Has Bitcoin's bear market ended? The bear is gone, but the bell hasn't rung
Data as of October 9, 2026, Beijing time. Prices, moving averages, and drawdowns were independently calculated by MethodAlgo using Binance BTCUSDT spot daily candles (UTC close); the October 9 figure is intraday. On-chain metrics are from public reports by Glassnode, BitGo Research, and CryptoQuant; definitions follow the original sources. This article is for market research and risk management education and does not constitute investment advice. ■ Day 368: A checkup On October 6, 2025, BTC touched $126,200 intraday on Binance spot. Today is day 368 since then. Going by the script from the previous two cycles, BTC should by now have just clawed its way back from a 70–80% crash: on the same day in 2018, it was down 79.5% from its peak; in 2022, it was down 76.3%. This cycle, BTC is around $82,600, just 34.5% below its peak.
$SOL, we got the double bottom we want, but would like to buy it when it back to uptrend range to be safe, SOL is good, but its not BTC. our love has conditions 😉
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Cryptocurrency may experience the largest surge and rug pull in history.
Currently, the total market value of cryptocurrency is at a peak of 4 trillion, now around 3.8, the most reliable 10x coin at the moment is actually Bitcoin. Therefore, the trading strategy should only maintain a long position. Control the exposure ratio of altcoins. Floating losses do not need to be managed.
watching XRP closely, it already breakout, still in retest phase, if new support hold, then can safely be chase. (personnally think it will go to previous month low @2.72, lets see )
Because of the new Binance Funding rate mechanism , we are looking at a exchange induced alt season. take a look of important Binance announcement about funding rate in April 25th.
From $108M Fund to $3.5B Rug – The Mantra Meltdown
Just six days after announcing a $108M fund for DeFi and RWA projects, today the Mantra team dumped 90% of circulating $OM, deleted their Telegram, and erased a $3.5B market cap.
crypto market will realize tariff FUD is self generated fear. is bullish if anything for crypto, any bad news for traditional market or industry is good for crypto. (except for electricity)