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0xrandd
10 Posts

0xrandd

预测市场玩家、流动性提供者
5 Following
29 Followers
35 Liked
Posts
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今天开始在币安广场更新自己玩预测市场(polymarket和predict)的一些复盘和思考 虽然最近链上meme行情回暖,但是我相信预测市场一定是今年最大的机会。保持账号能持续盈利,直到这两个项目发币、空投
今天开始在币安广场更新自己玩预测市场(polymarket和predict)的一些复盘和思考
虽然最近链上meme行情回暖,但是我相信预测市场一定是今年最大的机会。保持账号能持续盈利,直到这两个项目发币、空投
Article
How to keep your account profitable while doing Polymarket LP rewards?The main reason for LP rewards losses: the market experiences large fluctuations in a short period of time, and the rewards can’t cover the losses Profit core: strict event selection + management + execution 1️⃣、Event selection: choose the sectors you’re good at—low volatility, low competition; avoid highly volatile, high-uncertainty events For example: the rise and fall of cryptocurrencies, ongoing matches—unless I’m very good at these two categories 2️⃣、Avoid events and directions that could potentially involve black swan occurrences I like prediction markets with a time deadline and a long event time span. I only place orders for YES; the volatility is low, there won’t be black swans, and time is the best friend

How to keep your account profitable while doing Polymarket LP rewards?

The main reason for LP rewards losses: the market experiences large fluctuations in a short period of time, and the rewards can’t cover the losses
Profit core: strict event selection + management + execution
1️⃣、Event selection: choose the sectors you’re good at—low volatility, low competition; avoid highly volatile, high-uncertainty events
For example: the rise and fall of cryptocurrencies, ongoing matches—unless I’m very good at these two categories
2️⃣、Avoid events and directions that could potentially involve black swan occurrences
I like prediction markets with a time deadline and a long event time span. I only place orders for YES; the volatility is low, there won’t be black swans, and time is the best friend
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Bullish
$MET {future}(METUSDT) There are 1 day left until $MET TGE The LP NFT option has been closed, unexpectedly not fully subscribed I didn't hesitate to choose the NFT for the airdrop address The number of tokens received from the airdrop and the pre-market value are below expectations I can only hope that liquidity will bring surprises, Meteora v2, please don't let me down Ultimately, the amount of fee I can earn is directly related to the trading volume when met launches Essentially, it still depends on the market's expectations for the valuation of met and the opening price of the token If there's no arbitrage opportunity, who would take the risk with a 50% fee? Meteora is currently likely undervalued The decline of the meme market on the Solana chain, initially 48% high circulation, and the recent market crash caused met's pre-market FDV to dip below 1 billion However, looking at the data from defillama, the fee in the past week was 23.6 million, ranking 4th among all projects, with Tether, Uniswap, and Circle in the top three Revenue ranks 15th, and the difference between fee and Revenue is significant, indicating that users of this protocol can genuinely earn money The ideal operation is: choose NFT, earn fee a few hours before the launch Wait for trading volume to drop, airdrop to crash the price, and the token price to fall At this point, exit liquidity, hold $met, and wait for a rebound Do you think Meteora is currently undervalued?
$MET
There are 1 day left until $MET TGE
The LP NFT option has been closed, unexpectedly not fully subscribed

I didn't hesitate to choose the NFT for the airdrop address
The number of tokens received from the airdrop and the pre-market value are below expectations
I can only hope that liquidity will bring surprises, Meteora v2, please don't let me down

Ultimately, the amount of fee I can earn is directly related to the trading volume when met launches
Essentially, it still depends on the market's expectations for the valuation of met and the opening price of the token
If there's no arbitrage opportunity, who would take the risk with a 50% fee?

Meteora is currently likely undervalued
The decline of the meme market on the Solana chain, initially 48% high circulation, and the recent market crash caused met's pre-market FDV to dip below 1 billion

However, looking at the data from defillama, the fee in the past week was 23.6 million, ranking 4th among all projects, with Tether, Uniswap, and Circle in the top three
Revenue ranks 15th, and the difference between fee and Revenue is significant, indicating that users of this protocol can genuinely earn money

The ideal operation is: choose NFT, earn fee a few hours before the launch
Wait for trading volume to drop, airdrop to crash the price, and the token price to fall
At this point, exit liquidity, hold $met, and wait for a rebound
Do you think Meteora is currently undervalued?
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Bullish
Market value of over $JELLYJELLY 2000, don't short without thinking The hot topic can last for another two days, buy some spot to play around
Market value of over $JELLYJELLY 2000, don't short without thinking
The hot topic can last for another two days, buy some spot to play around
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Bullish
$TRUMP spot trading, I have stopped losses five times After the president sent a message at night, I bought in again Trump wouldn't release this message for no reason Is it just for fun? I want to see what will happen this time Is there a possibility for the team to destroy a portion of the unlocked tokens to reduce potential selling pressure and temporarily raise the coin price?
$TRUMP spot trading, I have stopped losses five times
After the president sent a message at night, I bought in again
Trump wouldn't release this message for no reason
Is it just for fun?
I want to see what will happen this time
Is there a possibility for the team to destroy a portion of the unlocked tokens to reduce potential selling pressure and temporarily raise the coin price?
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Bullish
$TRUMP I don't believe it's fake news, I hope to buy 1000 spot here and make a profit
$TRUMP I don't believe it's fake news, I hope to buy 1000 spot here and make a profit
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Bullish
The market cap of $AVA surged and directly boosted several low market cap coins. Many people thought that the low market cap sector was going to rotate. However, the reason for its surge is that CZ said he invested in this project. In about three hours, it is likely to rise to a dizzying level.
The market cap of $AVA surged and directly boosted several low market cap coins. Many people thought that the low market cap sector was going to rotate. However, the reason for its surge is that CZ said he invested in this project. In about three hours, it is likely to rise to a dizzying level.
The airdrop of L2 has given hope to many in despair and changed the fate of some! What was once glorious now appears even more awkward. I don't know how many people, like me, have relied on them to accumulate the principal for this bull market. So far, due to the poor performance of $ETH , funds have never rotated into the L2 sector. The child has grown up and can now venture out on their own; no longer should they look to ETH for approval! $OP $STRK $ARB $ZK {spot}(STRKUSDT) {spot}(OPUSDT)
The airdrop of L2 has given hope to many in despair and changed the fate of some!

What was once glorious now appears even more awkward.

I don't know how many people, like me, have relied on them to accumulate the principal for this bull market.

So far, due to the poor performance of $ETH , funds have never rotated into the L2 sector.

The child has grown up and can now venture out on their own; no longer should they look to ETH for approval!

$OP $STRK $ARB $ZK
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Bullish
If $STRK confirms an independent trend It does not follow the rise and fall of $ETH , nor does it rotate in the L2 sector The single-day increase is far greater than OP, ARB and ZK Then the coins in the synchronized ecosystem will also exert their strength Lords, Ekubo, and Brother are the most promising tokens in the game, Defi, and Meme sectors respectively No investment advice, DYOR
If $STRK confirms an independent trend

It does not follow the rise and fall of $ETH , nor does it rotate in the L2 sector

The single-day increase is far greater than OP, ARB and ZK

Then the coins in the synchronized ecosystem will also exert their strength

Lords, Ekubo, and Brother are the most promising tokens in the game, Defi, and Meme sectors respectively

No investment advice, DYOR
If this wave of rebound is strong enough, $Brother will reach a market value of 10M!
If this wave of rebound is strong enough, $Brother will reach a market value of 10M!
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