#FedRateWatch
August core CPI hit 0.3% MoM, so I'm expecting the Fed to lock in a 25bps hike this week—just like the 90% market odds suggest. Here is how I'm playing it for #FedRateWatch :
1. My Take on the Fed’s Next Move
I fully expect a 25bps hike. Stubborn core inflation leaves Powell little choice if he wants to protect credibility. But I don't see this starting a major new hiking cycle. I think this is a one-off adjustment before the Fed hits pause to watch how the lagging impact hits the labor market.
2. How I See Markets Reacting
$BTC : Short-Term Pain, Mid-Term Gain. Tightening liquidity usually causes short-term choppy drops. Once the local rate peak is priced in, I expect a classic "sell the rumor, buy the news" rally.
Tech Stocks: Bearish. High yields hit growth valuations hard, so I'm bracing for pullbacks here.
Gold ($XAU): Resilience. Rising real yields hurt gold upfront, but persistent inflation keeps me long-term bullish on it as a safe haven.
3. How I’m Positioned Right Now
Crypto: I’m holding my core BTC spot positions and keeping 30% cash ready to buy dip liquidations near key support.
Stocks: I've been trimming high-multiple tech to rotate into defensive, high-cash-flow companies.
How are you positioning your portfolio? Let me know below! 👇
$G
$ARB
$SYN
#write2earn🌐💹
#ZamaOpens16ConfidentialMorphoVaults
August core CPI hit 0.3% MoM, so I'm expecting the Fed to lock in a 25bps hike this week—just like the 90% market odds suggest. Here is how I'm playing it for #FedRateWatch :
1. My Take on the Fed’s Next Move
I fully expect a 25bps hike. Stubborn core inflation leaves Powell little choice if he wants to protect credibility. But I don't see this starting a major new hiking cycle. I think this is a one-off adjustment before the Fed hits pause to watch how the lagging impact hits the labor market.
2. How I See Markets Reacting
$BTC : Short-Term Pain, Mid-Term Gain. Tightening liquidity usually causes short-term choppy drops. Once the local rate peak is priced in, I expect a classic "sell the rumor, buy the news" rally.
Tech Stocks: Bearish. High yields hit growth valuations hard, so I'm bracing for pullbacks here.
Gold ($XAU): Resilience. Rising real yields hurt gold upfront, but persistent inflation keeps me long-term bullish on it as a safe haven.
3. How I’m Positioned Right Now
Crypto: I’m holding my core BTC spot positions and keeping 30% cash ready to buy dip liquidations near key support.
Stocks: I've been trimming high-multiple tech to rotate into defensive, high-cash-flow companies.
How are you positioning your portfolio? Let me know below! 👇
$G
$ARB
$SYN
#write2earn🌐💹
#ZamaOpens16ConfidentialMorphoVaults
