Nan Ge’s latest investment research notes:
We first look at the total market value of cryptocurrencies, which is currently at 1.19 trillion. It has broken through the 1.5-1.6 trillion mark that it had been trying to break through for the past six days, and has maintained this level for three days (without immediately falling below it).
This shows that real funds are flowing into the market. At a time when the US stock market is falling and the Middle East is in turmoil, such a large amount of funds of 44.6 billion US dollars have entered the crypto circle (44.6 billion is equivalent to the total market value of Baidu). In the past year, there has been almost no such large counter-trend rise and independent market in the crypto circle.
There is only one possibility for the entry of large funds at this time, that is, there is a high probability that a favorable event will happen in the crypto circle. Let's review the major favorable events that may happen in the crypto circle in the near future, which can make the market enter the bull market.
1. Ferrari supports crypto asset purchases
(This kind of good news will bring about a herd effect in a bull market, but in the crypto winter, it will not attract new institutional participation from the outside world)
2. The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is favorable
(If an institution gets the inside information in advance and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is favorable, the first to reflect it should be the Nasdaq index, not the crypto circle)
3. Bitcoin ETF approved
(The last fake news caused a surge in the crypto market, which shows that there are indeed institutions and funds waiting for the passage of the bill)
We analyzed the recent news and came to the conclusion that the influx of a large amount of funds this time was related to the Bitcoin ETF event.
2. The logic behind the large institutional funds entering the market at this time: (Based on the above logic, we can determine that the institutional entry is related to the approval of the BTC ETF)
The Bitcoin ETF has been approved in the US. This has been going on for a long time and is not new news. At this time, institutions are entering the market with large amounts of money.
(Additional knowledge points here:
Every large-scale investment by an institution must be subject to background investigation, market research, competition analysis, and financial analysis to assess the feasibility, risk, and potential return of the project. Then, the project will be reviewed, which usually involves bank funds. The bank will ask a third-party agency to conduct a second review. Repeat the above operations and finally make the decision.
Based on the above institutional operating procedures, we conclude that it is highly likely that BTC will be approved as an ETF in the US.
(According to Brother Nan’s judgment, the institution has already obtained some inside information in advance)
Three: How do we do this? (Five stars for this)
1. For long-term strategy, you can still hoard 30,000 bitcoins and more than 1,600 ETH with your eyes closed. At this time, your price is almost the same as the holding price of 46 billion US dollars this time.
2. Mid-term strategy: At this time, buy BTC spot + open a small leverage short contract with the same position. To form a lock. The price of Bitcoin will be between 29,000 and 32,000, a range of fluctuations. Use the contract + spot method to start the top and bottom operations.
3. Short-term strategy: Once Bitcoin enters a period of volatility due to its crazy rise, its funds will flow into small currencies, and chase the most popular currencies with small leverage, the highest funding rates, and small currencies with high turnover rates.
Here, Brother Nan ambushed Starl Arb and TRB.
For short-term contracts, it is expected that there will be a wave of selling pressure in the market. You can follow the RSI divergence indicator and wait for the second divergence in 1 hour before entering the market. Currently, in the 4-hour period, Bitcoin has entered a divergence. You can continue to wait and see.
Summary: With the independent rise of the crypto market, it will trigger a snowball effect, causing the market to gradually warm up, and the coldest winter in the crypto market is gradually passing.
I’m Brother Nan Yannan. If you want to see more information, investment research and analysis, please follow me and I will take you to understand the logical secrets behind the market.
