1. Macroeconomic Analysis

1、#DXY

Daily chart

Daily orders flow downward.

DXY rebounded yesterday to obtain liquidity. It is now falling back to 102.6 again. Let’s first see the reaction at this position. There is a probability that it will continue to move up a little to absorb liquidity.

After acquiring it, it continues to move downward and retests the target below 101.5.

If it falls below, it will enter M1 BK again, within 100.

Hourly chart

After accumulating funds at the bottom here, it goes back to 102.6 again. It has been oscillating at this position for 4H now. Wait for the direction to be chosen.

It is reasonable to gain momentum here to test the H1 bearish OB, and it is also possible to go directly to test 105.1.

2、#SPX

Daily chart

The daily order flow is downward, but a volatile upward structure is currently running.

After the opening last night, it first ate up the entire falling liquidity and then continued to move downward, stepping back to the H1 OB of 3901. After obtaining liquidity, it tested the opening price upward.

It has not fallen below 3901. At present, the overall trend is good. The hourly order flow is still upward. Looking at the trend tonight, there is still a probability that it will test 4016 and 4080 again.

But if it falls below, we will have to look at the test of the previous low again. In that case, there is a high probability that it will fall below and continue to move in the daily falling structure. The target will first be 3765 and then the daily range-L 3642.

3、#ES1!

Hourly chart

Hourly orders flow downward.

Here the daily level is upward but the hourly level is in a downward correction.

We still focus on the test of range-EQ and EQL below. As long as EQL is not broken, the daily order flow will still be upward, and there will still be a chance to test the upper H4 bearish OB again.

If it falls below, the probability will be to test the H4 bullish OB below.

It is still oscillating within the range.

3. Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

1、#BTC

Daily chart

Daily order flow is upward.

Here, the price oscillates in a high range at the top, and this section is actually located in the discount area on the left.

The upper target focuses on the test of EQ 29560, which is also the bearish OB on the weekly chart.

There is nothing much to say at the macro level. The orders are flowing downward, waiting for the direction to be chosen after breaking through the range.

There is a feeling of a short-term fishtail market here.

H1 Chart

The hourly order flow is downward, but there is a strong upward structure here.

In fact, if we look at it from the perspective of range, we can understand that this is a consolidation center of an upward structure.

Let’s first look at the test of range-H.

The upward structure continues after the breakout.

If it does not break, it will continue to fluctuate within the range and obtain internal liquidity.

M15 chart

Order flow is upward.

After being rejected after testing EQ last night, it fell back to M15 OB. As the U.S. stock market opened and rose, BTC followed suit and rose.

The U.S. stock market pulled back in the evening, and BTC also fell back to range-EQ, and then rebounded and fluctuated upward along with the U.S. stock market.

There is an internal range here, with liquidity both above and below.

As long as the M15 bullish OB of EQ is not broken, it will still be bullish, so we can observe and go long if it falls back here.

If it falls below, then continue to look at the SSL test of 27272. If it doesn’t break here, there is still a chance to move upward. If it breaks HTF-range-L 26586, it will definitely be hunted down.

Let’s continue with the hunt for 28456 EQL, then BSL and HTF range-H.

2、#ETH

Daily chart

Daily order flow is upward.

ETH builds an MTF-range around 1461-1742, builds a deviation zone downward, and then breaks through range-H upward.

Then build a LTF -range of 1718-1841 in range-H.

Here we hunt range-L first, and then hunt range-H.

Personally, I think that if it can stabilize at 1790, the probability of upward movement is still quite high, and the target end point is HTF-RANGE-H 2020.

Hourly chart

Hourly order flow

ETH Here we build a shock range around 1718-1841.

After hunting downward to obtain liquidity, it directly hunted upward range-H.

After falling back to the 1790 BK position, it will also fluctuate upward.

It still fell back but did not break 1790 and is still looking upward to test the range-H.

If it falls below, then it will enter a downward structure. Let’s first look at the OB test of 1750 which started yesterday.

3、ETH/BTC

Hourly chart

Hourly order flow upward.

It is still relatively OK here. After falling back to the bottom, the bullish OB forms EQL and continues to move upward. It is still oscillating at the bottom. It is necessary to wait for a breakthrough of 0.066730 before the big structure is destroyed and the rising structure is confirmed.

EQH = Equal High

EQL = Equal Low

FVG - Fair Value Gap

HL - Higher Low

HH - Higher High

LL - Lower Low

LH - Lower High

HTF - High Time Frame

LTF - Low Time Frame

MS - Market Structure

OB - Order Block

IDM-Induction Point

MSB, BOS, COS, CH structure destruction