I didn’t dare to allocate too much capital. Each day I only placed around 200 orders in the market.

Last Monday, there were only 2 trades in total, with 11 blades worn down, which works out to a cost of about $0.0031 per point. I heard that the value of 1 point in the OTC market is now 0.06, which means a 20x return. Now that the robot is basically stable, this week I’m planning to put more capital in to make a push.

Gate has new developments: after the police got involved and demanded that Gate provide the face-recognition photos from the time, Gate only handed over the photos. The scammer used a PS-ed handheld ID photo to fool Gate’s risk controls, allowing the fraudster to openly steal users’ hundreds of thousands of dollars.

Even such a low-level scam can succeed—this exchange, Gate, is honestly unbelievable. If there’s big money in there, get out now!

Binance Wallet’s support for the Robinhood chain is becoming more and more complete now.

1. Meme Rush — Multi-chain sweep, get there first Scan multiple newly listed coins on different chains at the same time. It already supports popular Robinhood-chain protocols (Virtuals / Flap / Bankr / Pons / Ape, etc.). New coins go live and you’ll spot them instantly—never miss any early opportunities.

2. Genius List — Follow the smart money to pick coins One-click to view holdings and trading preferences of high-yield addresses on the Robinhood chain. Find wallets worth paying attention to, and let the choices of experts become your reference.

3. Address Monitoring — Smart money in motion, stay on top of it all Add target addresses to your monitoring list. Key actions like buying, selling, and rebalancing will trigger real-time push alerts—every step of the smart money, you won’t miss.

4. Smart Money Signals — The tool the “Golden Dog” found Smart Money Signals now covers the Robinhood chain. You’ll receive an alert the moment monitored addresses show unusual activity—identify potential picks earlier and seize the opportunity first.

5. Cross-chain Bridge — Funds in and out, done in one step The wallet includes a built-in cross-chain bridge. No need to switch apps or use third-party tools. One-click cross-chain transfers make deposits and withdrawals smooth and seamless.

Binance Wallet 80% referral commission invite code: XIAOX

Today Korean stocks surged sharply, with the biggest gain ever recorded. It’s all because they were dumped too hard a few days ago—there weren’t any sell orders pressing down from above. Add to that short-sellers taking profit and bargain-hunters stepping in, and the market rose quickly. But be careful now: the rebound’s first burst is usually strong, and afterward it tends to bounce lower and lower.
If you’re averaging down or just getting back to breakeven today, then run/exit if you need to.
$SKHYNIX
$SKHYV.US

The Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced in half an hour—will it raise rates or stay put? Whether it’s the US stock market or crypto, everyone is waiting for this news. In fact, you can also use prediction markets for hedging. For example, if you bought a long position in Bitcoin, you can hedge by buying a contract on the prediction market for a 25-basis-point rate hike.

In the Binance Wallet, open it directly:
https://predict.fun/zh-cn/market/fed-decision-in-july-181?ref=5BA3F
Then you can make the prediction.

Binance Wallet also launched trading for ChangXin Storage—note that it’s Binance Wallet, not Binance.

Use the invite code XIAOX in Binance Wallet to get an 80% commission rebate
https://web3.binance.com/zh-CN/perpetuals/CXMTUSDT

Today, US stock chip shares, including $SKHYNIX , crashed badly. Many people say the reason is that China mass-produced DUV lithography machines in yesterday’s small essay. Actually, this trend has already been recognized by the West a long time ago. But the big players just love this kind of emotional trading. My mood now is that I finally get to wait for the opportunity to re-enter the market

#sk海力士跌11%芯片股抛售

Now on <a></a>
@Polymarket
you can also trade US stocks and commodities, and contracts are an important interactive project for Polymarket’s airdrop

Use activation code 00kzjwdi to skip the waiting list directly

polymarket.com/perps?c=00kzjw
di
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