Recently, the market’s rhythm has been changing, so I’ve started learning about sentiment cycles, rotations, catch-up rallies, and leaders—concepts from China’s A-share market. Looking back carefully, financial markets are gradually starting to move in sync. Recently, a lot of people buying dips in altcoins have been left holding the bag. That’s because the broader market hasn’t stabilized yet, and funds haven’t rotated into altcoins for a catch-up rally. Bitcoin has pulled back and tested the 0.618 level, around 79600. You could try opening a starter position on the left side at the market price of 817, then add once at 79920, with a stop-loss at 792. The first target could be around the previous high of 863. My subjective view of the bigger picture is that it will break through 863 and then push toward the 9xxxx range at $BTC . If you find Bitcoin’s price action too sluggish, you could watch for breakouts in strong altcoins. Among the ones on my watchlist, these are relatively strong right now: $ARB $JTO $wld. Altcoins may move first, but their cycles are faster than those of major coins, so if you’re holding a position, make sure to keep a close eye on the market.
After AI and Quantitative Strategies, Contract Trading Is Losing Its “Middle Ground”
At least for me, 2026 has been the hardest year to trade in recent years. The challenge isn’t just that there are fewer market moves, or that prices rise and fall more suddenly. It’s that the competitive landscape of the entire market is changing. As AI tools become widespread, quantitative strategies become more accessible, and professional market makers and high-frequency traders continue to enter the crypto market, the easily identifiable and replicable advantages are rapidly fading. In the past, a simple moving-average breakout, a trendline break, or even a fixed combination of indicators could offer relatively steady trading opportunities. But as more people and machines recognize these signals at the same time, the market prices them in faster.
The closer you are to your goal, the more dangerous things often become
I hadn’t livestreamed for almost six months. The most direct reason was that this rally in ZEC really struck at the core. Both its price action and the market-cap changes it reflected went far beyond what I could comprehend at the time. Just before I stopped livestreaming, I felt at one point that I was already very close to my first goal. But livestreaming never brought any significant positive feedback in the numbers, so I had a very dangerous thought: since I’d already come this far, why not focus all my efforts, go for it in one big push, and make the leap with a single trade? As it turned out, the closer you are to your goal, the more dangerous things often become.
The live stream’s Bitcoin market-price long order hit TP1 and took profit directly within 2 hours. For the friends who followed in, push the comments—no regrets. If you closed smoothly, wake up tomorrow morning and we’ll continue to collect profits. If you didn’t follow, tomorrow at the same time we’ll livestream again—come early for the watch. From Monday to Friday, Beijing time 11pm to 4am fixed livestream $BTC Before Wednesday, trade directions are subjective: buy on dips, buy on pullbacks, and buy on breakouts If you don’t have a position, choose one method to enter on your own If you don’t know how to set take-profit and stop-loss, come to the livestream and chat to learn
The space below the Bitcoin 58,000 level is temporarily not that large. As long as today’s 58,000 level isn’t broken, it will move upward ☝️ to seek liquidity. If the hourly chart can close above 60,200, then for the short term you can keep adding positions. A pullback to 60,200 is also a chance to add. The four-hour chart is currently stabilizing, but it’s still possible to form a downward consolidation center or a stop-run (bull trap) pattern. For a more prudent approach, wait for the daily line to close bullish (above the open). Then by the weekend or on Monday, the bulls’ offensive should start. Lastly, regarding dip-buying choices, I suggest prioritizing Bitcoin first, then BNB and SOL. Next week, I’ll resume streaming at home.
The college entrance exams are over, and we have a three-day break before next week’s trading. The short position I suggested yesterday hit its first take profit, so remember to set your stop loss. The volatility is expected to be high these days, so I recommend my fellow traders to trade light and go for quick in-and-out moves. Wishing everyone peace and joy, and may your trades be successful.
Right now, it's just a panic test of shifting hands: According to Arkham data tracking, over 10,400 coins #BTC (about $730 million) have indeed left the cold wallet. But don’t get spooked by the large transfers! The system monitors show that most of these have been transferred to new cold addresses for chip sorting. The actual number flowing into known hot wallets with selling potential is just a mere 116 coins. The big players are using 'visual impact' to create panic, testing the buy support below.
The 'deferred utility' of the looming pressure: Currently, there are still 35,000 BTC awaiting compensation that have yet to be liquidated. But the final deadline for creditors has been extended to the end of October 2026. This means that the so-called $2.4 billion 'sell pressure' isn’t going to flood the market right now, but is a 'weapon' the big players will use over the next two years to repeatedly wash the market and create panic.
The volatility of BTC is just a prelude; with Ethereum losing the $1800 support, the real bloodbath is happening in liquidity-thinner target pools:
Longs are stepping on a tragedy: On decentralized derivatives platforms, heavily leveraged bulls are experiencing a 'Davis double kill.' Tens of millions in unrealized losses are pushing countless longs to the brink of liquidation. When these bloodied chips are forcibly liquidated, it becomes the best opportunity for us short hunters to scoop up the corpses.
🎯 Where is the capital fleeing to?
🛡️ Resilience of safe-haven assets: Amid panic, USDT/USDC are seeing premium buying, and the RWA sector is defying the downturn. This indicates that big money hasn’t left the table, but has retreated to defensive positions, ready to bottom-fish at any moment.
🚀 The frenzy of on-chain perpetuals: The harsher the liquidations, the more profitable the decentralized derivatives sector becomes. Tokens like #hype are even ignoring the market crash, hitting historical highs. The trend of capital leaning towards decentralized hedging tools is irreversible.
📉 The misfire and lurking of #sol : Although it has been smashed to a temporary low, the underlying funding channels for ETFs are showing net inflows against the trend. Large institutions are using the market panic to accumulate on the left side, and there is a high probability that this will brew a 'bottom divergence' reversal signal with a very high risk-reward ratio. $BTC
#zec Last night's live stream strategy is about to enter the third take-profit acceleration phase. Moving forward, we will focus on shorting, but it's crucial to pay attention to entry and exit points. There are no eternal leaders 🐉; all pump and dumps ultimately aim to cash out. It’s all about waiting for the right timing and signals to align with the whales when they offload. Expect to see more major swings like this coming up. 💻 If you want to follow my trades and strategies, just scan the Binance QR code to find me, or hang out in the chat room for the live stream, Monday to Friday at 11 PM. 🦄 Please forget my appearance, let me drift with the wind, and allow me to become a wild horse heading towards the distance~
Is this what you guys call a head and shoulders pattern, or is it Dow Theory 123? Right now, the market really lets you profit just by going short; I've been dreaming a lot about what the big sister said about listing coins being our business and market demand. If you're feeling bearish, you can short! I believe the big sister enjoys the Binance life; finally, there's a trend trade in play! 🤷 Bitcoin must break 60k; for those looking to buy the dip, hold on a bit longer. A conservative play tonight could be watching Bitcoin break through 60k or placing an order at 59,900—quick in and out. Until we see a bullish structure, every bounce is a chance to short. $BTC 🦄 Ethereum's next support is around 1600; where it drops to is anyone's guess, but if it's the bottom, there will be a bottom structure. Don't be afraid to miss the boat; once the structure is in place, even if the right-side average is a bit off, you'll feel more secure psychologically, and the rise will be smoother. $ETH ✨✨✨ For spot or long-term, wait for me to go live before making moves. Currently, ZEC and HYPE are just starting to drop; whether it's a pullback or a crash, they will fall for a bit. If you don't have any positions, come check out the live stream tonight at 11 PM, Monday to Friday. @黑手Garry