大圣趋势论

There are no gods in trading, only charlatans; no one can perfectly predict the direction. True trading is just about calculating, weighing options, and then making a choice.

My trading approach these past couple of days has been to continuously accumulate profits through small trades, and then use the profits from these small trades to bet on the trend. Since the position size of small trades is small, the profits are also small. If I want to bet on a trend and take larger positions, I don’t want to risk my principal, so I can only use the profits accumulated from small trades to gamble, which naturally means the stop-loss space is small. This problem is like that; there is no perfect solution, only proportional effort and reward.

If you want large profits, you have to take some risks; if you don’t want to take risks, then naturally the profits will be lower.

In the past few days, I have continued to accumulate $Parti chips at a low level. The logic hasn't changed; relative to the fundamentals, the current market value is too low, and the chips are not expensive.

Actually, this stock is quite interesting. Recently, every time the contract has a negative fee rate, it rises, and the signs of ups and downs are quite evident, resembling a patient accumulation of shares. Moreover, it occasionally breaks through to test the strength of the buy orders chasing the rise; you can feel that there is experience and strategy involved.

I have previously mentioned that $mubarak's accumulation of chips requires patience, and today it has already started to bear fruit.

$Parti is currently a target that I find to be quite cost-effective. From the price perspective, it seems to be converging a bit, so I will continue to wait patiently.

On-chain is not about how many times you caught a bottom big golden dog, but rather that you discovered how much position you have taken, whether you added to your position during gradual validation, and when you took profits, and what kind of results you generally obtained.

Some people may not have a high win rate, but if they capture two big results, it doesn't matter if they incur losses elsewhere.

March 27th Morning BTC Analysis

Today, BTC's daily closing price forms a small bearish candlestick in the shape of a doji, with trading volume decreased by 1/4 compared to the previous day. The market will continue to maintain a fluctuating trend today, and there is operational space for both long and short positions during the day;

On the technical side, the upward momentum is currently showing signs of weakening, and 88,500 is the main resistance level in the short term! Therefore, day trading should mainly focus on short positions at high levels, but it’s important to note that any downward movement encountering support will likely rebound quickly, so short positions shouldn’t be too aggressive.

For day trading, during the daytime, one can short at around 87,800 and initially look for a target down to 86,200. If a valid rebound occurs, one can consider going long.

Emotions are the greatest enemy in trading. True experts do not lack emotions; they can transform emotions into fuel for strategic evolution.

1. Decision Checklist: Before opening a position, ask yourself 3 questions—① Is the trading logic consistent? ② Is there a contingency plan for a 20% price reversal? ③ Does it affect your sleep? Make trading 'replicable'.

2. Emotion Quantification Dashboard: Fear and Greed Index <20? Invest 5%. Contract funding rate >0.1%? Reduce position by 30% + trailing take profit. Use data to hedge emotional fluctuations.

3. Account Delegation Management:
Strategic Account (70%): Long-term positions, only quarterly rebalancing.
Tactical Account (20%): Trend trading, set a 7% stop loss.
Experimental Account (10%): Satisfies gambling psychology, exclusively for Meme coins.

4. Information Filtering Mechanism:
Class A (Must-read): On-chain data + Federal Reserve policies.
Class B (Time-limited): Project team AMA + technical analysis, no more than 30 minutes a day.
Class C (Prohibited): Social media trading calls + panic statements in group chats.

Interpretation of Views: The end of trading is the practice of cognition. The market always uses emotions to kill, while winners never let emotions control themselves. Discipline is not a limitation; it is the only moat that keeps you alive in the long run.

March 25, 2025, 195 days until the peak of the Bitcoin bull market.
Today's market: Bitcoin price 86,500, preparing to test the bottom again.

The Oklahoma House voted to pass the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act. The act allows the state to invest 10% of public funds in Bitcoin or any digital asset with a market value exceeding $500 billion.

Chinese culture is传向世界 through the BSC chain meme, which is a good thing.
However, it is a bit chaotic right now. Today, let's see if we can create a meme that belongs to our culture, instead of always following behind foreigners.
Currently observing, is there any good ca

Although the number of altcoins applying for ETFs is decreasing, there are still many that hope to be approved. However, judging by the performance of LTC, which is likely to be the earliest to get ETF approval, we really can't have overly high expectations for altcoin ETFs. It is very likely that there will be a speculation wave before approval, but once approved, the performance might not be good.

The only ETF that is truly accepted by old money is Bitcoin ETF, while Ethereum ETF doesn't perform well either, let alone altcoin ETFs.

It feels like LTC is having a hard time breaking through the resistance area shown in the chart.

The Timeline of Playing BSC:
1. At 9 AM, people wake up and start trading again with the coins that survived the night, then they gather around Long Yi to find angles for crazy PVP
2. By noon, most coins can't hold up and start to pull back
3. In the afternoon, the big sister and the big cousin wake up to interact with new coins, and everyone rushes in mindlessly
4. After 9 PM, most coins can’t hold up and start to pull back or even go to zero
5. Late at night, buy the dip in the second phase, or ambush new targets
6. Back to the first step at 9 AM, repeatedly cycling through this process where most coins don’t last a day

You ambushed my ambush.