MAYA_

I’ve been thinking about something... are we perhaps placing too much importance on the idea of ​​having "missed the bottom"?
Because pinpointing the absolute bottom on the chart might not be the most interesting question right now.
BTC has already risen roughly 35% from its lows. At first glance, that figure seems significant. It makes you feel like, "It’s gone up so much — where is the opportunity to get in now?"
But if you look at the math differently, the picture changes.
Suppose this bull run eventually tops out around $160K. That leaves roughly 100% upside potential from the current market price. I’m not factoring in leverage or a perfect entry here. Even if someone buys relatively close to a local top, it doesn't mean the upside potential is completely gone.
This is the part that strikes me as interesting.
We often behave in the market as if missing a specific price point means missing the entire opportunity. If BTC rises 35% from the bottom, the first thought is, "I'm too late." But when you calculate based on a potential top like $160K, that fear doesn't seem quite so straightforward.
Of course, $160K isn't a guaranteed target; it’s just a calculation based on this specific scenario.
And if BTC pulls back to the $69K–$74K range, things get even more interesting. I view this region as a potential spot for the next "higher low" to form. If the market structure holds there and someone takes a position — like a 2x swing long — a move to $160K could yield roughly 230%–260% upside.
There is a caveat, though.
A "higher low" isn't guaranteed to happen. Markets often dip below what appears to be obvious support to sweep liquidity. So, relying solely on a specific range to establish certainty doesn't feel quite right to me.
Still, the psychology behind it is fascinating.
The trader who missed the bottom might be tempted to chase the price now, while the one who is already in is wondering how much upside remains. Both sides are looking at the same chart, yet the narrative playing out in their minds differs.
I believe this is precisely where many flawed decisions originate.
Just as waiting for the "perfect entry" can cause you to miss the entire move, making an emotional decision based on the thought that "it’s too late now" is equally problematic.
It is true that BTC has rallied 35% from its lows. However, if a larger move still lies ahead, I see no reason to assume the opportunity is lost simply because the initial leg was missed.
Instead, I am focusing on three key factors: the $69K–$74K region, the higher-low structure, and the $160K scenario.
Ultimately, what matters is which narrative the market actually validates.
After all, calculations may look perfect on paper, but price action follows its own path.
$BTC
$B2
$LAB

What's really happening in $BTC ?
Looking at the chart, I think nothing much has changed.....
But looking at the liquidity sweep below and the rejection above together, it looks a little interesting. A small part of the liquidity accumulated below has been cleared in yesterday's downside move. Just a small part. That means the entire space has not been emptied yet, but most of the liquidity is still there.
And the upside is even more interesting.
The liquidity cluster above $80K did a little front-run before the price went there and then turned around and went back to the key support around $77K.
This is where I'm stopping for a moment.
Because in such places, the market often shows a very simple story — the price went down, everyone got scared, then bounced.... But the real move may not have started yet. Or the opposite could happen. We may be sitting at a level that cannot be held until the end, hoping for a bounce.
That's why $77K is not just a number to me now. It looks a bit like a decision point.
If buying comes from here again after yesterday's move, I wouldn't be surprised to see at least some attempt to fill the wick that was created by the previous rally. To be honest, my eyes are going that way.
But..... I'm stopping myself a little at the “bounce will come” point.
Because liquidity is still down. The upper cluster is not completely untouched. Price has done some work in both directions, but the story on either side is not completely over yet.
And time is also a factor.
It's the weekend. So how price reacts from this level towards late Sunday or Monday might give a clearer signal. Before that, if you try to extract more meaning from small moves, there is a possibility of falling into that old trap again — bullish after seeing a bounce, bearish after seeing a rejection.
Sometimes there is such a deja vu on the chart..... similar setup, similar liquidity, similar human impatience. Everyone wants to catch the next move in advance.
I'd rather see what the price does at $77K.
If buyers push again from there, there's room to go back to yesterday's wick. But if the level can't hold, then the whole thinking changes.
The most interesting thing for me right now is not the prediction — it's how long the market can make us wait.
Because where the liquidity is, the market won't always go. Sometimes the biggest trap is when we think we know where the next move will be.
$AAPLB
$BTC
$GOOGL.US
#CryptoLiquidations$674MIn24H #RevolutConfirmsFakeGovEmailDataBreach #CanadaOSFISaysTokenizedDepositsEqualTraditionalDeposits