The next six months will be a year to witness history. If you are also new to this circle (I got involved in October 2024), you may see trends beyond imagination. If you are a long-term thinker, then Bitcoin is undoubtedly the most valuable and the only valuable asset in the crypto world. When looking at longer time periods, both positions in Bitcoin can be ideal entry points for spot purchases that can be held for years.
#XAUUSD price action review The overall expectation is to see a rebound with a large-timeframe double-push move. The target is above 4700. Figure 1, daily timeframe level. The green box is a bullish OB on the daily. Here it has been consolidating for about two months. Institutions have been accumulating. Previously, everyone agreed it would go and hit the liquidity at 3885, which led to longs not being taken up—this is a subjective bias toward execution. Currently, the price body has already exceeded 4382, forming a bullish MSB on the daily. Above, the target areas are the yellow daily bearish OB and the red daily bearish OB. The grey box here is definitely likely to be reached. If you have spot positions, you may not need to take profit there, but if price reaches the red box, it’s best to exit/clear. Currently the price has reached the EQ level (purple line). It has been resisted there and has formed a bearish engulfing pattern. There is reason to believe a pullback may occur. Of course, it’s also possible to first move up to the grey box bearish OB and then pull back. Between these two scenarios, I lean more toward the first one; Figure 2, 4H timeframe. At the moment, it’s only high-level resistance and there hasn’t been any 4H structure break. The key price on the 4H timeframe is 4223. If 4223 breaks down with a body, there may be a deep pullback (the red arrow). If 4223 doesn’t break, it’s possible that it will only be a 1H-level pullback; Figure 3, 1H timeframe. There is MSB behavior. However, at 4314 it only obtained the low-side liquidity. If the body breaks below, the certainty of shorting on the rebound increases. Right now, it can only be considered a bet on going short: stop loss above 4450, and the target can be 4250—this corresponds to the 1H bullish OB. Future analysis: If there is a volume-backed breakout above 4250, then the stop-loss should be taken—stop out. The daily OB (grey box) will be awaited for structure. If price goes down from here, watch the key 4223 level; if it breaks, there could be a deep pullback. If it doesn’t break, then you can take partial profits first and observe the subsequent price action.
#BTC走势分析 Short near-term moves are short and long; when rebounds occur, expect the move to continue lower, then after it comes down, wait for a smaller level MSB to trigger, and then extend the long.
#ETH There’s an open order—if it can be done, do it; if not, wait for the callback and then connect more. The location isn’t necessarily here—look at the structure instead.