$IBM Is IBM trying to stage a retaliatory rebound? ??
Fundamentals:
The hard flaw is in the earnings report—not a positive catalyst.
Earnings disappointments are the main theme: In Q2, IBM revenue missed expectations and it even lowered its full-year growth outlook. The core mainframe business revenue plunged 42% because customers redirected their money to rush-buy AI hardware. This is a fundamental negative.
“Quantum advantage” is still a long way off: while the news does show a breakthrough, it’s still very far from commercialization. It feels more like long-term “painting a picture,” and it’s hard for it to immediately reverse the pessimistic sentiment driven by near-term earnings.
Technical Analysis:
Unclear direction: indicators for both bulls and bears are mixed. MACD and others look bearish, but KDJ shows buy signals—meaning the market itself hasn’t figured out which way to go.
Anna’s Viewpoint:
Positive news isn’t enough to outweigh the negatives, so the potential downside is far greater than the upside.
Anna’s Trading Strategy:
Aggressive: at around 227, enter a short position directly, then add to the position at 230.
Conservative: wait for price to consolidate and concentrate around the 230 area before entering shorts.
(Exact entry timing—👇 get real-time info edge in the chat room 👇) What should you do if you already hold a long position? You can also come to the chat room—I’ll walk you through how to unwind it step by step.
No Longs, Period: Until there is a real improvement in the company’s fundamentals, don’t try to bottom-fish against the trend just because of long-term news like “quantum computing.”
#ibm #美股