Quasar Reborn

I’m already long BTC. I’m not touching the core position, but I’m adding a call on BTC futures (CME) on top. It’s a bet that after the rate hike the reversal starts and the upside accelerates. The logic: 10y is around 5.3% and pressuring risk. I expect the hike to mark the peak in yields, then they roll over. That should relieve BTC and open a window for Saylor/Strategy: issue the 13% preferred, bring STRC back to $100, run the ATM, and keep buying BTC.

Why a call and not just another long: I’m already long. The call gives me leverage to the reversal without liquidation risk on the futures long — worst case I lose the premium. Strike around +10–15% OTM, expiry 3–6 months after the expected hike. If direction and timing work, great. If not, the loss is capped.

Risks I see: the hike may not be the last one, and 10y could go above 6%. BTC may ignore falling yields. If the reversal is delayed, theta eats the premium. And on the Saylor/Strategy side: if the 13% deal doesn’t happen or STRC doesn’t hold $100, the preferred/ATM story falls apart.

Not investment advice, just my plan. $BTC

The options market is pricing in a massive move. Options Open Interest rose +4.1% to $44.4B, Volatility Spread spiked +49.6% to -10.7%, and Delta Skew dropped 15% to 2.39. Open interest is expanding and downside hedging is declining. The market is getting complacent about a breakdown, which usually precedes a violent upside move. I'm long volatility / buying BTC calls, targeting $90k, invalidated if volatility collapses back to complacency. The options market is a coiled spring. Get your calls filled before the breakout. $BTC

Wall Street isn't trading Bitcoin anymore, they are hoarding it. Glassnode shows ETF Trade Volume dropped -17.8% to $14.9B, but Netflow hit $2.7B. Volume is down, but inflows are massively up. Institutions aren't day-trading, they are buying and holding. This is a massive structural shift for tokenized assets. I'm long COIN, and tokenized stocks, targeting ATH continuation, invalidated if SEC regulatory roadblocks hit. Wall Street isn't waiting for you to figure this out. Buy the RWA leaders now. #RWA #TokenizedStocks #ETF #TradFi
$COIN $NVDAB $BTC

Ignore the short-term chop. The macro foundation is being poured right now. Glassnode shows Realized Cap Change up +1.1% (above high band) and Hot Capital Share at 18.8%. New capital is aggressively entering the network, and coins are moving at higher prices. This is the bedrock of a macro bull run. I'm long BTC targeting $100k+, invalidated if Hot Capital drops below 10%. While retail panics over a 2% drop, new whales are injecting billions. Stop staring at the 1-minute chart and fill your macro bags today. #BTC #Macro #Bullish
$BTC

Glassnode hat gerade ihren neuen Bericht veröffentlicht und die Daten schreien förmlich nach uns. Der Nettozufluss bei Spot-ETFs ist gerade explodiert: +367% auf 261,5 Mio. Das ist der klassische Kampf zwischen dem klugen Geld von Wall Street und den überhebelt agierenden Degens. Historisch gesehen gewinnen ETF-Zuflüsse immer. Ich sehne mich danach, BTC hier beim Dip zu kaufen. Ziel ist 92k, ungültig bei einem Bruch unter 82k $. Wall Street kauft gerade, während die Degens in Panik geraten. Wenn du auf die grüne Kerze wartest, kaufst du ihre Taschen bei 92k. Gehe long aus, bevor der nächste ETF-Print fällt.
#Glassnode
$BTC $ETH

Glassnode just released their Weekly Market Pulse (Sept 28), and if you're trading this week, you need to see this.

Right now, the market is a battlefield:
📊 Spot ETFs are seeing massive institutional inflows ($2.7B+).
📉 But perpetual traders are aggressively selling into it (Perp CVD is deeply negative).
📈 Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI just hit 70.4, flashing a clear overbought signal.

The data is showing a massive tug-of-war between smart institutional money and over-leveraged speculators.

I’ve spent the morning digging through all the on-chain metrics, funding rates, and options data.

In the next post, I’ll break down the exact 5-10 trades I’m looking at this week based on this data.
We’ve got long setups, short setups, and some major macro plays.

Stay tuned. It’s going to be a volatile week. 🧠📉 $BTC $ETH $BNB

#BTC #Glassnode #Crypto

Schon 4%+ gefallen seit meinem Post und es wird immer noch hart abverkauft. Fühlt sich an, als wäre jetzt Zeit, die Short-Position mit den Gewinnen aufzustocken. $ZEC

#GRAM
WALLET inside Telegram has been removed from the sidebar menu.
I believe this is a bullish signal for the emergence of a crypto wallet from Durov.

Gram is already showing excellent growth, and there’s more to come.
$GRAM

SpaceX decided to shorten Starship’s test orbital flight from 10 to 3 hours after one of its six engines failed during ascent to orbit. Instead of the planned six orbits, the spacecraft will make a significantly shorter flight around Earth. $SPCX

Lee Goon Wang just sold 15K ZEC ($23M) by placing a limit sell order $30 (2%) below the market price $ZEC