欧豪BTC

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I got into stocks during college, dabbled in gold, oil, forex, and futures after graduation, but ultimately fell in love with the crypto space—this exhilarating market is truly captivating.

In a bull market, only when there is a big pullback do you get an opportunity to get in. At the moment, the pullback isn’t big enough yet.

These past few days, I’m really impressed with my own thinking. I went long all the way after the rate hikes—from doing so up to 85,500—then shorted from 87,000 down to now. Yesterday, during my livestream and analysis, I also emphasized that the rebound range is basically limited to 85,000–86,000—this is the extreme. Today, the highest rebound is only around 85,100. I got a bit lucky, or you could say my state is pretty good—I nailed it! #BTC

Starting an accelerated sell-off—at this time, is bottom-fishing really the bottom?

The other day I said to short above 87,000. After it dropped to 85,000, I said we still needed to form a double bottom, and there would be another chance to get in, so keep buying/entering at 87,000. The movement matches exactly what I said. Now it’s already in the 83-prefix range; after such a big drop, many people are bottom-fishing. So— is this really the bottom now?

Let me share my personal view.

Around 82,000 there may be support, but it’s definitely not something we can defend. The first touch should trigger a rebound, but reaching 85,000–86,000 is basically the limit, and there’s also some element of gambling involved.

A while back I said that this round of pullback is a necessity before the next bull-market leg starts. If we don’t go through this kind of deep shakeout, the market will be too heavy afterward and it won’t be able to rally. So for friends who want to bottom-fish: don’t rush. Consider it again only below 75,000. The same applies to shorts— the target must also be below 75,000. Don’t exit the short positions, and don’t enter long positions.#BTC

Sell when voices are booming, and short when the market is greedy!

After the rate hike, I stayed bullish all the way—looking at 85,500 and 87,500—and we made it! The market is boiling, but I started to calm down!

As I mentioned in my article and livestream yesterday, 87,000 was a great opportunity to short. Some people caught it, others missed it, but there are still opportunities in the future!

Regarding this drop, I’ll share my personal take (for reference only):

1、The new high of breaking 82,200 came in at 87,380. This is the continuation of the first leg of the bull market—meaning the second leg hasn’t really started yet. Many people like to treat this as the second-leg charge, but the bull market’s launch shouldn’t be like that. The groundwork laid in the first leg is crucial. If the earlier shakeout isn’t thorough, the subsequent rally will be difficult, full of disagreements, leading to a sharp rise in rally pressure and costs!

2、The market needs to pull back, but how much it will pull back is the difficult part. I’m using 57,700 as the bottom and 87,380 as the top. The 50% retracement of the Fibonacci move will be the target for this pullback—i.e., below 73,000. Many people think, if this is a bull market, would there really be such a big retracement? I want to say: yes! The bull market’s first leg launch has already created huge hype. Most people already know the bull market has arrived. Jumping on at this point will make the “vehicle” too heavy to move again. To start the second leg again is even harder, so a deep pullback is needed—to extinguish the momentum of the followers and transfer the shares held by the undecided into the hands of the firm believers. Only then, when the next second leg starts, will there be no people jumping off halfway to cause trouble—leading to massive selling pressure during the rally!

For those shorting above 87,000, hold it for half a month first. Also, over the next few days, it probably won’t drop straight down. If there’s a rebound, that would be an entry opportunity.

If you think this is good, give it a follow and a like! #BTC

The 87,000 gap—once you put it in, just hold tight and wait!

This cycle of pullback is a shakeout, and there will be a second bull market. In the evening livestream, I’ll explain it in detail!

If you want to know when I’ll go live, brothers, reply and tell me—I'll pick a time when everyone’s free. #BTC

Why do so many people always can’t control themselves?

Because the idea of getting rich through hard work is deeply ingrained in our bones. We always feel like we need to do something, mistakenly believing that the more trades you make, the more profit you can get.

This kind of thinking works in other industries, but not in trading.

The more you trade, the more mistakes you make. That’s why all the experts will wait for opportunities—waiting until a deterministic, high-confidence opportunity appears.

The rise is ominous, but the short-selling opportunity is here!

A few days ago, I was still continuously bullish. My aunt bought from 2420 all the way up, reaching above 2700. In the middle, I also did some t (trades). So why did I start calling for a bearish turn yesterday?

In yesterday’s article and during the live session, I said that the market would soon enter a consolidation (washing-out) phase, and that there would be a drop of more than ten thousand points. At 85500 and 87500—at the former, I recommend opening a smaller position; at the latter, a normal position.

Let me share my bearish reasons (personal opinion only, for reference):

1. This upswing won’t be the continuation of a bull market, because there hasn’t been enough time for consolidation. For a bull market to continue, the central range (mid-point) usually needs about two months of sideways movement. But this time, it has only been just over 20 days—less than a month. The short duration means there hasn’t been enough accumulation. Without sufficient buildup of positions, you can’t create room for even higher prices.

2. In most bull-market starts, after enough accumulation of positions from the bottom, the market surges sharply and enters a central range. At this stage, there is a lot of disagreement: some think it’s a rebound within a bear market, while others think it’s consolidation and rest in a bull market. If it’s a bear market, then the pullback is inevitable. But if it’s a bull market, then there will surely be a second round of bull-market initiation later—the second round is the true breakout point, and it’s the most important. So after the first round of the bull market starts, the main players will inevitably conduct a deep “washing-out” pullback. From historical examples of every bull-market rising cycle, after the first round begins, there is always a major retracement and washing-out. This is to shake out most people’s positions and also to make more people unable to see that there will be a second bull-market cycle. The goal is to prevent the costs of the rally from increasing too much, so the main players can take the opportunity to profit with retail investors—but retail will certainly sell during the rally, creating selling pressure. Once the herd effect forms at scale, the rally cost will jump sharply, and the planned target will inevitably be reduced.

My suggestion is: place your entry around 87,000 with a light position. There is always a chance to enter—don’t rush. Add to your position only after your thinking is correct.

If you think this is good, hit like and follow! #BTC

Breaking new highs again on Monday—when is the top? Let me share my personal view!

On the 19th, in my article, I said the big BTC is very likely to keep breaking to new highs. I was especially optimistic about the area around 85,500—and today, it actually got there!

From yesterday to today’s rise, I’ve seen a lot of people shorting. Especially today, when it was around 81,000, the hourly candlestick pattern looked very much like a bearish/short setup. The number of people who entered at that level was huge—too many shorts piling up. The main force then strongly pulled it up by 4,000 points, which definitely shook out a lot of them. In particular, before the rate hike, many opened shorts around 78,000. And anyone who is still holding now is already starting to lose patience.

My view is that this is the last dance of greed. This current shakeout is just a small warm-up—real shakeout is about to come. From this leg of the rally, the goal is to flush out the short positions opened before the rate hike. As long as they’re taken out, there will definitely be a deeper selloff and further shakeout afterward.

I know many people won’t believe it. They think it should still go up to 90,000 or 100,000. But what I want to say is: for a bull market to start, this kind of upward move is foolish. The main force isn’t stupid—funding costs are right there, and that can’t be changed. If they want to truly kick off a bull market, they must first wash out retail investors’ low-position holdings so they can lift it at a lower cost.

Around 85,500 is where I’m planning to open my main short. I’m not sure how high it might go, but I know that at this level, I should short. Looking down next: 73,000–71,000.

By the way, I’ll likely enter for “Yitai” at 2866. #BTC

Well, look—85,000 has already arrived. Brothers, do you want me to go live?

I’ll talk about the next part of the market trend. If you want, comment 1

Happiness came so suddenly. I originally expected to start causing trouble on Monday morning, but I didn’t expect it to start running up now!

The newly placed 2570-60 long—before the words even hit the floor, it started rising. I already ate up dozens of points, reduced my position, and secured breakeven protection; the rest is all just free profit/"white poaching"! And there’s also the BNB long from the “tycoon village” that broke through—one that was chased at 754. The current price is 764; ten points to the hand! The whole approach was spot on! #ETH