Iran talks about peace.. but don’t get too excited! ⚠️
Iranian statements show flexibility and a desire to reduce escalation and reach peace, but Iran is seeking a settlement that guarantees it can exit in a way that preserves face before its domestic and regional audience.
Iranian demands:
Partial or full lifting of the economic sanctions imposed on the oil sector and the Central Bank.
A guarantee that no further military strikes will be carried out against its facilities or leadership, and the restoration of its regional role without pressure.
Returning to understandings regarding its nuclear file under conditions that preserve its right to enrichment.
The expected U.S. response:
Rejection or Washington’s delay—Washington won’t give away free gifts and insists on removing all Iranian leverage cards completely (reducing regional influence and stopping support for proxies).
Unfathomable conditions: the U.S. administration will demand strict guarantees and full inspections that Tehran will not easily accept, making reaching a quick agreement highly unlikely.
Direct impact on the market
Temporary positive: the news provides quick psychological relief for the market and drives candles upward in a sudden surge, but the lack of an official agreement makes this rise prone to a rapid drop.
Financial markets are averse to ambiguity; as long as there is no final resolution, volatile liquidation candles will remain.
Trade cautiously and don’t get swept up by emotions and media hype—that is always the basis.

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