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15 Mar

Next Week’s Macro Outlook: Trump’s Tariff War Pressures Fed as Super Central Bank Week Arrives

Key Takeaways:Gold surpasses $3,000 for the first time as investors seek safe-haven assets amid Trump’s escalating trade war.The Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and Swedish Central Bank will announce key interest rate decisions next week.Analysts suggest Trump’s economic pressure tactics could force the Fed to cut rates sooner than expected.Global Markets Prepare for Super Central Bank WeekNext week, global financial markets face one of the most critical weeks of the year, as major central banks—including the Federal Reserve (FOMC), Bank of Japan (BOJ), Bank of England (BOE), Swiss National Bank (SNB), and the Swedish Central Bank (Riksbank)—are set to announce their latest monetary policy decisions.Key Economic Events to Watch:Monday: U.S. February retail sales report and March New York Fed Manufacturing Index.Thursday: Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision and economic outlook summary.Thursday: Fed Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference to outline future monetary policy.Thursday: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, Q4 Current Account Data, and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index.Friday: New York Fed President John Williams delivers a speech on the U.S. economic outlook.Will Trump’s Policies Force a Fed Rate Cut?Market analysts warn that the Trump administration’s trade war and protectionist policies could artificially create economic panic—pressuring the Federal Reserve into cutting interest rates sooner than expected.Gold’s historic surge past $3,000 reflects increasing market uncertainty, with investors hedging against potential economic downturns.The Federal Reserve’s rate decision on Thursday will be closely watched as traders speculate whether the central bank will bow to economic pressures.Some analysts argue that Trump's aggressive economic stance—including tariffs on European and Asian imports—could further disrupt global markets, forcing a faster-than-expected policy shift from the Fed.Next week’s central bank announcements will provide critical insight into how policymakers respond to ongoing market volatility and rising global economic tensions.
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14 Mar

IRS Workforce Reduction Proposed Amid Cost-Cutting Measures

According to Cointelegraph, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is proposing a significant reduction in the Internal Revenue Service’s (IRS) workforce, aiming for a 20% cut by May 15, 2025. This move could affect approximately 6,800 employees, adding to the 6,700 probationary employees already dismissed and 4,700 IRS agents who accepted severance packages for retirement.A recent ruling by U.S. district judge William Alsup may complicate these layoffs. The judge ordered federal agencies to reinstate probationary workers terminated due to DOGE's cost-cutting initiatives, potentially obstructing the planned workforce reduction unless the ruling is overturned.U.S. President Donald Trump has pledged comprehensive tax reform, including the possible elimination of federal income tax, proposing to fund the federal government solely through tariffs on foreign goods. This aligns with DOGE's broader strategy, led by businessman Elon Musk, to address the $36 trillion U.S. national debt by downsizing federal bureaucracy and implementing cost-saving measures.Among the innovative proposals is the idea of putting all public spending onchain to enhance transparency and reduce deficits. In line with these directives, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced on February 21 that it would cut its regional office directors, although the offices themselves will remain operational. The SEC has submitted its 2025 budget proposal to Congress, requesting $2.6 billion.President Trump and Elon Musk have considered redistributing 20% of the savings from DOGE's initiatives to Americans through stimulus checks or potential tax credits. Research from Dancing Numbers, an accounting automation company, suggests that eliminating federal income tax could save the average American $134,809 over their lifetime, with potential savings reaching $325,561 per person if state-level wage-based taxes are also repealed.Despite these proposals, skepticism remains. U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has expressed strong criticism of Elon Musk, President Trump, and DOGE's strategies. In January 2025, she sent a letter to DOGE advocating for increased taxes and federal spending to enhance government efficiency. The debate continues as DOGE's cost-cutting measures face scrutiny and opposition from various political figures.
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13 Mar

Cryptocurrency Entrepreneur Convicted of Fraud and Money Laundering

According to CoinDesk, a federal jury in the Northern District of California has convicted cryptocurrency entrepreneur Rowland Marcus Andrade of wire fraud and money laundering related to the sale of AML Bitcoin tokens. The charges are linked to an initial coin offering conducted by Andrade in 2017 and 2018. Court documents revealed that Andrade, a resident of Texas, misled investors by claiming that AML Bitcoin tokens would be converted into a tradeable cryptocurrency, which never materialized. This conviction concludes one of the earliest and most prolonged crypto "pump-and-dump" cases prosecuted by U.S. federal authorities.The U.S. Department of Justice identified Jack Abramoff, a well-known D.C. lobbyist, as a co-conspirator in the case. Abramoff pleaded guilty in 2020 and paid over $50,000 in disgorgement and interest. He is notably recognized for his role in a federal corruption scandal that led to his imprisonment and was portrayed in the film "Casino Jack." The Department of Justice's statement accused Andrade of misappropriating over $2 million from the sale of AML Bitcoin, using the funds for personal expenses, including purchasing two properties in Texas and two luxury vehicles.Additionally, Andrade falsely asserted that the Panama Canal Authority was nearing an agreement to allow AML Bitcoin for transactions involving ships passing through the canal, a claim that was unfounded. Acting United States Attorney Patrick D. Robbins emphasized the unlawful nature of raising funds through deceit, stating, "Fraudsters often tout new and innovative technology in order to raise money from investors. But raising money through lies and misrepresentations is neither new nor innovative. It's unlawful, plain and simple." Robbins warned that those who deceive investors for personal gain would be held accountable.Andrade is set to be sentenced in July. The Department of Justice's press release indicated that he faces a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison for wire fraud and 10 years for money laundering, along with the forfeiture of all property linked to his fraudulent activities, including the properties acquired in Texas.
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13 Mar

Turkey Implements Comprehensive Cryptocurrency Regulations for Service Providers

According to Cointelegraph, Turkey is moving forward with its cryptocurrency regulations by introducing new rules for crypto asset service providers (CASPs). On March 13, the Capital Markets Board (CMB) of Türkiye released two regulatory documents outlining the licensing and operational guidelines for CASPs, which include crypto exchanges, custodians, and wallet service providers. The newly established framework grants the CMB comprehensive oversight over crypto platforms, ensuring they comply with both national and international standards. It sets forth specific criteria and requirements for the establishment and operation of crypto asset services in Turkey, covering aspects such as establishment capital, executive history, shareholder regulations, and more. Under this framework, CASPs will be required to invest in compliance infrastructure, which may pose challenges as they adapt to the new regulatory environment. Additionally, CASPs must adhere to stringent reporting requirements, providing the CMB with timely and accurate information regarding their operations. The regulatory documents indicate that Turkey's new crypto regulations are aligned with global standards, following the regulatory approaches established by Europe's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The regulations also aim to enforce stricter trading requirements for Turkish investors, introduce potential restrictions on stablecoins, and address the decentralized finance (DeFi) market within Turkey. This is an evolving situation, and further updates will be provided as more information becomes available.
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