BabyCripto2024
I'm learning about cripto.
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BOB Holder
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🔥IMPORTANT NOTICE🔥
WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF? SP500 VS WARS.
📈While the chart omits some wars, such as Vietnam, there is a clear pattern in the charts.
👉Since the IRAQ WAR in 2003, the one in Afghanistan in 2001, the Gulf War in 1991, and since the landing at Pearl Harbor:
The SP500 practically DID NOT FALL, just look at what the market did afterwards:
Brief drop/sideways movement and then RISE in the long term
🟢The market tends to fall before the conflict begins due to uncertainty.
🟢Once the military action is official, the uncertainty has its final impact and the market tends to bounce back.
🟢It's important to remember that correlation does not imply causation.#BTC $XRP #WarOnCrypto
WILL HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF? SP500 VS WARS.
📈While the chart omits some wars, such as Vietnam, there is a clear pattern in the charts.
👉Since the IRAQ WAR in 2003, the one in Afghanistan in 2001, the Gulf War in 1991, and since the landing at Pearl Harbor:
The SP500 practically DID NOT FALL, just look at what the market did afterwards:
Brief drop/sideways movement and then RISE in the long term
🟢The market tends to fall before the conflict begins due to uncertainty.
🟢Once the military action is official, the uncertainty has its final impact and the market tends to bounce back.
🟢It's important to remember that correlation does not imply causation.#BTC $XRP #WarOnCrypto
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🔥ÚLTIMA HORA 🔥
🤯Las PROBABILIDADES de que Irán CIERRE el Estrecho de Ormuz alcanzaron el 90%, algo SIN PRECEDENTES en la historia moderna.
💀El 20% del petróleo global pasa por ese estrecho... Una interrupción de la cadena de suministros en esa zona dispararía el precio del petróleo.
💥Eso podría impactar negativamente en los mercados financieros ya que aumenta la inflación y reduce ganancias de las empresas.#BTC #USIsraelStrikeIran #MarketRebound $BTC
🤯Las PROBABILIDADES de que Irán CIERRE el Estrecho de Ormuz alcanzaron el 90%, algo SIN PRECEDENTES en la historia moderna.
💀El 20% del petróleo global pasa por ese estrecho... Una interrupción de la cadena de suministros en esa zona dispararía el precio del petróleo.
💥Eso podría impactar negativamente en los mercados financieros ya que aumenta la inflación y reduce ganancias de las empresas.#BTC #USIsraelStrikeIran #MarketRebound $BTC
🔥BREAKING NEWS🔥
THE SYSTEM IS CHANGING: THE CENTRAL BANK OF JAPAN WANTS TO ADOPT BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY
TODAY the Governor of the Bank of Japan announced that they are carrying out a sandbox project (controlled testing environment) to experiment with blockchain technology.
▫️The objective is to use blockchain for the settlement of deposits that financial institutions hold at the central bank.
▫️They will explore use cases such as domestic interbank settlements and securities settlement.
▫️The aim is to improve efficiency, enable instant settlements 24/7, and reduce risks of blockages in financial stress situations.
▫️This is not about launching a retail CBDC (for the public), but about experimenting with blockchain integration.
👀The BOJ emphasizes that it is proceeding cautiously and with support from external experts, "connecting with EXISTING SYSTEMS".
Why do many claim that #Ripple could be that "existing system"?
🔸Japan has a strong historical relationship with Ripple.
SBI Ripple Asia operates actively in the country, and there are ODL (On-Demand Liquidity with XRP) corridors available in Japan.
🔸SBI Holdings (one of the largest Japanese financial groups) has been a significant shareholder in Ripple since 2016.
🔸Uses RippleNet for cross-border payments.
🔸Has launched on-chain bonds with rewards in XRP.
🔸Distributes #RLUSD🔥 lecoin from Ripple) in Japan.
📍It makes sense to speculate that XRPL (designed for fast, cheap, and 24/7 settlements) could fit well in wholesale tests, but for now, there is no confirmation that the BOJ is using it.
📍If Japan already has deep Ripple infrastructure, why not use it in the BOJ's sandbox?
#BlockchainNews
Source: Reuters
THE SYSTEM IS CHANGING: THE CENTRAL BANK OF JAPAN WANTS TO ADOPT BLOCKCHAIN TECHNOLOGY
TODAY the Governor of the Bank of Japan announced that they are carrying out a sandbox project (controlled testing environment) to experiment with blockchain technology.
▫️The objective is to use blockchain for the settlement of deposits that financial institutions hold at the central bank.
▫️They will explore use cases such as domestic interbank settlements and securities settlement.
▫️The aim is to improve efficiency, enable instant settlements 24/7, and reduce risks of blockages in financial stress situations.
▫️This is not about launching a retail CBDC (for the public), but about experimenting with blockchain integration.
👀The BOJ emphasizes that it is proceeding cautiously and with support from external experts, "connecting with EXISTING SYSTEMS".
Why do many claim that #Ripple could be that "existing system"?
🔸Japan has a strong historical relationship with Ripple.
SBI Ripple Asia operates actively in the country, and there are ODL (On-Demand Liquidity with XRP) corridors available in Japan.
🔸SBI Holdings (one of the largest Japanese financial groups) has been a significant shareholder in Ripple since 2016.
🔸Uses RippleNet for cross-border payments.
🔸Has launched on-chain bonds with rewards in XRP.
🔸Distributes #RLUSD🔥 lecoin from Ripple) in Japan.
📍It makes sense to speculate that XRPL (designed for fast, cheap, and 24/7 settlements) could fit well in wholesale tests, but for now, there is no confirmation that the BOJ is using it.
📍If Japan already has deep Ripple infrastructure, why not use it in the BOJ's sandbox?
#BlockchainNews
Source: Reuters
🔥IMPORTANT NOTICE🔥
HEDGE FUNDS ARE LONG ON BTC... HISTORICALLY THEY DON'T USUALLY GET IT WRONG.
👉In the futures chart:
▪️ The BETTING position on the DOWN side has collapsed.
▪️ The chart shows that HEDGE FUNDS are clearly BETTING on the UP side.
👉When these same actors were extremely positioned:
▪️ Q3 2023 → #Bitcoin surged up strongly.
▪️ April 2025 → $Bitcoin surged up strongly.
It doesn't mean that the price will rise tomorrow, but it does mean that part of the professional money has already taken a position. #Bitcoin❗ #MarketRebound #BTC #LUNC✅
HEDGE FUNDS ARE LONG ON BTC... HISTORICALLY THEY DON'T USUALLY GET IT WRONG.
👉In the futures chart:
▪️ The BETTING position on the DOWN side has collapsed.
▪️ The chart shows that HEDGE FUNDS are clearly BETTING on the UP side.
👉When these same actors were extremely positioned:
▪️ Q3 2023 → #Bitcoin surged up strongly.
▪️ April 2025 → $Bitcoin surged up strongly.
It doesn't mean that the price will rise tomorrow, but it does mean that part of the professional money has already taken a position. #Bitcoin❗ #MarketRebound #BTC #LUNC✅
LAST IMPORTANT
🏦There are 57 BANKS on the "PROBLEMATIC BANKS" list of the FDIC.
🩸On the other hand, the banking system has $337B in UNREALIZED LOSSES.
🩸This marks the 14th consecutive quarter of losses, matching the streak from 2006–2009.
🩸Additionally, this figure is 6 times greater than the peak seen in 2008.
💸This is because they bought bonds at low rates, and the FED's rate hike generated these losses.
This is another reason why it is key that American bond yields do not rise (to avoid a situation like the collapse of SVB) #BankingNews #MarketImpact
🏦There are 57 BANKS on the "PROBLEMATIC BANKS" list of the FDIC.
🩸On the other hand, the banking system has $337B in UNREALIZED LOSSES.
🩸This marks the 14th consecutive quarter of losses, matching the streak from 2006–2009.
🩸Additionally, this figure is 6 times greater than the peak seen in 2008.
💸This is because they bought bonds at low rates, and the FED's rate hike generated these losses.
This is another reason why it is key that American bond yields do not rise (to avoid a situation like the collapse of SVB) #BankingNews #MarketImpact
🔥IMPORTANT🔥
#Ethereum✅ reveals the new ROADMAP called "Strawmap".
👉They propose SEVEN FORKS until 2029 with an assumed pace of one update every six months.
The document establishes five long-term objectives:
1- A faster L1 with finalization in seconds.
2- A performance of 1 gigagas/sec.
3- High-performance L2s through data availability sampling.
4- Resistance to QUANTUM attacks.
5- ETH transfers with PRIVACY.
Could this be the reason why Vitalik SOLD $8M of $ETH TH this week?
#Ethereum✅ reveals the new ROADMAP called "Strawmap".
👉They propose SEVEN FORKS until 2029 with an assumed pace of one update every six months.
The document establishes five long-term objectives:
1- A faster L1 with finalization in seconds.
2- A performance of 1 gigagas/sec.
3- High-performance L2s through data availability sampling.
4- Resistance to QUANTUM attacks.
5- ETH transfers with PRIVACY.
Could this be the reason why Vitalik SOLD $8M of $ETH TH this week?
🔥 IMPORTANT 🔥
Multiple sources share rumors that #Ripple $XRP could receive approval to transform into a NATIONAL TRUST BANK this Friday.
Ripple has already been given "conditional approval"; it does not seem to be a matter of if it will be approved, but of WHEN it will be approved. #RippleUpdate #newscrypto
Multiple sources share rumors that #Ripple $XRP could receive approval to transform into a NATIONAL TRUST BANK this Friday.
Ripple has already been given "conditional approval"; it does not seem to be a matter of if it will be approved, but of WHEN it will be approved. #RippleUpdate #newscrypto
@Fogo Official is the native token of a new Layer 1 (L1) network based on the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), specifically designed for high-frequency trading and ultra-low latency DeFi applications.
Its future projection is marked by the following key factors:
1. Price Predictions (2026-2030)
Current projections suggest moderate but steady growth, conditioned by the adoption of its network:
Short term (2026): It is estimated that the price could range between $0.025 and $0.029. Some technical analyses on platforms like Hexn foresee slight monthly increases of between 3% and 11% during the first quarter of 2026.
Long term (2030): Some estimates place its potential value near $0.035, assuming sustained annual growth.
2. Growth Factors (Bullish Potential)
Differential Technology: $FOGO utilizes the validator client Firedancer, allowing it to achieve block times of just 40ms, a speed superior to most of its competitors.
Expanding Ecosystem: The network already has over 10 operational decentralized applications (dApps), including the DEX Valiant and games like #FogoChain Fishing.
Institutional Backing: It has raised approximately $13.5 million from investors such as Distributed Global and CMS Holdings.
3. Risks and Challenges (Bearish Potential)
Supply Inflation: There is a significant dilution risk; approximately 59% of the total supply is locked and will begin to be released linearly starting from September 2026.
Fierce Competition: It competes directly with established giants like Solana, as well as with other high-performance networks like Sui and Aptos.
Its future projection is marked by the following key factors:
1. Price Predictions (2026-2030)
Current projections suggest moderate but steady growth, conditioned by the adoption of its network:
Short term (2026): It is estimated that the price could range between $0.025 and $0.029. Some technical analyses on platforms like Hexn foresee slight monthly increases of between 3% and 11% during the first quarter of 2026.
Long term (2030): Some estimates place its potential value near $0.035, assuming sustained annual growth.
2. Growth Factors (Bullish Potential)
Differential Technology: $FOGO utilizes the validator client Firedancer, allowing it to achieve block times of just 40ms, a speed superior to most of its competitors.
Expanding Ecosystem: The network already has over 10 operational decentralized applications (dApps), including the DEX Valiant and games like #FogoChain Fishing.
Institutional Backing: It has raised approximately $13.5 million from investors such as Distributed Global and CMS Holdings.
3. Risks and Challenges (Bearish Potential)
Supply Inflation: There is a significant dilution risk; approximately 59% of the total supply is locked and will begin to be released linearly starting from September 2026.
Fierce Competition: It competes directly with established giants like Solana, as well as with other high-performance networks like Sui and Aptos.
A SIGNAL THAT PREDICTED 2008 IS BEGINNING TO APPEAR
The Cass Freight Index fell −7.1% in January.
What does this index measure and why should you care?
* The Cass Freight Index tracks the volume of shipments and freight transportation in North America.
🔻In other words: it measures how much the real economy is moving.
🔻If companies produce more, sell more, and consume more inputs… more cargo is transported.
🔻If activity cools down… transportation falls.
And here is the alarming data 👇
▪️ There have been 36 consecutive months of decline in this index.
▪️ The longest recorded streak.
▪️ Cumulative shipments have already decreased −20.9%.
🚨That level of contraction is similar to what was seen during the Financial Crisis of 2008.
What does this really mean?
👉When transportation falls like this, it is because:
▪️ There is less industrial production.
▪️ Less consumption.
▪️ Fewer new orders.
▪️ Less activity in the supply chain.
📍It is a leading indicator of deep economic slowdown.
📍Transportation doesn’t lie. Before it reflects in GDP or in the markets, the real economy is already starting to slow down its engines. #MercadoFinanceiro #DeudaUSA
The Cass Freight Index fell −7.1% in January.
What does this index measure and why should you care?
* The Cass Freight Index tracks the volume of shipments and freight transportation in North America.
🔻In other words: it measures how much the real economy is moving.
🔻If companies produce more, sell more, and consume more inputs… more cargo is transported.
🔻If activity cools down… transportation falls.
And here is the alarming data 👇
▪️ There have been 36 consecutive months of decline in this index.
▪️ The longest recorded streak.
▪️ Cumulative shipments have already decreased −20.9%.
🚨That level of contraction is similar to what was seen during the Financial Crisis of 2008.
What does this really mean?
👉When transportation falls like this, it is because:
▪️ There is less industrial production.
▪️ Less consumption.
▪️ Fewer new orders.
▪️ Less activity in the supply chain.
📍It is a leading indicator of deep economic slowdown.
📍Transportation doesn’t lie. Before it reflects in GDP or in the markets, the real economy is already starting to slow down its engines. #MercadoFinanceiro #DeudaUSA
Cryptocom, just like #Ripple y #Circle , received CONDITIONAL APPROVAL to become a NATIONAL TRUST BANK.
A good time to remember that Trump's #cripto -zar claims that traditional banking and the crypto industry will merge into 1 single industry... #CriptoRevolución
#realworldassets
A good time to remember that Trump's #cripto -zar claims that traditional banking and the crypto industry will merge into 1 single industry... #CriptoRevolución
#realworldassets
💥IMPORTANT💥
XRP Ledger ($XRPL) dominates with 63% the issuance and custody of SHORT-TERM TOKENIZED U.S. BONDS, even surpassing #Ethereum and #solana
Although the VOLUME and LIQUIDITY are much greater in #Ethereum✅ , institutions prefer to issue and store tokenized bonds on the network of #Ripple
XRP Ledger ($XRPL) dominates with 63% the issuance and custody of SHORT-TERM TOKENIZED U.S. BONDS, even surpassing #Ethereum and #solana
Although the VOLUME and LIQUIDITY are much greater in #Ethereum✅ , institutions prefer to issue and store tokenized bonds on the network of #Ripple
TRUMP DUPLICATES THE BET WITH TARIFFS
Trump claims he will sign a DECREE to IMPOSE a GLOBAL TARIFF of 10%, in addition to the existing ones that will remain in place.
He states that he has "some alternatives for the tariffs" and that foreign countries "will not celebrate for long."
Trump: "I can destroy trade with other countries. I can impose embargoes, prohibit the entry of all kinds of products to the U.S., and tell them they cannot do business with us. I can do whatever I want, but I cannot collect tariffs."
🔻"Now I will go in a STRONGER direction"
🔻He asserts that other federal statutes justify the tariffs and that he can charge even more than before.
🔻He claims that the court's decision strengthened his ability to impose trade measures.
🔻He states that revenues for the U.S. will increase from this decision.
🔻He lists as legal bases Sections 232, 122, 201, and 301 (and 338, although with longer processes).
📍The UNCERTAINTY is TOTAL.
Trump claims he will sign a DECREE to IMPOSE a GLOBAL TARIFF of 10%, in addition to the existing ones that will remain in place.
He states that he has "some alternatives for the tariffs" and that foreign countries "will not celebrate for long."
Trump: "I can destroy trade with other countries. I can impose embargoes, prohibit the entry of all kinds of products to the U.S., and tell them they cannot do business with us. I can do whatever I want, but I cannot collect tariffs."
🔻"Now I will go in a STRONGER direction"
🔻He asserts that other federal statutes justify the tariffs and that he can charge even more than before.
🔻He claims that the court's decision strengthened his ability to impose trade measures.
🔻He states that revenues for the U.S. will increase from this decision.
🔻He lists as legal bases Sections 232, 122, 201, and 301 (and 338, although with longer processes).
📍The UNCERTAINTY is TOTAL.
💯World Liberty Financial, Trump's #crypto project, announced a partnership with Securitize (partner of #BlackRock and #Ripple ) to tokenize the Trump International Hotel & Resort in the Maldives
🎯For now, the offer is aimed at accredited investors, who will receive a fixed return while the hotel (which will be completed in 2030) is developed.
🎯For now, the offer is aimed at accredited investors, who will receive a fixed return while the hotel (which will be completed in 2030) is developed.
@GRAYSCALE
"Advisors are constantly asked by their clients about $XRP , and in some cases, it's the second most talked about asset in this community behind Bitcoin."
As @Ray_scale shared during @Ripple’s XRP Community Day, advisors across the country consistently hear about $XRP from their clients.
Strong community. Persistent demand.$XRP
"Advisors are constantly asked by their clients about $XRP , and in some cases, it's the second most talked about asset in this community behind Bitcoin."
As @Ray_scale shared during @Ripple’s XRP Community Day, advisors across the country consistently hear about $XRP from their clients.
Strong community. Persistent demand.$XRP
🔥IMPORTANT 🔥
🇺🇸 The president of the CFTC stated that the bill on the market structure for #crypto is about to become law.
🇺🇸 The president of the CFTC stated that the bill on the market structure for #crypto is about to become law.
🚨LAST🚨
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio claims that the World Order 🌎 has collapsed.
"We are heading towards very dark times"
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio claims that the World Order 🌎 has collapsed.
"We are heading towards very dark times"
ANOTHER DATA THAT COINCIDES WITH POSSIBLE RISE FOR THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS.
$BTC is below the EMA 200, a level seen in BEARISH CYCLES
👀This has only happened 637 days in its 16-year history
▪️Less than 2 years in total
▪️And always in capitulation cycles
When has this happened before?
▪️Mt.Gox crash (2014-2015)
▪️Post bubble 2017 (2018-2019)
▪️LUNA + FTX collapse (2022-2023)
▪️And now...
Every time BTC fell below that average:
▪️It stayed there for 6 to 12 months
▪️And then came a HUGE RALLY
Today that line is near $70,000, and BTC broke it to the downside
So why is it a positive signal?
🔹Because it coincides with Trump's "electoral pump" theory
▪️If history repeats itself, Bitcoin forms its floor in this range
▪️And takes off before November, just in time for the midterm elections
The combination of overselling + political catalyst can be explosive.
$BTC is below the EMA 200, a level seen in BEARISH CYCLES
👀This has only happened 637 days in its 16-year history
▪️Less than 2 years in total
▪️And always in capitulation cycles
When has this happened before?
▪️Mt.Gox crash (2014-2015)
▪️Post bubble 2017 (2018-2019)
▪️LUNA + FTX collapse (2022-2023)
▪️And now...
Every time BTC fell below that average:
▪️It stayed there for 6 to 12 months
▪️And then came a HUGE RALLY
Today that line is near $70,000, and BTC broke it to the downside
So why is it a positive signal?
🔹Because it coincides with Trump's "electoral pump" theory
▪️If history repeats itself, Bitcoin forms its floor in this range
▪️And takes off before November, just in time for the midterm elections
The combination of overselling + political catalyst can be explosive.
What if the real risk is no longer inflation… but deflation?
In 2020-2021, the FED remained VERY expansive for a long time (triggering inflation), today it seems to be the opposite.
According to the BLS (which measures inflation with surveys and with a delay of weeks), inflation is at 2.4%
👀But according to Truflation (which measures inflation in REAL TIME and with millions of products), inflation is at 0.72%
👉Meanwhile:
🔻Employment is cooling
🔻Credit card DELINQUENCIES are at post-2008 highs
🔻Corporate bankruptcies are accelerating
🔻Credit is contracting
This completely changes the narrative.
WHAT IS DEFLATION AND WHY IS IT MORE DANGEROUS THAN INFLATION?
Deflation is not simply "lower prices".
It is a widespread and sustained decline in prices caused by weakness in demand.
The mechanism is destructive for financial markets:
1️⃣ Consumers see prices falling → postpone purchases because they believe it will be cheaper tomorrow.
2️⃣ Companies sell less → lower prices to try to sustain sales.
3️⃣ Their profits decrease → they cut costs, halt investment, and lay off employees.
4️⃣ Unemployment and uncertainty rise → households spend even less.
5️⃣ Tax revenues fall and delinquencies increase → credit is restricted.
6️⃣ The financial system becomes more conservative → fewer loans, less liquidity.
7️⃣ The economy enters a vicious cycle where each round of decline feeds the next. It is a spiral.
THE PARTICULAR PROBLEM OF DEBT
Inflation: Money is worth less → Your debt "shrinks" by itself.
Deflation: Money is worth more → Your debt becomes more "burdensome" and difficult to pay, even if the number remains the same.
▪️The real weight of debt INCREASES
▪️It becomes harder to pay loans
▪️Delinquencies and bankruptcies rise
▪️The financial system becomes strained
This was exactly what exacerbated the Great Depression of the 1930s. But today the U.S. has:
In 2020-2021, the FED remained VERY expansive for a long time (triggering inflation), today it seems to be the opposite.
According to the BLS (which measures inflation with surveys and with a delay of weeks), inflation is at 2.4%
👀But according to Truflation (which measures inflation in REAL TIME and with millions of products), inflation is at 0.72%
👉Meanwhile:
🔻Employment is cooling
🔻Credit card DELINQUENCIES are at post-2008 highs
🔻Corporate bankruptcies are accelerating
🔻Credit is contracting
This completely changes the narrative.
WHAT IS DEFLATION AND WHY IS IT MORE DANGEROUS THAN INFLATION?
Deflation is not simply "lower prices".
It is a widespread and sustained decline in prices caused by weakness in demand.
The mechanism is destructive for financial markets:
1️⃣ Consumers see prices falling → postpone purchases because they believe it will be cheaper tomorrow.
2️⃣ Companies sell less → lower prices to try to sustain sales.
3️⃣ Their profits decrease → they cut costs, halt investment, and lay off employees.
4️⃣ Unemployment and uncertainty rise → households spend even less.
5️⃣ Tax revenues fall and delinquencies increase → credit is restricted.
6️⃣ The financial system becomes more conservative → fewer loans, less liquidity.
7️⃣ The economy enters a vicious cycle where each round of decline feeds the next. It is a spiral.
THE PARTICULAR PROBLEM OF DEBT
Inflation: Money is worth less → Your debt "shrinks" by itself.
Deflation: Money is worth more → Your debt becomes more "burdensome" and difficult to pay, even if the number remains the same.
▪️The real weight of debt INCREASES
▪️It becomes harder to pay loans
▪️Delinquencies and bankruptcies rise
▪️The financial system becomes strained
This was exactly what exacerbated the Great Depression of the 1930s. But today the U.S. has:
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