时光预言机i

Just set up a Binance fan group

Mainly daily market analysis, contract recommendations, US stock analysis, etc.

Everyone is welcome to click the link below to join!

时光的粉丝群

Why should you open a commission rebate?

1. When your position is profitable, the rebate is another part of your earnings.

2. When your position breaks even, the rebate is your profit.

3. When your position incurs a loss or is liquidated, the rebate can help you recover and start over.

Many brothers think that a few hundred or a few thousand U is not worth opening; that is because you do not understand the calculation standard for fees. Fees are never calculated based on your principal but rather on the position after leverage.

For example, with 1000 U you open 100x, at this point, the position for calculating the fee is 10 WU, and opening a position will definitely lead to closing it, so this order incurs at least 20 WU in fees. The fee on Binance is 0.1%. For example, if you open a position of 5 ETH, the fees for the round trip is 18 U. Do not underestimate the rebate; every month, you can save a few meals at Haidilao, or save tens of thousands, even hundreds of thousands. This money is the capital for our resurgence in difficult times.

To put it bluntly, if you do not have a rebate, it is equivalent to giving away money that originally belonged to you to the platform.

You are playing with leverage; fees are magnified many times over. If you do not have a rebate, it is like giving away money every day.

Want to improve your win rate? Want to improve your survival rate?

First, save what can be saved. Welcome everyone to join the Time Chat Group! In just a few minutes, both new and old users can start their rebates!

If you haven't opened a rebate yet, quickly contact me to activate the rebate; commissions are sent to you every week! Permanently valid! 20% off fee invitation code: YYJ116

Click this to join the Binance group: 时光的日常分享

$BTC Highest price 66.9k—just a little short of my target of 67.3k. Before 10 a.m., the market was still rising. But now, when I look back at all financial products—crypto (especially BTC), U.S. stocks, and gold—they almost all dropped at the same time, as if planned. Funds really did flee at once.

I saw a piece of news: “Reportedly, BOJ officials believe the recent weakness of the yen poses an upside inflation risk.”

From a macro perspective, the yen’s long-term weakness has already touched 40-year lows. If yen weakness is viewed as an inflation risk, it’s very possible they will intervene in the market or even hike rates further. Once expectations of yen appreciation strengthen, the yen that fled overseas earlier will likely be pulled back into Japan again. Then financial markets would face another round of selling pressure.

As long as these three factors occur together—(1) the U.S. dollar strengthens, (2) yields rise, and (3) the yen—coordinated sell-offs are very likely.

U.S. stocks: The semiconductor sector (Micron, AMD, etc.) has shown a clear rebound. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were stronger during some periods, but overall they’re still undergoing high-level sideways consolidation.

Gold: It’s in a pullback channel, and in the short term it’s being suppressed by the dollar and yields.

Crypto: BTC has been fluctuating between $600,000 and $680,000. In July there has been some rebound, but it’s still affected by macro pressure.

That said, overall crypto during this period has been pretty decent on the rise. The sell pressure above 67.3k is also real—especially because after this recent drop, this is only the second time we’ve come back to 67.3k. The best outcome would be a clean breakout. But if it can’t break through, you can always flip and short!

Gold looks like it’s going to bounce too! The price at around 4000 has been ranging for so long without breaking below it. In the short term, look at 4200 first.

It’s been a long time since we chatted $BTC
. The reason I haven’t been posting these days is that the market has kept ranging and consolidating, so I didn’t know what to share. From last week’s 65k to now, it hasn’t really gone up much, but based on the liquidation data, quite a number of liquidation users got washed out.

And when both Korean and American stocks are falling, Crypto is especially resilient. Even after dropping, it can strongly pull you back to where it was—this has also caused many people who chased shorts to get repeatedly smashed back and forth.
$BTC
4 hours are in an upward channel. The early selloff adjusted earlier and made up for it in time. Institutions have been continuously accumulating, which is why the market has been so hard/strong.

Given this situation, if we look at it this way, for the market rebound we should first watch the 0.382 level at 673550. It may hit resistance around the 66000 price; after a pullback there, it could rise again.

$btc right now is ranging around 62k, with long and short positions fairly evenly distributed. The current market is basically an unordered consolidation—there isn’t much big-picture logic behind it. The 62k support level has continuously had buy orders sitting there. However, the spot CVD has already started to show selling. For contract traders who support a rise, if the market goes against it, they will run very fast.

Even if price rebounds to 63.2k, it still needs to fall—at least it should test the 60.5k price range. Be patient; the market hasn’t consolidated long enough yet. It needs to grind within the 58–66k range for a while, so that everyone gets ground down and loses patience—then a big upside move will appear. At least up to 73k!

When can the price finally drop down when I’ve shorted Binance and already pocketed 423.67u from the funding rates?

I’ve been holding the trap for two months—are you really not saying it’ll go to just 1u?

$BTC
It just so happens that once the short positions holding 64.2K are cleared, it goes down. It was completely an upside move meant to clear liquidity. After the clearing is done, the quick drop is unfortunately when it becomes the side being cleared. There are signs of a double top on the 4-hour chart. The short entered yesterday was a bit early. If you open positions according to market liquidity, this move can easily let you catch those shorts.

Checking the liquidation chart on coinank every day can also help you place trades more easily. First, look at the support at 61.5K. Observe the accumulation of spot holdings at this level. If the market’s buying desire is not strong, then at least this wave should retrace to 60K–59K

For those who watch indicators on CoinAnk, you can try the "Main Force Large Orders" feature indicator. You can clearly see the current resistance and support directly on the candlestick chart. Especially with the main-force orders, check the 4-12-24 hour lines—you can intuitively see where the main force placed large buy and sell orders (red indicates sell orders, green indicates buy orders). You can use this to judge the current support, but these orders have a time limit. When things are slow, you can often check the main force’s actions—it's very helpful for determining the current support and resistance.

Mainly, it’s about observing unusually large orders, analyzing price reactions and the order flow: identifying support/resistance and judging market sentiment. I usually use this to observe market order behavior.

Evening Live Stream!

My body has pretty much recovered. Other than a bit of dizziness, I’m basically healed. I’ve been lying flat for a week, and I realized that as long as I lie flat, I don’t feel like looking at the market at all.

I’ve fully developed inertia. The market is behaving just as expected—those long positions that everyone was told to set up at 59k also got closed off around 63k.

The morning breakout was clearly liquidating the shorters above; the price dropped quickly from 64k, and massive sell orders appeared on the top.

This rebound from the drop at 67k has already recovered half of the losses. Personally, I think the rebound isn’t over yet—especially the retest and reclaim of 58k, which looks very much like a temporary bottom. If it really is a bottom, the height of this rebound could reach 73k, or even higher.

For now, let’s first watch how 62k holds as support.

$BTC The rebound after the designated area did not see a行情 like a single pillar supporting the sky. It has been capped by the 60.8k level from above. This morning, it rebounded to a high of 61.3k, then quickly dropped again. The shorts are in place, and the sell pressure above is still quite heavy. However, it has already held steady above 60k, which has added a lot of confidence for the bulls. All of my long positions are currently in profit, especially $ETH $SOL in the short term. I think the market can move toward the 62.2k price. Keep waiting!

2026 has already passed halfway $BTC hit a new low again. Liquidate the longs in the 59–60 range above. I took a look at the charts of other altcoins and found that many coins aren’t really falling anymore. Including $ETH $SOL 6, by the end of the month it consolidated at the 59k level for 6 days. Those that were supposed to be built up have already been accumulated. On the first day of July, give the longs a good start!

Binance’s life finally couldn’t hold up—someone let it drop! I want to get my money back!

$BTC can't even bounce back above 60k after falling, what a fucking waste

There isn't even any capital coming in to buy the dip. See you at 53k?