【Summary of thoughts on trading】

I rarely post things about trading, because it is a thankless job, but as an old leek who has paid tuition for many years, I think some thoughts can be shared, so that everyone can have a collision of ideas. After all, as Li Xiaolai said: the consensus of idiots is also a consensus. I would like to add: the thoughts of leeks can also resonate

Many of us like to guess the top and bottom, because this kind of deterministic price tag is easily visualized by our brain, but the world is essentially impossible to have such precise judgment technology. No one can accurately judge whether it has reached the top. Everything is just probability, even if it is bet right, because all events are factors that change dynamically on the timeline, affecting the results at all times

Whenever a new signal appears, the probability of reaching the top may increase. When another signal appears, the probability of reaching the bottom will increase instead. Everything is just the dynamic movement of probability

For example, like the weather, if it is cloudy, the probability of rain will be greater, but it does not mean that it will rain if it is cloudy. It may also be that the clouds will disperse in a blink of an eye and the sun will appear.

To give another example, many big brothers in the circle like to go out to clubs with young models, but no matter how strict the arrangements are, the sir may break into the room and interrupt your exercise process. Whether you can complete a private exercise to your heart's content depends entirely on the location, time, whether the personnel are fishing and other factors you choose. Unless you choose not to do this kind of private exercise, it is possible to turn the high probability into 0

When doing transactions, you must use probabilistic thinking to understand your own behavior, so that you can better correct your trading cognition and guide your own operations

The above~ I also welcome all big brothers to guide my transactions🤝