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The retail investors have not yet broken even,
Institutions have not yet made enough profit,
Project teams are still waiting for TGE,
Trump has not yet made America great again,

Now it seems that all the big shots are playing dumb:

1. CZ can't speak Chinese, really didn't promote the project, my dog's name is broccoli hehe.
2. The Trump family buys the dip! It's really nice to shout orders on weekends hehe.
3. Various celebrity presidents are issuing coins, then saying they were robbed or have no idea what's going on hehe. $BTC

Trump's policy power continues to exert pressure. Yesterday we talked about the primary macro uncertainty being the tariff issue. Last night, Trump announced the imposition of tariffs on Mexico and Canada, with reciprocal tariffs set to take effect on April 2nd, leading to a significant drop in the US stock market and returning to the position before the call.

What’s next?
1. We need to observe the impact of the Mexico-Canada tariff policy this week, as well as the strength of their countermeasures. The timeline for reciprocal tariffs has been clarified, so how will the corresponding countries respond?
2. Of course, this week we also need to pay attention to the more critical non-farm payroll data. Currently, having cash is still suitable for buying on dips!

Everyone is looking forward to your favorable cryptocurrency policies! When will the Federal Reserve open the floodgates? These are the actions you should take to save the crypto market, not just tariffs or cashing out! $BTC

Waking up from a dream is just a fleeting fantasy; fortunately, the electric bike didn't end up in the river, so let's quickly push it out and keep going! $BTC

Speaking of Shanzhai, what track projects should we play?
From Trump calling out #XRP #ADA #SOL, we can see. Public chains. Where is the concentration of funds, especially since this represents the wealthiest American funds, and adding #BTC #ETH which are also public chains.
Fans who read my articles should know that I have been talking about this track.
Why? Because they have money, public chains have the most financing among all tracks, there is no other.
Having money is one aspect, and the other is the ecosystem. Basically, these three XRP, ADA, and SOL all have decent ecosystems, right?
Why do I not recommend engaging in ETH L2 projects? It's not that I don't believe in it; I once did, but the projects themselves are not doing well. They have money, but they are not pushing the market, struggling with what ecosystem to build, all waiting for ETH to feed them, but ETH's own ecosystem hasn't been very good lately, so... tangled up, time is gone, the market has passed.
So what about those public chain projects favored by American funds? I listed a few; I can't look at them one by one.

#SUI #SEI #MOVE. In fact, there are some others that I didn't list. But the above-mentioned projects are already doing well in terms of volatility and profit.
Especially SUI; I first mentioned this project in 2023.
If in March there can be favorable conditions to get BTC a wave in the market, ETH can also benefit from upgrades and staking to rise.
Then I personally feel that public chains should also have some expectations. After all, that wave in November-December last year, the rise was pretty good, and it was also public chains.

XRP fits the logic of traders perfectly: the price rises with calls, news stimulates retail investors to chase, and then the whales sell off, closing the loop!

The first snow of 2025 brings an indescribable peace to the heart!

Don't rush to throw the electric vehicle into the river; the best approach at this stage is to stay on the sidelines and watch the show first——

This phase feels like "one person raises the banner, the gentry's money is returned in full, the common people's money is split three to seven," trying to snatch meat from the mouth of a tiger is quite difficult,

In the previous drop, very few people truly managed to buy at the bottom accurately, so there aren't many profits when it goes up,

What I'm afraid of now is that the 'gentry' won't cooperate at all!

The gentry won't rise early without profit, unless Trump can provide enough weight, for example, if he has already negotiated with Congress. If the next plot is that Congress does not pass or delays passing, then it’s estimated that it will go up and come down just the same!

It's predicted that it will definitely pass, but this time it's likely not going to be that smooth; a little friction is healthier!

In summary: I have infinite optimism for the future market, but I'm not optimistic about this current call; stay on the sidelines and watch the show to avoid missteps! $ETH $BTC

This wave of ada's reserves has raised everyone's eyebrows, precisely because the absurdity may have different interpretations, which can be understood as negotiation chips or threats!

It's clear that if you don't agree with my strategic reserves for making the cake, then I will propose even more absurd conditions!

It's like when your girlfriend asks you to buy a bag; initially, she just wanted an LV, but when you don't buy it, she proposes an Hermès. In the end, you agree to the LV, not knowing that her initial goal was merely the LV!

Continue to bet on a drop to 70,000 USD, right?
This question is very interesting, I won't comment on right or wrong, and I don't know why?
Because before the 312 event, there were also people betting on a drop to 3,000 USD.
Unfortunately, those who predicted a drop to 3,000 USD never bought later because they insisted on the drop to 3,000 USD.
Where is the problem? The problem lies in predicting a price too precisely and using it as an anchor point, rather than a range, and then buying more as it falls into that range.

Trump instructed the working group to include SOL, XRP, and ADA in the strategic reserve work list. (This article is provided by Alex Xu)
Several analyses:

1. SOL, XRP, and ADA have been frequently visiting Mar-a-Lago since Trump took office and have provided Trump with many overt sponsorships, such as donations to the inauguration fund, etc. The various covert interest transfers behind the scenes are likely to be even more. This time, Trump reciprocated by giving an overt return, arranging a 'advertising space' within presidential authority.

2. However, in the long run, projects like ADA and XRP can be used as reserve assets; this absurd practice will only weaken the seriousness of BTC as a strategic reserve and further decrease the likelihood of the BTC reserve bill passing at the federal level.

3. Getting the working group to push forward is one thing; achieving success at the legislative level is another. The Republican advantage in the House of Representatives is very slim, and it is impossible to have the ability to legislate SOL, ADA, and XRP into reserves.

4. The only possibility is that Trump establishes a national sovereign fund directly overseen by the Treasury through executive agencies, which would allow for the direct purchase of the above assets without federal legislation. But how likely is this? How much benefit do SOL, XRP, and ADA have to provide to Trump in order for the president to explicitly order the purchase of these things with taxpayer money? Trump's style is to leverage small investments for large gains, using low-cost, small means to create big news. He is unlikely to invest effort into something that requires significant effort, faces major obstacles, and offers no substantial return, only high risk.

5. Why not mention BTC and ETH? BTC is already on the working group's list and does not need to be mentioned again. ETH is not mentioned because it has not provided money. Allowing SOL, XRP, and ADA to stand out individually will make advertisers more satisfied. $BTC

A giant whale has bought the dip in Bitcoin twice, acquiring a total of 1,500 BTC worth over $1.2 billion. As more states in the U.S. pass Bitcoin strategic legislation, more institutions and large players will enter the market. There is not much time left for everyone to buy the dip.

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A brief summary of the personnel changes at the Ethereum Foundation: a high school female teacher steps back, technical researchers and engineers become joint governors, and marketing experts lead Ethereum to embrace business.

The era of Ethereum's white left terror rule has ended, shifting its positioning from the vague "infinite forest garden" to a community of crypto-punk thinkers.

Returning to the original intention, not forgetting the mission, That's OK

Summarized a set of trading disciplines, constantly reminding myself:

Before buying, think about two things:
1. Is the current market sentiment euphoric or fearful? Am I being led by emotions?
2. If the price halves after buying, will my mindset collapse? Will I cut losses, or calmly add to my position?

Before selling, think about two things:
1. Is the current market sentiment euphoric or fearful? Am I being led by emotions?
2. If the price doubles after selling, can I accept that? Can I control myself and not chase the highs?

Don't let emotions dominate trading, always ask yourself 'What is the worst outcome, and can I bear it?' $BTC

Is there anyone in the car? $RED

The bull market definitely hasn't ended; let's first go through the following content and discuss it together!

Actually, the current negative factors are focused on the macro environment, and we need to pay attention to Trump. You must consider these factors as key points! We are still in a background of high interest rates and tightened liquidity, as well as the beginning of de-globalization. In this context, Trump's primary goal as a strong president is to resolve party issues and dismantle globalization.

For the economy, these are all unstable influences that disrupt the smooth operation of the economy. Regardless of the market, the sentiment for capital preservation outweighs investment, or the duration of capital stays is less than it was in the past.

In fact, whether the bull market is here or not isn't really important; it depends on the standards used to measure it, but it’s good to know that the bull hasn’t completely left!

Due to halving expectations, there will always be actions within the cryptocurrency market that occur in advance, but the current macro reasons and the delay in the monetary easing cycle will lead to a postponement of the main upward wave of the bull market!

Whether analyzing historical logic and timelines, or simply trying to find something in a rigid way!

If we must rigidly assert that the big pancake is rising but there is no imitation season, then we should consider it as the small bull of 2019. Yes, the big pancake has indeed surpassed its previous high, and that’s true; this is different from 2019, but it’s a result of the impact of ETFs.

On the other hand, a halving leads to a bull market, but that doesn’t mean that after the halving, there will always be a bull market. The timing of the bull market after the halving is not necessarily accurate; you have to consider the impact of macro factors. The bull market is a result of the expectation influenced by the halving cycle combined with macro factors.

It’s precisely because the macro environment isn't stable that I believe there’s at least one more wave of market movement!

As for the final return to psychological activity, the experiences and lessons from two cycles of bull and bear markets show that whenever people think this industry will decline, it will rise again to greatness, giving you a hard slap for losing confidence and causing you to lose some profits!$BTC

To put it plainly, there are three points:​
​1: Trump wants to court the crypto community​
Upon taking office, he will hold a cryptocurrency conference, inviting big names to the White House for tea, making his position clear: the previous government suppressed you, now I’m here to support you!​
​2: Big promises before the election​
He specifically scheduled the meeting for March 2025 (assuming he gets re-elected next year), essentially signaling: 'Vote for me, and I’ll give you policy bonuses!'​
​3: Regulations may loosen​
He says, 'We need to manage risks while promoting innovation', but in reality, it means loosening restrictions on the crypto community. However, be cautious as it may lead to chaos later (refer to the previous FTX collapse).​
In summary: The president is riding the trend to gain votes, the crypto community is using policies as ammunition for hype, and ordinary people should not just watch the excitement but remain vigilant about potential exploitation after regulatory loosening.