Today's overall market score: 40 points
The market is still in a weak trend, and it is unlikely to rebound directly. Wait for another bottom test, and the bottom will not come out so quickly. Of course, in terms of thinking, spot is mainly based on cost, and the more it falls, the more you buy. As long as the cost is low enough, spot is not afraid of being trapped in the short term. What we want is to lower the total cost, so we need to buy in batches and bottom-fish on the left side. Therefore, the idea of spot is to get closer to it so far;
At the same time, the main focus of the contract is stability, which requires high certainty, which means sacrificing some costs. Costs must give way to certainty, so the left side should be the main focus. This means that after a clear large-scale signal comes out on the right side, a rebound pattern is established, and a bottom signal is established, then you can enter. However, from the market, there is currently no signal to establish a rebound at the 4-hour/daily level on the right side, only a small-level rebound signal, which is not enough. Therefore, if you want to participate in the contract, you can only follow the short-term direction, rebound to the pressure, and short near the pressure zone. This is the correct idea of the current contract;
A big event happened tonight, that is, Collins, a voting member of the Federal Reserve, came out to speak and expressed his position, saying that it is too early to cut interest rates now, that is, don't think about cutting interest rates now, but if inflation comes down next year, interest rates will be cut, leaving the market with a thought, which means that in the short term, Bitcoin will still be under pressure to adjust downward. At that time, the mid- and long-term turning point is coming, which is the first and second quarters of next year. Everyone should seize the last time window of the bull market;
In fact, there are some big positives, but the certainty is not very high. We will take it one step at a time and share some potential big positives with you later.
1. Dark Horse Quantitative Following
The trend predicted by Bitcoin is to wash out downwards first, and then bottom out, which is the last drop before the big bull market, and then start to rise. There will be no more chance to get on the train at a low level!
Note: All analysis contents are planned to focus on spot, and contracts should be based more on real-time signals at the time;
