美国讨论btc战略储备

$BTC Breaking News — Cryptocurrency May Be Next

On national television, Donald Trump claimed this has economists, the media, and investors debating fiercely

$ETH "Thanks to tariffs, we generated over $18 trillion in revenue in 10 months. Biden didn't reach $1 trillion in four years."

Sounds unbelievable? Here’s the actual breakdown

$BNB What he really means
This is not direct cash revenue from tariffs.
This is the investment announced by companies choosing to build factories in the U.S. to avoid tariffs.

The strategy behind it:
Forcing manufacturing to return
Restructuring global supply chains
Turning tariffs into economic leverage
Actual tariff revenue:
→ Hundreds of billions (record high)

Investment commitments:
→ Trillions for factories, jobs, energy, and technology infrastructure

The importance to the market:
The media calls it chaos
Trump calls it victory
Money follows policy + power, not headlines
If the second term intensifies tariffs on China and Europe: U.S. energy and manufacturing could surge
Increased infrastructure spending
Cryptocurrency mining, data centers, and Bitcoin infrastructure benefit

Big picture macro view
Macro policy is being weaponized.
The trade war isn’t over — it’s evolving.
And historically...

When global tensions rise → hard assets win.

Bitcoin doesn’t care about borders.

Prepare for what’s next.
#BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

12.18 US CPI is coming, the moment to set the tone for gold market!

Tonight at 21:30, the US November CPI will be released, with core expectations year-on-year at 3.1%, previous value at 3.0%, and core CPI expected at 3.0%. Due to the government shutdown, there will be no month-on-month data this time, and the inherent bias in the data is significant, which will amplify market volatility.

Based on the data performance, the gold trend can be divided into three scenarios, with an overall bearish core theme: In a high-probability bearish scenario, a year-on-year CPI ≥3.1% means rising inflation, which will quickly dampen expectations for Fed rate cuts, leading to a simultaneous rise in US Treasury yields and the dollar, with gold likely breaking below 4300, targeting 4270; in a medium-probability bearish scenario, the year-on-year CPI is in the 3.0%-3.1% range, the stickiness of inflation will extinguish dovish expectations, and profit-taking by bulls will lead to a concentrated sell-off, with gold likely peaking at 4345 before retreating; in a low-probability bullish scenario, a year-on-year CPI <3.0% will boost expectations for rate cuts, and gold prices are expected to challenge 4380, but due to the inherent flaws in the data, the increase may be difficult to sustain.

In terms of trading, it is recommended to hold positions and observe before the CPI release. If the data confirms bearish, one can directly follow the short position. If it breaks below 4300, increase positions decisively, while being vigilant against false breakout risks during operations to avoid pitfalls. $BTC $BNB $SOL #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

The five-year contract for FIL is about to expire soon, and recently many people have been asking me in the background: “Can we still do FIL now?”

Let me directly share my thoughts: It can be played, but don't expect it to spike immediately; treating it as a deposit that earns interest is more reliable.

First, let's talk about the miners' withdrawal. The FIL mainnet launched in October 2020, and the first batch of five-year contracts signed back then will begin to expire in the fourth quarter of this year. Machines are being taken down, and hash power is dropping. This is not a problem with the project but rather that the contracts are expiring, and they don't want to renew—similar to returning a rental property at the end of a lease. With fewer miners, the selling pressure in the market will actually lessen.

Moreover, the linear unlocking of FIL has passed the halfway point, and the most intense phase of dumping has passed. As the remaining chips are unlocked, they become more dispersed; it won't be concentrated dumping like before, and the risk is lower.

So what can retail investors do now? If you just put the spot in a cold wallet and wait idly, that would be a big loss. Many exchanges now offer 3-month fixed-term financial products for FIL, with annualized returns of 6% to 10%; locking it up can earn interest, unlike UNI and SUSHI which don’t have this benefit. With the current market being stagnant, trading contracts can easily lead to being chopped up, so it's better to slowly accumulate a portion of the spot and earn some interest; walking on two legs can help recover faster.

The actions from institutions are more obvious. Grayscale has secretly bought FIL 86 times this year, with an average cost of around 10U. They have a heavy annual task and can only use a dollar-cost averaging method.

To summarize: Don't always think about getting rich quickly; treat it as a fixed deposit during a bear market, and in a bull market, consider the interest as a bonus. Ordinary people can be steady like this, and perhaps they can turn things around.

Those who can make money in the market are those who dare to take the first step. Are you ready? @大毛淘金

If you want to communicate, scan the QR code below and add me 👉 币安聊天室, unlock more hundredfold strategies; compounding is not a dream! #美国非农数据超预期 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

Brothers of $PIPPIN, come quickly to eat the melon! The dog dealer is having a "peak showdown in the cryptocurrency circle" with a mysterious big boss, and the control methods are absolutely outrageous!

Let's not talk about the strength of this dog dealer, just the way they control the market is definitely top-notch. The control over the currency price also uses the positive and negative funding fees to force their opponent's hand; this technique is considered top-level no matter where it is applied. Moreover, their opponent has a big boss called 【Mysterious Little K Line】, whose strength should not be underestimated.

When these two strong players meet, it will definitely be a life-and-death struggle, and this big show will certainly be spectacular. Now, to get to the point, the funding fee is negative, and those who short the market are suffering. Not only are they trapped, but they also have to pay a large interest every hour. At this time, some people are wondering if entering the market to go long could earn them a profit?

From the market perspective, the strength of both longs and shorts is about the same. Some people are puzzled, why doesn't the dealer just smash the price to the bottom and then pull it back up? In fact, if they did that, the dealer would lose money. If a large number of retail investors now think there are bargains to be had and want to come in to take advantage of high funding fees, the ratio of longs to shorts could very likely turn into 7:3.

I can guarantee that the dog dealer will definitely first smash the price down, and then pull it back up again. Why? Because the dealer has data analysis in the background; they first let the retail investors who go long taste some sweetness. Once all the retail investors are hooked and the funds have all come in, they will catch them all at once. This good show has just begun.

Whether you are a ruthless person wanting to gamble for big money or a cautious person wanting to make small, steady profits, staring at the market alone can easily lead you to fall into hidden traps set by the dealer; follow me, 👉聊天室 will immediately share the exclusive flaws of the dealer's market control and the safe entry/exit points. If you want to make money, hurry up and follow along! #美国非农数据超预期 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美联储降息

$ASTER Why is ASTER so weak? The core issues are three points: structure, funding, and expectations.

Let's start with the conclusion:

ASTER is not "suddenly failing"; rather, it has never stepped out of a strong structure from the very beginning.

1. Structural Issues: The rebounds look like a desperate escape, not an offense.

From the K-line structure, each round of rebound for ASTER has distinct characteristics:

The acceleration is fast, but the sustainability is extremely poor.

High points keep falling, and low points keep probing.

There has been no formation of an effective "raise—pullback—then break through" structure.

What does this indicate?

The rise is not due to capital building positions, but rather existing capital trying to save itself.

A truly strong coin: pullbacks are on low volume, rebounds are on high volume;

While ASTER is exactly the opposite: rebounds are on high volume, declines are even higher in volume—this is not an offense, it's unloading.

2. Funding Aspect: Only short-term, no mid-term.

From the transaction and market depth perspective, the funding structure of ASTER is very singular:

It is mainly a speculative market focused on short-term quick entries and exits.

There is a lack of mid-term capital that locks in positions.

Once it rallies, selling pressure appears immediately.

The essence of such markets is: relying on emotions to push it a little, but if it can't push further, they sell off.

When the overall market is weak, such coins that "lack supporting funds" will definitely be the first to be abandoned.

3. Collapse of Expectations: The narrative lags behind the price.

ASTER's biggest problem is not the lack of a story, but that the story cannot be converted into buying power.

When good news comes out, the price does not rise.

Rebounds rely on emotions, not consensus.

Market expectations for it are becoming shorter and shorter.

Once the market reaches a consensus: "This coin can only be traded short, not worth holding,"

its trend will only become weaker and weaker.

In summary:

ASTER's weakness is not a technical issue,

but rather a lack of funds willing to bear the time cost for it.

In this structure:

Not suitable for bottom fishing.

Not suitable for holding positions.

Can only be viewed as a volatility variety.

If there is no significant volume increase + structural reversal in the future,

then any rebound will more likely be an opportunity for previous holders to unload.

For this type of market, once understood, don't cling to the fight.

If you want to know what to avoid next, and which are the truly structured targets, feel free to chat.

I don't boast about weak turning strong; I only engage in markets where funds have already positioned. #代币化热潮 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 $ASTER

$ASTER Today's lowest has reached 0.67.

Looking back at the trend, Big Brother publicly called for buying around 0.9 and indicated a long-term hold.

From the data: after buying on November 2, the price once surged to 1.4, an increase of about 45%;

As of December 18, the price has fallen back to 0.67, and Big Brother's position has been trapped with a loss of about 25%.

From the attitude in the tweets, Big Brother remains firmly committed to long-term holding, indicating that he has not reduced his position or set stop-losses.

In other words, those who choose to buy at the bottom now are actually buying Big Brother's bottom.

But it is worth pondering——

How many people initially followed because they saw CZ or Big Brother's call?

Emotion-driven buying often heats up quickly and cools down just as fast. At this moment, while there is potential for “buying at the bottom,” it is equally important to be clear:

Is it a trend-following entry or based on value judgment?

There are always protagonists in the market, but whether one can make money ultimately depends on the rhythm.

#美国讨论BTC战略储备 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

The crypto world is truly not a place for humans. In three days, I went from 7100U, riding a rollercoaster, peaking at 130000U.

It wasn't a slow rise; it was the kind of K-line that shot up one after another. Every time I refreshed the page, my heart raced, my palms were sweaty, and I gripped the mouse so hard it felt hot.

On the first day, I just wanted to test the rhythm. Small positions, light operations, I had no illusions, just hoping to take some profit and leave.

But the market suddenly recognized me; the direction was right, and the price gave me face. It started to feel off on the second day.

The account numbers became unfamiliar, jumping from thousands to tens of thousands, and then from tens of thousands upwards.

Rationality told me to cash out, but the market just wouldn't turn back.

I clearly wanted to leave, but the next K-line pulled me back to my seat.

At that moment, I understood that what truly torments people in the crypto world is not losing money, but making profits that you can't believe.

On the third day, at the moment the number shot up to 130000U, I was completely stunned.

It wasn't ecstasy, but a sense of unreality. It felt like someone else's account suddenly appeared in front of me.

Now, there are still 120000U left in my account. Yet every few minutes, I still unconsciously reach for my phone.

It's not that I want to trade; I'm scared. Scared that the exchange will have problems, scared of network lags, scared that if I refresh, that string of numbers will suddenly disappear.

This is the crypto world. The moment you make money,

you won't feel happy immediately; instead, you first learn to respect.

$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美国非农数据超预期 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

Two Important Reminders 💥💥
US CPI tonight and Japan's interest rate decision tomorrow
First, the US will release their November CPI inflation data at 9:30 PM tonight.
This data, which has been missing for a long time, will intuitively tell the market how US inflation is doing.
Currently, the market predicts it to be 3.1%. If it is lower than expected, even below 3%, it may increase the probability of the Fed cutting rates next year.

Then there is Japan's interest rate decision tomorrow noon. The market currently predicts a high probability of a rate hike, but the speech from their governor at 2:30 PM tomorrow will be more important. We'll see if he will make any statements regarding rate hikes next year. #美国初请失业金人数 #美国非农数据超预期 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美国ADP数据超预期

#美国讨论BTC战略储备
加密货币市场目前处于高度不确定的震荡阶段，多空博弈异常激烈。核心矛盾在于：日本央行加息预期可能引发的全球套利交易平仓，与美联储降息预期带来的潜在流动性利好之间的冲突。比特币在 85,000 美元附近面临关键分水岭，若跌破可能触发连锁清算；向上则需突破 94,000 - 96,000 美元的空头密集区。目前市场情绪极度恐慌（指数 17），短期建议防守。
短期走势极度依赖宏观变量。基金经理的现金头寸极低，限制了上涨空间并放大风险，且现货 ETF 买盘疲软。虽然不丹动用战略储备提振了长期基本面认可，但难以抵消短期的流动性忧虑，需警惕负面冲击触发的被动抛售。
各位币友觉得后市如何？

Tonight, let's see if the US stock market opens to break new highs or continue its decline $BTC #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #美国初请失业金人数

Bitcoin Market Future Trend Forecast

As of 2025-12-18 17:35 BTC is currently approximately 87,225 USD, with a 24-hour

decline of about 2%. Market sentiment is extremely fearful (fear index 18). The following

are phased trend forecasts and key scenarios, with operational references:

Short-term (1-2 weeks, before the end of the year)

• Core judgment: Weak oscillation, first defend then observe, key support at 85,000 USD, resistance at 88,000-91,000 USD

• Three scenarios and probabilities:

1. Range oscillation (40%): 85,000-90,000 USD flat, waiting for clearer Federal Reserve policies and capital flow

2. Weak rebound (35%): If 85,000 USD holds + ETF funds return, it may touch 88,000-91,000 USD, difficult to break strong resistance at 94,000

3. Second bottoming (25%): Losing 85,000 USD, down to 80,000-82,000 USD, extreme to 78,000 USD

• Operations: Light positions + strict stop-loss, reduce positions/observe if 85,000 USD breaks; staggered profit-taking if encountering resistance at 88,000 USD

Medium-term (Q1 2026)

• Key turning point, core variables: Federal Reserve's interest rate cut pace, ETF fund flow, miners' cost line (approximately 90,000 USD)

• Trend anchor points:

◦ Optimistic: Stabilizing above 95,000 USD + weekly ETF inflow ≥ 100 million USD, confirming a W bottom, target 10.7-110,000 USD

◦ Neutral: Oscillation between 85,000-95,000 USD, adjustment period extended, waiting for new catalysts in Q2

◦ Pessimistic: Breaking below 80,000 USD and continued capital outflow, probing down to 74,500 USD (April 2025 low)

Long-term (Mid-2026 to 2030)

• Institutional consensus: Long-term bullish logic remains unchanged (scarcity + institutional allocation)

• Target reference: JPMorgan sees 170,000 USD by mid-2026; Standard Chartered sees 500,000 USD by 2030 (short-term target has been downgraded)

• Risks: Regulatory tightening, macro recession, and liquidity tightening may phase out valuations

Core Influencing Factors

1. Federal Reserve policy: Whether the December interest rate cut of 25BP lands or not directly affects risk appetite and capital flow

2. ETF funds: Inflows from BlackRock and others are the strongest short-term catalysts, while outflows would intensify corrections

3. Technical aspects: Daily MACD death cross, 4-hour RSI weakness, insufficient rebound momentum, need significant breakout to turn strong

4. Market sentiment: Fear index 18, pressure from leveraged long positions still exists, difficult to reverse quickly in the short term $BTC #美国讨论BTC战略储备

$ETH
🤫 The bigger the waves, the more expensive the fish? The Federal Reserve's plot twist has been too fast lately! 😂
The Federal Reserve suddenly made a 180-degree turn ⏏️
Directly revoked last year's guidance that restricted 'crypto banks'! This is the 'iron threshold' that Custodia was rejected for back then...🌚
$BNB
Wall Street's traditional giants can't sit still either 🧐
MasterCard is ramping up blockchain payments in the Middle East, MicroStrategy's BTC holdings are already 46 times that of Coinbase... take a closer look!
Looking at the latest statement from crypto veteran CZ 👀
Polite yet firm, the landscape is directly opening up. Compliance and transparency are the long-term paths; this point, the resilience of the Binance ecosystem is evident to all.
$ASTER
Macro loosening + influx of giants, the narrative is being rewritten 📈
Smart money has already started to lay out a new narrative, like that adorable MEME rising star on the Ethereum chain, which is brewing community enthusiasm — little~milk~dog~PUPPIES🐾.
The environment is getting better, but is your position keeping up?
Let's talk about your observations in the comments section 👇
#加密市场观察 #美国讨论BTC战略储备

$ETH $BTC $BNB 看好以太坊的朋友可以进直播间聊一聊.ok
#ETH走势分析 #BinanceABCs #美国非农数据超预期 #山寨季将至？ #美国讨论BTC战略储备

$PTB 8 In the cryptocurrency world, being able to keep an account above 5 million,

has never relied on luck,

but rather learning to stop and exercise restraint after stepping into pitfalls again and again.

$AVAAI Many people ask me how to choose coins and when to enter the market.

To be honest, my current system is quite simple, even a bit 'boring',

but it’s these boring rules that have kept me from blowing up my account for a long time.

$TRUTH The first step in choosing coins is to look at the gainers list.

It's not about chasing gains, but confirming whether there is active capital in the market.

Money tends to appear repeatedly in places with liquidity,

and coins that remain stagnant for a long time are basically not worth the effort.

I rarely focus on short-term K-lines,

the core is to look at the monthly MACD.

No golden cross means holding cash,

short-term movements are noise, trends determine whether you can hold on.

The 60-70 day moving average is a position I check every day.

Only consider adding positions when there's a pullback and increased volume;

if there are no conditions, just wait, the market is never short of opportunities.

After entering the market, I also never fall in love with the battle.

If it rises, take profits according to the plan,

if it breaks key moving averages, exit immediately.

Most people don't see it wrong, but are unwilling to admit mistakes.

Take profits in batches.

Reduce by 30% once, then reduce by 50% again,

it doesn't matter if you miss a sell, there will be opportunities next time.

The most important rule:

If it breaks the 70-day line, liquidate without conditions.

No matter how long you've held, never fight against the market,

this rule is the reason I can continue to survive in this space.

In the cryptocurrency world, it has never been about being smart,

but about who can consistently execute discipline.

Don’t think about making a quick fortune,

the ones who truly make money are those who repeatedly adhere to the rules.

#美联储降息 #美国讨论BTC战略储备 #巨鲸动向

12.17 Evening Market Analysis Key Data Before High Volatility Window
Good evening, brothers.
Current market summary in one sentence: The direction is unclear, but risks are accumulating quickly.
Yesterday's unemployment rate was higher than expected, macro factors are slightly favorable, but BTC has hardly reacted, and the reason is clear
Funds are waiting for greater uncertainties to settle.
This week, there are two key events that could trigger market volatility.
1. Tomorrow evening at 21:30 CPI data
Higher than expected: bearish for risk assets
Lower than expected: bullish for BTC
What truly affects the market is not the direction, but the degree of deviation.
Only significant outperformance will trigger trend volatility.
2. Friday's Bank of Japan interest rate decision
Rate hike of 25bp (approximately 70% probability): limited impact, already priced in
Exceeding 50bp (approximately 30% probability): clearly bearish
If the rate hike exceeds expectations, BTC may fall below $85,000, testing the $82,000 range.
3. Market Conclusion
The closer we get to the data release, the weaker the BTC structure becomes, and emotions and volatility will be amplified.
However, this decline is more about liquidity release than a trend reversal.
If CPI is favorable and the Bank of Japan's decision lands, BTC is expected to return to $90,000+ for recovery.
4. Trading Suggestions
Do not heavily bet on direction before data
Avoid emotional sell-offs
Preserve capital, wait for opportunities after extreme volatility
The market is not short of opportunities,
Survive to see the trend.
$POWER $ICNT #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #美国讨论BTC战略储备