Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a major speech on Friday at the 2026 IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok, Thailand. He stated clearly that despite geopolitical shocks and continued monetary tightening by central banks in several countries, most G20 economies remain far more resilient than markets had expected. Warsh emphasized that the U.S. economy would emerge stronger from the turbulence and continue to lead global growth.

As the helmsman of global liquidity, the Fed chair’s strong endorsement of economic fundamentals at this critical juncture directly dispelled excessive market pessimism about stagflation and recession occurring in tandem. From a technical perspective, the stronger-than-expected resilience of macroeconomic fundamentals provides an exceptionally solid foundation for risk appetite to bottom out and recover.

Looking at the interplay between major asset classes, Warsh’s upbeat remarks have somewhat blunted the upward momentum of the U.S. dollar index at elevated levels, while the Treasury yield curve is showing a benign steepening trend. As risk aversion ebbs, capital is gradually flowing out of purely defensive sectors, and global equities and commodity markets are seeing a structural valuation recovery.

For crypto markets, the strengthening of the fundamental backdrop has significantly improved expectations for macro liquidity. $BTC is showing strong buying support in a key support zone, while large on-chain investors continue to accumulate. As the fear weighing on risk assets subsides, liquidity is likely to return at an accelerating pace, driving a new breakout rally in crypto assets.📈

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