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Marvin Alvis
12.7k Posts

Marvin Alvis

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1.8 Years
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Portfolio
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Bullish
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I’ve been watching BTC’s chart, and this looks more like a test than a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin has recovered toward $78K, but the key question is whether buyers can turn the current resistance area into support. Falling wedges can resolve sharply, but the pattern itself isn’t confirmation. For me, the interesting part is what happens after the breakout attempt: does Bitcoin actually hold the level, or does the move fade? That’s where the chart starts telling a more useful story. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT) #BTC
I’ve been watching BTC’s chart, and this looks more like a test than a confirmed breakout.

Bitcoin has recovered toward $78K, but the key question is whether buyers can turn the current resistance area into support.

Falling wedges can resolve sharply, but the pattern itself isn’t confirmation.

For me, the interesting part is what happens after the breakout attempt: does Bitcoin actually hold the level, or does the move fade?

That’s where the chart starts telling a more useful story.

$BTC
$BNB
#BTC
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Bullish
Verified
See translation
I’ve been looking beyond the green candles today, because a sharp move doesn’t tell the whole story. $AVA has real utility through Travala’s travel ecosystem, so I’d watch whether recent momentum is supported by continued usage rather than just attention. $ONE is a very different situation. Harmony has proposed sunsetting its Layer 1 and moving ONE to Ethereum after recent security problems. $GENIUS has a newer ecosystem and received Binance’s HODLer Airdrop support, but it still needs time to prove lasting product usage beyond the launch cycle. I keep coming back to the same question with fast-moving gainers: is the activity creating something durable, or are we simply watching attention move from one ticker to another? #SECGrantsInnovationExemptionForTokenizedStocks #StellarActivatesProtocol28At211TPS #InjectiveLaunchesINJOnSolana #BOJHikesRatesTo31YearHigh
I’ve been looking beyond the green candles today, because a sharp move doesn’t tell the whole story.

$AVA has real utility through Travala’s travel ecosystem, so I’d watch whether recent momentum is supported by continued usage rather than just attention.

$ONE is a very different situation. Harmony has proposed sunsetting its Layer 1 and moving ONE to Ethereum after recent security problems.

$GENIUS has a newer ecosystem and received Binance’s HODLer Airdrop support, but it still needs time to prove lasting product usage beyond the launch cycle.

I keep coming back to the same question with fast-moving gainers: is the activity creating something durable, or are we simply watching attention move from one ticker to another?

#SECGrantsInnovationExemptionForTokenizedStocks #StellarActivatesProtocol28At211TPS #InjectiveLaunchesINJOnSolana #BOJHikesRatesTo31YearHigh
sharp move candles today
$AVA
$ONE
$GENIUS
18 hr(s) left
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Bullish
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U.S. stocks jumped
market reaction
geopolitical developments
price in hope
15 hr(s) left
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Bullish
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I’ve been watching the CLARITY Act closely, and the latest development is more about the negotiations than the failed vote. Seven Democratic senators who voted against advancing it now say they’re still committed to bipartisan crypto legislation. The 49–50 Senate vote stalled the bill, but the door to further talks remains open. That’s the part I’m watching now: can lawmakers turn the disagreements over ethics, consumer protection and market rules into language both sides can actually support? Sometimes the hardest part of regulation isn’t writing the rules. It’s getting enough people to agree on them. $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ZEC {spot}(ZECUSDT)
I’ve been watching the CLARITY Act closely, and the latest development is more about the negotiations than the failed vote.

Seven Democratic senators who voted against advancing it now say they’re still committed to bipartisan crypto legislation.

The 49–50 Senate vote stalled the bill, but the door to further talks remains open.

That’s the part I’m watching now: can lawmakers turn the disagreements over ethics, consumer protection and market rules into language both sides can actually support?

Sometimes the hardest part of regulation isn’t writing the rules. It’s getting enough people to agree on them.

$BTC
$ZEC
CLARITY Act closely
Seven Democratic senators
bipartisan crypto legislation
hardest part of regulation
14 hr(s) left
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Bullish
Verified
See translation
Fed closely
75%
policy stay
19%
policy backdrop
6%
16 votes • Voting closed
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Bullish
See translation
I’ve been watching the U.S. crypto tax debate, and this step is worth paying attention to. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced H.R. 10357, a bill that would give digital assets more specific tax rules. One practical change: qualifying crypto network fees of $10 or less could get a de minimis exemption from gain or loss calculations. It also addresses stablecoins, wash sales, broker reporting, and mining and staking income. It still has a long way to go before becoming law. But I keep thinking about the everyday user. If using crypto requires treating every tiny network fee like a separate tax event, the system becomes harder than the technology itself. The real test now is whether these proposed rules can make compliance simpler without creating new complexity elsewhere. $ONE {spot}(ONEUSDT) $BR {future}(BRUSDT) #RobinhoodToSupportCircleArcNetwork #FedHikes25BpsUSStocksClose #FedSEPProjects2026RateAt4.1% #AaveToLaunchRWAMarketOnAvalanche #FedSEPProjects2026RateAt4.1%
I’ve been watching the U.S. crypto tax debate, and this step is worth paying attention to.

The House Ways and Means Committee advanced H.R. 10357, a bill that would give digital assets more specific tax rules.

One practical change: qualifying crypto network fees of $10 or less could get a de minimis exemption from gain or loss calculations.

It also addresses stablecoins, wash sales, broker reporting, and mining and staking income.

It still has a long way to go before becoming law.

But I keep thinking about the everyday user. If using crypto requires treating every tiny network fee like a separate tax event, the system becomes harder than the technology itself.

The real test now is whether these proposed rules can make compliance simpler without creating new complexity elsewhere.

$ONE
$BR
#RobinhoodToSupportCircleArcNetwork #FedHikes25BpsUSStocksClose #FedSEPProjects2026RateAt4.1% #AaveToLaunchRWAMarketOnAvalanche #FedSEPProjects2026RateAt4.1%
U.S. crypto
0%
Committee
100%
technology
0%
complexity
0%
1 votes • Voting closed
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Bullish
See translation
I’ve been watching the CLARITY Act for a while, and yesterday’s Senate vote showed why this matters beyond crypto headlines. The bill is designed to create a federal market-structure framework for digital assets, including clearer lines between SEC and CFTC oversight. But the September 15 cloture vote failed 49–50, short of the 60 votes needed to move forward. So this isn’t the end of the bill, but it is a clear sign that regulatory clarity still depends on political agreement. I keep coming back to one question: how long can an industry build around uncertainty before clear rules become infrastructure of their own? $SYN $AKE $USELESS #FedRateWatch #BitcoinFalls4% #MSTRTradingVolumeSurpassesMorganStanley #USDTLaunchesOnZamaPrivacyProtocol #USSenateBlocksClarityAct
I’ve been watching the CLARITY Act for a while, and yesterday’s Senate vote showed why this matters beyond crypto headlines.

The bill is designed to create a federal market-structure framework for digital assets, including clearer lines between SEC and CFTC oversight.

But the September 15 cloture vote failed 49–50, short of the 60 votes needed to move forward.

So this isn’t the end of the bill, but it is a clear sign that regulatory clarity still depends on political agreement.

I keep coming back to one question: how long can an industry build around uncertainty before clear rules become infrastructure of their own?

$SYN $AKE $USELESS

#FedRateWatch #BitcoinFalls4% #MSTRTradingVolumeSurpassesMorganStanley #USDTLaunchesOnZamaPrivacyProtocol #USSenateBlocksClarityAct
CLARITY Act
63%
Senate vote
25%
CFTC oversight
0%
political agreement
12%
8 votes • Voting closed
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Bullish
Verified
See translation
I’ve been watching this Fed cycle closely, and September feels less about guessing the next headline and more about understanding what the data is forcing policymakers to confront. The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% in July, but the vote was already split 9–3, with three officials preferring a 25bp hike. Since then, August CPI came in at 3.4% YoY, core CPI at 2.4%, while August payrolls rose 162K and unemployment stayed at 4.1%. #FedRateWatch So the tension is pretty clear: inflation is still above target, but the labor market isn’t showing the kind of deterioration that would make policy simple. That’s why I’m watching the guidance as much as the decision itself. Is today about one rate move, or about how long the Fed thinks restrictive policy may still be needed? Sometimes the most important signal isn’t the rate. It’s what the Fed says it’s still worried about. $AKE {future}(AKEUSDT) $LSK {future}(LSKUSDT) $SYN {future}(SYNUSDT)
I’ve been watching this Fed cycle closely, and September feels less about guessing the next headline and more about understanding what the data is forcing policymakers to confront.

The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% in July, but the vote was already split 9–3, with three officials preferring a 25bp hike. Since then, August CPI came in at 3.4% YoY, core CPI at 2.4%, while August payrolls rose 162K and unemployment stayed at 4.1%.

#FedRateWatch

So the tension is pretty clear: inflation is still above target, but the labor market isn’t showing the kind of deterioration that would make policy simple.

That’s why I’m watching the guidance as much as the decision itself.

Is today about one rate move, or about how long the Fed thinks restrictive policy may still be needed?

Sometimes the most important signal isn’t the rate. It’s what the Fed says it’s still worried about.

$AKE
$LSK
$SYN
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