Whether it will peak in December this year or in September next year is just a time-sensitive window. We can make decisions based on the price at that time, market sentiment and on-chain data. Let time verify it.

Will the bull market reach its peak in December this year, and then turn from bull to bear?
Will the rise of this round of bull market start in December 2022?
Or will it start in September 2023?
This question is a matter of life and death. Under the article I wrote yesterday: 牛市结束了吗？还要多久才会重拾上涨？, a coin friend commented: If the starting point of this bull market is calculated from December 22, when the big cake hit the bottom... will the bull market end at the end of the year?
I took a look and felt that it made sense, but then I felt uneasy: If it is the starting point of the bull market in December 22, then the time for this bull market to bottom out is too short, only 6 months, and the foundation is not solid, how can there be an upper limit below?
Previously, I have always used September 23, when Bitcoin broke through the neckline to calculate the starting point of the bull market, so the bottoming time of the bull market is 15 months, and the bull-bear conversion just happened to be stuck in the Fed's interest rate hike cycle. As shown in Figure 1 below
Two different bull market starting times and different bull market ending times: December 22-December 24; September 23-October 25. The trading strategies, profit expectations, target selection, capital allocation, etc. to be adopted are completely different.
Although I still prefer the bull market period of September 23-October 25, the other one also makes sense. What do you think? Welcome to discuss