周周1688

Bitcoin rebounds—will it continue to rise further?

✅ Reasons for the rebound: Price pulled back to support above the 75,000 level that has been confirmed multiple times in the past, triggering the rebound.
Rebound targets: First target at 78,500; next resistance at 80,500. For more cautious investors, take profit around 78,500; spot holdings can take profits in batches.

✅ My view: The market is highly uncertain right now, so it’s not suitable for long-term holding. Tomorrow’s bill, Wednesday’s interest rate hike, and officials’ remarks are all unknown variables. The priority is to lock in existing profits, then re-enter with a heavier position once the market becomes clearer.

During yesterday’s sharp sell-off, I advised setting up spot positions around 76,000; it has now risen nearly 2,000 points. Strategy logic: Buy at support to catch the rebound; take profit at resistance. Do not open positions unless support is reached; if the price continues to surge and approaches the resistance zone, you can try shorting.

Strong resistance is at 81,000–82,000. Attempt shorts in this range; the expected win rate is about 70%. Swing trade based on support and resistance—if the price breaks out, cut losses. In complex market conditions, I’ll keep digging for opportunities and synchronize my real-time trading mindset every day.

Who is the CEO of Binance ?

Correct Answer = 🎁🎁🎁🎁

$ZEC $SOL Fellow folks, pay attention: early this morning, the U.S. Senate’s encrypted regulation bill hit a snag in the voting—it failed outright, with 49 in favor and 50 against. It missed the 60-vote threshold by a single breath, and was immediately stalled. After more than a year of back-and-forth and two postponements of the vote, it still couldn’t be enacted. As soon as the news broke, Bitcoin’s price dipped in the short term to around 75,000, and crypto-related stocks like Coinbase also fell across the board. 🚨

The core reason this time the bill got stuck is the ethics clause. The Democrats won’t accept the final proposal from the Republicans, and in the end neither side was willing to give an inch. The Republicans had already compromised on a number of points—adjusting officials’ holdings, stabilizing-coin circuit breakers, and protections for DeFi developers—but they still couldn’t win enough votes. 🚨

Many people think that if a bill doesn’t pass, regulation will completely loosen—don’t think that. The bill is only temporarily shelved, not permanently dead. Even if Congress can’t get legislation through, the SEC will still continue regulating the market under the existing rules. 🚨

The biggest impact of this incident is that market expectations cool off. Funds that had been betting on the bill’s passage are starting to withdraw. In the short term, price fluctuations will likely be amplified—don’t blindly try to bottom-fish. Going forward, keep an eye on whether both parties will restart negotiations, because news can trigger sudden surges and plunges at any time. Market risk is very high—everyone make sure to manage positions properly and control risk. 🚨#美联储加息是否已成定局 #以太坊跌破2400美元 #比特币跌至7.6万美元

The panic index is increasing, and the greed index is decreasing!
Market sentiment is emotional, and it is very important for the market!$BTC

#美联储加息是否已成定局
$BTC Make a bold prediction. If the clear bill is not passed tonight, and then the Fed rate hike is implemented as well, things will get extremely hawkish—double bearish pressure! Bitcoin will fall straight back into the 60s. $ETH Will directly break below 2000! Bear market, start!

$XAU Let’s review tonight’s proposed vote result for the “Clear Bill.” In the end, 49 votes were in favor, 50 against—out of 99 total voters.
Clearly, this outcome is not simply because it didn’t reach 60 votes. Ultimately, it ended in temporary failure. Evidently, the threshold for pushing the bill is still quite high, making it a tough challenge.
Currently, there are 53 seats for the Republican Party in the Senate, 45 for the Democrats, and 2 for independents. This means that if the Republicans fully back it, they could at least secure 53 support votes.
But the real outcome directly contradicts that. Not only did the Democrats oppose it, but the Republicans also were not fully united in support—4 Republicans voted against.
Now look at the chart. Before the vote results came out, the broader market had already started a sharp pullback, indicating that the main funds likely weren’t optimistic, or had already anticipated the result in advance. Right now, it’s best not to rush in early to buy the dip or short. Wait until tomorrow’s rate-hike results are released, and then enter based on the K-line trend—it’ll be better!

🧧 $ETH believers, where you at? 👀🔥

Markets test your conviction.
Real communities strengthen it. 🧡

If you’ve been building, supporting, and holding through the highs & lows, this one’s for you.

🎁 $ETH Red Packet is BACK!

💬 Comment “5000”
❤️ Like + Repost
✅ Follow @Bilverse

No complicated quests.
Just a little ETH love for the community. 🧧

Still bullish? 🚀

#ETH #Bilverse #RedPacketMission

#美参议院否决CLARITY法案 US encryption regulatory landmark bill—procedural vote fails to clear the 60-vote threshold, and the bill is temporarily stalled.
The market reacts quickly; $BTC experiences a short-term pullback.
In the short term, U.S. federal crypto legislation has fallen through. Regulatory uncertainty persists, market volatility increases, and be mindful of risks.
Is Bitcoin set to keep moving downward? Is it a chance to add to spot positions?

‼️$BTC 🐕 Reward is here ‼️
I’m sharing $BTC rewards with the community as a Bigger thank-you.
✨ Just claim your reward and enjoy! ✨
Claim it. Get rewarded

$BTC #BTC #bitcoin

🚨 The Fed rate hike—is it already a done deal?

Now, the market’s answer is already very close:

YES.

The latest market pricing shows the probability of the Fed hiking rates by 25BP today has reached over 90%.

If it happens, the target range for the Federal Funds rate will move from:

3.50%–3.75%

to:

3.75%–4.00%

But I think what Crypto truly needs to focus on today is no longer:

“Will the Fed hike or not?”

Because when an event is already priced in by more than 90%,

what usually creates volatility is—

something unexpected.

There are three possible scenarios:

🟡 Scenario 1: Hike 25BP, but Warsh is more dovish

If the Fed tells the market:

“This is just a policy adjustment; it doesn’t mean a new sequence of consecutive hikes has started.”

Then you could see a very interesting move:

The risk assets could actually rise after the hike is implemented.

Reason is simple:

Everyone already knew they were going to hike.

⸻

🔴 Scenario 2: Hike 25BP + clearly signals more hikes ahead

This could be the real source of pressure.

Because the market won’t just be trading a single 25BP move anymore;

it becomes:

NEW HIKING CYCLE?

The U.S. dollar, Treasury yields, and global liquidity will all be repriced.

That’s the real stress test for $BTC, $ETH, and $BNB.

⸻

🟢 Scenario 3: An unexpected no-hike

The probability is low, but precisely because it’s low,

if it happens, the market reaction could be the biggest.

The dollar could drop quickly,

and risk assets could see intense volatility.

⸻

So tonight,

I won’t just be watching the news headline:

“FED +25BP”

What I’m really watching are a few words from Warsh’s press conference:

ONE-OFF?

Or:

MORE HIKES AHEAD?

Because for Crypto,

one already Price In 25BP may not be the most terrifying part.

What matters most is:

Today is it just a single rate hike,

or the start of a new hiking cycle?

If the market ultimately finds that—

“It’s only this one time.”

Then tonight’s biggest surprise might not be the hike.

Instead, it could be:

After the hike, BTC still can’t drop.

👇 What do you think about tonight’s Fed?

Hike and stop once 🟢 / Keep hiking 🔴

#BTC #ETH #BNB

AI won’t slow down. The real question is how far our infrastructure can carry it.
Recently, Jensen Huang referred to data centers as the “oil” for the next 20–25 years, emphasizing that engineering and infrastructure will determine how far AI can actually scale.
At Bitroot, we believe the same principle applies to Web3:
The next wave won’t be won by narrative alone. It will be built on infrastructure.
Parallel execution. High-performance L1. AI-native infrastructure.
Build the rails—so the next generation of applications can run on top of them.

Crude Oil Rises—Why Is Gold Under Pressure Instead?

Recently, the market has been influenced at the same time by geopolitical risks, energy prices, and expectations for Federal Reserve policy.

At present, Brent crude is around $107, while WTI is around $105. Oil prices have remained at elevated levels. What the market is most worried about is not crude oil itself, but its impact on inflation expectations.

The logic is simple:

Oil prices rise → inflation pressure increases → the Fed’s room to cut rates is constrained → U.S. Treasury yields rise → gold comes under pressure.

So right now, gold is being pulled by two forces:

On one hand, safe-haven demand driven by geopolitical conditions supports gold;

On the other hand, higher oil prices boost inflation and rate-expectation pressures that suppress gold.

That’s also why you can’t simply understand it as:

“Geopolitical risk rises = gold must rise.”

In reality, gold’s short-term price action still depends on the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields.

Currently, the 10-year Treasury yield is already around 5%. If yields continue to move higher, gold’s short-term downside pressure could increase further.

Next, I will focus on three variables:

First, crude oil.

If oil prices keep rising quickly, inflation expectations may heat up further.

Second, Treasury yields.

If the 10-year yield keeps moving higher, gold may continue to be weighed down.

Third, the Federal Reserve.

Today’s FOMC rate decision is only the first step; more important is the policy guidance/signals after the meeting.

If the Fed releases more hawkish signals:

A stronger dollar and firmer yields → gold faces pressure.

If the policy statement is not as hawkish as the market expected:

Yields fall back → gold receives support.

So my view on gold now won’t be based solely on geopolitical news.

Crude oil determines inflation expectations, interest rates determine the cost of capital, and risk-off/safe-haven sentiment determines how much support is underneath gold.

Only when all three factors move at the same time is the key to understanding this round of the gold market.
$XAU

$CL

$BZ

💥 With grit and determination, we reach the mountains and seas; with hard work, we earn glory. May the road ahead be smooth, and may all things be possible to look forward to.

#贝森特支持CLARITY法案终稿 #美联储加息是否已成定局

In the forest brook winding paths, I sit quietly and listen to the flowing water.
I hold a book and take a light sip, stealing half a day of leisure from passing life.
I ask nothing about the dust and bustle—only enjoy this moment of calm 🍃

Believe in yourself and move forward bravely!
Every effort will never be in vain, and every step of坚持 is accumulating strength. Don’t be afraid to go slow—only fear stopping; as long as you have a dream in your heart, you will surely be able to step into your own精彩人生!😊

☀️A gentle morning breeze through the forest opens a brand-new chapter of the morning 🌿

Morning jogging is a discipline of the mind, and trading is also a form of practice 📊.
A long journey is won by steady progress; there’s no need to sprint all at once.
Market fluctuations are like the scenery along the road—steady at times, and occasionally demanding 🕊️.
Hold your rhythm, stay clear-headed, and don’t let short-term gains or losses pull you around ✨.
Keep persisting and refining yourself—opportunities will surely arrive on time 💎.

To fellow travelers: keep your love at heart, and walk with ease ❤️

#交易心理

#美联储加息是否已成定局

#1688家族family

Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ

$CL

Energy