Based on historical data and market trend analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) prices are expected to see significant growth in 2024, not 2025.
Looking back at the timing of the past several BTC halvings: 2012, 2016 and 2020 plus this year
During the first halving cycle, BTC prices increased by 186% in 2012, and the following year in 2013, the increase reached an astonishing 5372%. A similar pattern was also seen before the 2017 bull market, which shows that BTC follows the pattern of “moderate rise before halving and sharp rise one year after halving.”
However, in the last cycle, this pattern changed. In 2019, the year before the halving, the price of BTC rose by 93.4%, far exceeding the 40.9% in 2015; and in the year of the halving (2020), the price of BTC rose by as high as 273%, exceeding the year after the halving. (2021) growth of 62.3%.
In the current cycle, the phenomenon of "up cycle" being advanced is even more obvious. In 2023, the year before the halving, BTC achieved a growth of 147.3%, once again exceeding the increase in the year before the previous halving (2019). It is worth noting that the first quarter of 2024 is not yet over, and the price of BTC has increased by nearly 60%.
Therefore, there is a high probability that 2024 will be the main growth year of this bull market, and investors should not expect a sharp rise in 2025. It may be a wiser strategy to seize the current opportunity to increase investment, and 2025 may be the time for us to take profits and reduce our positions.
Finally, friends who have operational problems are welcome to communicate and learn together. I hope that everyone can build their own trading system, use trading to gain ways to make money, and gain their own success.
