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As of February 2026, JPMorgan Chase analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, have stated that Bitcoin (BTC) has gained a "better long-term appeal" than Gold on a risk-adjusted basis. This shift is primarily driven by a record-low bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio of approximately 1.5, suggesting that Bitcoin's relative risk compared to gold has significantly decreased from historical norms.
Key Strategic Insights
Price Disparity: JPMorgan views Bitcoin as being in a "value" zone, trading at approximately $70,000 as of February 7, 2026, which is below its estimated production cost of roughly $87,000. Conversely, gold is seen as "overbought" after reaching record highs near $5,000 per ounce.
Long-Term Theoretical Target: Using their volatility-adjusted framework, analysts calculate that if Bitcoin were to match the private sector's total investment in gold (roughly $8 trillion), its price would need to rise to approximately $266,000.
Asset Rotation: The bank suggests a tactical rotation rather than a total replacement; gold remains the preferred asset for wealth preservation, while Bitcoin is positioned as the primary growth engine for the next 5 to 10 years.
While JPMorgan remains fundamentally bullish on gold—projecting continued central bank demand to push it toward $5,000/oz by the end of 2026—they emphasize that Bitcoin’s asymmetric upside potential now makes it a more compelling candidate for long-range portfolios looking to build wealth.
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The cryptocurrency market is currently undergoing a severe correction in February 2026, with Bitcoin (BTC) and major altcoins suffering significant losses from their October 2025 peaks. As of February 7, 2026, the market is in a state of "Extreme Fear," having lost approximately $2 trillion in total capitalization since the downturn began.
Bitcoin recently touched a low near $60,000 on February 6, marking its weakest performance since late 2024. Ethereum (ETH) has underperformed further, sliding over 29% in the past seven days to trade around $1,940. This broad sell-off has triggered massive liquidations, with over $2.5 billion wiped out across the network in a single 24-hour period earlier this week.
Key Drivers of the Correction Macroeconomic Pressure: Concerns over a "hawkish" Federal Reserve have intensified following the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman, leading to expectations of tighter monetary policy and higher interest rates. Institutional Outflows: Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $1.6 billion in net outflows in January, indicating that institutional investors are reducing exposure or locking in profits. Technical Breakdowns: Bitcoin falling below key support levels, including the $80,000 psychological barrier and MicroStrategy's average holding cost (approx. $76,037), triggered automated sell-offs and cascading liquidations. Regulatory Headwinds: Renewed uncertainty from the U.S. SEC and fresh restrictions in China regarding yuan-pegged stablecoins have dampened global sentiment.
Market Outlook Analysts suggest the market is in a "rebound from oversold" state, though the underlying bearish pattern remains intact. While Bitcoin has seen a tentative recovery toward $69,000 as of today, the $58,000–$60,000 band is viewed as the next critical support region to prevent a more prolonged "crypto winter".
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Google search interest for Bitcoin has surged to a one-year high as of February 7, 2026. Global search volume reached a peak Google Trends score of 100 for the week starting February 1, 2026, driven by extreme price volatility. The spike follows a rapid correction where Bitcoin plummeted from $81,500 to nearly $60,000 in just five days, wiping out gains made since late 2024 before staged a partial recovery to the $69,000–$71,000 range.
Recent Search Interest Drivers
Price Volatility: The drop to $60,000 on February 5, 2026, marked the first time Bitcoin hit that level since October 2024, triggering a wave of retail interest.
"Extreme Fear" Sentiment: The Crypto Fear & Greed Index crashed to a value of 6 on February 7, 2026, indicating levels of "extreme fear" not seen since the 2022 Terra-Luna crisis.
Market Blunders: Search interest was further fueled by reports of a $40 billion accidental deposit blunder by South Korean exchange Bithumb on February 6, 2026, which briefly caused a 17% price slump on that platform.
Retail Re-engagement: Analysts note that the surge in search metrics suggests retail investors are paying attention to the market again as they seek to determine if the "bottom" is in.
Stay updated on market shifts using the CoinDesk Bitcoin News or track live trends via Google Trends - Bitcoin.
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The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a volatile recovery following a severe crash earlier this week. On February 6-7, 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) staged a significant rebound, climbing approximately 11-12% to reclaim the $70,000 level after briefly plunging to a 24-hour low near $60,000. This recovery has mirrored a broader "risk-on" shift in global markets, with major U.S. stock indices like the Dow Jones and Nasdaq also posting strong gains.
Current Market Snapshot (February 7, 2026) Bitcoin (BTC): Trading near $70,689, up 11% from the previous day's lows. Ethereum (ETH): Recovered to approximately $2,065, posting a daily gain of over 10.5%. Solana (SOL): Jumped over 14% during the rebound to trade near $87. Total Market Cap: Rose by 4.5% in 24 hours to reach $2.45 trillion.
Key Drivers of the Rebound Macroeconomic Shift: A rotation back into risk assets followed fading fears over AI-related threats to software firms and stabilization in global equity markets. Liquidity Injections: Tether (USDT) minted nearly $2 billion in new tokens over recent days, providing essential short-term liquidity to support prices. Whale & Institutional Activity: Large-scale "whale" transactions, particularly in XRP, reached four-month highs during the dip, suggesting aggressive buying during panic conditions. Crypto Stocks Surge: Publicly traded crypto companies saw explosive gains; MicroStrategy (MSTR) rose 24.6%, while Bakkt (BKKT) and MARA Holdings each rallied more than 20%.
Outlook and Risks Despite the sharp bounce, analysts remain cautious. Sentiment is still classified as "Extreme Fear" (Index: 6-15). For a confirmed trend reversal, Bitcoin likely needs to maintain levels above $80,000, as many current buy signals are restricted to shorter timeframes. Further volatility is expected as the market digests the impact of shifting U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and ongoing global trade tensions.
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The US is about to end its shutdown - after the House passed a funding bill that the Senate already okayed. All that's left is Trump putting his signature on it.
Tian Ruixiang Holdings (TIRX) made a deal to swap company shares for up to 15,000 BTC from an unnamed investor. This agreement might give them a massive boost in crypto holdings.
VistaShares dropped a new ETF called BTYB on the NYSE. It mainly holds US Treasury stuff but spices things up with some Bitcoin through options.
Crypto.com has spun out its prediction markets into a separate platform called OG. It's set up to go head-to-head with Polymarket and Kalshi.
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The cryptocurrency market on 4 February 2026 faced intense selling pressure, with Bitcoin (BTC) crashing below the psychological $73,000 mark and briefly hitting a low of $71,779.93. This decline was part of a broader "tech-led sell-off" triggered by concerns over high valuations in artificial intelligence stocks and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, which investors interpreted as a hawkish signal for liquidity.
Market Summary Bitcoin (BTC): Closed at $73,019.70, down nearly 3.5% for the day and roughly 14% over the past week. Ethereum (ETH): Fell to $2,143.50, continuing a week of heavy underperformance with total losses approaching 24%. Solana (SOL): Traded near $97.66, recording mid-to-high single-digit declines alongside major altcoins like BNB and XRP. Market Sentiment: The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plummeted to 14, indicating "extreme fear".
Key Regulatory & Industry News Federal Reserve Jitters: The nomination of Kevin Warsh raised fears of a shrinking Fed balance sheet, which historically correlates with reduced appetite for speculative digital assets. South Korean Probe: Regulators investigated Bithumb, the country's second-largest exchange, over alleged false advertising regarding its liquidity rankings. Indian Compliance: India announced plans to implement the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) by April 2027 to improve cross-border transparency. CME Group: The exchange giant is reportedly exploring the launch of its own "CME Coin" to expand its footprint in the digital asset market. Bhutan Asset Movement: The government of Bhutan reportedly moved significant Bitcoin holdings to trading firms as prices dropped toward $70,000.
Ecosystem Updates Multicoin Capital: Co-founder Kyle Samani announced he is stepping down after nearly a decade to pursue other technology interests. XRP Decline: XRP crashed to its lowest levels since late 2024, with analysts watching for a potential slide toward $1.00. Prediction Markets: U.S. regulators signaled a "do-over" on prediction market rules, potentially rescinding Biden-era restrictions on certain crypto-based events.
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The cryptocurrency market on 3 February 2026 was dominated by a sharp "risk-off" selloff as investors reacted to hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening U.S. Dollar. Bitcoin fell below $75,600 following news that President Trump signed an executive order for a strategic Bitcoin reserve that notably lacked immediate government purchase mandates.
Market Summary Bitcoin (BTC): Closed at $75,633.55, marking a significant decline from the $80,000 level seen earlier in the week. Ethereum (ETH): Experienced high volatility, closing at $2,227.56 after an intraday low of $2,109.06. Solana (SOL): Dropped 6.49% to close at $97.56. Liquidations: Over 106,000 traders were liquidated within 24 hours, with $506 million in total losses, primarily affecting short positions.
Key Regulatory & Industry Updates U.S. Federal Reserve: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair; Warsh's known support for higher real interest rates pressured speculative assets like crypto. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: An executive order established a strategic reserve but disappointed some traders by not including immediate buy orders, contributing to the day's price slide. Ripple (XRP): Ripple obtained a full EMI license from Luxembourg’s CSSF, allowing it to expand blockchain payment services across all 27 EU member states. Strategic Pauses: Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) paused its Bitcoin acquisitions on 3 February, while its stock price fell 9%. New Listings: The token TRIA surged 13% against the falling market following its debut on KuCoin and Coinbase's roadmap.
Major Ecosystem Events Lido (LDO): Launched its V3 upgrade. Chiliz (CHZ): Released its "2030 Vision" roadmap. Jupiter (JUP): Secured a $35 million strategic investment from ParaFi to bring Polymarket-style prediction markets to Solana.
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The January 2026 ADP National Employment Report was widely seen as a disappointment, showing that U.S. private employers added only 22,000 jobs. This figure fell far short of economist expectations, which had projected a gain of approximately 45,000 positions.
Key Data Points:
Sector Breakdown: Job growth was heavily concentrated in Education and Health Services (+74,000), while Professional and Business Services saw a significant drop of 57,000 jobs. Manufacturing also declined by 8,000 positions.
Hiring by Company Size: Only mid-sized firms (50–499 workers) showed net gains. Large firms shed 18,000 jobs, and small-firm hiring remained flat.
Historical Context: The weak January print follows a lackluster 2025, where total private job creation reached only 398,000, a sharp decline from 771,000 in 2024.
Why It Matters Now:
This data is under higher scrutiny than usual because official government Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) and JOLTS data have been delayed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) due to a partial government shutdown.
Analysts view the results as a sign of broader hiring caution amid policy uncertainty and trade tensions. Market reaction was cautious, with some investors betting that the cooling labor market could influence future Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.
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On February 5, 2026, the Binance market experienced a significant broad-market sell-off, with major assets like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Binance Coin (BNB) showing high volatility and substantial price drops.
Market Leaders Overview (Feb 5, 2026) The following table summarizes the performance of the most actively traded assets on Binance as of late February 5:
Trending Coins & Key Insights Bitcoin (BTC): Sharp declines were noted throughout the day, with the price breaking below several psychological barriers including $73,000, $71,000, and eventually $66,000. This volatility triggered a surge in forced selling (capitulation). Binance Coin (BNB): Experienced a narrowed decrease of 10.73%, falling below the $640 mark. Despite the price drop, Binance reported an increase in total assets, suggesting deposits outweighed withdrawals during a mid-week social media-led "withdrawal campaign". Ethereum (ETH): While also down, ETH showed slightly more resilience than BTC and BNB, hovering just above the $2,100 benchmark after a brief dip below it earlier in the day. XRP: Traders are closely watching the $1.40–$1.42 support zone. A break below this could lead to further drops toward $1.30. HYPE: Major movements were observed in HYPE positions, with one large long position gaining $15 million (149% increase) while a major short incurred a $10 million loss around the $24 price level.
Emerging Trends for February 2026 Privacy Narrative: Analysts are tracking Monero (XMR) and Midnight (NIGHT) as potential gainers later in the month due to shifting focus toward decentralized infrastructure and privacy. Upcoming Delistings: Binance announced the removal of several spot trading pairs effective February 6, 2026, including AUDIO/BTC, NEAR/FDUSD, and RENDER/FDUSD. $1 Watchlist: Low-cap tokens like Mantle (MNT) and Worldcoin (WLD) are being monitored for potential moves toward the $1.00 psychological level.
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On February 4, 2026, the Binance market saw significant volatility, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping below $73,000 during an intraday selloff before stabilizing near $76,000. Despite the broader market pressure, several mid-cap and ecosystem tokens emerged as top gainers and trending assets.
Trending Coins and Gainers
The top market outperformers and most-searched tokens on Binance for February 4, 2026, included:
ZKP (ZKProof): Leading the gainers with a +27% increase, trading around $0.0994.
SYN (Synapse): Experienced a +23% surge in 24-hour performance.
OG (OG Fan Token): Gained +19%, with its price reaching approximately $3.999.
G (Galxe): Noted as one of the most searched tokens, up +19.68%.
WLFI (World Liberty Financial): Showed a notable positive trend, up +5.79% to trade at $0.1352.
Key Ecosystem Highlights
Bitcoin (BTC): Binance added 1,315 BTC (approx. $100.4 million) to its SAFU insurance fund as part of a strategy to reweight reserves toward Bitcoin during market volatility.
Binance Coin (BNB): Traded lower at $757.32 (down -1.64%), with analysts watching $730 as a critical support level.
New Listings: Zama (ZAMA) was officially listed for trade on February 3, with active spot trading campaigns continuing through February 4.
Meme Coins: Interest remained high for DOGE, TRUMP, and PIPPIN as key tokens to watch for February.
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On February 3, 2026, the trending coins on Binance were led by Zilliqa (ZIL), C98, and the newly listed Zama (ZAMA), which saw significant double-digit gains despite extreme fear in the broader market.
Top Market Gainers (Feb 3, 2026)
The following tokens outperformed the market on this specific date:
Zilliqa (ZIL): Up +70%.
C98: Up +40%.
Zama (ZAMA): Up +23% following its official listing on Binance with ZAMA/USDT and ZAMA/USDC pairs.
Market Sentiment & Major Assets
The market was characterized by "Extreme Fear" (index score of 14) as it attempted to rebound from an oversold state.
Bitcoin (BTC): Trading at approximately $78,560 (+1.8%).
Ethereum (ETH): Trading at approximately $2,320 (+2.1%).
Binance Coin (BNB): Surpassed the $770 benchmark (+0.39%).
Sei (SEI): Trending due to a scheduled network upgrade on February 3, which temporarily suspended deposits and withdrawals.
Key Insights
New Listing Activity: The launch of Zama (ZAMA) on February 3 included a token voucher prize pool of 45 million ZAMA for active traders.
Meme Coin Interest: Tokens like DOGE (+2.19%) and community-driven projects such as WLFI (+1.03%) showed moderate upward movement during the rebound.
Ecosystem Monitoring: Analysts identified PancakeSwap (CAKE) and Aster (ASTER) as critical Binance ecosystem tokens to watch for potential breakouts.
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On January 30, 2026, President Donald Trump officially nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. If confirmed by the Senate, Warsh is expected to take office in mid-May 2026, marking a potential "regime change" in how the central bank operates.
2026 Monetary Policy Outlook Warsh's outlook for 2026 is characterized by a "cyclically dovish but structurally hawkish" approach. While he has historically been an inflation hawk, his recent stance aligns with the administration's desire for lower borrowing costs. Aggressive Rate Cuts: Warsh has recently criticized the Fed for being "backward-looking" and too slow to ease policy. Analysts expect him to push for deeper rate cuts in 2026 than the 50 basis points currently priced into markets. AI-Driven Productivity: A core tenet of his outlook is that an AI-led productivity boom will allow for higher economic growth without triggering a surge in inflation. Balance Sheet Reduction: Warsh is a vocal critic of the Fed's "bloated" balance sheet. He advocates for a "radical transformation" to shrink it significantly, arguing that a smaller footprint would reduce market distortions and improve policy clarity. Reduced Forward Guidance: He has expressed skepticism toward the Fed's reliance on extensive "forward guidance" and model-driven forecasting, preferring a less predictable but more rule-based communication strategy.
Strategic & Regulatory Shifts Beyond interest rates, Warsh’s leadership is expected to prioritize structural reform and deregulation: Financial Deregulation: He is likely to support plans to reduce headcount in the Fed’s oversight divisions and ease bank capital and liquidity requirements, which he believes currently force banks to hold excessive reserves. Treasury Coordination: He has proposed a new "Treasury–Fed accord" to coordinate balance sheet reduction and debt management more closely with the executive branch. Ceding Regulatory Power: Warsh has suggested the Fed should cede some of its banking supervision authority to the Treasury Department, challenging the traditional independence of the Fed as a regulator.
Confirmation Hurdles Despite broad Republican support, Warsh faces an immediate obstacle in the Senate Banking Committee. Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) has stated he will block the nomination until a Department of Justice investigation into outgoing Chair Powell's 2025 testimony is resolved. Without Tillis's support, the nomination may struggle to reach the full Senate floor for a vote.
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On February 3, 2026, the cryptocurrency market experienced a volatile recovery phase following a significant weekend crash. While major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum saw relief rallies during the day, the overall sentiment remained in "Extreme Fear" with an index level of 14. The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at approximately $2.62 trillion to $2.75 trillion, reflecting mixed trading as institutional demand showed signs of fading.
Key Market Insights
Regulatory & Macro Pressures: Market volatility was partly driven by the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, leading to concerns over tighter monetary policy and higher real interest rates.
Federal Policy: A "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" executive order signed by President Trump initially caused a rally toward $90,000, but the lack of an immediate government buying commitment led to a subsequent slide to the $78,000–$82,000 range by Feb 3.
Total Market Dynamics: The total market cap saw a slight decline of 1.2% over 24 hours despite individual relief rallies, with trading volume rising to $182 billion due to increased activity following panic selling.
Outperformers: While major caps were mixed, mid-cap assets like ZIL (+70%), C98 (+40%), and ZAMA (+23%) significantly outperformed the broader market.
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