Mingo铭戈

✨$BP This upward cycle started on September 20. The sell-pressure from the first wave of unlocks has already begun circulating in the market, and the second wave of sell-pressure will start at 8:00 PM on October 1 (UTC+8)

On September 28: the pledged ratio was 55.8%, down 5.2%, about 13 million coins
On the 29th: the pledged ratio was 55.5%, down 0.3%, about 750,000 coins
On the 30th (to date): the pledged ratio was 55.4%, down 0.1%, about 250,000 coins

Recently, the unlocked-amount ratio has shown signs of stabilizing, but the amount unlocked earlier was still too large. If there isn’t a strong buyer stepping in, the price is likely to fall below 1u within the next 3 days.

BP holders, an opportunity to buy the dip is coming soon.

#backpack

$LIT This violent downward pin was way too brutal—dropping straight from 4.6 to 3.65, a 20.65% plunge. The liquidation amount was $7.06 million, with 97% coming from long positions. The largest single liquidation was $1.33 million. The scale is enormous— even 5x leveraged positions could get you instantly liquidated. And they timed the trigger for when everyone still hadn’t woken up; it hit at the most sleepy time, around 7:00 in the morning.

$LIT This kind of strongly-controlled by a “big whale/strong market maker” coin has no real logic. If the market maker wants to blow you up, no matter what you do, you can’t get away.

🎒Esteemed $BP shareholders, are you ready to go 1U?

In the crypto industry, the only opportunity to exchange holdings for shares—sister once said a very classic line: “A ship of the new era can’t carry people from the old era.” BP is moving toward a future narrative.

A new chapter has begun...

$HYPE will be listed on Binance spot soon. If you can’t beat them, join them. These days, Hyperliquid is already the largest on-chain Perp DEX, so there’s no need to prove its position. $ASTER really can’t be beaten—this time Binance really has no choice. Just think: $HYPE has a market cap of $23 billion, and its total market cap ranks in the TOP 10. It’s genuinely laughable that it hasn’t been listed on Binance spot yet!
#币安将上市Hyperliquid（HYPE） #比特币24小时跌3.3%失守83000美元

$BTC Big pancake: this drop is very sinister. It started right at the domestic Mid-Autumn Festival holiday period’s evening rush when people clock out. The dog cartel is truly shady.

This round of sell-off is extremely brutal—on the 4-hour chart, the MACD line has already crossed below the 7-day and 25-day moving averages and is moving toward the 99-day moving average. At present it’s hovering around 83,400. From the trend, it looks like a downward, grinding sell-off phase has already begun. The liquidation heatmap also shows liquidation momentum. Around 80,000 there are 1.4 billion yuan worth of long position chips concentrated. If it falls to around 79,400, then the total long position chips would be 1.524 billion.

From the news side: the probability of a rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve in October has increased to 73.1% (it was 55.4% one week ago). I expect the drop is caused by this. In the short term, we’ll just wait for the China–U.S. talks and see whether any good news comes out; otherwise, this wave of decline toward 80,000 is unavoidable.
$BTC #美联储加息警告 #比特币24小时跌3.3%失守83000美元

You just say whether this $LIT has a strong force-in to control the float; under big market moves, it always goes against the trend. It keeps breaking above new highs, welcoming a new ATH. Really know how to control the float 🤙🤙🤙
#LIT/USDT #lighter

$LIT 23:00 This one spike is insane—straight up liquidated Binance’s big whale’s 11.3M position, accounting for 72.4% of today’s total liquidations.

And only Binance has this kind of spike—Lighter and OKX don’t. After the liquidation, it immediately dropped back. The broker’s game is simple and brutal. Today’s market looks like “helping an old lady up the stairs”—solid as a rock

$ZEC Today it exploded again with 15.00 million USD—76% of the positions are short. Seriously, the short side can’t be burned out; the shorts keep coming back to life. Every day they can contribute so much fuel. ZEC to climb to 1600 is just around the corner.

The end of quantitative tightening policy essentially marks the beginning of quantitative easing!
QT ending which is now essentially QE starting!

🔱Summary of Coinbase Ventures' 2026 Outlook Report:

1️⃣RWA perpetual fund (more RWA assets on-chain, such as oil)

2️⃣Professional exchanges and trading terminals
---Prop AMMs model: Protecting liquidity of market makers from being preyed upon
---Prediction markets: Prediction market aggregators are the future direction, providing a unified view of cross-platform real-time event odds, platform routing, position tracking, cross-platform arbitrage tools, etc.

3️⃣Next-generation decentralized finance
---Perp Markets perpetual markets: Developing more uses to earn yields
---Unsecured loans and credit: On-chain reputation combined with off-chain data
---Privacy chains: Protecting configuration and professional individual traders, such as privacy-protected assets (Zcash) and DeFi applications (private order books, lending, etc.)

4️⃣Artificial intelligence and robotics
---DEPIN + high-quality data collection
---Proof of humanity
---On-chain development with AI

🔶Key tracks: PrepDEX, prediction market aggregators, privacy chains

🔶Personal summary:

2026 may still be a year of continued popularity for PrepDEX + prediction markets, and the World Cup is approaching, many users can participate in events like the World Cup without resorting to underground trading methods for predictions.

🎗️Partnership between EdgeX + Polymarket
🎗️Lighter + Kalshi or self-developed prediction market (speculation)
🎗️Aster + Opinion (speculation)
🎗️Backpack + self-developed prediction market (speculation)

The combination of mainstream PrepDEX and prediction markets will bring greater trading volume and liquidity funds, with huge potential opportunities in 2026, marking a more grand narrative direction!!!

#polymarket #kalshi #预测市场

Before Trump spoke,
all left-side trades were wrong!

🚀【Aster's chaotic expansion and volume manipulation will eventually backfire】

💛From the announcement of the second phase of the Genesis Trading Points Competition, distributing 4% token rewards

💛To increasing holding time x5 point rewards

💛To increasing holding time x10 point rewards

💛To changing the S2 distribution rules, either accept partial fee refunds or accept token distribution (most likely to backfire)

On the surface, it seems to encourage real users to participate! Filtering out bot users and high-frequency volume manipulators! But in fact, it's a premeditated scheme!

From the exposure of Aster tokens having 95% concentration, to irrational price surges, creating bubbles, increasing trading volume and fee income, until surpassing HyperLiquid, making retail investors and studios help create liquidity and trading volume, and receiving fees themselves!

🎉Daily trading volume surged to 1233 billion, can it be confirmed that it can be distributed to real users? How much Aster can you get from that little amount you brushed? How many real users don’t brush? So it’s either the manipulators, or you earn nothing!

🎉Still, the same saying, where there are more retail investors, there are more scythes! If you want to earn points, the market makers want to earn your principal!

The timing of the official rule adjustments is also particularly good, announced only after the Korea Blockchain Week and Singapore 2049, without giving everyone a chance to protect their rights face to face!

In short, return to rationality!!! If you want to make money, you need to find undervalued projects with less retail FOMO, doing things honestly without showing off, and high-growth potential, only then can you make money in the market!🎒

#BNB创新高 #ASTER #PREP

🚀【Aster's Valuation and Price Analysis!】

✨It is clear that Aster's current price of $1.73 is completely detached from rationality. On one hand, it was revealed that the team holds 95% of the chips, and on the other hand, CZ stirred up emotions and the narrative explosion of PREP, causing the price to be inflated.

✨Of course, the current daily trading volume is twice that of Q3, and the revenue from transaction fees will naturally increase, but it is still far from reaching the scale of Hyper.

As the tide recedes, as the enthusiasm fades away,
it will become clear who is swimming naked and who is Fomo-ing!
Dust to dust, earth to earth!

Q: What projects can be done recently?
A: Base Metamask Monad polymarket Opensea backpack edgeX lighter Kraken Plasma
Q: Analyze, which one to do?
A: Analyze a P! ...

🚀【How big is Alpha's Boundless毛 on Monday?】

✨ Announcing Alpha's weekend project to go on Boundless ($ZKC) that everyone is not competing for, all users are getting 185 points to pick up bargains, at least 45u each, it seems everyone is accumulating points to strengthen their毛

✨ News:
Boundless is valued at 290 million (0.29u each) on kaito
Off-market price is 0.76
Suspected Binance address received 150 million $ZKC (possibly for Holder and trading competition)
Bybit's new user event gives 150 $ZKC

✨ Judging from these news and past experience, it is speculated that each person can have 120-150 coins, with over 50,000 quotas, distributing approximately 6 million to 8 million coins, single order earnings 90u-120u, qualification points for the first stage 220 points, second stage 200 points

✨ It depends on the project's vision, after all, it will be listed on Binance spot, the毛 won't be too small, worth looking forward to, but there's no need to panic!

The above analysis is for reference only, subject to the final Binance announcement!

⚠️【Why is your WOD usage so high??】

💥Let’s take a look at the WOD dealer and the two arbitrage methods used recently!!

✨First method: Staircase dumping
This occurs every certain period (15 minutes), where the coin price drops by 1%. For example, if you are trading with 1000u, you could lose at least 10u in one transaction. As long as there are many traders during this time, the dealer could earn at least 10000u+ in arbitrage profit every day. The more participants, the higher the profit.

✨Second method: Horizontal short fluctuations + staircase dumping
This method is an upgraded version of the first one. The traders have become smarter because they learned from the previous losses during the downturn. So the dealer tries to keep the price stable, and there will still be traders willing to participate. During this time, with the help of bots continuously buying and selling to slightly raise the price, you will find that the price you manually enter never matches, then you cancel the order and place a higher price. You will notice that your price has increased significantly compared to the initial price. When everyone's price rises to a certain extent, the dealer's other dumping account will perform a small dump, resulting in everyone's loss of about 0.5%, 5u, or even 10u. Everyone panics and sells at a low price. If they don’t sell, it’s like the first method, and the losses keep increasing! At this time, the dealer continues to use bots for trading, gradually raising the price again, waiting for the next batch of people to fall into the trap!

💥This is the most commonly used arbitrage method in WOD over the past few days! The dealer's chips have 0 cost; they can dump as much as they want and raise the price as high as they want. The current Alpha has already become the dealer's arbitrage tool. Everyone trading Alpha is actually providing liquidity for the dealer. The current model is retail investors vs project parties, with Binance providing the stage; profits and losses depend entirely on skill!

In the dark forest, we must protect our chips!!!

🚀【Binance Alpha's LINEA airdrop has 70,000 spots, super big benefits!】

✨The recently announced Binance LINEA qualification score is only 220 points, the second phase is 200 points, each person receives 7,700 tokens, calculated at an off-market rate of 0.026, approximately 200 USD, the score is very low, it can be said to be a benefit!

✨A total of 539,993,300 LINEA (70,129 spots), the number of spots is also huge, the second phase must be grabbed!

✨Remember two times:
First phase: 220 points, 10:30 PM (UTC+8)
Second phase: 200 points, 4:30 PM (UTC+8)

🔶 [$SWTCH Valuation Price Analysis!]

Today, everyone thinks the $SWTCH is a small issue? The low estimate is 0.1, but in fact, the oracle track is dominated by only Chainlink (23.6 billion), followed closely by Pyth (1.61 billion). If SWTCH is valued at 0.1, it would only have a valuation of 100 million, which is still too little. I expect the price to reach 0.5 or above, at least having confidence in 0.2 (valuation 200 million), and the main Solana chain should provide the price feed!

Now, any random meme with nothing can claim a valuation of 100 million, so why can't SWTCH be valued at 200 million?

🎒【Armani: About the Backpack Roadmap】

⭐️Key Points:

✨There are a total of 4 seasons (until January 2026), and the last season will undergo stress testing, meaning that passing the stress test will allow for TGE, while failing may lead to a 5th season!

✨To obtain compliance licenses from exchanges in the United States, Europe, and Japan, Backpack will always aim to be a compliant CEX, unlike other projects that may grow rapidly by ignoring regulations!

✨It was mentioned that "there are two other similar big blocks on the roadmap, aiming to cover approximately 50% of the global GDP with exchanges!" This statement is quite ambitious! What could these two blocks be? Stablecoins? Coin stocks? Inflows and outflows? But it clearly indicates an intention to expand the number of market users for trading (United States, Europe, Japan, China? This would definitely exceed the 50% scale)

✨In the 3rd season, the focus will still be on expanding market scale (trading volume and staking liquidity will also increase)

✨Product performance and stability will see significant updates and optimizations in the near future

--- Roadmap, stay tuned to Backpack's official Twitter! An announcement may be coming!

🎏【Binance Alpha Rule Update, Encouraging User Participation in Trading Competitions!】

🔶Key Points to Note:

1. Effective from September 4th
2. Only tokens airdropped or TGE'd on Binance Alpha within 30 days count towards trading volume
3. Buying transactions of BSC chain tokens count as 4x Alpha trading volume
4. No more brushing stablecoin KOGE

🔶Interpretation:

✨Under the new rules, everyone is encouraged to trade newly launched tokens, which also rewards new projects with market-making and transaction fee incentives, while encouraging everyone to actively participate in trading competitions and gain more airdrop rewards!

✨Choosing a relatively stable price for Alpha daily is key to minimizing wear and tear, and fast in-and-out transactions are required. Here, it actually encourages using market prices, as 4x trading volume only requires BSC chain tokens! (Originally, market price was 2x, limit price was 4x)

✨Users in the trading competition will become increasingly competitive, so choosing tokens that are not overly competitive will lead to extra rewards in the competition!

✨Due to increased wear and tear among Alpha users, numbers may decrease, and markets for tokens with insufficient liquidity are dark forests, where traps and price control are bound to happen, benefiting studios!

✨Airdrop rewards may increase due to the decrease in Alpha users!