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TXXXIV
13 Posts

TXXXIV

High-Frequency Trader
5.4 Years
31 Following
22 Followers
23 Liked
Posts
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Fed this week: one-off or a cycle? Core CPI +0.3% m/m — above the forecast. The probability of a 25 bp rate hike jumped to ~90% (a month ago it was ~40%). This looks like the start of a cycle rather than a one-time measure. If they raise rates, risk assets (BTC, tech) will be under pressure, while gold could benefit as a hedge. I’m waiting for the decision myself and not opening any new positions yet — the uncertainty is too high. #FedRateWatch #BitcoinReboundsTo$79K #FOMC
Fed this week: one-off or a cycle?

Core CPI +0.3% m/m — above the forecast. The probability of a 25 bp rate hike jumped to ~90% (a month ago it was ~40%). This looks like the start of a cycle rather than a one-time measure.

If they raise rates, risk assets (BTC, tech) will be under pressure, while gold could benefit as a hedge.

I’m waiting for the decision myself and not opening any new positions yet — the uncertainty is too high.

#FedRateWatch #BitcoinReboundsTo$79K #FOMC
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Fed rate hike this week: a one-off reaction or the start of a new cycle?The market heads into the Fed week with the highest expectations in recent months for tighter policy. August core CPI rose 0.3% m/m—slightly above the forecast of 0.2%, while annual inflation remained at 3.4%. Formally, the figures are not catastrophic, but the exceedance in core CPI is what triggered the move: the probability of a 25 bp rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting jumped to 80–90%, whereas a month ago the market was pricing in only about 40%.

Fed rate hike this week: a one-off reaction or the start of a new cycle?

The market heads into the Fed week with the highest expectations in recent months for tighter policy. August core CPI rose 0.3% m/m—slightly above the forecast of 0.2%, while annual inflation remained at 3.4%. Formally, the figures are not catastrophic, but the exceedance in core CPI is what triggered the move: the probability of a 25 bp rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting jumped to 80–90%, whereas a month ago the market was pricing in only about 40%.
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🇦🇪 UAE citizen found that his passport was EXPIRED, right before boarding at Dubai airport... He went to the passport renewal office at the airport and received a brand-new one in just 8 MINUTES. Impressive efficiency.
🇦🇪 UAE citizen found that his passport was EXPIRED, right before boarding at Dubai airport...

He went to the passport renewal office at the airport and received a brand-new one in just 8 MINUTES.

Impressive efficiency.
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🪙 Solana $SOL more than tripled the amount of data that can be stored in a single transaction. Now, the network can support more complex operations—e.g., with multiple signatures, corporate wallets, and privacy-enhanced applications.#sol {future}(SOLUSDT)
🪙 Solana $SOL more than tripled the amount of data that can be stored in a single transaction.

Now, the network can support more complex operations—e.g., with multiple signatures, corporate wallets, and privacy-enhanced applications.#sol
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Article
$ETH are we heading for $1300 or $3900?$ETH A sharp jump to $2615 and an equally sharp pullback — what happened? On September 11, U.S. inflation data (CPI) was released, and the market that had widely been positioned short on ETH got hit by a short squeeze: the price was pushed from $2437 to $2667 in a single session. Only on ETH, shorts were liquidated for about ~$250M. Next — a rollback of almost all the momentum; right now ETH is around $2500. A sudden pump without support from real demand usually doesn’t last.

$ETH are we heading for $1300 or $3900?

$ETH A sharp jump to $2615 and an equally sharp pullback — what happened? On September 11, U.S. inflation data (CPI) was released, and the market that had widely been positioned short on ETH got hit by a short squeeze: the price was pushed from $2437 to $2667 in a single session. Only on ETH, shorts were liquidated for about ~$250M.
Next — a rollback of almost all the momentum; right now ETH is around $2500. A sudden pump without support from real demand usually doesn’t last.
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Article
Return of the “crypto Nostradamus”: a genius or a beautiful legend?In crypto Twitter again discussing an account under the name Royal Kane (formerly Kane XBT) — a trader who claims that he shorted $BTC at the peak around $126K and made a fortune while the market fell to $91K. According to him, the old account grew from 40K to 400K subscribers in 4 months, and after getting shut down, he came back with a new one.

Return of the “crypto Nostradamus”: a genius or a beautiful legend?

In crypto Twitter again discussing an account under the name Royal Kane (formerly Kane XBT) — a trader who claims that he shorted $BTC at the peak around $126K and made a fortune while the market fell to $91K. According to him, the old account grew from 40K to 400K subscribers in 4 months, and after getting shut down, he came back with a new one.
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Bullish
$BTC $ETH BTC at $77.5K, ETH at $2.5K — the market is sideways. But in the US Senate, they introduced the final version of the CLARITY Act with strict rules for officials in the crypto business — Bernstein believes the market hasn’t priced this in yet. Conclusion: price quiet often precedes a sharp move on news. Keeping that in mind before entering. #BTC #ETH #CLARITY
$BTC $ETH BTC at $77.5K, ETH at $2.5K — the market is sideways. But in the US Senate, they introduced the final version of the CLARITY Act with strict rules for officials in the crypto business — Bernstein believes the market hasn’t priced this in yet.

Conclusion: price quiet often precedes a sharp move on news. Keeping that in mind before entering.

#BTC #ETH #CLARITY
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$ZEC The entry into the short was clear—and the price really crashed, just like I thought. But I set the stop right at the entry, with no buffer. It pushed against me—stopped me out, and after a couple of hours the trade would have gone in my favor. Conclusion: I’m often right on direction, but I don’t let the position “breathe”—I close at the first fluctuation out of fear. I’m learning to place the stop where there’s a real mistake in the idea, not where it’s just scary. #Trading #ZEC #Binance
$ZEC The entry into the short was clear—and the price really crashed, just like I thought. But I set the stop right at the entry, with no buffer. It pushed against me—stopped me out, and after a couple of hours the trade would have gone in my favor.

Conclusion: I’m often right on direction, but I don’t let the position “breathe”—I close at the first fluctuation out of fear. I’m learning to place the stop where there’s a real mistake in the idea, not where it’s just scary.

#Trading #ZEC #Binance
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