$HIVE is overly bullish in terms of watching for squeeze and then shorting the dip, but I won’t chase around 0.0525. From 04:00, the full 1-hour spot market moved from 0.0516 and closed at 0.0525, up about 1.7%. Trading volume was only around $34.6k—although it increased compared with roughly $25.5k in the previous hour, it’s still far below the volume scale during the earlier sell-off. The spot market confirmation isn’t strong enough.
The futures side is even more tangled: the funding rate has already reached -0.2438% per 4 hours, meaning short positions carry a heavy cost basis. Meanwhile, open interest (OI) has fallen by about 13.6% over the past ~8 hours, but it has rebounded about 2.0% in the last hour—suggesting the old leverage is just fading out while fresh positions are starting to return. At the same time, long accounts across the whole market are about 62.8%, and the aggressive buy-sell ratio is only 0.67. This isn’t a unilateral bottom-fishing signal; it looks more like both sides are waiting for a liquidation to reset.
I only watch for a pullback to hold between 0.0515 and 0.0518, or for a 15-minute volume expansion close above 0.0526 with OI continuing to increase. If the 1-hour candle closes below 0.0508, the rebound structure fails.
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