On the first day of the National Day holiday, two groups started working at the same time: one lined up for the cable car at the scenic spot’s entrance, and the other kept refreshing the same word in the group chat—“Uptober”.
This isn’t a new coin. It’s a nickname the circle uses for October—meaning, if October shows up, it goes up. The basis is historical data: over the past ten-odd years, this month has seen more red days than not. So on the first day of the break, someone treated the last day of September like New Year’s Eve. At midnight, they posted greetings in the group chat: “See you in October.”
The issue is,
The calendar only provides probabilities,
Does not commit to honoring it.
A netizen wrote something pretty clear-headed in the forum. Roughly what might be the most information-dense statement in the whole industry this week: Everyone’s shouting that October is definitely going up, and I’m actually a bit uneasy. The shorts that were supposed to explode already have; the longs’ leverage is also maxed out. So where will the fuel for the next leg of the market come from? He didn’t say it will go down—he just feels that at this position, it doesn’t look much like a discount.
Later, when you scroll through it again,
Turns out, he really said it.
But first, let’s talk about talent.
This week’s industry-news headline is a bed picture. CZ—i.e., the founder of that exchange—posted an AI-generated image on a social account: lying under the covers, with a green filter like night vision goggles. His expression looks like it’s 3 a.m. and someone just rang the doorbell. The caption is just two words in meaning: “Soon.” No analysis, no timeline, no target price—just lying there, saying it’ll be soon.
Then Mr. Li from Wall Street—who calls a bull market every year—reposted it and replied: “Agree. Do the coins you hold have enough?”
A prophet’s core competitive advantage isn’t accuracy—it’s diligence.
The whole industry’s reaction was: “Is this even considered research?”—but the market really moved. As for technical content, that bed picture is basically equal to zero. As for influence, it’s tougher than most research reports. CZ later explained it himself: I post five to ten things a day, and there’s always one that shows up before good news.
If that bed hadn’t woken you up, there was also gold to help.
At some point this week, the coin price stabbed downward by a needle, and more than a hundred thousand trading accounts were carried off. By convention, you’d first think about what happened in the crypto world that day—the answer is: nothing happened. What happened was the strait in the Middle East. The moment the news came out, oil prices surged back above 100. Same day, gold fell more than three percentage points, with the market describing it as something you see once in twenty years. Silver followed suit and dropped as well.
So, in the crypto market, the K-line chart was pushed down a notch by two markets that didn’t even know the crypto world existed. This might be the most stifling drop in years—since even the person carrying the blame isn’t in the same chat group. Market moves aren’t in your hands; they’re in someone else’s news.
More absurd is that this time they lifted whoever was lifted. According to the script, when prices fall you should lift the longs, and when prices rise you should lift the shorts—but this time the data runs counter to that. In a certain hour of liquidations, over 90% of the positions that were carried off were short positions. During that hour, the longs stood still on the ground while the shorts flew through the sky. That same day, some community posted pictures to celebrate, with a title roughly meaning: “The shorts’ suffering is the coronation of the believers.”
In some places,
The shorts are no match,
like fireworks for the holiday.
In the same week, a wallet that had been lying dormant for fifteen years woke up. It was stored in May 2011, with the cost at a few dollars per coin that year. This time, when it moved the funds, it was worth over a million dollars. I picked two comments from netizens: one said, “Same as sleeping, I sank; they appreciated.” The other said, “Did the big shots agree to pay property fees together?”
So, in the crypto world, the most stable profession has never been trading—it’s sleeping. This industry’s returns are directly correlated with sleep duration. The only threshold is: you have to be awake to buy once in 2011, and then sleep until today.
One person’s afternoon nap—on-chain, it’s fifteen years.
And then there’s Mr. Li,
This week, at an industry event in South Korea, it was announced:
The bull market has already started,
and it might even be the biggest cycle in history.
The target price he set for the “big pie” was far higher than where it is now. Every week, his own company buys that coin with the second-highest market cap, and by now he’s accumulated millions of coins. And his statement for the first half of the year was: a super cycle—maybe delayed. Earlier than that, he described the market as winter, and now winter has become the starting line.
In an industry, the one thing you shouldn’t do is take this kind of prediction too seriously. The more times he called it, the only one you’ll remember is the one that was right.
One last look at the quarterly report: over these three months, the coin rose by more than 40%, one of the best-performing quarters in history. But the last week was green—meaning it’s like a 90-mark exam: the last big question is left blank, yet the score is still pretty to look at. When they handed in the paper, they were getting beat up.
after setting all this up, you’ll find the logic of these seven days is actually very consistent: some people rely on posting, some rely on sleeping, some rely on a message coming from that strait, and some rely on a line like “Do the coins you hold have enough?” The only one truly doing something is that wallet that’s been awake for fifteen years—what it does is move houses.
There are six days left in the National Day holiday. In this industry, they did it all in seven days—rallies, drops, liquidations, popping champagne, and waking up to get rich overnight.
the only one who didn’t move,
It’s the number in your wallet.
There are six days left in the holiday—enough time for it to go through it again.
I. Copy that speaks for others｜ The master of copywriting for mouthpieces
A piece of the guy who controls the whole thing.
One more thing: this article wasn’t handwritten by me. (Even if I handwrote it, it’d be about this level—but I won’t say that.) It’s written by the mouthpiece grand master. It’s already live on Tencent’s WorkBuddy now—you can open it on your phone using the mini-program.
Four steps.
Search the mini-program “WorkBuddy” on WeChat → register to get 2000 points instantly → tap the “Experts” option in the bottom menu → search “mouthpiece grand master” → tap to get started.
You give it something to do, one piece of material—even just one line like “I’ve been pretty annoyed lately.” It gives you an article you can post right away. The picture of that bed—I described it pretty well, right? That’s also what it does.
II. Video Customization ｜ Video Custom Workshop
A piece of the one who runs the place.
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Mouthpiece Grand Master ｜ WeChat mini-program search “WorkBuddy” → register to get 2000 points → tap “Experts” → search “Mouthpiece Grand Master”
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