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Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum continue wide-range consolidation; evening CPI data positioned in advance

Ethereum has continued to trade in a wide range lately, but Bitcoin has been consolidating lower. We have repeatedly taken profit on our high-price short positions—capturing a solid move. With historical strategies, the win rate is around 90%. You can see it clearly. CPI data comes in tonight, so we should position in advance.

1. If CPI is greater than 3.4% and core CPI is greater than 2.4%, inflation is above expectations—bearish.
If inflation rebounds, rate-cut expectations are pushed further out. U.S. Treasury yields move higher, the dollar strengthens, and BTC and ETH typically face pressure and fall. ETH tends to experience even larger volatility.

2. If CPI equals 3.4% and core CPI equals 2.4%, it matches expectations—neutral consolidation.
The market has already priced it in. Most likely there will be small initial fluctuations, without a one-way big trend. BTC will mainly range-trade, while ETH will have higher sensitivity.

3. If CPI is less than 3.4% and core CPI is less than 2.4%, inflation cools—bullish.
Rate-cut expectations heat up, U.S. Treasury yields fall, and the dollar weakens. This is favorable for the crypto market. BTC will probe upward, and ETH’s upside is often stronger than Bitcoin’s.

One especially important point: core CPI carries more weight. Often CPI may meet expectations, but if core CPI is above expectations, the market will still interpret it as bearish. #CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息 #特朗普拒绝沙特打击胡塞武装请求 #加密市场板块连续两日下跌

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin, Ethereum, SanDisk, and gold’s recent strategy has basically all been verified

I’ve always been emphasizing the short side, and that both Bitcoin and Ethereum can be seen for the downside as well. During the early surge in SanDisk, even when the market was rising, I was still emphasizing that it has to go up; during the rally on the 8th, when it pushed higher and didn’t break the previous daily high at 1826, I started telling everyone to lift and enter shorts in batches. As for gold, you don’t even need to say more—it surged and then pulled back all the way. Even the 4430–4450 short I emphasized again last night went down to around the 4330 area. The key focus is the CPI data on Friday evening—see whether it can break the recent ongoing range-bound行情. “Follow the right person, do the right thing.” I’ve always emphasized: don’t trade contracts too frequently; focus on the trend and have more patience. Without patience, you can’t do it well. Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risks are your own responsibility. The article review and publication do not have timely responsiveness—final results should be based on real-time conditions!#美国8月PPI涨幅低于预期 #SEC批准得州纳斯达克商品信托新规 #欧洲央行二次加息至2.5%

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions successfully taken down again

In recent days, Bitcoin/Ethereum has repeatedly planned long setups by placing short orders as the market rises. After several times of the price rallying and then falling, the short position has captured the downward move. During the daytime market, while the price was rising, another short was placed at 2480 and 78500. After the price rose, it pulled back and fell; so far, the lowest has reached around 77,000 and 2,430. The short position has once again captured a good move—congratulations to friends who followed the plan and succeeded. #美国续请失业金人数177.4万 #美国8月PPI年率升至5.4% #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions continue to profit

Since this round of the Bitcoin/Ethereum market surged higher, I’ve repeatedly reminded you to consider short positions at 80,800, 80,300, 79,400, 79,200, and 2525, 2520, 2510, 2505—every time, prices dropped as expected. There have been multiple rallies followed by pullbacks, and for swing trading, you could capture a very solid amount of movement. Yesterday I already said: even with the same idea, some people profit and others lose—it depends on whether you can take advantage of it. The market is about to turn soon; it basically hinges on the CPI data at 8:30 tomorrow evening. Analysis and strategies are for reference only—risk is your own responsibility. The article’s approval and publication do not have real-time timeliness; the real-time situation prevails. #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 #ZCSH资产规模突破5亿美元 #伊朗称已准备升级对美战争

Gu Jingci: 9.10 Bitcoin/Ethereum hit highs as scheduled, then pulled back and fell; rallies remain bearish

In yesterday’s Bitcoin/Ethereum market, during the rebound, the 79200 and 2510 short setups that were planned again proved correct. After price surged higher, it then fell all the way down to around 77700 and 2440. Overall, the downside room was solid. On the daily chart, a three-day consecutive bearish pattern is forming, showing weakening momentum. The three-day moving averages also display a rounded-top (arc) formation, indicating there may be further downside ahead. Based on the daily and four-hour MA indicators, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages on top are turning downward, facing resistance around 2490 and 79000. Although price is currently rebounding, shorts can still be entered.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, continue to go short around 78500 to 79000, targeting around 77000. For Ethereum, continue to go short around 2480 to 2500, targeting around 2380 to 2430. The analysis and strategy are for reference only; risk is your own. Since the article approval and publishing process is not timely, the specifics should be based on real-time conditions. #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 #ZCSH资产规模突破5亿美元 #美国10年期美债收益率创2023年11月新高

Gu Jingci: 9.9 Bitcoin/Ethereum current-price order strategy

Bitcoin/Ethereum has repeatedly surged and then pulled back. Now that the market has surged again, what are we waiting for? Place sell orders at the current price—79200 for Bitcoin and 2510 for Ethereum—aiming for 76500 to 77500 and 2400 to 2440. #中国8月CPI同比涨0.8% #美军打击霍尔木兹岛及贾斯克目标 #原油涨至7月来最高

Gu Jingci: 9.8 Bitcoin/Ethereum Morning Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

Yesterday morning, Bitcoin/Ethereum again entered short positions around 80300 and 2525. In the evening, price moved to approximately 78600 and 2460. Overall, the available space can be seen. Currently, the market has rebounded, especially for Ethereum, which has continued to range with oscillations at high levels, while Bitcoin has already weakened first. On the 4-hour chart, it formed a small bullish candle with an upper wick, indicating that there is still some selling pressure above 2530 and 79800. The daily chart has consistently been trading within a wide range. During the earlier rally, the pullback included a massive long bearish candle, showing that resistance above remains strong.

From the technical indicators: the DIF line is below the DEA line, but the DIF line is converging upward. The MACD histogram is in negative territory but the negative values are shrinking, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening. In the short term, there is a trend toward forming a golden cross, suggesting a potential rebound. In addition, the recent daily-level trading volume has continued to expand, especially during the earlier decline accompanied by a huge volume spike, indicating high market activity. However, selling pressure overhead cannot be ignored. The daily Bollinger Bands have started to contract, also suggesting that a larger-level move may be brewing.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, continue shorting around 79400 to 79800, targeting 77000 to 78000. For Ethereum, continue shorting around 2505 to 2520, targeting 2400 to 2440. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear risks yourself. The article review and publishing does not have real-time timeliness—please refer to real-time conditions for specifics!#美伊互袭油轮冲突升级 #CFTC请求驳回CME诉Kalshi比特币期货案 #加拿大对美关税正式生效

Gu Jingci: 9.7 Ethereum/Bitcoin Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum pulled back yesterday evening to around 79,100 and 2,460 after a sharp rise during the daytime session. In the early morning and morning session, the market rose again. Today, focus on the 81,500 and 2,550 resistance levels. These are also the positions from the Friday high. If this high is not broken, the rebound will simply provide an opportunity to enter short positions. The daily Bollinger Bands have already begun to narrow, so there will not be a very large one-sided trend in the short term. The market is still likely to rise first and then fall back. As long as the daily level does not break through 81,500 and 2,550, a pattern of three bullish candles failing to break the bearish level will form, and the market will continue to retrace and decline.

Trading suggestion: Short Bitcoin around the current price of 80,300, target around 77,500 to 78,500; short Ethereum around the current price of 2,525, target around 2,400 to 2,440. #俄乌交火库什纳维特科夫赴基辅 #中国八大金融机构注资3600亿元 #美伊互袭油轮冲突升级

Gu Jingci: Sandisk has surged all the way up and still has room to rise. Gold pulled back after a rise and will continue to decline.

Sandisk has risen sharply over the past two days, breaking through resistance around 1580 and 1630 before accelerating higher. This also benefited from the strength of the storage sector. After the rise, there is basically no room for a pullback, and the trend is very strong. Sandisk is likely to keep rising. First, watch the previous high around 1830 as short-term resistance; if broken, attention will shift to the 2000 psychological level.

Gold surged to 4500 before pulling back and declining. After the pullback on the four-hour timeframe, it has moved sideways, a classic continuation pattern in a downtrend. Gold is likely to continue pulling back and testing lower levels. Watch short-term support around 4300 below; if broken, focus on the 4000 to 4100 area. #ZEC续刷历史新高 #Lululemon因指引疲软跌20% #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入

Gu Jingci: 9.5 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

The short-selling idea laid out again yesterday for Bitcoin/Ethereum saw the market keep pulling back overnight to around 78600 and 2430, with the expected room to the downside clearly visible. The current market has seen some recovery and rebound, but the strength is not very strong, and overhead pressure remains obvious. On the 4-hour chart, after a large bearish candle last night, the market has now moved into sideways consolidation with small-bodied candlesticks, and trading volume has shrunk sharply, indicating that short-term downward momentum is slowing and the market has entered a consolidation or hesitation phase. On the daily chart, the large bearish candle has almost engulfed the previous large bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern, suggesting that the short-term trend may reverse.

In terms of technical indicators, the DIF and DEA lines are still above the zero axis, but the DIF line has turned downward and is approaching the DEA line. The MACD histogram remains positive but is continuously shrinking, showing that bullish momentum is fading and there is a short-term risk of forming a bearish crossover. After the decline on the 4-hour chart, the rebound has been weak, forming a bear flag / continuation pattern. The market is currently fluctuating around the MA moving averages, and still faces pressure from 2470 to 2480 and the 80000 round-number level overhead.

Trading suggestions: continue to go short on Bitcoin near 79600 to 80000, target around 77000 to 78000; continue to go short on Ethereum near 2460 to 2480, target around 2350 to 2400. The analysis and strategy are for reference only; risks are borne by yourself. Since the article review and publication are not timely, please refer to real-time conditions for actual decisions!#ZEC续刷历史新高 #Lululemon因指引疲软跌20% #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum rose as expected, then pulled back and fell. There may still be room for further downside in the early morning

In the morning, Bitcoin/Ethereum once again laid out a short-selling idea above 80800 and 2505. After the market consolidated at high levels throughout the day, it quickly fell in the evening with the help of the non-farm payroll data. So far, the lowest has reached around 78600 and 2430. The market rose and then pulled back and fell as expected, and the short positions captured a large move. At present, after the rapid decline, the rebound momentum is not strong. In the early morning, focus on the 80000 integer level and the 2470 to 2480 area in Ethereum, where pressure remains significant, and there may still be room for further downside. On the downside, watch the 77500 and 2380 area as short-term support. #Lululemon因指引疲软跌20% #比特币ETF创1月以来最大单日流入 #美国8月新增就业16.2万近预期三倍

Gu Jingci: 9.4 Bitcoin/Ethereum Morning Trading Strategy + Market Analysis

Bitcoin/Ethereum saw another surge late yesterday into the early morning. The short setup that was laid out performed as planned: for Bitcoin, after it broke above the high point 81,600, the stop-loss was hit and the position was closed. For Ethereum, the highest reached around 2,530, matching expectations—there was resistance and a pullback in the 2,520–2,530 area.

In the early morning, Bitcoin climbed to around 82,300. It is only a narrow gap away from the prior weekly-level peak near 82,800. During the current pullback, price still has not broken and held above the previous daily-level high around 81,500. Going forward, the outlook remains that rallies will likely be followed by a pullback and that downside pressure will be the main theme.

Sometimes it’s not scary to lose one trade—making it back later is what matters. Once a double top forms at this area, the potential downside space may be much larger. So don’t panic when price rises, and don’t chase breakouts or sell in a frenzy.

Trading Suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter short near 80,800–81,300 with targets at 78,000–79,000. For Ethereum, enter short near 2,505–2,520 with targets at 2,380–2,430.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. This article review and publication may not reflect real-time conditions; please refer to current live market conditions. #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 #英伟达129亿美元收购HuggingFace #雪花公司财报超预期股价涨24%

Gu Jingci 9.3 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy with Market Outlook Analysis

For Bitcoin/Ethereum, the daytime plan was to take a high-to-low short position again. As a result, during the evening the price surged and broke through the pressure levels I mentioned around 78,500 and 2,440 directly, leading to exiting the trade. This also ended the streak of consecutive wins over the past several days. During the evening rally, the high reached around 80,950 and 2,505. The overall upward trend was obvious. However, Bitcoin is also about to approach the previous high near 81,500. Avoid chasing longs near the high. As for Ethereum, it has continued to move into the area below 2,530–2,540, which has seen multiple prior pushes up and pullbacks. During the evening and around midnight, focus on whether this level holds as resistance, and watch for a pullback and subsequent decline.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter a short around 80,600, targeting around 78,500. For Ethereum, enter a short around 2,485, targeting around 2,400. Exit (or stop) at 51,600 and 2,540. Analysis and strategy are for reference only; risk is your own responsibility. Publishing/approval of the article does not guarantee real-time timeliness; the real-time market prevails! #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万 #SEC新规拟吸引加密企业回流美国 #美国续请失业金人数降至177.9万

Gu Jingci: 9/3 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy with Market Overview

After the earlier rapid surge and pullback, Bitcoin/Ethereum has basically maintained a narrow-range consolidation over the past two days. In particular, the overall trend for Ethereum is weaker. This “stronger BTC and weaker ETH” pattern is also a sign that the market is preparing to change direction. Going forward, it will most likely continue to fall and decline. On the 4-hour chart, the recent candles show a choppy downward trend: both the highs and lows have been stepping down. After a previous breakout accompanied by a large bearish engulfing candle on high volume, price has been consolidating at lower levels. The rebound attempts by bulls lack strength. The latest candle is a small bullish candle, but trading volume has shrunk.

On the daily chart, there are two consecutive bearish closes, along with relatively large trading volume, indicating that bearish power is strong. Even though it is currently a small bullish candle, the volume is significantly lower than the previous two days, suggesting the rebound lacks momentum.

Technically, the DIF and DEA lines are both running below the zero axis, with the DIF line positioned below the DEA line. The MACD histogram is negative, indicating the overall market is in a bearish phase. The negative histogram values have somewhat narrowed, implying that short-term downside momentum has weakened, but it has not yet flipped to a bullish market. The declines over the first two trading days were accompanied by high volume, confirming the effectiveness of the downtrend. Meanwhile, the rebound volume has clearly contracted, suggesting limited rebound strength. In addition, from the daily MA indicators, price is still being capped near the MA resistance zone at 78500 and 2420–2440. The rebound can continue to be treated as an opportunity to short.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, continue to go short around 77,800–78,300, targeting around 76,300. For Ethereum, continue to go short around 2,410–2,430, targeting around 2,360; if it breaks below, you can continue to look for further downside.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Please manage risk at your own discretion. The article’s review and publication may not be timely; please rely on real-time conditions. #美国10年期美债收益率触及2023年11月来最高 #伊朗导弹无人机袭击科威特基地 #原油三日上涨后企稳