probability

🔥 Rate Cut probability reached at 70% 📈🚀

Is it good news or bad? 😁 because everytime good news turn into bad news... 😔

Do let me know in the comment below 🙂👇🏼👇🏼
#BREAKING #Fed #RateCut #Probability

#Probability of December #InterestRateCut falls below 50% _
Nearly 67% of investors forecast an interest rate cut of 25 basis points in December when #poll 'ed during the first week of November.

"Disclaimer _ Source: Binance News / Bitdegree / Coindesk / Coinmarketcap / #Cointelegraph / Decrypt & do support by follow, like, comment, share, repost to reach maximum audience, more such informative content ahead"

#ShareYourThoughtOnBTC

#BTTC/USDT $BTTC
I Like Being Positive That's why I choose Bullish
So Lets See What Happens next

Even the Strongest Can Fall 🤣 #Probability 🤑

🤯 $BTC Implied Probability Just Shifted – Here’s What It Means!

This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈

Essentially, price = probability. A $6.1c “Yes” contract means the market thinks there’s only a ~6% chance of that outcome. Conversely, a 94¢ “No” contract suggests a 94% probability. We’re seeing low “Yes” prices (2.7¢-6.1¢) indicating extremely low confidence, while prices climbing to 70¢ signal strong conviction.

Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the outcome despite the trading activity. This is crucial intel for understanding market positioning. The data also shows a total volume of $522,5140 (likely a typo in the original data).

#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀

Gold Thoughts -ICT Nerd
#forex #Daily #GOLD #analysis #Probability
#xauusd #binance #hisham Bhai #usman #ict

🤯 $BTC Implied Probability Just Shifted – Here’s What It Means!

This data reveals how markets are betting on future outcomes, and the signals are fascinating. 📈

Essentially, price = probability. A “Yes” contract at 36¢ suggests a 36% chance of that event happening. We’re seeing incredibly low “Yes” prices (as low as 2.7¢), signaling extremely low probability assessments. Conversely, prices climbing towards 70¢ indicate strong confidence in a “Yes” outcome.

Interestingly, high volume alongside low “Yes” prices points to significant “No” sentiment – people are actively betting against the event, despite the trading activity. This is a key divergence to watch. The data also shows moderate confidence in “Yes” outcomes with prices ranging from 20¢ to 44¢.

Understanding these implied probabilities can give you a unique edge in navigating the market. 👀

#Probability #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DeFi 🚀

🌟How Bookies Make Market Prices

. Amateur traders easily get caught up in too many orders, the time frame is too short, the volume size is too large, etc. In retrospect, it all comes from bad qualities such as lack of confidence in abilities (fear of missing out), greed (only seeing benefits but not losses), anger (when you lose, you're bitter, trying to get over it), infatuation ( knew it was wrong but still tried to keep the order). So a trader with sustainable profits is usually quite mature in terms of emotions and personality.

. The bookie aka#Builderalways wins because they rely on probability & time - "I'm not afraid of you winning, I'm just afraid of you not playing" - 98% of#Tradersare amateurs, the top 2% are excellent and the rest are all are true#business#man aka #Investor, they look at the price line to find investment entries#follow#trend, they have#thesislogic, method system & capital division strategy to select very clear opportunities clarity & discipline.

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12 #MM #price #manipulate #probability #time

Tgram Channel - @TradingHacksWK

#Probability #BOB #FastenyourSeatBelts I am all in for $BOB . Let's check this Hypothesis! It grew a 2,5% Last days...

🔥🚨CME data shows a 98.3% #probability of a 25bps rate cut in three days.

🎯 Should you invest in a shitcoin or buy a raffle ticket?
Let's do the math… 💸🧠

📉 Betting that a shitcoin (token with no real utility) will go up 100x:
🔹 Probability: < 0.0001%
🔹 Risk: Total loss
🔹 Common outcome: “Rug pull” or project abandonment
🔹 Emotion: 10/10, but your wallet is crying 🥲

🎟️ Buying a number in a real raffle with guaranteed prize:
🔹 Example: 1 number out of 10,000
🔹 Probability: 0.01% per number
🔹 Risk: Minimal, you know what you can win
🔹 Outcome: Someone DOES get the prize 💰
🔹 Emotion: And hopefully, it's you!

💡 Conclusion:
You don’t need a memecoin with a flying dog name to change your luck.
Sometimes, a well-organized raffle makes more sense than a questionable investment. 🤷‍♂️

#Probability #REWARDS #latam #memecoin

Despite a strong #CPI number, the #probability of a #25bps rate cut remains low for the next #fomc #Meeting . 👇

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🔱 SOL/USDT: The Probability in the Trident (Macro 1S)
In the weekly chart, the probability analysis leans towards a technical bounce for the following reasons:
Lower Line Support: The price has reached the lower blue band of Andrews' Trident, an area where historically the probability of buyers appearing is 80% before seeking the midpoint.
Fibonacci Confluence: The level of 117.12 coincides with the 0.00\% of your drawn retracement, marking the beginning of a technical demand zone.
Reversal Structure: The formation of a possible Double Bottom in this zone increases the statistical probability of a trend change from bearish to bullish.
#Probability $SOL