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Looking at history: IBIT's large outflows are all at the low point of the band
Looking at the overall situation: BTC ETF continues to outflow and needs to be vigilant

In MEME PVP and leveraged contract trading, the food chain from top to bottom is:

MEME PVP Food Chain

1. Top Tier (Whales & Insider Team) – Preemptively ambushing, pumping and dumping, harvesting retail liquidity.
2. Middle Tier (Smart Speculators & KOL) – Utilizing market sentiment and FOMO to create hype, seizing the opportunity to harvest.
3. Bottom Tier (Retail Investors & FOMO Players) – Entering last, buying at the peak, being accurately harvested.

Leveraged Contract Food Chain
1. Top Tier (Market Manipulators & Operators) – Controlling liquidity, creating volatility, harvesting liquidated positions.
2. Middle Tier (Professional Traders & Low-Leverage Veterans) – Manageable risks, stable profits.
3. Bottom Tier (High-Leverage Gamblers & Newbies) – 50x, 100x leverage, wiped out directly upon market fluctuations.

Words that need to be engraved in your mind

When you don't know what narrative to choose, choose L1
When there are no new hotspots in the market, choose L1
When the market is crashing, prioritize bottom-fishing new L1

How difficult is it to trade? What are the core challenges?
The core challenges of trading include market uncertainty, psychological pressure, risk management, strategy development, and time investment. Successful traders need to possess strong psychological qualities, risk management skills, and a continuous learning attitude.
1. Market Uncertainty
The core challenge of trading lies in market uncertainty, as market fluctuations are unpredictable; we are trading this uncertainty.
2. Personal Psychological Pressure
During trading, traders need to face their own psychological pressure, such as fear and greed; these emotions can affect trading decisions.
3. Risk Management
Risk management is an important component of trading; traders need to reasonably control risks to avoid over-investment.
4. Strategy Development
Developing trading strategies that can achieve long-term and stable profits is very challenging, requiring a high level of technical skill and investment experience from strategy developers.
5. Time Investment
Trading requires a significant amount of time and energy, demanding traders to continuously learn and practice.

Under the current hellish level of operational difficulty, to make profits or turn things around in the cryptocurrency market, you need to do the following:

1. Invest with money that you can afford, do not borrow money or take loans to trade cryptocurrencies.

2. Carefully select valuable coins and make a reliable capital allocation plan.

3. It's normal to encounter pullbacks after entering the market, so allocate your funds reasonably and enter in batches.

4. Don't operate with a full position, allocate your positions reasonably, and don't put all your eggs in one basket to reduce risk.

5. Keep an eye on the latest news in the cryptocurrency market and the latest developments in finance and economics; being well-informed will help you earn faster.

6. Don't confront the market makers and trends head-on; go with the flow and act according to the trend.

7. If trading contracts, don't go in with a full position; use leverage of 5 to 20 times, and avoid easily using 100 times leverage; stable profits are key.

8. Controlling your position well is crucial; if you're unsure, don't act recklessly; not trading means no risk, hence no losses. Frequently check your assets to see if they are managed well and reasonably.

9. Be confident in knowing when to enter and exit; experience in the cryptocurrency market will help you grow, and maintaining the right mindset is more important than operations.

Possible 3 Opportunities:

1️⃣ New AI Main Line

If a new AI main line appears, pay attention to the new leaders on the chain and related assets such as act.

2️⃣ Favorable U.S. Macro Policy

If the U.S. macro policy is dominant, pay attention to Trump and the potentially favorable DeFi sector from macro policies.

3️⃣ Brand New Opportunities

Brand new opportunities can only come from the chain, cannot be anticipated or imagined, and can only be awaited.

SOL Despite its technical advantages, Solana's market performance still faces some uncertainties.

Firstly, as a relatively young public chain, SOL operates in a highly competitive market environment, especially with the progress of Ethereum's Layer 2 solutions and other public chain projects, which may impact Solana's market share.

Secondly, Solana has previously encountered network failures, which have had a certain impact on investor confidence. If such issues occur again, it may lead to a decrease in market risk appetite for SOL.

Finally, the uncertainty of the macroeconomic situation is also an important factor affecting SOL prices. Overall, SOL remains an investment target worth paying attention to, but we should remain cautious, manage risks, and make flexible adjustments based on market trends.

12.28ETH Market Analysis🚩

Yesterday, ETH (Ethereum) reached a high of 3445 on the daily chart before pulling back, ultimately closing at 3335. The key support level below is at 3225, and a pullback to this area could be considered for building a long position. The primary resistance above is at MA14; once broken, we may look further towards MA30. The MACD shows a weakening of bearish strength, indicating signs of a potential golden cross.

On the four-hour chart, ETH is in a volatile pattern, with MA60 forming short-term pressure. If broken, it could reach MA90. The MACD dual lines are converging, and the trend is stabilizing. For short-term operations, it is recommended to look for opportunities to go long within the range of 3240-3177, expecting a rebound to the range of 3500-3640.
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

BTC Market Analysis🚩

Yesterday, BTC (Bitcoin) experienced significant fluctuations on the daily chart, dropping from a high of approximately 97600 to a low of around 93450, ultimately closing near 94300. Currently, support is solid around MA60, making it suitable to consider going long in this area. The resistance above is at MA7; if it breaks through, we could further look towards MA30.

On the four-hour chart, MA14 poses short-term pressure; if it breaks, the target can be raised to MA200. At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a weakening of bearish strength, with a trend towards forming a golden cross. Short-term trading advice suggests looking for opportunities to go long within the 92830-91600 range, with an expected rebound target of 96700-101000.

Today's pick coin: RSS3

RSS3, currently priced around 0.13, can be entered directly as the price is at a low level, and the bottom is clearly accumulating. This coin tends to have a significant surge every first quarter, and it does not follow the overall market trends, showing signs of a breakout reversal.

Blin's Battle Method Practical Guide, Simple and Effective!💹💹💹

1⃣ Three lines up, buy at the middle price.

2⃣ Three lines down, sell at the middle price.

3⃣ Three lines flat, buy at the lower line, sell at the upper line.

4⃣ Three lines opening upwards, price is bullish, look for a breakout.

5⃣ Three lines opening downwards, price is bearish, exit quickly.

6⃣ Three lines narrowing indicates consolidation, wait and see for direction.

Trading strategy only needs to learn

1⃣ Identify the trend direction accurately

2⃣ Find the right entry and exit points

Observe: OP

Focus on OP, the dual combination indicator adjustment has ended!

The daily structure triangle is just at the entry position, target resistance 2.15 2.37

There is an illusion that the altcoins are not following Bitcoin anymore. Is this my illusion?

1. BTC continues to fluctuate downward, dragged down by the US stock market; the independent market over the weekend can be well grasped;

2. ETH exchange rate is rising, dropping less than Bitcoin;

3. SOL continues to follow Bitcoin's movements;

4. BNB is rising instead of falling, it seems that there will be good news after the holiday, possibly a new launchpool on the way?

5. The IRS will begin taxing DeFi in 2027;

6. Solana co-founder Stephen Akridge is sued by his ex-wife, accused of stealing SOL staking earnings;

7. Galaxy Research releases annual cryptocurrency predictions, expecting Bitcoin to break $150,000 in the first half of 2025;

8. The Minister of Justice of Montenegro signed an order to extradite former Terraform Labs CEO Do Kwon to the United States;

Congratulations to stablekwon on about to embark on a journey to the US;

9. The launch of Pudgy Penguins tokens drives Ethereum NFT trading volume to $186 million;

10. Citi: The continued adoption of stablecoins and cryptocurrency ETFs will be the main drivers of digital asset performance in 2025;

11. ACT and AVA reached a cooperation, and a bunch of foreigners started shouting AVA;

12. OpenAI plans to adjust its corporate structure to create "the most resource-rich nonprofit organization";

13. Analyst: The rising market share of USDT indicates that Bitcoin may face further downward pressure;

14. SPORE continues to produce descendants, causing PHA prices to rise over 500% recently;

15. The virtuals_io ecosystem is collectively thriving, with a lot of new coins emerging yesterday, be mindful of risks; the smaller the market cap, the greater the risk and the higher the potential reward;

16. _kaitoai turned all the negative reports into learning materials overnight; the traffic seems to have been caught, but the brothers' "humble in the front and arrogant in the back" attitude is quite admirable.

In a bull market, how to make steady progress and keep assets growing!

1. Double and gradually sell the principal The main purpose of doing this is to reduce the psychological cost to 0, so there will be less mental entanglement and you can hold on. If it falls, the principal has already come out, and the rest is profit, it's just a matter of how much you make. If it rises, there are still more than half of the chips, and you are still making money.

2. Good targets must not be completely cleared in a bull market, and a bottom position must be left After the first step, the bottom position left is itself 0 cost. If it continues to rise, you can slowly reduce your holdings, don't clear it all. Because you have done the first step, you are very proactive in your mentality, and this step is easy to execute

3. Cycle to keep assets growing There are 1 and 2 steps of precipitation, and you still have chips in your hand. Wait for the opportunity to buy good targets. If the good target rises, cycle according to 1 and 2 steps.

In this round of bull market, there are two tracks with explosive potential!

1. The AI ​​track, especially the AI ​​agent segment, integrates the autonomous intelligence characteristics of AI with the permissionless financial account mechanism in the web3 system. The sparks of the collision between the two contain extremely broad imagination space, which is expected to give birth to many innovative application scenarios and business models.

2. The RWA track can essentially be regarded as an organic integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) and traditional finance (TradFi). This track plays an indispensable and key role in the gradual growth of blockchain assets into mainstream financial assets. Its development will further narrow the distance between blockchain and traditional financial fields, promote exchanges and cooperation between the two sides at more levels, and thus inject new vitality into the transformation of the entire financial system.

In the alt season, which coins can we pay attention to next?

In the alt season, some projects stand out with their innovation, practical value and growth potential. Among the many alt coins, I mainly analyze Ethereum (ETH), Stellar (XLM), and Near Protocol (NEAR)

1. Ethereum (ETH): The cornerstone of decentralized finance (Figure 1) Ethereum is firmly in the second largest digital currency position, providing a powerful development platform for decentralized applications. Ethereum is currently trading at $3,874 and faces a resistance level of $3,935. A breakthrough of this level may trigger a rebound to $4,000, and failure to break through may retrace the support level of $3,000.

2. Stellar (XLM): Reshaping global payments (Figure 2) Stellar focuses on providing efficient cross-border payment solutions and is favored by financial institutions and remittance service providers. At present, the value of Stellar has risen by 480%, reflecting the market's increased recognition of its blockchain functions. With the expansion of the scope of application and the clear focus of payment business, Stellar shows the potential to break through the descending triangle pattern and start an upward trend.

3. Near Protocol (NEAR): User-friendly blockchain platform (Figure 3) Near Protocol has become a scalable and easy-to-use blockchain platform favored by developers. The current trading range is around $7-8, with a 34% increase in the past two weeks. The mainstream market view is that driven by encrypted AI applications, the price target range is $16-30.

A simple way to judge the strength of the volume of altcoins:
Extremely strong: Return to the high before the bull market in 21 years, such as XRP
Strong: Exceed the high in early 2024, such as RAY
Neutral: Return to the high before early 2024, such as NEAR
Weak: Not back to the high before early 2024, such as GMT