$BTC session wrap: Bitcoin is flat, alts are moving 📊
Bitcoin is parked at about 80.9K, still boxed from 79.2K to 82.3K ahead of the Fed at 18:00 UTC. Meanwhile money is rotating into alts:
🔥 Top gainer: $HAEDAL +26% 🐸 Most searched on Square: $PEPE +14% 📈 Breakouts: XRP, NEAR, Bittensor, MEGA 🧱 Still basing: Aptos, Worldcoin, Filecoin, Stacks
The pattern today: coins that held a clear floor all week are the ones breaking out first. Tonight the Fed decides whether the rest follow.
Which coin is on your watchlist for the Fed? 👇 Follow for live levels after the presser. NFA
Algorand has been pinned at 0.101-0.103 since Oct 23, with lower highs pressing down from above. It's a tight squeeze now: the lid at 0.1047-0.1069 is only about 4% away.
The oracle network's lows since Oct 24: 0.067, then 0.0694, then 0.0715. Buyers keep stepping in earlier. The ceiling is the 0.0744-0.0769 zone, where the 4H EMA50 and the Oct 26 highs sit.
Stacks, the Bitcoin layer-2, has gone flat at 0.293-0.299 for four days. Selling has dried up, but the lower highs from Oct 21 are still pressing down and RSI is only 41.
Jupiter made a new low at 0.270, then pushed back above the downtrend line from Oct 21. Now it's sitting right under the 4H EMA20 at 0.283, the first real test for buyers.
$HUMA bounced 60% off the flush, then hit a wall 🧱
Huma wicked down to 0.0175 on Oct 26, then ripped all the way to 0.0287. It's still +11% today, but sellers showed up hard at 0.027-0.0287 and price is now sliding back into the EMA zone.
Ethereum Classic held 7.39-7.46 twice since Oct 24, and the last two 4H candles pushed right into the 7.67-7.72 zone, where the lower highs and the EMA50 meet.
Stellar printed a triple bottom at 0.1663 and is now testing the 0.171-0.172 lower highs. Its sister coin XRP broke out of the same pattern today, and these two often move together.
$NBISB (Nebius stock token) is +11% ahead of Big Tech AI earnings 🖥️
Nebius rents out AI computing power, so tonight's Microsoft and Alphabet AI spending numbers matter directly. Price jumped off the 150-156 base, broke the 166 lower high, and is now above both 4H EMAs.
$SHIB is knocking on the 4H EMA50 for the first time in a week 🐕
Shiba Inu held 0.00000476-0.00000480 four times since Oct 23. Now the last three 4H candles are green and price is pressing the EMA50, the line that capped every bounce this month.
$FIL is -11.5% on the week and still making lower lows 🗄️
Filecoin's lows: 0.910, 0.906, 0.897, then 0.881. The latest bounce poked through the downtrend line and is testing the 4H EMA20, but it hasn't proven anything yet.
Pudgy Penguins is +4.8% today and just broke the 0.00766 lower high that capped it since Oct 23. Both 4H EMAs are now below price, and memecoins have momentum with PEPE leading.
Cosmos has defended 1.603-1.624 three times since Oct 24. The last 4H candle closed back above the EMA20, but the EMA50 at about 1.68 has rejected every bounce for a week.
Optimism is -13% on the week, but 0.108-0.109 has stopped every drop since Oct 24. The latest 4H candle is now pressing the 0.1133-0.1138 lower highs, the first push into resistance in days.
$GTC is +10.8% today and back above both 4H EMAs 🤝
Gitcoin based at 0.223-0.229 for three days, then one strong 4H candle took it through the EMA zone. It's one of the day's top gainers with volume picking up.
🟢 EMA zone: 0.247-0.256 🟢 Base: 0.223-0.229 🔴 Next: 0.277-0.290
If the EMA zone holds on a pullback, 0.277-0.290 is the next stop. A drop back under 0.247 would mean the breakout failed.
$MEGA has one of the cleanest charts on the board right now 📐
+16% on the week and eight higher lows in a row since Oct 18. Today it broke out of the 0.047-0.049 range it was stuck in for ten days and tagged a fresh high at 0.052.
🟢 Flip zone: 0.0468-0.0489 🟢 Last higher low: 0.0441-0.0448 🔴 New high: 0.0515-0.052
The old range top should now act as support. A retest of 0.0489 that holds is the textbook entry zone for trend traders.
Celestia is -12.6% on the week and has been squeezed into a tight range for five days. That sharp wick to 0.498 was snapped up, which shows real demand below. Above, the lower highs and the 4H EMA50 are converging.
🟢 Floor: 0.517-0.524 🔴 Lid: 0.547-0.556 🎯 Target if it breaks: 0.587-0.592
Tight ranges after a selloff often end with a sharp move. A 4H close above 0.556 is the signal.
$WLD is down 25% in a week. Oversold, or more to go? 🌍
Worldcoin has made lower highs every day since the Oct 20 peak and just printed a new low at 0.425. RSI is 37, so selling is stretched, but there's no reversal signal yet.
Internet Computer is -11% on the week, but sellers have failed to break 2.554-2.572 four times. Meanwhile the candles are getting smaller, a classic sign of a downtrend running out of steam.