After a long break, Iโm back ๐
And I donโt want to start with another prediction like โBTC will hit $100K.โ
Instead, I want to talk about a metric that is actually worth keeping an eye on.
๐ Look at how much Bitcoin is sitting on exchanges.
Right now, BTC reserves on exchanges have fallen to around 2.68M BTC - $the lowest level since September 2023.
And since September 22, more than 40,000 BTC has left exchanges.
Why is this interesting?
When large amounts of BTC move onto exchanges, it can potentially increase the amount of Bitcoin available for selling.
When BTC leaves exchanges, it may indicate that holders are moving their coins into self-custody and are not planning to sell them right away.
But thereโs an important point ๐
โ BTC leaving exchanges โ guaranteed price increase.
Itโs just one signal.
Coins can move between different wallets, custodians, ETFs and other entities.
Thatโs why I personally wouldnโt focus on a single day. Iโd rather watch the trend over several weeks.
My simple framework:
๐ BTC rising + exchange reserves falling โ an interesting combination to watch.
๐ BTC falling + BTC flowing into exchanges โ something to be more cautious about.
๐ BTC moving sideways โ watch the flows, ETF activity and trading volume.
You donโt need to predict every Bitcoin move.
Sometimes, itโs much more useful to simply understand where the coins are and what is happening to them.
Do you actually track exchange flows, or is the BTC chart all you care about? ๐
#OnChain #bitcoin #BTC #crypto #Findsy