Regarding the odds of the cryptocurrency and stock markets

Compared to the previous odds, the current odds are not as high as before. This is how I think and then list some data.

ETH cannot outperform the A-share index

BTC cannot outperform MicroStrategy

ETH and Alibaba are close in market value

Weibo's market value is only 2.8 billion US dollars, less than many second-layer

SOL's market value is close to JD's market value

ETH has doubled to the peak of the last bull market.

BTC reached 70,000, an increase of 12%, which is similar to the daily limit of A-shares

BTC broke 100,000, an increase of 60%, and the corresponding point of A-shares coming up from the bottom is 4,300. The two probabilities may be similar.

The Shanghai Composite Index can reach the daily limit, and the Hang Seng Index can fall by 10%. Hong Kong stocks are comparable to those of Shanzhai stocks, whether in terms of increase or decrease, but the difference is that stocks have repurchases and dividends.

In fact, the returns and risks that can be obtained in all markets are similar, and sticking to the market you are good at will not miss too much.