NewbieToNode

$ARB followed the plan nicely.

In my last post, I was watching $0.141 and said a break above $0.156 could open $0.165–$0.17.

That played out. ARB pushed to $0.1739 before pulling back toward $0.153.

Now it’s back around $0.164.

This is where I don't want to chase.

I want to see how ARB behaves around $0.165–$0.167. If buyers can hold above that area, $0.1739 is the obvious level to watch.

If it gets rejected again, $0.156–$0.157 becomes important.

The move has already happened. Now I’m more interested in whether buyers can defend the breakout than in chasing the next candle.

⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.

FOMC is out. The Fed just raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%.

Honestly, I’m less interested in the 25 bps itself and more interested in what comes next.

The Fed is still dealing with inflation above the 2% target, and the message around future rates matters more for crypto from here.

BTC was already under pressure after yesterday’s CLARITY Act vote, so this is coming at an uncomfortable time for risk assets.

I’m not calling for a crash here.

I’m watching what BTC does next, especially if yields and the dollar continue moving higher.

If BTC starts losing important support while macro pressure builds, that’s when I’d become more cautious.

For now, I’d rather watch the reaction than guess the direction.

#FedRateWatch #BitcoinFalls4%

🚨 MUST READ IF YOU USE BINANCE P2P

Sharing a P2P scam attempt I recently encountered because the red flags are worth knowing.

I was selling USDT through Binance P2P when the buyer contacted me on WhatsApp and asked me to “verify my USDT.”

I told him I didn’t know how to do it and asked him to cancel the order.

Instead, he said it would only take a few minutes and told me to download Trust Wallet. He even offered to guide me through it on a call.

That felt suspicious, so I refused.

Then he tried to convince me by saying, “Everyone asks for it now because there are lots of scams happening. If you sell to someone else, they will also ask for it. The rules have changed.”

Rather than following his instructions, I contacted Binance Customer Support and explained everything. They told me not to do it.

After that, the buyer sent a payment screenshot in the Binance chat and marked the payment as completed.

But the screenshot itself had mismatched details:

• Different date
• Different name
• Different amount

I knew it was fake and did not release my USDT.

The order timer eventually ran out. Since this was the first time I had faced something like this, I contacted Binance Support again, explained the situation, and they helped me resolve it.

Sharing this because the red flags came one after another:

WhatsApp → “USDT verification” → Download another wallet → Pressure → Fake payment screenshot

My takeaway: don’t follow a buyer’s instructions just because they sound confident or claim that “the rules have changed.”

Verify the actual payment yourself. If something feels suspicious, stop and contact support.

A few minutes of caution can protect your crypto. 🛡️

#BinanceP2P #P2PScamAwareness #P2PScamWarning #P2PScam #P2P

Yesterday the CLARITY Act vote gave the crypto market another reason to de-risk.

The Senate needed 60 votes to advance it, but the vote ended 49–50. BTC reacted almost immediately and the broader market followed.

Now the attention shifts to the Fed.

Today is FOMC, and honestly, I think the rate decision itself may not be the most interesting part. The market has already spent days positioning around it.

What matters to me is what comes after the announcement.

Does Warsh sound more concerned about inflation?
Does the Fed leave the door open for more restrictive policy?
Or does the market hear enough to start pricing a softer path?

That difference could matter more for BTC than the headline rate decision.

I'm watching BTC, the dollar and Treasury yields together. If yields and the dollar push higher after the announcement, risk assets could remain under pressure. If they cool off, BTC could get some relief.

Yesterday was a regulatory shock.

Today we get the macro test.

I wouldn't be surprised to see some crazy volatility around the announcement, including a move in one direction followed by a reversal.

For me, the important trade isn't predicting the first candle. It's seeing where BTC settles after the noise.

#FedRateWatch #USSenateBlocksClarityAct

Well, that's not the outcome crypto bulls wanted.

The CLARITY Act couldn't secure the 60 votes required to move forward in the Senate.

I was watching this as one of the biggest near-term catalysts for crypto, so this definitely changes the short-term picture.

But there's another major event waiting tomorrow: the Fed.

I'm more interested in how BTC behaves after both catalysts are digested than in chasing this first reaction.

Big volatility window ahead.

⚠️ Personal view, not financial advice. DYOR.

#CLARITYAct #FedRateWatch #ClarityActOddsHalveOnPolymarket

I like what $ARB did, but I don't like chasing it here.

The move from $0.1314 → $0.1562 came with strong volume, then price started giving some of it back.

For me, $0.141 is the important near-term level.

Hold it → $0.152–$0.156 can come back into play.

Break $0.156 → $0.165–$0.17 becomes interesting.

Lose $0.141 → I'd watch $0.1355.

And with the Sept. 16 unlock, tomorrow could get even more volatile.

Flat for now. Let the chart decide.

⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.

Added more $BNB to my long-term bag...

$HEMI is testing the breakout idea.

$0.00630 → $0.00686 with a serious volume spike.

Now:
S: $0.00652 / $0.00630
R: $0.00676 / $0.00686
Upside if confirmed: $0.00720 → $0.00750

The important part isn't the spike.

It's whether HEMI can hold the higher range and break $0.00686 with volume.

I'm flat and watching.

⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.

The Fed decision itself may not be the biggest risk this week.

Markets are already heavily pricing a 25bp move after August core CPI came in at 0.3% MoM.

That changes the question for me.

If the Fed hikes as expected, the initial BTC reaction could be noisy, but the bigger signal may come from the language around the next meeting.

A hike + hawkish guidance could keep pressure on BTC and tech stocks while supporting the dollar.

A hike + softer guidance could produce the opposite reaction as markets start pricing the end of the tightening cycle.

So I’m watching the statement and Warsh’s tone more than the headline 25bp itself.

For BTC, I’d rather wait for the post-FOMC reaction than position purely on the announcement.

⚠️ Not financial advice. This is my market view, not a trade recommendation. DYOR.

#FedRateWatch

$FF has momentum. The question is: can it hold?

$0.12 → $0.17 with a big volume expansion.


🔴 Resistance: $0.1701–$0.1727
🟢 Support: $0.1615 / $0.1504
🎯 Targets: $0.18 / $0.19

A clean breakout above $0.1701 could open the next leg.

I’m currently flat and watching.

⚠️ Not financial advice. Do your own research before making any decision.

$RED is green. felt like that needed saying. 😄
up 8.5% today, high of $0.1645, now at $0.1433. RedStone is the 4th largest blockchain oracle, securing $6.5B+ across 70+ chains.

📍 support: $0.1340
📍 resistance: $0.1645

quiet infrastructure play having a loud day.

Guys, I'm literally a little cautious about the next 48 hours.

Not because I think crypto is going up or down…

But because we're about to get two huge catalysts almost back-to-back.

Today, the Senate votes on advancing the CLARITY Act — 60 votes are needed, and the result could change the tone around U.S. crypto regulation.

Tomorrow, the Fed makes its move.

A 25 bps hike is heavily expected, so I'm less interested in the hike itself and MUCH more interested in the dot plot and what the Fed says about future hikes.

That's why I'm saying:

Please be careful with leverage.

The next 48 hours could give us some absolutely crazy BTC and altcoin candles.

Let the market react first. Then make your move.

#FedHikeOddsRiseTo89% #CLARITYAct

Guys, what do you think about $BNB can we see it back at its ATH this cycle? 🤔 I'm seriously thinking about adding more here.

👀 $BNCB IS ABOUT TO GO LIVE.

$BNC is already +10% today…

And CEA Industries holds 515K+ BNB.

Now Binance users can trade the tokenized stock.

This could get VERY interesting. 🔥

Guys, $FIL keeps getting rejected at the SAME level

$1.03–$1.037 has already stopped buyers multiple times.

But here's what I'm watching:

FIL is still holding above the $0.96–0.97 area.

So right now it's simple:

🔥 Break $1.037 → $1.05 → $1.10
📉 Lose $0.96 → caution

The next clean breakout could decide the next move.

I'm watching this one closely.

$WAXP IS MOVING. 🚀

$0.0040 → $0.00632.

And this time, volume came with it.


Now the battle is around $0.00632–0.00644.

Break and hold → $0.007
Then → $0.0075 → $0.008

But I'm not chasing an +18% candle.

If $0.006 turns into support, I think WAXP could have another leg.

Watching closely.

I THINK THIS WEEK COULD GET VERY VOLATILE FOR CRYPTO. 💥

Not because of one event.

Because several major catalysts are landing almost on top of each other.

Tuesday brings the CLARITY Act Senate vote — a major test for U.S. crypto regulation.

Then Wednesday, the Fed decision hits.

And this isn't a normal Fed meeting. Inflation is still elevated, Treasury yields are near 5%, and markets are heavily positioned for a rate hike.

Then we get the BoE, BOJ and U.S. derivatives expiry later in the week.

That's a lot of potential repricing in just a few days.

For BTC, I'm watching one thing more than the headlines:

HOW DOES PRICE REACT?

If bad news gets absorbed and BTC keeps holding up, that tells me buyers are stronger than the headlines suggest.

But if BTC starts breaking key support after these events, I wouldn't ignore it.

This week isn't about predicting every headline.

It's about watching which side actually wins when the volatility arrives.

🚨 I'M ADDING $NEAR TO MY LONG-TERM BAG.

Here's what I like about it:

NEAR isn't trying to win just by being another L1.

It's building infrastructure for an agent economy — combining AI agents, cross-chain execution and chain abstraction.

And the interesting part?

NEAR Intents has already processed $28B+ across 34 chains.

Meanwhile, the chart is sitting around $2.40 after a move from $1.78 → $2.72.

$2.30–2.35 = support
$2.72 = breakout level

I'm not here for one green candle.

I'm here to see what NEAR can become over the next cycle.

Bitcoin Just Did Something It's Only Supposed To Do Once Every Month And A Half. It's Now Done It Three Times In Four Weeks.

On September 11, Two Of Bitcoin's Biggest Mining Pools, Antpool And Spiderpool, Both Found A Valid Block At The Exact Same Height, Basically Two Answers To The Same Math Problem, Submitted At Almost The Same Second. For A Brief Moment, The Network Had Two Competing Versions Of "The Truth." Antpool's Version Ended Up Winning Because It Accumulated More Proof-Of-Work, And Spiderpool's Block Got Discarded Entirely, Along With Whatever Was In It.

This Is Called A One-Block Reorg, And Normally It's Genuinely Rare, Happening Roughly Once Every 45 Days Under Normal Network Conditions. This Was Bitcoin's Third One In A Single Month, Following Similar Events On August 16 And August 24.

Here's Why That Matters, And Why It Doesn't, At The Same Time. Galaxy Research, Who Documented All Three Events, Is Calling This "Common," Not Alarming, One-Block Reorgs Like This Resolve Harmlessly And Don't Indicate Any Actual Attack. But Three Happening In One Month, When You'd Normally Expect Maybe One Every Month And A Half, Is Enough Of A Pattern That Researchers Are Watching Mining Pool Centralization And Block Propagation More Closely.

For Context On What "Actually Scary" Looks Like: Bitcoin SV Once Suffered A 100-Block Reorg, And Monero Saw An 18-Block Reorg More Recently. Those Are The Events That Represent Real Security Concerns, Deep Reorgs That Can Reverse Dozens Of Confirmed Transactions. What Happened Here Is Nowhere Near That Level.

So, Not A Crisis. But Not Nothing Either. Worth Knowing The Difference Between "The Network Doing Normal Network Things" And "The Network Showing Early Stress Signals," Because Right Now We're Closer To The First, But It's A Pattern Worth Watching.

#BitcoinThirdSingleBlockReorgInFourWeeks

$FIL UPDATE

The $1 target is officially hit. 🎯✅

FIL reached $1.035, got rejected, and is now testing the $0.94–0.96 support zone.

For me, this is the key area now.

If buyers defend it, the bullish structure remains intact.

$0.94–0.96 holds → $1 reclaim → $1.035 retest.

Let's see what buyers do here.