💣 THERE IS NO CASH "ON HOLD" LEFT TO BUY MARKET Comparable to the year 2000, just before the crash.
📊 BCA Research: ▪️ The cash-on-the-sidelines liquidity in the U.S. is at historic lows ▪️ As a % of market cap, it is the lowest level since records began
👉 Simple translation: the money that could come in... has already come in
❗️ Why does it matter? ▪️ It’s not sentiment, it’s real positioning ▪️ The market is left without a cushion in the face of bad news
🗣 “The risk is not missing the rise, it’s that the market is left without a net when it needs it most” – BCA
📍 Does not warn of an immediate crash 📍 But leaves the market structurally fragile 📍 Any shock now weighs double
👀 Much attention to the upcoming macro data and geopolitical events
👀 Trend Research has just SOLD EVERYTHING ▪️ 651,757 $ETH ▪️ –$747M in losses ▪️ From $2B in position to ZERO in just 8 days
📉 What really happened?
They used leverage via Aave (classic loop):
They bought ETH
They left it as collateral
They requested stables
They bought more ETH
They repeated
💣 They reached: ▪️ 651K ETH ▪️ ~$958M in debt on Aave
With ETH close to $2K, they were on the brink of liquidation 👉 They preferred to capitulate rather than be liquidated 👉 Sold everything at ~$2.055 👉 Wallet now: 0 ETH
⚠️ This usually happens near the bottoms
📌 While some throw in the towel… 🔥 Tom Lee / Bitmine continues buying ▪️ ~4.2M ETH in total ▪️ –$7.5B unrealized ▪️ Added +20K ETH at $2,100
👀 When the big players capitulate and others continue accumulating… 📍 Pay attention
📉 If the 4-year cycle of #Bitcoin is still alive… 👉 The FLOOR could be reached close to the midterm elections in the U.S.
📊 Historical pattern since 2013: 🟡 2 years accumulation 🟢 1 year strong rise 🔴 1 year bear market
📍 This would leave us with a possible floor between SEP–NOV 2026
Why is that date KEY? 👀
🇺🇸 November 2026 = midterm elections ▪️ Trump needs to win them to maintain control of Congress ▪️ Without that, risk of impeachment ▪️ TOTAL incentive to support the markets
💥 Data that reinforces the theory: ▪️ U.S. households with 47.1% of their assets in stocks (record) ▪️ A strong drop would be politically lethal ▪️ Wall Street matters… a lot ▪️ Stimulus, tax cuts, and pro-market measures come into play
📍 Technical floor + political floor ⏳ October 2026 is starting to look like a critical zone