每天賺百分之六

It is now 2026.03.05 at 0:08 AM. BTC started a strong rebound yesterday afternoon (UTC-8) at 67350, with a current high of 73500, an increase of over 9%. In terms of contracts, our short positions at 70588-71788 did not close timely after reducing at an average price of 71188, as the rise in the US stock market after opening led to a stop loss at 72588. Even with a 2% position, the floating loss was 4% of the account amount (see image three); the call option for March 5 at 71000 and the put option at 64000, arranged at 10 AM yesterday before sleep, served as hedges (see image four). Due to the significant market rise, the price of the call option was already at 1430 when I woke up in the evening, with a 50% profit taken at 1430, and it continued to rise to over 2100 in the evening, taking another 40% profit. Currently, the total realized profit from today's call options is 1900%, and based on a 1% position, today's profit from the call options is 19% of the account minus the loss from the put options of 18%. The total profit from today's trades amounts to 18-4=14% of the account, excluding the remaining value of the options position, and this is calculated under the condition of minimum profit from the options and maximum loss from the contracts (the remaining value of the call options is temporarily at over 2.5% of the account before opening, with current profits at 2600%).

It is now 00:03 on April 9, 2026. The short positions established a few days ago were stopped out at 70588, and I currently hold a market short position at 72400, having taken a profit of 50% near 71000, with a stop at 71888. I bought a put option expiring on the 9th at a market price of 65 for 69500 and closed 50% at a price of 135, leaving the remaining position at zero cost.
The BTC price began to rebound near 67700 above the support of 67588 mentioned in our analysis on the evening of the 6th, and started to rise rapidly at 4 AM on the 8th, catalyzed by positive news regarding a ceasefire in the Middle East. It touched the high point near 72800 twice before retracing, and the current price is 71300. Today's short position has been arranged for friends in the group to reduce their holdings, and I personally have not made any trades. Options have been closed at 50% with a zero-cost structure according to the strategy. The long-to-short position ratio has dropped below 1.0, with a minimum of 0.89, which is also the best entry point for most short positions in the past. Coupled with the fact that we are still in a bear market, if the BTC price rises again, I still recommend opening short positions, such as entering again at the upper resistance levels of 73888/76000. As for whether to re-establish the long-term short positions at 78588/80588 that were canceled a few days ago, we need to wait for two days for the market to become clearer before making a decision.

It is now 2026.04.06 at 16:58, and the BTC price has surged again in the early morning, reaching a maximum of 69583, just 5 U away from touching our long-term short position accumulation point at 69588 (which has been accumulated). No market price accumulation operations have been made; we will wait until the US stock market opens.
Currently, the BTC price is fluctuating narrowly around 68700-69300. I personally have not made any extra operations, as I don't want to trade frequently in the later stage of the bear market. I have positioned for a medium to long term bet on the final drop. Both the daily and weekly BTC charts have closed with bullish candles, with a golden cross forming on the daily chart and a golden cross imminent on the weekly chart. I believe that the daily and weekly charts do not significantly impact the short-term price trends of BTC, so there is no need to pay too much attention. The long to short ratio has returned to 1.06 with the price increase, which is beneficial for short positions. Currently, there is resistance at the 70000 round number, and above that is the 72000 area where we previously faced a drop after hitting our defense. Support is at 67588 and more importantly at 64700. However, I still do not recommend long positions. Friends holding long-term short positions who do not plan to reduce their holdings above 60000 can consider positioning for a short-term long at either 62388 or 60388. I believe that after a second touch at these two levels, there will be a relatively good rebound.

Now it is 2026.04.02 at 17:31. Currently, the long-term short positions for BTC continue to be held. The 0.5% hedge position of the call options before Trump's speech in the morning has incurred losses.
Yesterday, after BTC's price touched around 69200 again, it began to pull back. After Trump's speech regarding the Middle East situation in the morning, it quickly pulled back from 68500 to 66200. The current price is fluctuating around 66400. Currently, BTC has not broken through the upward trend line since surpassing 60000 again. This continues to align with past views (sub-chart 1), so the current contracts are still primarily short positions for the medium to long term. Friends who want to participate in long positions can pay attention to around 64700 and 62588, and enter with a small position to aim for a short-term long. It is recommended to continue holding short positions above, as BTC's price did not reduce positions when it pulled back to 66000 a few days ago. Even if it rebounds again, as long as it does not break through the upper trend line, continue to increase positions to raise the holding price of the short positions.

It is now 2026.03.31 at 16:38. The returns for March in the A-share market have met expectations despite the market decline. Yesterday, the mid to long-term short positions in BTC continued to be held without any reduction in positions, as we wait for the anticipated levels. After entering the market at yesterday's price, BTC began to decline, reaching a low of 66200 in the evening before rebounding, peaking at 68377, and is currently around 67100. The market trend aligns with the expectations from the 27th, and we continue to wait for new lows to appear. To explain again why there was no reduction in positions yesterday: firstly, our strategy is for mid to long-term short positions, and we won't make adjustments due to a drop of one or two thousand points. Furthermore, I cannot predict the movements of intermediate volatile markets; if we reduce our positions and the price continues to drop without rebounding, wouldn’t it be said that I missed out? Although the market has created a higher point than yesterday, it still hasn't broken through the current price range, nor has it broken the upward trend line since BTC fell to 60000. Since it hasn't exceeded expectations, we will execute operations according to the anticipated strategy. As for whether it will drop in a day or fluctuate for a while before dropping, all we can do is wait. Stay calm and don’t rush; the additional positions above have not yet entered the market, so what is there to worry about? I personally believe this may be the last opportunity for a significant downward trend in the bear market. If one cannot hold mid to long-term short positions in a bear market, how can one hold long positions during the long-term fluctuations at the bottom? How will you make money in this market? If you can’t make money, when the next bull market comes, you won’t have the chips to participate in the feast after asset growth. Rather than wasting time here and wearing down your mindset, it’s better to find a stable job and spend time with family. The recent sharing of the A-share market is part of my retirement plan, which is also one of the reasons I haven’t updated market analysis in a timely manner lately. Limited energy means I really don’t have extra time for market analysis while handling operations on both sides. Here’s a boast: although the A-share market has been declining throughout March, I made money. I wonder how other friends playing in the A-share market have fared this month? Another reason for not updating the market analysis is: it meets past expectations, and there’s no need to reiterate multiple times. Repeating the same viewpoint too much can come off as nagging; it’s better to read books and continue to expand one’s knowledge. Furthermore, since it meets expectations, reiterating the market movements could imply hindsight bias. One cannot boast about a single viewpoint or transaction for a lifetime; after all, it’s not just one trade that leads to retirement. Therefore, I haven’t boasted for several days just because I made a few hundred points. The market continues, aligning with past viewpoints, and there’s nothing new to share. We will continue to wait. Friends who need real-time market analysis can follow me in the chat room on my Plaza homepage, where I will share BTC strategies for free from time to time. Friends who want more strategies just need to use my Binance invitation code: MT666 to join my strategy channel, which can still be tried for free for a week. Since I’m not a short-term trader, I personally take 3-5 trades a week, and sometimes wait for just one trade in a week. The trial period starts from the first trade entry. I believe my trading strategy currently suits those who cannot monitor the market in real-time. You are always welcome to join.

It is now 2026.03.30 at 17:38. Recently, I have been validating my trading system in the bear market of the A-shares. It’s been a long time since I seriously wrote a market analysis 😆.
Currently, the BTC price is around 67500, and it hasn’t touched the 68388 long-term entry point suggested by the strategy channel on the 27th; it has already entered at market price. Last Wednesday, the single options trade did not reach the take-profit point, and after doubling, I lost all in the pattern, with a floating loss of 1.5%.
The BTC price has experienced a consecutive four-day decline after touching 72000 multiple times, with a rebound starting from the morning low of 64900. Here, we continue to follow the strategy channel from the 27th; if it breaks the trend line and then rebounds, we short it. If it breaks through the trend line again, we stop loss. Currently, this strategy also aligns with the views of most bearish traders in the market. As for whether the main force will continue to plunder the liquidity above before dropping again, we cannot predict that; let’s focus on what we see for now. Recently, I was almost shattered by the market that rose 100 points after getting stopped out of the BTC short position at 71888 last week, which then dropped. It might be a punishment for often gambling on precise points in the past, haha. The last short position entered at the market price of 71100, with a stop loss at 71888, and the high price at 72000. Due to the stop loss being slightly less, I missed out on 6000 points after losing over 100 points, which I indeed regret. Why didn’t I pull the stop loss a bit higher? Future strategies for entry points might change; raising the stop loss doesn’t align with current trading habits, so we’ll see later. Returning to the market situation, it’s well known that BTC is currently in a bear market, and there are various opinions about which stage of the bear market we are in. Personally, I adhere to past views; we are still in the oscillation recovery after an oversold BTC price, not yet at the bear market low. We are currently at the end of the recovery period and could see a wave of decline testing new lows at any time, so I've been advising friends not to go long recently. As for the next testing low point, I think it will be around 53000 on the left side, which is also our spot entry point. Once we reach there, I will continue to modify my trading approach, focusing primarily on spot trading and reducing the frequency of contract trading, taking a wait-and-see approach for now. Overall, there hasn’t been much change in the BTC trading strategy; we go short on rebounds. Speaking of options, I have recently been gambling on large single sides. After two trades doubled, I didn’t exit and chose to hold, resulting in losses in options. My personal approach to options is that it feels like buying a lottery ticket; either you hit the jackpot or feed the dogs. Doubling in options and exiting doesn’t align with my personal trading habits and can easily lead to missing the chance to hit the jackpot.

It is now 2026.03.23 at 12:18 PM. The weekend market conditions align with the expectations of the previous days' market analysis. This morning, the lowest drop reached 87300 before starting to rebound. Currently, the rebound momentum is very weak, fluctuating below the pressure point of 88588. The recent decline in BTC prices has also led to continuous losses or liquidations for the iron-headed bulls. I wonder if those who mindlessly believed that the price would go to ninety thousand have started shorting again. Personally, I believe that the important support for BTC is around 65000-66000 dollars; that is the last chance for the bulls. We will see if a relatively strong rebound can occur there. The key points to watch above are at the three pressure positions of 70388-71888-73888. The ETH price has also fallen below the important support of 2100, and I temporarily do not recommend bulls to enter the market.

It is now 2026.03.19 at 0:08 AM. After reducing the BTC75700 short position by 25% at 72588, I currently hold 25% of my position, planning to target 68588, with a profit of 20.61% realized today.
Yesterday evening at 18:00, the BTC price started to fall from 74300, reaching a minimum of 70800; the market has been repeatedly analyzed in the past few days, and there isn't much to discuss, it meets expectations, no need to overreact. I started reminding not to chase the rise three days ago; I wonder if my friends who follow me have taken it to heart. If not, it’s okay, just set a stop-loss and don’t be stubborn. Today I want to talk about trading insights that I often discuss with friends in the strategy channel. I am not a professional; all I can share are the pains I've endured during trading, and I remember the pain. Today, let’s discuss taking profits and stop-losses: stop-losses are basically a given; the first lesson in trading is to learn to stop-loss. If you can’t stop-loss, I suggest you don’t engage in trading, otherwise your trading will only lead to liquidation. Now, about taking profits, I believe it’s even more important than stop-losses. For example, if your position touches key support or resistance levels in different situations, you should reduce your position; do not harbor fantasies thinking that the trading asset can multiply directly or go to zero. Is that possible? Keep a calm mindset; when touching important levels, you need to reduce your position, don’t hold onto all your positions for speculation. Of course, it’s not like you should run away just because you made a little profit. For example, with BTC, for those strategies or KOLs with stop-losses of several thousand points and take-profits of one or two thousand points, don’t you calculate your risk-reward ratio? Losing one trade may not be recoverable by winning several trades. If you add to your position after holding a few thousand points, that’s even crazier; perhaps they are quite familiar with Liang Jingru. You might trade frequently, holding a few thousand points first then adding to your position to return to break even, feeling quite comfortable, and then one day you lose a trade and get liquidated, looking back at your high win rate and thinking of continuing to pump money in to get rich? How can you get rich if you earn so little on one trade but lose everything on another? I haven't opened any trades recently; I've been urging everyone to wait, and now here we are, a trade has realized a profit of over 20% in the account, with unrealized profits around 7%. Of course, my position is heavy, so I lose more when I lose; a single trade can lose 5%-8%, but one good trade can cover three or four losses. My win rate is average, around 60%-70%, because I can control my hands. I haven’t opened random trades; I won’t gamble on size at the middle of a price range. Last week, I hardly opened any trades, and so far this week I’ve made four trades: one long at market price of 71900, eventually profiting 30% at 75200 (this trade was called out at market price around 4 or 5 AM; some friends missed it), two shorts at 74000 that didn’t hit the take-profit at 72888, later exiting after deducting transaction costs, one short at 75700, and one short at 74700 given by a friend in the group who couldn’t resist, with a small stop-loss at 75188 and a take-profit of 50% at 73588; I don’t know if they held onto it. Let’s not count this trade. I might have rambled a bit, but I want to once again advise friends who trade to control your hands; starting to control them now is not too late. As long as your capital is still there, develop your trading strategy, cultivate your trading system, and once you smooth out your mindset, you can make money and become part of the 1% in this market.

It is now 2026.03.17 at 11:20 AM. Today we only discuss the market without talking about strategies. This time, the long positions in the rising market did not earn much, with 30% of the long position remaining at 71900 being fully liquidated at 75200 at market price. The short positions have not been liquidated to defend the cost despite a few hundred and eight hundred points. Only part of the market price short position earned 1300 points this morning and was liquidated, which is not worth boasting about. Currently, those without positions continue to wait for the previously shared high short strategies. Friends who need real-time market information can join my free strategy channel.
Under the circumstance of BTC having eight consecutive daily green candles, the price has risen from 65500 to 76000, which also gives you a return of over 15%, allowing the bulls to once again bask in the long-lost warm spring sun. As the price of BTC rises, mainstream coins like ETH and SOL, as well as some altcoins, have also seen significant increases, while the short squeeze has made the iron-headed bears feel like they are living in a hellish situation. In the last three weeks, BTC spot ETFs have continued to see net inflows, with last week's net inflow reaching as high as 767 million USD. Yesterday (03.16), the largest BTC holding company, Starategy, announced the purchase of more than 22,000 BTC, with a total investment of 1.57 billion USD and an average purchase price of 70194 USD. As of now, they hold a total of 761,068 BTC at an average purchase price of 75696 USD. With the arrival of spring, the big players have just touched the cost line. Recently, the price increase of BTC has surpassed that of most tech stocks in the US stock market and traditional assets like gold, which is gratifying. With more institutions and investors entering the market, the risk attributes of BTC assets are undergoing positive changes, and the long-term market outlook is becoming more promising. Personally, I believe that the current short-term market rise still belongs to a compensation for the previous decline, rather than a signal for investors to fully restore their risk appetite. Therefore, the recent strategy continues the views of the past few weeks, still leaning towards waiting for high shorts, even if it rises to over 80000 in the near future, I will still short.