每天賺百分之六

It's now 2026.05.16 at 10:06 AM. Long position shorts were increased at 81888 based on the 14-day market analysis, and I'm currently trimming the position near the market price around 80388. I'm holding 2.5 BTC, and the short-term strategy from the 14-day analysis has failed.
$BTC The price surged over 3% within three hours on the evening of the 14th due to the impact of the U.S. crypto bill. The highest price on Binance futures was 81999, but it didn't break the previous high. On the 15th, the day session saw a decline and consolidation. Before the U.S. stock market opened, the price broke below the 80588 support, and after the market opened, it accelerated its drop following the U.S. stocks, falling 1500 points within half an hour, hitting a low of 78610, which is about the same as the previous low. The price around 79100 from yesterday's close at 8 AM adds to the uncertainty in the daily candlestick patterns. Currently, BTC is oscillating around the 79288 level without touching the important support at 77888 or the short-term resistance at 80588. I won't make any moves here, waiting for a breakout at either of these levels to engage in right-side short trading (it's been a while since I've done short trades; I'll take a few light positions to regain confidence. For long trades, I'm still using USDT pairs; for short trades, I might go with USDC or wait for the upcoming USD1). The long trading perspective remains the same as yesterday, focusing on whether the resistance at 81888 will be breached again and the new high point. Here, I'll consider adding to my position again, but I recommend cutting the additional position size in half compared to yesterday, or scaling in between 80888 and 81888 to prevent missing out if the price drops again. I can also set a price alert above 80888 to monitor and decide on adding to my position based on volume and price relations. In the contract data, we've noticed that the long-to-short ratio has risen back above 1.0; however, the reference value of this data needs further observation. Both net longs and net shorts have decreased after yesterday's price drop, indicating that the confidence of long-term traders is waning again with the market's cleanup by the whales, who are nearing their psychological expectations for the next move.

It is 04:20 AM on 2026.07.03. The two BTC long-term short positions are still in place. The short-term long position from 59088 to 58588 exited with a stop-loss at 57888, and after that there were no new trades. After stopping out by 100 points, the rebound was really grinding on my nerves, so I didn’t participate yesterday.
Since the last June 17 market analysis share, after continuing to look bearish, BTC has dropped from 67000 and broken below the previous low of 59000, then repeatedly tested lower but failed to achieve the bigger downside move that was expected. Currently, a rebound has started around the new low of 57700, and the rebound high reached 62200. Since it has been half a month since I last did a market analysis, the following analysis uses the price action after the previous analysis as the starting point. Looking at the BTC futures contract data on the four-hour level: net shorts keep entering, net longs are exiting, and the net-short entry value is far greater than the net-long. Chasing shorts near the bottom has also gathered a large amount of liquidation positions overhead. The Binance BTC long/short account ratio fell from 3 after the price broke below 58000, and as the price continued to rise it dropped to the current 1.66, which matches the change in values when bottom long positions take profit and exit during an upward move. A MACD four-hour bullish divergence at the bottom has formed. At the daily level, a bottom divergence has also formed, but the fast line has not shown a clear upward turn, and the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis. For now, the daily-level bottom divergence is to be observed. In summary, due to the dense overhead positions plus the support from the bottom divergence and rebound needs, the mid-term trend is likely to see a rebound.

It's now 20:53 on June 17, 2026. I re-entered 50% of my long-term short position at market price near 63500 after closing at 67200 yesterday. The added position is set with a cost defense strategy. For the USDC trading pair, I switched my short-term strategy to long-term yesterday, temporarily eyeing support around 60000. Of course, those who can't hold should remember to close around 64900.
BTC price has continued to rebound since my last exit, peaking near 67200 and pulling back to around 64500. The current market price is 65000, which is 300 points off the previously analyzed high of 67588. I'm glad I chose to re-enter at market price yesterday. The reason for entering near 67588 was the natural rebound high point on the left side; anyone who understands the charts would test this area or close their longs. I won’t elaborate further, but regarding the recent bullish trend, I personally think it’s just a rebound from 82000+ to below 60000. Even with news about the US and Iran halting conflicts, this rally seems insignificant compared to the previous drop, let alone a reversal. In the contract data, the long-to-short ratio has dropped to around 1.3 following the price movements, so when adding to long positions, I remind everyone to keep stop losses close. The short-term strategy for the USDC trading pair will proceed normally. The switch from short to long yesterday was purely driven by my own greed and intuition, so don’t follow that! The net long and short data only showed significant fluctuations after the news about the US and Iran conflict resolution came out on the 15th, otherwise, it's been stagnant. After nearly a 30% drop, the big players need a break; after all, even the 'wheat' needs time to grow.