"10% of market changes are experience, 90% are response"
The fluctuations that others fear are the "scalpels" for Youan's split profits; the trends that others chase are the "testing grounds" Youan uses to validate strategies.
Here at Youan, there are no market trends that cannot be deciphered, only instructions that have not been executed well. $SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储降息预期升温 #美国加征关税
Many times, the turning point of things lies in the first step you dare to take.
In September, there were many friends with expectations to find You'an—yet I never thought of betraying this trust; for every entrusted task, I have done my best to deliver a truly impressive answer.
Now that the completeness of September has been concluded, in October, we will continue to accompany you to reach new heights with even more confidence! $SOL $BNB $XRP #加密市场反弹
Looking back at the day, gold followed the strategy provided by You'an, heading north as expected, but did not reach the upper resistance level.
From a technical perspective, although gold continued to rise as anticipated, it failed to effectively break through the upper resistance band of the range, currently in a short-term range oscillation structure, with both bullish and bearish momentum showing an equilibrium game within the range.
The upper levels of 4241 and 4255 belong to the stepped resistance levels within this oscillation range, and one must also be wary of the strong resistance at the upper band of 4265 (if there is a volume breakout above this level, it may break the current oscillation rhythm and shift towards a bullish structure); on the downside, 4190-4174 is the lower band of the range and a key support area, aligning with the high sell low buy technical framework of "relying on resistance to layout short positions, looking down at the support range" under oscillation conditions.
Combining the performance of short-cycle momentum, after the upward movement during the day, the bullish volume has begun to decline, and the K-line has not stabilized above the resistance band, showing characteristics of being under pressure in the short-cycle technical aspect; therefore, laying out short positions based on the resistance level is technically reasonable.
(Enter at 4241, add at 4255, protect at 4265, look down at 4190-4174)
Personal opinion, not investment advice #比特币VS代币化黄金 #现货黄金 $SOL $XRP $BNB
XAU The low long strategy given by Morning You'an has also been realized by the market, moving from 4197 to the target level of 4230, providing a space of 33 points. #现货黄金 $XAU
The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December has become a strong consensus: the highest rate in 30 years will be implemented, and signals for further rate hikes attract attention
Recently, informed sources have been intensively releasing signals: there is a strong consensus that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this month, and if the economy and financial markets are not significantly impacted, the Japanese policy rate will reach its highest level since 1995 after the December policy meeting.
Interest rate adjustment: 25 basis points raised to 0.75%, with further tightening likely.
According to reports, the Bank of Japan plans to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the two-day policy meeting ending on December 19, pushing the benchmark rate to 0.75%—the highest policy rate in Japan in 30 years.
The premise of this interest rate hike is that "the economy and financial markets are not significantly impacted during the period"; if the economic outlook meets expectations, the central bank will also hint at further interest rate hikes, but will maintain a cautious attitude towards the extent of the final rate increase.
Reviewing yesterday, the secondary pancake maintained a range of 3240-3060 with fluctuations, which belongs to a short-term correction structure after a previous rebound, overall presenting characteristics of "weak consolidation after a rebound" with no signs of a trend-breaking signal.
From the perspective of the trend, the level around 3080 is in the lower area of the recent fluctuation center, serving as a safe margin for low absorption within the range — if it dips to this level, the effectiveness of technical support is relatively strong, making it a reasonable entry point within the consolidation structure.
The level around 2980 represents a strong support boundary within the current consolidation range: if it is effectively broken, it will disrupt the short-term consolidation structure and open up further downward space, thus serving as a stop-loss defense point to avoid the risk of a trend breakdown.
The level around 3550 serves as a resistance point for a phase high, which is a key resistance level from the previous rebound and also the core target range for a short-term rebound — when the price tests this level, it will face dual resistance from previously trapped positions and the resistance level, making it a primary point for profit-taking during the rebound.
Therefore, based on the level around 3080 (support below the fluctuation center), establish long positions, with stop-loss set at the level around 2980 (defense against strong support breakdown), and an upward target at the level around 3550 (previous phase high resistance). It should be noted that if the rebound approaches around 3240 (upper edge of yesterday's fluctuation range) with insufficient volume, caution should be taken against the risk of a short-term pullback.
Yesterday, after a high of 94200, it faced pressure and fluctuated downwards, dipping to a low near 90800 (approaching the lower support zone of the descending triangle). From the K-line momentum structure, the decline was not accompanied by a simultaneous increase in volume, indicating a 'weak consolidation within the pattern' rather than a trend-driven breakdown, reflecting a temporary reduction in short-term bearish momentum.
From the trend perspective
The 93000 level is the mid-level resistance from yesterday's rebound and also serves as the short-term bullish-bearish dividing point within the current descending triangle pattern—if the price rebounds and stabilizes at this level, it means the short-term rebound momentum within the pattern has been activated, confirming the initiation of an upward rhythm.
The 96000 level is the core pressure point at the upper edge of the descending triangle (also corresponding to the previous phase's high point), and it is the first target for the rebound within the pattern; if the price effectively breaks through this level, it will break the consolidation structure of the descending triangle, opening up further upward space.
Near 90800 is the low point of yesterday's decline, which also resonates with the support zone at the lower edge of the descending triangle. If the price retraces to this level and receives support, it is a safe margin area for intraday buying.
If the price rebounds and stabilizes at 93000, one can strategically place long positions, with an intraday target of 96000; if it falls to near 90800 and receives support, one can also rely on this support to lightly position long positions, with a stop loss set at 90000 (below the support level of the descending triangle).
From the 4-hour level, the current major coin is in a consolidation structure after the previous 📉: Around 80600.5, a phase support has formed, and Dian Wei has started a reversal and repeatedly tested the 93000 line. This position is both the core dividing line for recent bullish bets and the key upper edge of the previous consolidation range.
Therefore, if the major coin can effectively stabilize above the 93000 line (continuously closing above this price level and not effectively breaking down on the pullback), it indicates that the short-term reversal momentum has been confirmed, and the subsequent upward range will be opened; while 96000, as an important resistance level from the previous period and also a key suppression level in the downward trend, will become the second target for this round of reversal. $SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储重启降息步伐 #特朗普加密新政
Bank of Japan's December interest rate hike is basically confirmed: rates may rise to 0.75%, government clearly does not interfere
The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December is now basically a done deal. On December 4, Reuters quoted three Japanese government sources saying that the central bank is likely to raise the policy rate from the current 0.5% to 0.75%—this would be the second interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan since January of this year.
In fact, as early as December 2 (Monday), Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled that the central bank would "carefully weigh the pros and cons of raising interest rates" at the December meeting, at which point the market guessed this was serious. Now sources have made it clear: "If the central bank wants to raise interest rates this month, they can decide on their own, the government has no objections." Once this statement was made, it basically eliminated the last bit of uncertainty about whether the interest rate hike was certain.
The Wealth Code for Retail Investors: Only Trade Trends, Not Fluctuations
Retail investors wanting to make big money have never relied on the small tricks of 'buying low and selling high' during fluctuations, but rather on seizing a complete trend. The reason most people see their principal shrink is rooted in the fact that during volatile markets, they always feel that 'they can make a little money' and keep trading back and forth. Not only do they waste a large portion on transaction fees, but getting the long and short direction wrong a few times leaves their principal in tatters. When a real trend finally comes roaring in, either they have lost all their capital and have no bullets left, or they have been worn down by previous fluctuations and lost their confidence, watching opportunities slip away, completely becoming 'bystanders to the trend'.
XRP The reliable support of 2.20 given on Saturday has been broken today, but there's no need to worry, as we can still return to 2.00 for additional positions. $SOL $XRP $BNB #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
Asset Allocation: The Core Leverage for Ordinary People to Achieve Class Transition
True wealth accumulation is never driven by the explosive nature of a single asset, but rather through scientific asset allocation that allows capital to traverse cycles and continuously appreciate. In this logic, we must first eliminate two types of inefficient assets: cash, which has a long-term return rate that is negative and has no long-term allocation value; and bonds, which have an annualized yield of about 3% that can barely hedge against some inflation, thus only 10% of cash and equivalents should be retained for daily liquidity reserves.
The remaining 90% of assets should focus on three core categories: gold, stocks, and crypto, but the allocation logic must precisely distinguish between the core differences of 'store of value' and 'appreciation.' The value of gold lies in its hedging and storing capabilities; although it can outperform basic inflation, the actual annualized return after accounting for inflation is only 0.6%, which means it can only serve as a 'safety cushion' in the asset portfolio, rather than the main force for appreciation.
BNB You An's Saturday tip is to wait for a return to 840 before considering to enter, today the lowest trend also reached around 820. Patience is always a virtue, so there's no need to rush if you enter at 840; you can wait for a return to 800 to add to your position. $SOL $XRP $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐
The rebound of the yen and the surge in government bond yields: Expectations for the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December have entered the "sprinting stage"
Japan's financial market on Monday exhibited distinct characteristics of "hawkish expectation trading": both short-term and long-term government bond yields reached new highs in many years and even in history, while the yen strengthened against the dollar, all driven by the approaching signal of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) nearing interest rate hikes.
Specifically, Japan's two-year government bond yield has surpassed 1%, reaching its highest level since 2008; the 30-year government bond yield even peaked at a historical high of 3.395%; the yield on the 20-year variety also rose by 5.5 basis points to 2.88%, the first increase since June 1999. The comprehensive upward movement of the yield curve directly reflects the market's accelerating pricing of the central bank's policy shift.
Reviewing the morning, Bitcoin continued its downward trend, and Di Wei's focus continued to shift downward, reaching a low near 86100, with significant short-term momentum.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the opening presents a typical "trumpet" shape, with Di Wei continuously pulling the track downward and diverging, and the middle band and lower band synchronously completing a structural transition to a downward turn. This indicates that the current market momentum is absolutely dominant, with Di Wei in a clear short-term downward channel, and the divergent state of the channel further reinforces the continuation of this downward trend.
Bitcoin at 86800, 87300, watch 85000-84200 Second Bitcoin 2860-2900, watch 2750-2700 $SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储重启降息步伐
SOL Youan suggested on Saturday to wait for the return to 126 before proceeding, and the trend was also a sharp decline 📉, fulfilling Youan's forecast in the morning.
So, the troops can wait a bit longer. Although the entry point arrived, due to the sharp decline 📉, it’s better to observe and wait for stabilization at the 126 line before proceeding.
ZEC You An has been reminding since Saturday that before reaching 424, bottom fishers need to wait a bit longer. The current trend has also moved from 474 to 382, with a typical of 92 in Luodai. Until the trend stabilizes, bottom fishing should be cautious. $SOL $XRP $ZEC #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Reviewing the night, the previous narrow range consolidation of Bitcoin was broken, and the price quickly ↓ moved down from around 91300, sharply 📉 to the 87400 line.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands, the current pattern shows a typical “bell mouth” expansion feature: as the price center of Bitcoin continues to ↓ shift, the lower band is also diverging downwards, with the band distance further widening. This indicates that in the short term, the market momentum is dominated by the downward trend, and Bitcoin continues to operate along the downward track rhythmically.
Bitcoin at 88000, 88500 support, watch 86000-85400 Second Bitcoin at 2890, 2930 support, watch 2780-2720
On the road to success, no matter how crowded it is, can there be a mediocre road that is just as crowded? The direction given by You'an is just the road to success. $SOL $XRP $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐