AllInWeb3

388 Posts

AllInWeb3

Open Trade

BNB Holder

High-Frequency Trader

5.4 Years

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AllInWeb3

$BIRB is broadly more inclined to wait-and-see, but I won’t chase this one. The full 07:00 hour closed up 2.86%. The contract turnover was about $683,000, roughly 2.94 times the previous hour. As of around 08:08, open interest increased by 6.63% in nearly one hour to about $1.56 million. The pace of leveraged entries is clearly faster than the price.

The longs are not light: 72.6% of all long accounts are positioned long; the top-position longs are 57.0%. Funding rate is +0.005%/4h. In the last hour, the active buy-sell ratio is only 1.00. Breakout conditions still have room to continue, but pushing higher will first face profit-taking from crowded positioning; you can’t treat the number of long accounts as a guarantee of direction.

I only look at two ways to participate: (1) after a pullback to 0.0696–0.0700, reclaim within 15 minutes, or (2) a high-volume close back above 0.0722. The first is defensive; the second is confirmation. If the 1-hour close falls below 0.0684, this breakout fails—pull back first. #BIRB #Moonbirds # contract data

BIRB+7.25%

AllInWeb3

$IQ bias is on the long side, but I won’t chase this one. A full 1-hour candle from 06:00, moving from 0.000900 to 0.000992, up 10.22%. Trading volume was about $231k, which is 19.3× the roughly $12k of the previous hour. The four 15-minute closes were 0.000906, 0.000946, 0.000940, and 0.000992 in sequence. It’s not a single needle—spot bid liquidity really is getting passed along in a relay.

The contrast is that Binance currently has no IQ USDT-quoted perpetual contracts, and Alpha also has no IQ. This move can’t be explained by funding rate, OI, or liquidation charts; the driver is closer to pure spot frontrunning/accumulation. The upside is that there isn’t overcrowded contract longs. The downside is that there’s less leverage to push continuously—after topping out, it relies more on real executed trades. The Fraxswap IQ/FRAX main pool price differs from Binance by less than 1%. On-chain liquidity is about $1.92M, and there’s no abnormal cross-market premium.

I’m only waiting for a pullback to 0.000938–0.000950 to hold, or for a 15-minute candle with heavy volume that closes above 0.001000. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.000900, the breakout is invalid. #IQ #IQAI #现货数据 #market analysis

IQ+15.52%

AllInWeb3

$UB remains bullish and looks like it wants to squeeze shorts, but I won’t chase around 0.14. The 05:00 complete 1-hour contract moved from 0.13838 to 0.14002, up 1.19%. Turnover was about $0.922M, slightly lower than the previous hour’s ~$0.970M. Binance Alpha’s same-hour turnover was about $0.139M as well, with no expansion—prices made a new high, but spot follow-through isn’t strong.

What’s interesting is that OI increased by 2.17% over the last hour, and by 12.02% over the last 8 hours. The top-position long exposure is only 43.9%, meaning shorts are about 56.1%. Over the last hour, active buying vs. selling is 0.91. Price is pushing upward against the active sell orders and the relatively bearish positioning. If it keeps rising, it could force shorts to liquidate; but if volume can’t keep up, it can easily turn into leverage self-excitement.

I’m only waiting for a pullback to 0.1368—0.1380 to hold it, or for a 15-minute period with a volume expansion that closes back above 0.1404, with OI continuing to increase and Alpha turnover syncing into a stronger increase. If the 1-hour closes below 0.1345, the breakout fails. #UB #Unibase #BinanceAlpha # contract data

UB+6.68%

AllInWeb3

$HIVE is overly bullish in terms of watching for squeeze and then shorting the dip, but I won’t chase around 0.0525. From 04:00, the full 1-hour spot market moved from 0.0516 and closed at 0.0525, up about 1.7%. Trading volume was only around $34.6k—although it increased compared with roughly $25.5k in the previous hour, it’s still far below the volume scale during the earlier sell-off. The spot market confirmation isn’t strong enough.

The futures side is even more tangled: the funding rate has already reached -0.2438% per 4 hours, meaning short positions carry a heavy cost basis. Meanwhile, open interest (OI) has fallen by about 13.6% over the past ~8 hours, but it has rebounded about 2.0% in the last hour—suggesting the old leverage is just fading out while fresh positions are starting to return. At the same time, long accounts across the whole market are about 62.8%, and the aggressive buy-sell ratio is only 0.67. This isn’t a unilateral bottom-fishing signal; it looks more like both sides are waiting for a liquidation to reset.

I only watch for a pullback to hold between 0.0515 and 0.0518, or for a 15-minute volume expansion close above 0.0526 with OI continuing to increase. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.0508, the rebound structure fails. #HIVE #HiveBlockchain #合约数据 #行情分析

HIVE+2.02%

AllInWeb3

$REZ is watching from the sidelines; don’t chase—around 0.0048. At 03:15 and 03:30, both candlesticks probed up to about 0.00512, but they didn’t manage to close on a 15-minute basis and hold above it. At 04:00, a full 1-hour candle slid from 0.004905 to 0.004826; the intrahour low was 0.004552. After the rally, the pullback structure has already appeared.

During this hour, spot trading volume is about $1.03 million—only about 30% of the roughly $3.5 million from the prior hour. Open interest (OI) dropped by about 1.6% over the last hour, but over the past 8 hours it’s still up about 10.8%. The funding rate of +0.005% per 4 hours isn’t extreme: across the whole market, long positions account for about 60.1%; top-position longs are about 52.7%. This looks more like a weak rebound after a leveraged “ebb” rather than a fresh one-way confirmation.

I’m only waiting for the 15-minute volume to pick up and for it to reclaim 0.00498, then retest without breaking it. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.00454, I’ll treat this rebound as invalid.#REZ #Renzo #合约数据 #行情分析

REZ+4.42%

AllInWeb3

$SOLV short-term bias is bullish, but don’t chase near 0.0052. From 03:00 to a full hour, the spot market moved from 0.00500 to 0.00521, up 4.2%. Spot trading value was about $376k, 5.8 times the previous hour; contract trading also expanded to about $971k. The price was pushed up by real trades—not just contract “pulling.”

But within the last hour, open interest (OI) only increased by 0.4%, and over the past 8 hours it’s down 1.4%. The funding rate is +0.005% per 4 hours, suggesting leverage wasn’t increased in sync with the rally. This is healthier for the continuation of the rise, and it also means that if spot volume fades, there won’t be fresh open-position follow-through. In the top positions, longs are already around 75.7%, and chasing higher isn’t comfortable.

I’m only waiting for a volume-shrinking pullback to hold between 0.00504 and 0.00510, or for a 15-minute period to see a volume expansion close above 0.00530 and then pull back without breaking. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.00495, the breakout fails. #SOLV #SolvProtocol #现货 # contract data

SOLV+18.85%

AllInWeb3

$POWER This has been a bit too much in the direction of going up, but I won’t chase around 0.117. First, understand the underlying: this is Power Protocol on BSC, not spot POWR; the two are often confused and mixed under the Square tag.

From 02:00, a full hour went from 0.11106 and closed at 0.11723, up about 5.6%. The contract trading volume was roughly $2.11 million, more than doubled versus the previous hour of about $0.62 million. OI (open interest) also increased by about 3.6%, but the funding rate was still -0.0610% per 4 hours—shorts are still paying. The issue is that long positions across the whole market are already about 74.8%, and in the top accounts about 76.5%. Chasing higher at this point makes it easy to get washed out first.

I only wait for either a drop and pullback with lower volume around 0.112–0.114, with OI cooling off; or a 15-minute breakout with heavy volume closing above 0.1185, followed by a pullback that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour closes back through 0.1072, then this breakout is invalid. #POWER #PowerProtocol #BinanceAlpha # contract data

POWER+27.96%

AllInWeb3

$REZ this segment is a bit too much, but around 0.005 I won’t chase.

At 01:00, a complete 1-hour run went from 0.004538 to 0.004937. Spot trading volume is about $8 million, up from roughly $4.25 million in the prior hour. Price has returned below the previous high at 0.00512, indicating that buy orders are still there, but we’re already entering the first supply zone after the push.

On the contract side, in the past ~8 hours, OI increased by about 14.5%. Funding rate is only +0.005% per 4 hours, so leverage is rising while the funding isn’t especially extreme. The problem is that across the whole market, long accounts are about 59.7%, and the top accounts are also around 58.1% net long—chasing prices further could get you shaken out first.

I only watch two ways to participate: (1) a pullback to 0.00475–0.00485 with decreasing volume while OI cools off and holds, or (2) a 15-minute breakout with a volume surge closing back above 0.00512, then the subsequent pullback does not break. If the 1-hour candle closes back below 0.00446, then the structure break fails.
#REZ #Renzo #合约数据 #行情分析

REZ+4.42%

AllInWeb3

$DEBIT I won’t chase this yet—I'll wait for it to prove that the $3 move isn’t just an impulse. Binance Alpha reference price is about $3.14; in the past 24 hours it’s up roughly 59.4%, but after starting around 23:00 it first surged to 3.233, then pulled back to 2.828. The latest complete 15-minute candle only retraces back to 3.148. The bulls are in control, but volatility has already been amplified.

The catalyst is straightforward: the DEBIT trading contest is still ongoing. At the current stage, the buy execution volume has a 1.8x early-bird coefficient. According to the official Alpha data, the 24-hour trading volume is about $74 million—around 1.36x the circulating market cap. The hype is real, but buy volume driven by reward incentives can’t automatically be treated as natural follow-through.

I only look at two ways to participate: a 15-minute expansion in volume with a close back above 3.23, then a pullback to 3.05–3.10 that doesn’t break—then I follow; or a pullback near 2.83 with reduced volume, a downside stop, and another attempt. If the 1-hour candle closes below 2.82, the rebound structure fails. #DEBIT #Teller #BinanceAlpha

DEBITAlpha+97.19%

AllInWeb3

$FIL I'm not chasing this one. There's still structure leaning, but the bulls have already squeezed into the same door. 22:00—23:00 a complete 1-hour move from 0.8539 to 0.9114, up 6.73%. The contract trading volume was $39.41 million; spot closed at 0.9123 as well, with no clear contract-led outperformance.

The issue is that leverage is running faster than price: OI over the last hour is up 17.25%, and over 4 hours up 30.93%. The overall accounts, large accounts, and large-position long/short ratios are 1.92, 2.07, and 2.82 respectively—clearly skewed bullish. Yet the 8-hour funding rate is still only +0.0100%. This suggests crowding has appeared, but the payment pressure hasn’t become extreme yet. There’s both ongoing renewal that keeps fueling the move, and the risk of longs killing longs during pullbacks.

I only do two confirmations: a retest at 0.895—0.902 on decreasing volume holding firmly, or a breakout above 0.9244 on volume followed by a pullback that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour close falls back below 0.852, the breakout logic is invalid. #FIL #Filecoin #合约数据 #行情观察

FIL+21.48%

AllInWeb3

$By the way, you can’t chase this. I’m a bit bullish, but I’m only waiting for a pullback to confirm. 21:00—22:00, a full 1-hour candle closed at 0.69316, and it’s still above the nearby support at 0.655. Over the past 24 hours, the contract is up about 25.32%, with turnover around $76.29 million. It has already shifted from the “just started” phase into a high-volatility game.

The real conflict is in positioning: over the past 1 hour, OI rose 9.34%, and over 4 hours it rose 14.08%. The 4-hour funding rate is +0.0834%. The overall long/short ratio is 0.82, and for large accounts it’s 0.65—so at the account level, sentiment is slightly bearish. But large accounts’ positioning ratio is 1.98, and the notional is clearly tilted long. In other words, there’s short-side fuel overhead, and beneath, there’s also long-side leverage unwind risk embedded. The prior high at 0.738 isn’t something that can be pushed through casually.

My participation conditions leave only two: either a pullback to 0.655—0.668 with reduced volume and a stabilization before re-entry, or a breakout with volume above 0.738, then wait for the pullback. If the 1-hour close breaks below 0.616, the bullish thesis fails. #BTW #合约数据 #Market Observations

BTW+29.69%

AllInWeb3

$CVC I’m not chasing this; I’ll wait for the volatility to tighten. The latest complete 1-hour perpetuals moved continuously from 0.02639 to 0.03584, up 35.81%. At the end of the period, the spot closed at 0.03704, a 3.35% premium versus the perpetual. Meanwhile, OI (open interest) over the last hour rose 105.5% and over the last 8 hours rose 160.7%. This isn’t a normal spot spike—leverage positions have also doubled in.

The 4-hour funding rate has already hit the -2.000% lower limit, and short-side fee pressure is maxed out. But longs across the board/top accounts are also up to 56.5%/56.0%; the top accounts’ actual long exposure is 51.6%, and in the last hour the buyer-initiated vs seller-initiated trades ratio is 0.95. The spot premium is squeezing shorts for fuel, and the surge in OI amplifies the drawdown risk. Now whether you chase longs or shorts, it feels like standing at the door waiting for people to trample.

I’ll only wait for a pullback to 0.0320–0.0340, with volume shrinking as support holds and OI cools off, then I’d lean long. Or if the 15-minute candle surges in volume and closes back above 0.0390, then a pullback that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour closes below 0.0300 and OI continues to increase, the structure fails—first, protect against a leverage liquidation stampede. #CVC #Civic #合约数据 #ShortSqueeze

CVC+32.76%

AllInWeb3

$POWR I’ll wait and watch first; I won’t buy the dip around 0.07. The latest complete 1-hour perpetual contract moved from 0.07175 down to 0.06998, a drop of 2.47%. At the end of the session, the spot price closed at 0.07130, which is a 1.89% premium versus the perpetuals. As prices pull back, OI over the last ~2 hours has still increased by 10.0%, and over ~8 hours it’s up 18.2%. This isn’t just simple profit-taking—new leverage is still entering the market.

The contrast is even sharper: the 4-hour funding rate is already at -1.159%, and shorts are paying heavily. Meanwhile, long exposure is still high across the board: full accounts/top accounts are 60.1%/58.7% long. The top accounts’ actual position is 52.5% long, and in the past hour the ratio of aggressive buy/sell activity is only 0.92. Squeeze “fuel” is still there, and long accounts are crowded too—chasing either side makes it easy to get swept back and forth.

I’m only waiting for a 15-minute breakout with volume to reclaim 0.07350 and for OI to stop increasing, then I’ll look for a rebound. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.06700 and OI keeps rising, it means deleveraging hasn’t finished yet—so I’ll keep waiting. #POWR #Powerledger #合约数据 #ShortSqueeze

POWR-13.54%

AllInWeb3

$ARK I may be slightly more biased bullish, but I won’t chase above 0.18. The latest complete 15-minute continuous contract moved from 0.1765 to close at 0.1804; the spot close in the same period was 0.1817, still trading at a 0.72% premium to the perpetual. More importantly, the OI (open interest) has increased by 12.0% over the past ~2 hours and by 63.3% over the past ~8 hours. This round isn’t just a spot impulse—leveraged funds are accelerating in too.

But both sides are getting squeezed: the 4-hour funding rate has already reached -0.820%, meaning shorts are paying heavily. Meanwhile, longs in the whole market/top accounts account for 64.2%/61.9%, but the actual long exposure for the top group is only 53.3%. Negative funding provides fuel for a squeeze, but it doesn’t mean you can blindly chase—crowding can amplify drawdowns.

I’m only waiting for a pullback to 0.1720–0.1760 to hold on reduced volume and a cooling in OI, or for the 15-minute chart to close up above 0.1920 on heavy volume and then not break on the subsequent pullback—then I’ll lean bullish. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.1630 and OI keeps increasing, the structure fails.#ARK #行情分析 #合约数据 #ShortSqueeze

ARK+15.98%

AllInWeb3

$VVV I’m biased bearish, but I won’t chase around 22.5. The most recent 6 complete 1-hour candles moved from 23.937 down to 22.814, a pullback of 4.69%. The latest complete 15-minute candle closed at 22.479 again. The low point moving down is real; however, over the past ~2 hours the OI for quantity is only -0.07%, and over the past ~8 hours it’s -1.79%. This stretch is still mainly deleveraging, not new short positions piling in and pressing down all the way.

The sellers are more active: in the last 1 hour, active buy/sell is 0.70 more than the baseline. In the last 4 hours, the funding rate is +0.005%. The top accounts are 55.9% bearish, but their actual positions are only 50.1% bearish. There are many who are bearish, but real positioning is close to a 50/50 split. Chasing shorts right on the edge of support makes it easy to get caught and first eat the rebound.

I only watch two scenarios: (1) Rebound pressure at 22.80—23.00 with OI turning higher, and then stay bearish; or (2) a 15-minute breakdown on increased volume closing below 22.45 with OI increasing in sync, confirming the continuation of the selloff. If the 1-hour candle reclaims 23.10, the bearish thesis is invalid.#VVV #Venice #合约数据 #Base

VVV-11.39%

AllInWeb3

$STEEM I’ll wait and see. I won’t chase the pump, and I’m not in a rush to try topping out. The latest four complete 15-minute candlesticks total: spot moved from 0.08210 to 0.07860, a pullback of 4.26%. The U-margined perpetuals saw a synchronized pullback of 2.76%, but open interest (OI) actually increased by 4.55% to about $5.14 million. Price is down and positions are up—this isn’t simply profit-taking; it’s new leverage continuing to enter.

More strangely, the current 4-hour funding rate is around -0.80%. A negative funding rate means shorts are paying longs. Spot is still trading about 1.45% above the perpetual (perp premium), so there’s still squeeze fuel. Whole accounts / top long accounts are already at 61.6% / 58.5%. In the past hour, the buy/sell ratio of active trading is 0.99—chasing longs is picking up the knife at a crowded spot.

I’m just waiting for either: a low-volume pullback that compresses in the 0.0740–0.0770 range while OI cools; or, after a high-volume 15-minute close back above 0.0830, a pullback to 0.0790 without breaking it. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.0710, the bullish outlook is invalid. #STEEM #Steem #ShortSqueeze #contract data

STEEM+15.72%

AllInWeb3

$KOMA leans bullish, but I’m not chasing this one. The latest complete 1-hour move went from 0.015617 to 0.017068, up 9.29%. U-based position trades are about $2.22 million, which is 9.4x the previous hour; OI increased another 6.77%. Price, volume, and open interest are moving in the same direction—this isn’t a meaningless quantity spike.

The main battlefield is leverage: Binance has no KOMA spot, so you can only cross-verify using U-margined trades and Alpha’s BNB Chain main pool. The whole market / top long accounts are at 70.9% / 69.4%, the aggressive buy-sell ratio is 0.98, and the 4-hour funding rate is +0.0050%. Longs are crowded, yet there’s no continued aggressive buying to push through the sell side. After a spike, it’s not surprising to see a washout first.

Just waiting for a low-volume pullback to hold within 0.01620—0.01650 and for OI to cool off; or, on 15-minute candles, for a breakout with volume above 0.01750 followed by a retest that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour closes below 0.01560, the bullish thesis fails. #KOMA #KomaInu #合约数据 #BNBChain

KOMA-4.84%

AllInWeb3

$REZ I’m biased toward more, but I won’t follow this one. From 00:00 to a full hour: the spot price is up 5.33% with turnover of about $3.32M—1.83 times the previous hour. The U-based perpetual is also up 4.41% with turnover of about $3.11M. Spot trading hasn’t been left behind by the contracts, suggesting this move isn’t just leverage pushing it up. Binance spot trading is still ongoing; it may amplify volume, but that doesn’t mean the price must continue in the same direction.

Leverage has started to catch up too: at 01:03, OI (open interest) for quantities is up about +8.25% over the past hour and +3.95% over the past 4 hours; the 4-hour funding rate is -0.1259%. The long/short ratio for all accounts vs. top accounts is 1.60 vs. 1.77, and the active buy/sell ratio is 1.03. The negative funding rate still leaves fuel for a squeeze, but longs already make up over 60% of accounts—after the spike, the risk of a pullback is also increasing.

I’m only waiting for a contraction pullback to hold within 0.00360—0.00366 and for OI to cool down; or a 15-minute breakout with increased volume to close above 0.00380, then a pullback that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.00352, the bullish thesis fails. #REZ #Renzo #ShortSqueeze # contract data

REZ+4.42%

AllInWeb3

$PUNDIX I’m a bit more bullish than bearish, but I’m not chasing this one. A complete 1-hour move starting at 23:00: spot is up 3.27% and volume is about $449k, which is 3.5 times the previous hour; USDT-denominated coin is up 2.98% with volume around $2.42M. Spot and futures move in the same direction—breakouts aren’t just propped up by one side raising prices.

Risk lies in leverage: at 00:09, OI (open interest) for the quantity is up +15.57% over the past hour and +18.33% over the past 4 hours; the 4-hour funding rate is -0.0859%. The overall long/short account ratio is 1.84 vs 1.86 for top accounts, with about 65% of accounts net long. Negative funding provides fuel by squeezing shorts, but longs are crowded and the active buy/sell ratio is only 0.99—chasing higher can easily mean you’re the first to get hit by a pullback.

I’m only waiting for a pullback to 0.1020—0.1040 with reduced volume and OI cooling off, or a 15-minute surge that closes back above 0.1085 and then a pullback that doesn’t break. If the 1-hour candle closes back below 0.0990, the bullish thesis fails. #PUNDIX #PundiX #合约数据 #market analysis

PUNDIX+16.58%

AllInWeb3

$LSK I still have a slight bias for more, but after a doubling I will never chase. From 22:00, a full 1 hour went from 0.23304 to 0.25707, about $72.76 million in one hour. At 23:12, spot 24-hour performance is about +109.7%; U-based (U 本位) about +107.2%; volume $531 million, roughly 43x the spot. This is already a position-adding squeeze; it’s not a normal rebound.

Leverage is still being piled on: at 23:13, OI (open interest) over the past hour is +2.67%, over the past 4 hours +20.95%, currently about $21.33 million; 4-hour funding rate drops to -0.6249%. Across the board, top accounts, and top positions: longs are only about 39.4%, 35.5%, and 43.6%. In the past hour, active buying/selling is 1.10. The shorts keep paying; there’s still fuel for being squeezed, but contract dominance also amplifies the speed of the pullback.

I’m just waiting for a low-volume pullback within 0.244—0.250 with OI cooling down, or a 15-minute high-volume push to close above 0.269 before not breaking on the subsequent retest. If the 1-hour chart closes below 0.232, the squeeze structure becomes invalid.#LSK #Lisk #ShortSqueeze # contract data

LSK+98.70%

AllInWeb3

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