bitcoincycle

We just watched Bitcoin lose nearly 50% of its value from the October 2025 peak of 126K.

Bitcoin has survived multiple 70–80% drawdowns. It has recovered to new all-time highs every cycle.
But structural shifts since 2024–2025 changed something fundamental:
The next expansion phase may not resemble 2017. It may not resemble 2021. Not because Bitcoin weakened. Because its ownership base evolved.
What Changed?
Three structural transformations reshaped Bitcoin:
➡️ Spot ETFs altered demand mechanics
➡️ Institutional capital became dominant
➡️ Bitcoin integrated into macro liquidity cycles
Bitcoin is no longer a retail-dominated reflexive trade. It is increasingly a liquidity-sensitive macro asset. That changes how cycles ignite, expand, and cool.
1️⃣ From Parabolic Mania to Capital Rotation
➡️Previous Cycles:
🔸️Retail-led FOMO🔸️Vertical price expansions
🔸️Blow-off tops 🔸️Deep resets
➡️Emerging Structure:
🔸️ETF-driven allocation
🔸️Gradual capital rotation
🔸️Portfolio rebalancing
🔸️Liquidity-dependent acceleration
Institutions don’t chase candles emotionally. They allocate when:
▫️Risk premiums compress
▫️Real yields fall
▫️Portfolio diversification improves
This suggests future expansions may be less vertical but more structurally sustained.
2️⃣ Volatility Isn’t Gone — It’s Evolving
Bitcoin still experiences 25–35% drawdowns even post-ETF. Institutions did not eliminate volatility. But the trajectory may shift over longer time horizons.
Instead of: Extreme blow-off → 80% collapse
We may see: Stair-step expansions. Multi-quarter consolidations. Shallower, longer drawdowns
Short-term volatility remains high. Long-term volatility may gradually decay as ownership broadens. That’s not compression. That’s maturation.
3️⃣ The Structural Ceiling: ETF Cost Basis
This did not exist in 2017. Large ETF inflows in 2025 clustered between $85K–100K.
That creates:
🔹️Defined cost-basis zones
🔹️Overhead supply
🔹️Rebalancing resistance

Institutional ETF holdings create structured supply mechanical layers that influence BTC price behavior.
When BTC rallies toward prior institutional entry zones:
• Breakeven sellers emerge
• Risk desks reduce exposure
• Momentum stalls
Bitcoin now has layers of capital that behave mechanically not emotionally. Future supercycles must absorb structured positioning, not just ignite hype.
4️⃣ What Makes the Next Cycle Structurally Different?

Older cycle shape:
🔸️Vertical expansion 🔸️Rapid exhaustion
🔸️Deep winter reset
Potential new cycle shape:
Liquidity shift → accumulation band
Breakout → rotation → consolidation
Re-acceleration → measured extension
Macro-driven cooling not full collapse
Instead of explosive one-year mania, we may see a multi-year staircase expansion.
🔹️Longer 🔹️More mechanical.
🔹️Less chaotic.
Still powerful but structurally layered.
5️⃣ What Actually Ignites the Next Expansion?
Structure alone doesn’t start cycles. Capital reallocation does. Three realistic ignition triggers:
➡️ A Clear Fed Pivot
If:
Real yields decline meaningfully
Rate cuts accelerate
Dollar weakens structurally
Liquidity expands.
Bitcoin historically responds disproportionately to liquidity regime shifts. Historically, Bitcoin’s strongest expansions coincided with periods of expanding global M2 and falling real yields.
➡️ Sovereign or Pension Allocation
If even one major sovereign wealth fund or pension system increases ETF exposure meaningfully:
The signaling effect alone could reprice risk, trigger institutional follow-through, pull sidelined capital forward. This is reflexivity at scale.

ETF inflows/outflows highlight institutional positioning liquidity, not hype, drives BTC cycles.
➡️ Dollar Regime Shift
A sustained breakdown in DXY or rapid global M2 expansion would reintroduce capital flows into scarce assets.
Bitcoin thrives in expanding liquidity environments. The next supercycle likely begins the moment liquidity structurally turns not when sentiment does. Not narratives. Liquidity.

Macro conditions falling real yields, DXY weakness, and M2 growth historically align with BTC expansions.
6️⃣ Retail Still Finishes the Move
No Bitcoin cycle completes without retail.
Institutions: Build the base.
Retail: Creates acceleration.
Signs retail has returned:
▫️Search spikes▫️App download surges
▫️Meme coin mania ▫️Mainstream euphoria

Retail activity historically accelerates BTC expansions search interest and app downloads often precede price surges.
Without retail, expansion is orderly. With retail, expansion becomes reflexive.
So… Will There Be Another Supercycle?
Likely. But it may not be louder.It may be:
🔸️Liquidity-triggered
🔸️Institutionally layered
🔸️Structurally absorbed
🔸️Retail-finished
Bitcoin is no longer early-stage speculation it’s now a liquidity-sensitive macro asset with built-in volatility.
And those waiting for a 2021-style vertical candle may miss a slower, stair-step repricing.
Final Thought
Bitcoin didn’t mature overnight. Its capital base did. The next expansion won’t start with hype. It will start with liquidity.
And the real question isn’t: “Will we see another supercycle?”
It’s: “Will we recognize it if it doesn’t look like the last one?”
Will the next BTC cycle be explosive, or a structural stair-step grind? Where do you see BTC: $150K, $200K, or beyond?
#BitcoinCycle #Bitcoin2026 #MacroCrypto #CryptoAnalysis

Many people think every cycle is different.
But when you study time + price together, you realize one thing:
History doesn’t repeat exactly… but it rhymes.
Right now, $BTC is showing similarities to the 2017 and 2021 cycles. And if that structure continues, we could still see serious downside before the true bottom forms.
Some are calling for $35,000 in the short term.
Is that possible? Yes.
Am I emotionally reacting to it? No.
Because I don’t trade based on fear.
I trade based on a framework.
My Strategy: TIME + PRICE
Most traders only watch price.
That’s why they miss the best opportunities.
I track Bitcoin on two axes:
TIME
PRICE
When you combine both, the market becomes much clearer.
⏳ The TIME Axis
Days from ATH to cycle low after each halving:
2012 cycle → 406 days
2016 cycle → 363 days
2020 cycle → 376 days
2024 cycle → Still developing
Notice something?
The timing is very similar every cycle.
If this pattern continues, the highest probability window for the next major cycle bottom is:
👉 October – November 2026
That is my TIME target.
When that window hits, I will be buying — regardless of what the price looks like.
Why?
Because timing prevents you from getting front-run.
Price alone can trap you. Time gives structure.
💰 The PRICE Axis
I started accumulating once we entered the $60,000 zone.
Even though the time window hasn’t arrived yet.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how most retail traders miss the entire move.
Retail mentality: “I’ll buy only if it hits X.”
Reality: If price never hits X, you stay sidelined forever.
My approach is simple:
If price offers value → I start buying.
If historical time window arrives → I buy no matter what.
What About a Lower Low?
Yes, the risk of a deeper correction is still real.
That’s why TIME matters so much.
Back in October, when BTC was around $114,000, I clearly said I would be a strong buyer in the $60,000 range.
People laughed.
They said Bitcoin would never revisit $60K.
I don’t argue with noise.
I stick to structure.
Now we’ve reached that zone.
But I’m still prepared for a potential move into the $45K–$50K region by late 2026. That’s my ultimate heavy accumulation area.
🔵 The On-Chain Confirmation: NUPL
One more thing I monitor closely:
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
Historically, it signaled major bottoms:
2018 bear market
COVID crash
2022 capitulation
Right now?
We are not in the deep capitulation zone yet.
That tells me the real cycle low might still be ahead.
My Execution Plan
1️⃣ TIME Axis:
October–November 2026 → Strong BUY regardless of price.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis:
Below $60,000 → Strong BUY regardless of timing.
If either condition is met, I execute consistent daily buys.
No emotions.
No panic.
No chasing headlines.
The market feels messy right now.
But every cycle has this phase — confusion before clarity.
I’ve spent a decade studying macro cycles, and structure always beats emotion.
The real opportunity comes when others are scared.
Stay prepared. Stay disciplined.
$BTC

#BTC#bitcoin #Crypto#CryptoMarket #BTCanalysis #BitcoinCycle #CryptoInvesting

​

As a veteran who started in 2016, I’ve seen this movie before. Every cycle, people say "this time is different." Usually, they’re wrong—but in 2026, they might finally be half-right.

​The "Old Script" vs. 2026 Reality:

​Historically, the 18–24 month mark after a halving is the "Euphoria Phase." But look at our current data:

​The 2024 Halving: Reduced miner rewards to 3.125 BTC.

​The Oct 2025 Peak: We saw a massive surge to ~$126k.

​Today’s Pulse: We are seeing a significant "mid-cycle" correction, with $BTC hovering around $68,000–$70,000.

​Why the 4-Year Cycle is "Evolving":

​The ETF Floor: Unlike 2016, we now have massive institutional "sticky" capital. This prevents the 80% crashes of the past but also dampens the "moon shots."

​The Halving Lag: In previous cycles, the supply shock took 12 months to hit. In 2026, with 94% of all BTC already mined, the Halving is becoming more of a psychological event than a supply one.

​My "Late Night" Data Analysis:

​We are currently in a "Liquidity Re-test." The weak hands who bought the $100k+ hype are being flushed out. For those of us here since 2016, this isn't a "crash"—it's a buying opportunity in a structural bull market.

​"Cycles don't repeat, but they definitely rhyme."

​Where do you think we go by December 2026? Are you 🚀 or 🐻? Let’s discuss below! 👇
​#BitcoinCycle #BTC2026 #CryptoAnalysis #Halving #LateNightDataEdits

History doesn’t repeat perfectly — but it rhymes. And right now, Bitcoin looks very similar to the 2017 and 2021 cycle structure.
There’s a real possibility we see a sharp move lower — even toward the $35,000 region in a fast correction. The question is: are you prepared if that happens?
My strategy is built on two things:
TIME + PRICE
Most traders only focus on price. That’s why they constantly miss the best entries.
1️⃣ The TIME Axis
I track the number of days from each halving cycle to the final bear market low:
2012 cycle: 406 days
2016 cycle: 363 days
2020 cycle: 376 days
2024 cycle: Still developing
Notice something? The timing is very similar across cycles.
If this pattern continues, the highest-probability window for the next major bottom falls between October and November 2026.
That is my time target.
When that window arrives, I buy — regardless of what price looks like. Because time-based entries prevent you from getting front-run by the market.
2️⃣ The PRICE Axis
While waiting for the time window, I don’t ignore price.
I began accumulating once we entered the $60,000 zone.
Why?
Because waiting for the “perfect” level is how people miss the entire move.
Retail traders say, “I’ll only buy at X price.”
But if price never touches that level, they’re left behind.
My framework is simple:
If price gives value → I start buying.
If time hits the historical window → I buy regardless.
That single structure keeps me consistent.
Back in October, when Bitcoin was trading around $114,000, I said I would be a strong buyer near $60,000. Many people laughed. They said we would never see that level again.
I don’t argue with noise. I follow structure.
Now we’ve reached that zone. But the risk of a deeper low still exists — which is why the TIME axis matters.
My Plan
TIME Strategy:
October–November 2026 = Strong BUY, regardless of price.
PRICE Strategy:
Below $60,000 = Strong BUY, regardless of time.
If either condition is met, I execute consistent daily buys.
The Final Indicator I Watch: NUPL
Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is an on-chain metric that historically signals major cycle bottoms.
It flashed during:
2018 bear market bottom
The COVID crash
2022 cycle low
Right now, we are not in that extreme “blue zone” yet.
That’s why I wouldn’t be shocked to see Bitcoin trading in the $45K–$50K region by late 2026. That’s the zone where I would feel comfortable going aggressive.
The market feels messy right now — but every cycle goes through this phase.
Study structure. Study time. Study psychology.
And remember: the biggest opportunities rarely come when headlines feel safe.
Stay prepared.

#BTC
#Bitcoin
#CryptoMarket #BitcoinCycle #CryptoAnalysis #onchaindata #NUPL

🔁 Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle — History & Basics
Bitcoin historically har 4-year halving ke aas paas major cycles follow karta hai:
💹 Past Cycles:
🟢 Cycle 1: Halving Nov 2012 → Top Dec 2013 → Bottom Jan 2015 → Drop 🔻87%
🟢 Cycle 2: Halving July 2016 → Top Dec 2017 → Bottom Dec 2018 → Drop 🔻84%
🟢 Cycle 3: Halving May 2020 → Top Nov 2021 → Bottom Nov 2022 → Drop 🔻77%
Key Observations:
⏱ Halving → Supply shock → Bull run start
📈 Top → Crowd euphoria → Sell pressure
💔 Bottom → Fear + exhaustion → Smart accumulation
📊 Drop historically 70–85% from peak
⏳ Cycle duration (halving → bottom): ~3.5–4 years
Conclusion: Bitcoin ka behavior largely repeatable hai, but exact dates aur price vary karte hain.
2️⃣ Current Cycle (2024–2026)
📅 Important Dates:
🟢 Last Halving: April 2024 → Reward 6.25 → 3.125 BTC
🚀 Expected Top: $126k → 7-Oct-2025
💔 Expected Bottom: $35k – $55k → Oct–Dec 2026
🔄 Next Halving: April 2028 → Reward 3.125 → 1.5625 BTC
🔍 Market Psychology
🟢 Halving → Early Bull: Smart money enters, price gradually upar jaata hai
🔵 Euphoria / Top: Crowd FOMO, media hype, “easy money” phase
🔴 Capitulation / Panic: Price girta hai, retail panic selling
🟣 Bottom / Accumulation: Smart investors accumulate, market exhausted, fear highest
Important: Market bottom fear + exhaustion pe banta hai, not just price.
3️⃣ Expected Bear Market Drop
From top $126k:
💰 Expected Bottom Zone:
🟢 Conservative (60% drop) → $50k
🔵 Realistic (70% drop) → $38k
🔴 Aggressive (75% drop) → $31k
✅ Most likely bottom zone: $35k – $55k (Oct–Dec 2026)
4️⃣ Ladder/DCA Buying Strategy — Start $60k
Step-by-step accumulation is the safest approach:
💎 Ladder Buying Plan:
🟢 $60k–$55k → 20% budget → Start small
🟢 $55k–$50k → 20% budget → Accumulation phase
🔵 $50k–$45k → 25% budget → Strong buy
🔵 $45k–$40k → 25% budget → Near probable bottom
🔴 <$40k → 10% budget → Opportunistic buy
💡 Ladder Buying Tips:
🚫 Don’t chase bottom → Exact bottom impossible
✅ Step-by-step DCA → Average cost smooth hoti hai
💰 Profit plan ready rakho → Top se 30–50% secure
5️⃣ Realistic Long-Term Strategy
🟢 Now → Top 2025: Small monthly DCA
🔵 Top → Bear Market 2026: Heavy accumulation with ladder plan
🟣 Bottom → Next Cycle: Hold for next bull run (2027–2028)
🔄 Next Halving 2028: Repeat cycle
6️⃣ Key Takeaways
⏱ Bitcoin ka cycle largely predictable time + psychology se
🔻 Past cycles show 70–85% drops
💎 Ladder/DCA approach se risk reduce hota hai
💔 Market bottom fear + exhaustion phase me aata hai
📢 Noise ignore karo, cycle samajh lo, baar-baar poochne ki zarurat nahi
Agar ye guide helpful laga:
❤️ Like
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💬 Comment
➕ Follow @PioneerX for realistic crypto cycles & timing insights
#BitcoinCycle #CryptoStrategy #PioneerX
$BTC $ETH $BNB 🚀📊💎

bitcoin selalu mengalami penurunan saat menjelang pila dunia dan selalu mengalami kenaikan saat piala dunia sudah selesai, jadi apakah kamu sekarang tau apa yg harus di lakukan?
#bitcoin #bearmarket #bitcoincycle #bitcointips

February 2026 has once again shaken Bitcoin investors. After a sharp drop to nearly $60,000 on Feb 5, Bitcoin bounced back above $68,000, reopening an old argument in the crypto world:
Are Bitcoin’s famous four-year cycles still relevant, or has the market outgrown them?
For years, Bitcoin’s price action followed a familiar rhythm tied closely to halving events. But today’s market looks very different. ETFs, institutional capital, and macroeconomic forces now play a much bigger role. Some analysts argue the cycle is finished. Others believe it’s still alive—just evolving.

Let’s break it down.
What Exactly Is the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle?
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is a recurring pattern that has historically followed each halving, which occurs roughly every four years when miner rewards are cut in half.
These cycles usually move through four stages:
1. Accumulation
After a major crash, prices move sideways. Long-term investors quietly build positions while sentiment remains negative.
2. Expansion (Bull Market)
Roughly 12–18 months after a halving, prices accelerate rapidly as demand rises, media coverage explodes, and FOMO kicks in.
3. Blow-Off Top & Crash
Excessive leverage and speculation lead to overheating. Prices then fall sharply—often wiping out 70% or more of gains.
4. Bear Market & Reset
A long cooldown phase follows, shaking out weak holders and setting the stage for the next cycle.
Think of it like a heartbeat: slow recovery, rapid surge, sharp contraction, then rest.
Why These Cycles Exist in the First Place
The main driver is Bitcoin’s fixed supply model.
Halvings reduce new supply entering the market, creating scarcity.
Market psychology turns each halving into a major narrative event, attracting speculation.
Liquidity and macro trends amplify the move—easy money fuels rallies, tightening conditions trigger crashes.
Without halvings, Bitcoin would inflate like fiat currencies. Instead, it enforces scarcity, which historically pushed prices higher over time.
Does History Actually Support the Cycle Theory?
So far, yes.
Every major bull market (2013, 2017, 2021, 2025) followed a halving. Each cycle brought:
Bigger market caps
Lower percentage returns
Brutal drawdowns
Repeated claims that “Bitcoin is dead” (hundreds of times… and counting)
The pattern has never broken—only changed in scale.
Where Does 2026 Fit In?
After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin ran hard, topping near $126,000 in 2025, then corrected roughly 50%, which is very much in line with past cycles.
On-chain indicators like the Puell Multiple suggest the market is cooling—not collapsing. Some analysts expect a relief rally before deeper consolidation, while others see potential for a final cycle peak later in 2026.
At the same time, things are clearly different:
Post-halving gains are smaller than in earlier cycles
ETF inflows absorb selling pressure
Bitcoin increasingly reacts to interest rates, gold, and global liquidity
This doesn’t look like the old cycles—but it doesn’t look dead either.
Are Bitcoin’s Cycles Over? The Two Sides of the Debate
Why Some Say the Cycle Is “Dead”
Institutional money creates steadier demand
Derivatives and ETFs smooth volatility
Bitcoin’s inflation rate is now very low, reducing halving impact
Some researchers argue cycles are stretching into longer “supercycles”
Why Others Say It’s Still Alive
40–50% corrections still happen—just like before
Fear and hype still move markets
Halvings remain powerful psychological anchors
History keeps “rhyming,” even if it doesn’t repeat exactly
As one trader put it:
“The four-year cycle might be changing—but it hasn’t broken yet.”
Final Take: Not Dead—Just Growing Up
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle isn’t extinct, but it’s no longer as clean or predictable as it once was. Institutional adoption, macro forces, and market maturity are stretching and softening the pattern.
Halvings still matter—but they’re no longer the only driver.
For 2026 and beyond, smart investors should treat cycles as guides, not guarantees, combining them with macro awareness and risk management.
History still whispers—but the rhythm is changing.
#BitcoinCycle
#Crypto2026to2030
#bitcoincrash

This is a brief follow-up to my earlier view that Bitcoin could form a cycle low near $25,000 around 2026.
Since that analysis, $BTC has retraced to the $60K zone, which many are already interpreting as capitulation.
Price has pulled back significantly, sentiment flipped bearish almost overnight, and the narrative shifted from “new all-time highs” to “the cycle is broken” at lightning speed.
Structurally, however, this move doesn’t weaken the thesis—it actually aligns with it.
Historically, true cycle bottoms don’t occur during the first wave of downside. They emerge much later, after:
Several failed recovery attemptsExtended periods of boredom and compressed volatilityFalling volume and fading participationA dominant belief that “crypto is finished”
What we’re seeing now resembles early-to-mid cycle compression, not final capitulation. Fast sell-offs are painful, but genuine bear market lows are slow, grinding, and emotionally draining. They don’t arrive with panic—they arrive with indifference.
If the framework pointing toward a 2026 bottom near $25K is even broadly accurate, then levels like $60K are not the conclusion of downside—they’re part of the process that resets expectations. Markets need time to erase optimism, not just price.
The core takeaway remains the same:
The real edge isn’t calling the exact bottom.
It’s being mentally and strategically prepared to act when conviction disappears.
Markets don’t bottom when fear is loud.
They bottom when no one cares anymore.
If this cycle plays out similarly, the true accumulation phase won’t feel exciting—it will feel pointless.
And that’s usually when long-term wealth is built… quietly.
#BTC #BitcoinCycle #Marketstructure #CryptoPsychology #Bitcoinprice

In my previous post, I shared the idea that Bitcoin’s potential cycle low could form around ~$25,000 near 2026.
Since that analysis,
has now traded down into the $60K region. For many people, this already feels like capitulation.
Price has dropped materially, sentiment has flipped bearish very quickly, and the narrative has shifted from “new highs” straight to “the cycle is broken.”
However, from a structural perspective, this does not invalidate the original thesis — it actually supports it.
History shows that major cycle lows are not formed during the first wave of decline.
They form later, after:
Multiple failed rebounds
Long periods of boring, sideways price action
Declining volume and participation
A widespread belief that “crypto is dead”
What we are seeing now looks more like early-to-mid cycle compression, not a final bottom.
Sharp drops are painful, but true bear market bottoms are slow, grinding, and emotionally numbing.
They don’t arrive with drama — they arrive with apathy.
If the model pointing to a ~$25K low in 2026 is even directionally correct, then moves like $60K are not the end of the pain; they are part of the process.
The market doesn’t just need to erase price — it needs time to erase hope.
The key takeaway remains the same:
The goal is not to predict the exact bottom.
The goal is to be mentally and strategically prepared when conviction is completely gone.
Markets do not bottom when fear is loud.
They bottom when there is no one left to speak.
If this cycle follows the same path, the real accumulation phase will not feel exciting — it will feel pointless.
And that is usually when long-term wealth is built, quietly.
Final Note:
Avoid investing in weak or hype-driven alt tokens. In uncertain market conditions, focusing on strong, high-quality coins is a far better option.
#BTC #BitcoinCycle #BTC60K #CryptoMarket

The crypto market is currently a graveyard of "new high" dreams. In what feels like a blink of an eye, Bitcoin has cascaded from its October 2025 peaks to the $60,000 region, leaving retail investors reeling and sentiment in the gutter.

For many, this looks like the end. But if you’ve been following my thesis on the 2026 Cycle Low, this isn’t a surprise—it’s a confirmation.
The Anatomy of a True Bottom
Historically, the first sharp drop in a cycle is rarely the bottom. It is the "Shock Phase." True generational bottoms are not built on drama or loud panic; they are built on apathy.
If we are tracking toward a potential cycle low of ~$25,000 in 2026, we have to understand the psychological roadmap required to get there. A market doesn't just drop to $25K while everyone is still watching the charts. It grinds there through:
* Failed Rebounds: Every $5K "recovery" gets sold into, exhaustion sets in.
* Prolonged Boredom: Price action becomes flat, and "crypto twitter" goes silent.
* Institutional Quiet: The narrative shifts from "ETF revolution" to "structural failure."
* The Death of Hope: The belief that "this time is different" is completely erased.
Why $60K is "Compression," Not "Exhaustion"
What we are seeing at $60K is early-to-mid cycle compression. It is a violent reset of over-leveraged positions. While it hurts, it lacks the "numbing" quality of a true bear market floor. In a real bear market, you don't feel angry at the price—you feel nothing at all.
The model pointing to a 2026 low isn't about being a "doom-poster." It’s about strategic patience. If the path to $25K is the destination, then $60K is just a rest stop designed to trap those who think the "discount" is already over.
The Golden Rule of Wealth Cycles
Wealth in this space isn't built by catching a falling knife during a loud crash. It is built quietly, when the volume is gone and participation is at multi-year lows.
> "Markets don't bottom when fear is loud; they bottom when nobody is left to speak."
>
If you can stay mentally liquid while others are emotionally drained, the 2026 window will represent the greatest accumulation phase of the decade. But make no mistake: it won't feel like an opportunity when it arrives. It will feel like a waste of time. And that is exactly when you should be paying the most attention.
News Type: Market Analysis / Macro Update
Call to Action: Are you panic-selling at $60K, or are you waiting for the "Apathy Phase" to begin? Share your strategy in the comments—are we seeing a bounce here, or is the $25K magnet real?
#BTC #BitcoinCycle $BTC
$XRP

$BTC has now tested the $60K region, sending sentiment sharply bearish and flipping the narrative from “new highs” to “cycle is broken.”

BTCUSDT
Perp 65,988.5
-5.77%

📉 Price is down, fear is rising, but structurally the thesis remains intact.

Why $60K isn’t the bottom:

Historical cycle lows form later, not during the first wave of pain

Expect failed rebounds, low volatility, and dwindling participation
True bear market bottoms arrive quietly, with apathy—not drama

💡 Key takeaway:

Opportunity isn’t about timing the exact bottom

It’s about preparing strategically when conviction fades

Markets bottom when nobody is left to speak

If the 2026 low model (~$25K) is even directionally correct, moves like $60K are just early-to-mid cycle compression, part of the process that resets expectations.

The real accumulation phase will feel boring and pointless — that’s when long-term wealth quietly forms.
#BTC #BitcoinCycle #BTC60K #CryptoMarketInsights