羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

$ETH The decline is steeper than BTC’s, as it had gained more previously and is showing relatively weak price action. The current price has reached support at the daily EMA. A low-level golden cross may form on the daily chart, with several long wicks; the pattern looks like a bullish wedge. A rebound is likely after a bear trap, so wait for a sharp wick before entering.

$ZEC As usual, the rally gives no chance to get in, and chasing it higher can easily leave you stuck at the top.

After peaking at 1330, the price quickly pulled back and is now around 1245, down nearly 6% in 24 hours. Short-term resistance is at 1330. The price is currently testing 1240, which coincides with the 4-hour EMA200 (1237); it needs to hold steady here for a rebound to be possible. If it breaks below, watch 1200, with deeper support at 1120–1150. The 4-hour MACD has formed a bearish cross, signaling short-term weakness, though that doesn’t necessarily mean a sharp drop is imminent.

Plan: Don’t blindly buy the dip or jump straight into a short. There is support at 1240; see whether the price can recover to 1260–1270. If the rebound lacks strength or the price breaks below 1240, don’t try to catch a falling knife. It’s easy to mistime moves in highly volatile coins like this.

$BTC Overhead selling pressure is heavy. After a rebound, the price came under pressure again and retreated. The current trend is within a descending channel, so pay close attention to support below. As long as support holds, there is still a chance of a rebound; bearish momentum on the daily chart has mostly been absorbed.
For now, remain on the sidelines and patiently wait for new opportunities.

$STAR Volume is increasing moderately; consider entering on a pullback to around 0.037.
#HEADAL It has failed to break below 0.26 several times, so support looks fairly solid and it’s worth keeping an eye on. However, the market is showing signs of a possible downward reversal. Watch the daily chart and consider waiting for a 1–2 week correction before entering.
$PONS Wait for a daily-chart correction and look for an opportunity to add to your position.

Picked up a little $INIT spot. The price has been climbing steadily in small steps, and volume only started picking up over the past few days. It hasn’t entered the acceleration phase yet. The market cap is low, and there’s a good chance a market maker is controlling the price.

$富贵 Those who haven’t gotten in yet can still enter. It’s a high-value pick on Robinhood Chain. Today it had the biggest rebound across the entire chain, which is clear evidence of investor and market confidence. Every dip is met with buying support, so it’s unlikely to fall much further. The first target is a $10M market cap.

$PEPE surged strongly today!
As mentioned earlier, once an established Meme coin attracts investor interest, its rebound potential can be considerable. An address labeled as belonging to Justin Sun withdrew #PEPE‏ in two transactions, worth around $48.76 million in total. This fueled market sentiment, and Sun may become PEPE’s largest individual holder.
The coin’s price pulled back to around 0.0000042 at its lowest, then surged sharply again today. It may not reach the pullback level previously anticipated. I’ll continue looking for a suitable entry point to build a position. This is a Meme coin worth considering for a long-term hold.

$BTC
Market analysis: The outlook remains unchanged. Although prices have not continued to fall, the rebound has been weak, mainly due to this month’s Fed meeting. Once the data is released, prices are likely to start falling. Resistance on the rebound is around 83,200. Until that level is decisively broken, the outlook remains bearish, with the liquidity target below at 72k.

$PONS is showing independent price action, rebounding 20% today as the overall Robinhood chain market recovers. The token has more than doubled in value since it was bought, and its narrative has gained considerable recognition both in China and overseas. It also features a creator revenue mechanism.
If Oz later claims the revenue and burns the tokens, creating a profit-making effect, this could directly ignite market sentiment around $PONS . The Chinese-speaking community may then drive the Robinhood chain into a new bull run.

$STRK has fallen 65% from its peak, so you can continue building your position in stages.
According to news on the 22nd, more than 93.5% of voting power in a Starknet governance vote supported researching a transition to an independent, quantum-resistant Layer 1 network. In the future, $STRK may be able to break away from Ethereum Layer 2. As an Ethereum L2, it cannot achieve full quantum resistance; after transitioning to an independent L1, it could be 100% quantum-resistant.
If quantum risks emerge down the line, institutional investors and large holders may withdraw funds from BTC and ETH and pour them into Starknet. Increased network liquidity could drive up the price of the $STRK token.
The project plans to release a white paper draft on the 11th of next month, laying the groundwork for its Layer 1 development. At the current price, consider buying more as it falls and holding for the long term. It is at rock-bottom levels and could be a chance for a turnaround.

$PONS looks attractive at 0.24. It has already fallen several times over from its peak, so you could look for an opportunity to go long on the dip!

$ETH
The rebound is losing steam, and the 4-hour highs keep moving lower, so it's too early to be bullish in the short term. 2,281 is the key short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If the price breaks below it and fails to reclaim it on a rebound, it may continue to fall. Keep an eye out for buying support around 2,200.
Several central banks are set to announce policy decisions this week, alongside U.S. GDP and core PCE data, as well as earnings reports from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. These could affect sentiment toward the dollar, U.S. Treasuries, U.S. stocks, and crypto, and are likely to increase market volatility. Don't rush into repeated trades; wait for the data and a clearer direction before acting.

$AVAX : The correction is confirmed, and you can start building a position. It’s suitable for long-term holding and has considerable potential. It has been in a pullback for over a month; prices below 9 are buying opportunities, so consider building your position in stages. The monthly and weekly charts show predominantly bullish signals. This is a healthy pullback following the main upward wave, and a second leg up is expected to begin soon. In the long term, there may be 5–10x upside. Hold on and wait for the rally.

$PEPE is still worth keeping an eye on.
The daily chart's rebound has been fairly solid, and $PEPE is currently trading around 0.0000044.
There are two key recent developments: a large PEPE transfer from an address linked to Sun Yuchen, and continued market speculation about a PEPE ETF.
However, the broader market is currently unstable, so there's no need to rush in at a high price. Keep a close watch on the 0.000004‑0.0000038 range. If the price pulls back and holds steady, you can enter in several batches.
Established meme coins can be highly volatile. A positive catalyst could trigger a rapid surge, but the key is getting the entry price right. Just wait for a suitable opportunity to build a position.

$ETH In this downturn, ETH has fallen more steadily than BTC, breaking below the lower edge of its previous consolidation range. No signs of a bottom are visible on the short-term charts for now, and the Ethereum Foundation has also continued selling tokens today. Watch the 2,180–2,200 support zone below; if it breaks, the next target is the 2,000 level!

$BTC At the current price of around 79,800, you could try going long with a small initial position, betting that this support level will hold. If support holds, the profit potential is considerable; if it breaks, exit decisively. This trade offers a good risk-reward ratio.

#中国人能飞 This coin has been performing strongly and is rallying again, with its market cap reaching 2.6m. The narratives behind good coins are often very simple—you can explain them in one sentence. The simpler they are, the easier it is to build consensus.

$PONS After falling from its peak, it has already been cut in half twice. Although the decline has been steep, its market cap remains relatively high compared with the leaders of other chains. Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the R chain will most likely be the first to move. I remain bullish on its potential for a breakout.